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NFC playoff watch

Featured Replies

Wildcard:

 

(5)- Packers (8-4) REMAINING OPPONENTS: at Lions (4-7), vs. Cowboys (3-8), at Raiders (4-6), at Cardinals (8-2), vs. Vikings (7-3)

(6)- Seahawks (6-5) REMAINING OPPONENTS: vs. Steelers (6-4), at Vikings (7-3), at Ravens (3-7), vs. Browns (2-8), vs. Rams (4-6), at Cardinals (8-2)

 

In the hunt:

 

(7)- Falcons (6-5) REMAINING OPPONENTS: vs. Vikings (7-3), at Buccaneers (5-5), at Panthers (11-0), at Jaguars (4-6), vs. Panthers (11-0), vs. Saints (4-6)

(8)- Buccaneers (5-6) REMAINING OPPONENTS: at Colts (5-5), vs. Falcons (6-4), vs. Saints (4-6), at Rams (4-6), vs. Bears (5-6), at Panthers (11-0)

(9)- Giants (5-6) REMAINING OPPONENTS: at Redskins (4-6), vs. Jets (6-5), at Dolphins (4-7), vs. Panthers (11-0), at Vikings (8-3), vs. Eagles (4-7)

(10)- Bears (5-6) REMAINING OPPONENTS: vs. 49ers (3-7), vs. Redskins (4-6), at Vikings (7-3), at Buccaneers (5-5), vs. Lions (4-7)

 

*(4)- Redskins (5-6) REMAINING OPPONENTS: vs. Giants (5-5), vs. Cowboys (3-8), at Bears (5-6), vs. Bills (5-5), at Eagles (4-7), at Cowboys (3-8)

 

Probably going to keep this updated until the Bears are officially eliminated.

 

What we need this week:

 

- DET over GB

- MIN over SEA

- TB over ATL

- NYJ over NYG

- DAL over WAS

The Redskins and Rams are both 4-6.

 

I agree with outcomes, we need MIN, IND, PIT, NYG, and HOU to win. We would be in great shape after this week with a home game against SF next weekend.

  • Author

You're right. I don't know why I gave them an extra win.

 

The Falcons, Bucs, and Seattle games are going to be the most important ones to watch this week. Those are the 3 teams ahead of us, aside from GB. I don't see the Pack falling out of the wildcard.

 

Also, Atlanta still has TWO games left with Carolina. They are a good bet to miss the playoffs.

Here is what I said in another thread:

 

1. MIN gets ATL, SEA, ARZ, CHI, NYG, and GB. Of all the teams, they have the toughest path to the playoffs (5 teams at .500 or better + us). They could lose all 6, but more than likely will win at least 2, which would put them at 9-7. If they went 1-5, we could sneak in at 9-7. For us the best scenario would be for them to beat ATL, then lose 5 straight.

 

2. GB has a fairly easier schedule, with DET, DAL, OAK, ARZ, and MIN left. At 7-4, they would have to lose 3 for them to get to 9-7. It ultimately depends on what team shows up, but it seems like they will win at least 2 and finish no worse than 9-7. DET and OAK beating them would be huge for us.

 

3. SEA has PIT, MIN, BAL, CLE, STL, and ARZ left. At 5-5, they are 2 losses from 9-7 and potentially 6-6 in the conference as well. They own the head to head against us, so we would have to beat them by record. With 6 games left, I would love to see them go 3-3.

 

4. ATL seems destined for 9-7 or 8-8 and probably 6-6 in the conference. We could potentially be tied with them at 9-7 and 6-6 in conference if we went 4-1 down the stretch. We should win the common games tie breaker if we could beat TB and WAS. So if tied, I think we would have the tie breaker against them.

 

5. TB seems locked in for 8-8 or 7-9 with games left against IND, ATL, NO, STL, CHI, CAR. We need to beat them to get the head to head tie breaker and common game tie breaker from ATL.

 

So to me it looks like 9-7 won't cut it, but it does look like 10-6 would be enough to get in as one of the Wild Cards. There is a very small chance at the Division at 10-6, but it would require us to win out (possible), MIN to go no better than 2-4 (very possible) and for GB to go 2-3 (unlikely but possible).

  • Author

Looks like we can write off STL already. They're getting killed by Cincinatti, which would give them 7 losses on the year. Bears own tiebreaker in head to head if both finish 9-7.

Good

- CIN leading big over STL

- HOU leading big over NO

- MIN leading ATL

- IND leading TB

 

Bad

- NYG leading WAS

 

Later

- PIT over SEA

 

Seattle lucks out and wins. That hurts.

Yeah, I can't believe how much the refs aided that victory. They got 3-4 huge game changing calls go their way.

 

Wildcard:

 

5 - Packers (7-4/5-3)

6 - Seahawks (6-5/5-4)

 

In the hunt:

 

7 - Falcons (6-5/4-4)

8 - Buccaneers (5-6/4-3)

9 - Giants (5-6/4-5)

10 - Bears (5-6/2-5)

 

Week 13:

GB 7-4 at DET 4-7

MIN 8-3 vs SEA 6-5

ATL 6-5 at TB 5-6

NYJ 6-5 at NYG 5-6

 

We are still in deep doodoo. Those wildcard teams are going to have a hard time losing 3 and 2 more games, respectively and that is assuming we somehow win out (and even then, I think we are in trouble in a tiebreaker scenario given our conference record and fact we lost to Seahawks earlier. That said, its good to at least have a shot.

We are still in deep doodoo. Those wildcard teams are going to have a hard time losing 3 and 2 more games, respectively and that is assuming we somehow win out (and even then, I think we are in trouble in a tiebreaker scenario given our conference record and fact we lost to Seahawks earlier. That said, its good to at least have a shot.

 

And I have to ask it again... Anyone STILL believe there's such a thing as a meaningless win? Sure, it's tough. But if we'd have won even one of the two games we should've, we'd be that much closer to the playoffs. And I assume we'll lose early in those hypothetical playoffs but how much positive can come from getting a team with this many new pieces, mostly young, some playoff experience? I'd say even a single playoff game would leave them with a taste they'd remember all off season which would be great heading into camp next year.

 

Lessons are learned via experience. We won't get that opportunity this year unless we're incredibly lucky.

And I have to ask it again... Anyone STILL believe there's such a thing as a meaningless win? Sure, it's tough. But if we'd have won even one of the two games we should've, we'd be that much closer to the playoffs. And I assume we'll lose early in those hypothetical playoffs but how much positive can come from getting a team with this many new pieces, mostly young, some playoff experience? I'd say even a single playoff game would leave them with a taste they'd remember all off season which would be great heading into camp next year.

 

Lessons are learned via experience. We won't get that opportunity this year unless we're incredibly lucky.

I have been in agreement with you all along.

I have been in agreement with you all along.

 

Sorry, just a bad habit of mine, selecting the last post in the thread and hitting reply.

With the remaining schedules, I actually see Minnesota fading and us potentially tying them with a win in 3 weeks. They play SEA, ARZ, then us. We play SF, WAS, then MIN. We could come out of that week both at 8-6 with 2 to play. They finish with NYG and GB, we finish with TB and DET. That seems like the most realistic outcome.

 

GB and SEA both have easier schedules and both will have 10 or more wins.

 

ATL seems like they will finish 8-8.

 

Right now I can only see us making it if we win out.

 

 

We are moving right up many of the advanced metric websites:

 

15th - http://www.usatoday.com/sports/nfl/sagarin/

MIN - 10, DET - 18, WAS - 23, TB - 27, SF - 29

According to the Sagarin ratings, we have had the toughest schedule and have played 7 games against top 10 teams (more than any other team in the league - and we are 1 win from .500).

 

17th - http://www.coldhardfootballfacts.com/stats/2015/13/Overall/

MIN - 9, TB - 15, WAS - 18, DET - 28, SF - 31

 

19th - http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2015-nfl-predictions/

MIN - 9, DET - 16, WAS - 22, SF - 23, TB - 25

 

Besides MIN, we are better than every other team on our schedule, and I think we are better than MIN as well. Win out or bust.

Were in football purgatory. Too good to draft high and too bad to make the playoffs. This sucks.

 

 

Lol..... Ain't that the truth. And out first top ten draft pick (in a long time)misses his rookie year!

 

 

I trust Pace will draft well no matter where we draft. Just look at picks 2-5

We'll be fine.

 

Lol..... Ain't that the truth. And out first top ten draft pick (in a long time)misses his rookie year!

 

 

I trust Pace will draft well no matter where we draft. Just look at picks 2-5

 

Week 13:

MIN 8-3 vs SEA 6-5

With Minnesota's remaining schedule, SEA winning may be the best option going forward as they seemed destined for a run anyway. If MIN wins, then we can get past SEA by winning out and having them lose to at least ARZ.

 

GB 7-4 at DET 4-7

Detroit already beat them in GB, and another win at home would be huge for us. This game will depend on which GB team shows up and which Stafford shows up.

 

ATL 6-5 at TB 5-6

A TB win would help us get even with ATL, which at this point is probably the best result.

 

DAL 3-8 at WAS 5-6

Obviously, a DAL win would be huge, but unlikely.

 

NYJ 6-5 at NYG 5-6

A Jets win would put us up a game on the Giants.

 

Now none of this will matter unless we take care of business, at home, against a upward trending SF team.

 

 

  • Author

Thank god Detroit already has 7 losses. They look like they found something. Bears are going to have 3 really tough games at the end of the year.

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