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2024 vs 2025


adam

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People forget how bad last year's Week 1 was because the Bears won, but I doubt people remember that the offense didn't score a TD (Stevenson had a Pick-6 and Owens had a Blocked Punt Return).

The offense had 11 first downs, 5 passing, and had 148 total yards.

This year they had 20 first downs, 10 passing, and had 317 total yards against a better defense.
 

Williams' performance has also improved:

2024: 14-29, 93 yards, 48.3%, 0 TD, 0 INT, 3.2 Y/A, 2 sacks, 55.7 QB Rating, 22.5 QBR, 5-15 rushing.

2025: 21-35, 210 yards, 60.0%, 1 TD, 0 INT, 6.0 Y/A, 2 sacks, 86.6 QB Rating, 63.8 QBR, 6-58 rushing, 1 TD.

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1 hour ago, jason said:

You’re right on all of it, but that doesn’t mean the Offense or Williams looked good. 

2024-Turd

2025-Turd Sandwich

Yeah, now we will see if we can turn those turds into at least turdsicles.

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  • 1 month later...

Now thru 6 games, the sample size is more meaningful.

In 2024, the offense had a league low 283.5 yds a game (32nd), averaged 18.2 pts per game (28th), with a -0.13 EPA/Play (26th).

In 2025, the offense is 13th in YPG at 346.5, averaging 25.3 pts per game (11th) with an EPA/Play of -0.01 (T-13th). 

So points up 7.1 pts per game, yardage up 63 yards per game, and EPA/P up 0.12 per play. I would say that is tangible improvement across the board from last season. QBP Rate and sacks are also down. 

 

On defense, the Bears are 25th in pts allowed, at 25.8 PPG, 25th in YPG at 350.0, yet their EPA/Play is -0.09, good for 8th. 

Last year the defense was 27th in YPG at 354.2, but only 13th in PPG at 21.8, and their EPA/Play was -0.05, good for 14th. 

So the team is allowing 4 more pts per game, 4 fewer yards, and are 0.04 better per play.

 

The net differential is basically a FG, which makes sense that the Bears are now winning close games they were losing last year.

That all equates to the 12th best offense and 19th best defense thru 6 games, the 16th best team, and they currently hold the 7th seed in the NFC heading into MNF.

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2 hours ago, Mongo3451 said:

Look at our 3rd down efficiency on O and D.  It's a pleasant improvement.

Yeah good find.

Offense up 7.4% and defense down 7.1% (which is better).

Interesting nugget when looking at those. The Bears have the 2nd lowest penalized defense with 30 penalties for 209 yards. That is hard to believe considering how many bogus calls they have received. 

The offense is the 8th most penalized unit with 53-454 yards.

So as a team, the Bears are a net -245 in penalty yards. That is almost an entire game's worth of yardage over 6 weeks, or 41 yards per game. That is way too high.

 

The Bears lead the league in Turnover Differential at +11, which is the total of the 4th and 5th best teams combined at +6 and +5. 

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