adam

Teams ahead of the Bears in the draft order have some favorable matchups in the event that the Bears lose. Both other 4-8 teams have easier opponents with CIN at DAL, and NO at NYG. TEN also plays JAX. So there is a good chance that we 3 teams with another win below the Bears. That would make a Bears loss equal pick #9 and a Bears win equal pick #12 or #13.

In their last two games they have been outscored 73-20 and now they have more players injured.

Trent Williams out, Bosa doubtful. McCaffrey and Mason done for season. After returning from a frozen Buffalo game where they were beat up. This SF team may be mailing it in for the season. We will see, but that team had way loftier goals than the Bears and are only 1 game ahead of the Bears thru 12 games.

I thought Warren literally said in the presser that Poles was the "Point Man" on the HC hire?

He hasn't thrown one since he played us 4 weeks ago. Goff had one though.

Say what you will about Caleb, but straight up game comparison against the same team, same location, and same day of the week as Jordan Love against DET: Love 12-20, 60%, 206 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 23 rushing yds Williams 20-39, 51.3%, 256 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 39 rushing yds Also, the biggest thing for Love was field position. Campbell was doing everything in his power to give the game to GB. GB had starting field positions of the DET 30 after a turnover on downs, the DET 16 after an INT, and the GB 48. Even with that, Love only put up those numbers. Lastly, his 206 yards includes a 59-yarder to Watson, so he had 147 passing yards the rest of the game besides that one play.

He just needs to get stronger and be able to take on a bull rush.

Stats vs teams with a winning record: Player G Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Y/A Y/C Drake Maye 1 20 33 60.6 243 3 2 88.3 7.4 12.2 Jayden Daniels 3 63 101 62.4 662 3 1 87.1 6.6 10.5 Caleb Williams 5 108 178 60.7 1132 5 2 83.8 6.4 10.5 Bo Nix 5 106 173 61.3 1038 4 6 71.4 6 9.8

🤔🤔Strength of Victory: DEN SoV .302 CHI SoV .292 NE SoV .292 (w/ Maye starting) WAS SoV .281

Maye has only played one winning team, Daniels only two. Maye 0-1 vs winning teams Daniels 0-3 vs winning teams Nix 0-5 vs winning teams Williams 0-5 vs winning teams

Nix: 11 TD, 0 INT vs LVR, ATL, CAR 6 TD, 8 INT vs everyone else 🤔 No one is talking about this Zero wins against winning teams, why is this not discussed more as well? Daniels: WAS is 3-2 when he throws an INT. All other QBs have a losing record when throwing an INT. Last 5 wins: TEN, NYG, CHI, CAR, CLE who have a combined 15-45 record. His other wins: ARZ, CIN, and NYG again lol. Zero wins against winning teams, why is this not discussed more? Interesting trend for rookie QBs. Maye: 5 straight games with a TD and INT (1-4, only win vs Bears lol). The Bears game is Maye's only win as a starter (where he finished the game) Just to clarify, no rookie QB has a win against a team that is currently over .500.

Last 3 games, 4 rookie QBs, two are getting ORoY consideration, can you guess who: A. 71-110, 64.5%, 874 Yds, 7 TD, 2 INT, 14 Rushing Yards (Total Yards 888) B. 75-117, 64.1%, 827 Yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 142 Rushing Yards (Total Yards 969) C. 75-106, 70.8%, 742 Yds, 4 TD, 3 INT, 112 Rushing Yards, 2 FL (Total Yards 854) D. 72-100, 72.0%, 672 Yds, 6 TD, 4 INT, 126 Rushing Yards, 2 TD (Total Yards 798) I thought it was pretty wild that all 4 were within 4 completions of each other. The only other thing that stood out was one QB was clean the last 3 games while the other 3 had at least 2 INTs, and one QB had 2 rushing TDs while the other 3 had zero. If you take away the names, I don't know how Williams is not in the discussion with what he is doing lately. It goes to show that wins have more of an impact on the awards than raw stats.

I know these can be taken with a grain of salt, but there are some good stats in there beyond the grades. Some of the grades actually pass the eye test. I find it interesting that the top 3 offensive players in PFF for the Bears are on the OL, Wright, Jones, and Jenkins, and all the OL are higher than Williams, Kmet, Odunze, Allen, and Swift. The only offensive skill players higher than Shelton and Pryor are Moore and Roschon. The good thing is the worst starter, (according to PFF), is Swift at a 62.0, which means every starter is above average (60.0). The worst players with over 100 snaps are: Lewis - 43.3, Everett - 45.3, and Borom - 49.3 which passes the eye test. On defense, the top player with over 100 snaps is Terell Smith (79.1), which makes it even more baffling why they keep running Stevenson out there. The biggest surprise for me is the fall off of Jaylon Johnson; he has fallen off a cliff during this losing streak and is now 8th on defense, falling all the way from 1st. The pleasant surprises are Byard (79.0) who has been a massive upgrade from Jackson, and Dexter (71.4). There are 3 starters on defense below the Mendoza Line, Stevenson - 57.7 (I am surprised he graded that high), Edmunds - 57.2 (feels about right, not enough impact plays), and Taylor - 56.1. Pickens is the only defender below 50 with over 100 snaps at 49.9. Using 60 as the metric, here are the number of snaps, by position, for players with a grade below 60: CB - 642 (Stevenson) LB - 740 (Edmunds) ED - 490 TE - 378 DT - 340 G - 218 T - 218 WR - 157 Taking it down to 50, these would be the critical upgrade areas: TE - 378 (Lewis/Everett) T - 218 (Borom) DT - 130 (Pickens/Williams) G - 76 (Kramer) LB - 5 WR - 5 TE2 has really been a black hole for the Bears this year. For an overall team grade, the Bears are 19th with a 77.3, the best 4-win team and better than WAS, DAL, and MIA, all who have better records than the Bears. They are also only 0.5 lower than GB. Coaching matters.

1. JAX 2-10 2. LVR 2-10 3. NYG 2-10 ------------ 4. NE 3-10 BYE > 3-10 5. CAR 3-9 PHI > 3-10 6. NYJ 3-9 MIA > 3-10 7. TEN 3-9 JAX > 4-9 8 CLE 3-9 PIT > 3-10 ----------- 9. CIN 4-8 DAL > 5-8 10. NO 4-8 NYG > 5-8 11. CHI 4-8 SF > ? The Bears currently have the 11th pick, 40th pick (CAR), and the 43rd pick. There is a good chance both of the other 4-8 teams get a win this weekend, and TEN as well to move to 4-9. If the Bears win, they could drop to 13th. If they lose, there is a good chance they could slide to #9. Based on the remaining schedule, it is very unlikely that more than 2x of the 3-win teams win 2 games, so the Bears losing out would probably only get them to #7. Finishing 5-12, probably #9 or 10. 6-11? Probably #12.

What do you guys think about Mike McDaniels? He was all the hype and all of a sudden, after a 5-7 start, there are whispers that he is soft and the team is playing soft. This was also something mentioned late in the season last year and during the playoffs where they were 1 and done. Do teams take on the persona of their HC over time?