SEA is coming in as the 3pt favorites at home, which is an even game on a neutral field. Seattle's defense is stout, but they go about it a different way compared to MIN. SEA blitzes less than 20% of the time, they use 3 Safeties a lot. On offense, everything runs thru JSN who has been targeted 28 times in the last two games combined.

This feels like a low scoring game, which means it will be close. I am going 23-20 Bears. As much as SEA looked dominant against KC, I am not sold on them just yet. They are 2-3 in their last 5. They lost to Mariota and the hapless Commanders and to Bo behind the Stix Nix, and barely beat the Chargers.

btw, I can't believe it is Week 8 already.

EPA/P is basically a wash:

Bears Offense vs Seahawks Defense -0.19 at 21.8 pts per game
Seahawks Offense vs Bears Defense -0.18 at 22.2 pts per game

Considering the Bears stats are without Williams for 3+ games, the Bears should have the slight edge.