adam Posted December 28, 2019 Report Share Posted December 28, 2019 So I was looking into the free-agent QBs going into 2020. There are a lot of options with potential huge differences in salary cap hits. Take a look at the list below sorted by DVOA. The guys with asterisks are free agents and the guys with a carrot are potential cap casualties. To me, there is no point to add a guy who would essentially have the same production as Trubisky. Looking at the guys in his group, those are all the same type of performers, all underwhelming. So I would target no one worse than Keenum out of the available pool of (Keenum, Brissett, Rivers, Bridgewater, Moore, Carr, and Tannehill). If you reduced the candidate pool by age first, that would remove Rivers and Moore, and you would be left with Keenum, Brissett, Bridgewater, Carr, and Tannehill. Carr and Brissett are only available if they are cut. I am assuming Tannehill goes back to TEN, so that leaves only Keenum and Bridgewater. I would actually be ok with either as Keenum always seemed to have the Bears number. Both would be instant upgrades over Trubisky. If we decided the window is closing sooner than later, then maybe we look at someone like Rivers or Moore for a 2-3 year deal and see what happens. DVOA +30% (All-Pro) Schaub, Brees*, Jackson, Mahomes DVOA 20-30% (Pro-Bowl) Stafford, Prescott*, Tannehill* DVOA 10-20% (Franchise QB) Carr^, Moore*, Bridgewater*, Cousins, Rodgers, Lock DVOA 0-10% (Reliable Starter) Watson, Garoppolo, Ryan, Rivers*, Brissett^, Brady*, Goff DVOA -10-0% (Average Starter) Wentz, Keenum*, Fitzpatrick^, Murray, Minshew, Mayfield, Newton^, Winston* DVOA -20-10% (Inconsistent Starter) J. Allen, Dalton^, Trubisky, Hodges, Manning*, Mariota*, Blough, Flacco^, Jones DVOA -30-20% (Backup QB) Darnold, Foles^, Rudolph, Driskell, K. Allen DVOA -40-30% (Practice Squad QB) NONE DVOA -50-40% (QB as a holder) Haskins DVOA -60-50% (Holder on windy kickoffs) NONE DVOA -70-60% (it would be more efficient to only have 10 on offense than to use this player) Rosen I would avoid anyone in Trubisky's group and below, and would be cautious of Newton and Winston as they are not much better than Trubisky but will command a huge salary. Carr would be interesting if the Raiders let him go. It would be nice to get a QB of that caliber. Lastly, Dalton, Manning, Mariota, and Flacco all got benched for their performances and Trubisky gets reamed (rightfully so), but guys like Jones, Darnold, Allen, and Haskins get a free pass? Most of those guys are worse than Trubisky. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mongo3451 Posted December 28, 2019 Report Share Posted December 28, 2019 Stay the course, but bring in a vet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted December 28, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 28, 2019 One thing to point out, Watson is not a top 10 QB in DVOA. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ASHKUM BEAR Posted December 29, 2019 Report Share Posted December 29, 2019 Looks like the Bears cleared a little extra cap space for 2020 by converting some of Fullers guarantee to a bonus. Maybe some of it will be for a vet QB? Not sure a vet will makes us much better unless they can get better run/pass blocking and also commit more to running the ball. I have recently heard how hard it is to block a RPO offense. The linemen have to tip toe not knowing how to block. Cannot road grade and get too far down field when the QB opts to pass and vice versa. If they go the vet route, they will be giving that offense uo and MT in my opinion. Phillip Rivers will not come here to run Nagys offense. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted December 29, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2019 On 12/29/2019 at 6:11 PM, ASHKUM BEAR said: Looks like the Bears cleared a little extra cap space for 2020 by converting some of Fullers guarantee to a bonus. Maybe some of it will be for a vet QB? Not sure a vet will makes us much better unless they can get better run/pass blocking and also commit more to running the ball. I have recently heard how hard it is to block a RPO offense. The linemen have to tip toe not knowing how to block. Cannot road grade and get too far down field when the QB opts to pass and vice versa. If they go the vet route, they will be giving that offense uo and MT in my opinion. Phillip Rivers will not come here to run Nagys offense. Expand Yeah, very few QBs would be successful with this garbage O-Line. However, if we can get one of the QBs that have played above-average in DVOA, they would be an upgrade over Trubisky immediately. Then you add an improved O-Line and the offense magically becomes a top-15 unit. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted December 29, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 29, 2019 How bad was our offense? Our O-Line is ranked 31st overall. Trubisky is ranked 28th at -11.7%. Montgomery has a -17.1% DVOA thru Week 16. The 3rd worst or 40th ranked RB in the league. Talk about an anemic run game. Burton was the worst TE in the league with a -54.1% DVOA. That is historically low, like the worst TE performance in 20 years. You almost can't play any worse at that position. Robinson was the 39th ranked WR with a 1.8% DVOA. Miller was 60th at -7.3%. With 32 teams, we literally have the worst tandem WR1 and WR2 in the league in DVOA. Someone needs to be held accountable for this train wreck. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
killakrzydav Posted December 30, 2019 Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 That’s scary bad Adam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted December 30, 2019 Author Report Share Posted December 30, 2019 On 12/30/2019 at 5:51 AM, killakrzydav said: That’s scary bad Adam Expand It's brutal, even ARob, who most believed was a Pro Bowler was not even a top 32 WR. Burton's was laughable, dead last. It's funny because Trubisky was the lone bright spot in the DVOA rankings and he was 28th. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AZ54 Posted January 1, 2020 Report Share Posted January 1, 2020 On 12/30/2019 at 3:39 PM, adam said: It's brutal, even ARob, who most believed was a Pro Bowler was not even a top 32 WR. Burton's was laughable, dead last. It's funny because Trubisky was the lone bright spot in the DVOA rankings and he was 28th. Expand (Pace on Nagy) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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