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DET is probably gonna win 12+ games, NO, NYJ, CAR, ARZ, MIA, TB, ATL, TEN, and NYG. They don't play GB or CHI on the road until Weeks 17 and 18. By then they may have already won 12 games. GB and MIN both look like 9 win teams, plus or minus a win. So I think it is going to come down to CHI and DET between 11 and 13 wins, and GB and MIN between 8-10 wins. Just based on the current schedules, DET probably has the edge

Interestingly enough, BUF plays GB on SNF before traveling home to play the Bears the next Saturday. The Bears play MIA at noon, so the Bears actually have a 7 hour edge in rest. Also, leading up to the Bears game, BUF plays in GB, in NE, and at home against KC before playing the Bears. They may be beat up and tired by then. Then for the Christmas game, because the Bears play BUF on Saturday, they have an extra day of rest compared to GB who plays on Sunday, then the Bears on Friday.

There are so many things actually going the Bears way related to the schedule, they have the ideal bye week, the 3rd fewest travel miles, and have the most rest differential. Bears are favored in 12 games, so everything is checking out across different metrics.

I don’t like the back to back short weeks in Dec. especially with the second game being against GB. But at least it’s at home on Christmas.

I think youre right. i just threw in a loss or two just for the heck of it, and Im still at 11 or 12 wins. Your 13 win season is definitely reasonable and possible. Nice.

If I was optimistic, I would probably say 14-3. NE was 14-3 and played the easiest schedule for a SB team in NFL History. SEA, BUF, and JAX are the only other teams on the schedule that finished last year with a better record than the Bears. If you take out division games, the Bears should sweep the NFC South as no team even finished with a winning record last year (4 wins), they should beat MIA and NYJ, that is 6 wins (10-2 with division games), then they have PHI, SEA, NE, BUF, and JAX as the remaining 5 games. 3-2 in those games, considering home/away games. If JAX, NE, or PHI were away, I would go with losses, but they are all at home.

I like your optimism.

1 - SUN, September 13 12:00 p.m. at Panthers/Young - WIN 2 - SUN, September 20 12:00 p.m. Vikings/McCarthy-Murray - WIN 3 - MON, September 28 7:20 p.m. Eagles/Hurts (MNF) - WIN 4 - SUN, October 4 12:00 p.m. Jets/Smith - WIN 5 - SUN, October 11 3:25 p.m. at Packers/Love - LOSS (Parsons-dependent) 6 - SUN, October 18 12:00 p.m. at Falcons/Penix-Tua - WIN 7 - THU, October 22 7:15 p.m. Patriots/Maye (TNF) - WIN 8 - MON, November 2 7:20 p.m. at Seahawks/Darnold (MNF) - LOSS 9 - SUN, November 8 7:20 p.m. Buccaneers/Mayfield - WIN 10 - Bye (7-2) 11 - SUN, November 22 12:00 p.m. Saints/Shough - WIN 12 - THU, November 26 12:00 p.m. at Lions/Goff (TNF) - LOSS 13 - SUN, December 6 12:00 p.m. Jaguars/Lawrence - WIN 14 - SUN, December 13 12:00 p.m. at Dolphins/Willis - WIN 15 - SAT, December 19 7:20 p.m. at Bills/Allen (SAT) - LOSS, I would not be surprised if players get sick from going from the heat in Miami to Buffalo in short order. 16 - FRI, December 25 12:00 p.m. Packers/Love (FRI) - WIN 17 - SUN, January 3 3:25 p.m. Lions/Goff - WIN 18 - TBD, January 10 TBD at Vikings/McCarthy-Murray - WIN 13-4 based on a 4-2 division record?

It looks so much worse this far down the road.

The worst stretch is NE at home on TNF on short rest to then go to SEA the following week. At least that is MNF and they will have extra rest for that game. Pre-bye 9 games, at worst 5-4, probably 6-3 or better. Post bye 8 games, at worst 4-4, probably 5-3, for an 11-6 record, give or take a win or two. A lot has to go wrong to finish 9-8. Play to expectation, seems like 11-12 wins. 3-3 in the Division (at worst), CAR, NYJ, ATL, NO, MIA seems like 8 wins. Then PHI, NE, SEA, TB, JAX and BUF. It feels like a split with those at 3-3 is 11 wins without a reach. Am I missing something? I could see the Bears sweeping MIN, splitting with GB/DET for a 4-2 record, which would push the wins to 12. PHI, NE, TB, JAX are all at home. BUF and SEA are the really tough road games.

Opening up against CAR, MIN, PHI, and NYJ before going to GB. Should be at least 3-1 heading to GB. Will Parsons be 100% on Oct 11th? He tore his ACL on December 14th and didn't have surgery until the 29th. October 11th would be 9 months and 13 days post surgery. 9-12 months is the typical recovery time. So there is a good chance he is not ready to play in Week 5. Then after GB, they play ATL, but then turn around and play NE at home on TNF. So the Bears will be traveling back from ATL while NE is traveling from home to Chicago. The Bears get a mini-bye and play their next game in SEA. They are the only team in the NFL to play the Super Bowl teams in back to back weeks. Fun. Interestingly, the Bears get a huge chunk of time at home, because they then play TB at home, they have their bye week, and come out of their bye to play NO at home. They then go on short rest to DET for Thanksgiving, come back home on long rest to play JAX in Chicago in December, then travel back to back to MIA, then BUF. The temperature difference is going to be crazy. Chi to Mia to Buf in 3 weeks. BUF is also on Saturday, so a short week traveling from a road game to a road game kind sucks. They then return home on another short rest and play on Friday for Christmas at home against GB. They end the season with 3 straight division games, playing DET, then MIN at MIN for Week 18. I wish the bye was more useful, leading into a short week or a road game would've been better. 6 short week games. 2x THU games, 1 FRI, 1 SAT, and 2 games after MNF. However, I do like the more balanced BYE at Week 10. The last 4 years they have either had super early or super late byes in Week 5, 7, 13, and 14. 9-11 is the sweet spot. They play 9 games before the bye and 8 after. They have 4 home and away games after the bye. 3 times they play at least back to back home games, and only twice are they on the road for back to back games.

That's the exact same as I saw earlier.

Yeah, so many possibilities. I cant believe what an excellent coach feels like. I cant believe how bad we've had it for so long. And add in Caleb - it's our turn to be a top franchise for the foreseeable future. What a great time to be a Bears fan.

Maybe but this is Zavion comes into play because he can be a RB or your deep threat and anywhere in between.

Ben is the Matchup King. Good info on coverage stats for our LBers. More excellent analysis, adam. Thank you. I remember when our Vic Fangio solved the Rams with a two high safety scheme, setting this trend in motion. Coaches like Eberflus, Nagy, even Lovie were riding schemes and trends on the back end. Johnson clearly understands where the opportunities are now.

Ive seen a few versions, people are guessing and it stinks bc they look official

I'm seeing the entire schedule posted on Instagram. I don't know if it's real, so I'm not sharing.

Correct, ive mentioned that earlier. The Bears save cap because TEs make less and you are only playing one or two. That also makes Zav Thomas more valuable as a player who could line up at WR/RB.

and this move to more 13-personnel would reduce the overall snap count of the WR group. Thus making Moore even more expendable. Even 12 personnel can cut down on WR snaps, but 13-personnel brings it down to 1x WR, so even Burden or Odunze will be off the field for those plays.

I’d like to say I’lI feel sorry for the Panther fans having to watch Caleb vs Young on the same field but I won’t. Best deal ever. in fact they can watch: Chicago Bears received: QB Caleb Williams, WR DJ Moore, OT Darnell Wright, CB Tyrique Stevenson, P Tory Taylor, WR Luther Burden IIIWe traded DJ for Sam Roush.

So far, so good...

Poles seems to find the odd advantages. Loading up on DBs and now coverage LBs. Both have to do with a passing league. Now if he can figure out Oline, which seems much better and then Dline (kryptonite)

Week 1 - @CAR Week 7 TNF - NE Week 12 - Thanksgiving - @DET

It basically forces teams to use 3 LBs. Looking at LB coverage grades, I was surprised to see D'Marco Jackson as the 2nd highest rated LB in coverage, only behind Fred Warner. 4th was a guy named Devin Bush who played in CLE last year. 18th was TJ Edwards. So the Bears have 3 of the top 18 coverage LBs in the NFL. On the flip side, there are a few others from the division, Cooper from GB was 9th and Campbell from DET was 12th. So the Bears may have gotten ahead of this trend on both offense and defense.