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Not a perfect game. I see slow feet against some of the speed rushes but also some really good plays against power. Great game considering his first start.

McCarthy is putting up a historically bad season. Bottom 5 QBR Season since they started tracking it in 2006. He just passed Will Levis for 5th worst, next up Josh Rosen. 2025 JJ McCarthy - 24.8 2024 Will Levis - 25.2 2018 Josh Rosen - 24.1 2011 Blaine Gabbert - 22.2 2010 Jimmy Clausen - 13.8 2006 Andrew Walter - 23.0

The incompletions can be a result of: 1. Bad throw/accuracy/timing 2. Receiver bad route/timing 3. Receiver drops pass 4. Defense caused - QB is escaping pressure/great PBU 5. Throw away (forced incompletion) In some cases, I feel like they are trading incompletions for INTs and sacks right now, so I will take that. However, we want to start to see an uptick in Comp% over the remainder of the season.

I see prospects stepping up Theo, Ozzy to the point we no longer need to draft a LT in the 2026 draft. Both are getting better, it is irrelevant that they are not first round picks. High picks have a better track record of succeeding but many examples of lower round prospects getting the job done. The starting LT for the Eagles was a 7th round pick. As the season progresses we see players getting better so Kudos to Poles on getting this years draft right. Luke Newman will be the next OG or OC to come from this draft once one of our IOL 3 free agents are done playing. To be honest, I thought Jackson was going to be a bad signing but he is cooking now. I think sometimes we just need to be patient and see what the plan was work out before we complain about the results. Every year we should draft prospects for the OL but now we can use the high picks to go at other weak position groups going forward. It took Poles 4 yrs to get it right but (IMO) its starting to work.

Ozzy makes his first start at LT and earns a 75 PFF grade. https://bearswire.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/bears/2025/11/24/bears-steelers-pff-grades-week-12/87449245007/

What the Bears 12 man personal did was take Tomlin out of his Defensive game plan. The game of chess forced the OLB/Edges to cover instead of attack. The Bears came a long ways to get their offense to click, but we are starting to see it come together. Once Caleb figures out his touch on ball velocity and improved accuracy, this offense will be hard to beat. Trapilo played a good game against some tough competition. It would be a huge relief if he takes the spot and locks its down for a decade. Newman played for Jonah when he went down and played good as well.

Caleb has some great traits to build on but just needs some time to get the accuracy down. In his college career it was an average of 66.4% . I think BJ can turn him into a star but its going to take more than 11 games to get that done.

I have a friend that spent 10,000 on Justin Fields collectable stuff based on he will one day be a top 5 QB. Boy did he guess wrong. It was after the year when he run for 1143 yards. Cant imagine what all that is worth now. He did have some nice stuff, my investment was a JF1 shirt.

Between his errant throws and our WR drops, how many yards and TDs were left on the table? My Guess? He could easily have another 6 TDs and 300 yards added to his totals this year.

Basically every game he hits another milestone that no one has ever done. Like to end the season with 7K Passing, 1K Rushing, 40 Passing TDs, with fewer than 15 INTs would be another milestone that only he has ever achieved in the first two seasons of a career.

Wow. Time to buy a jersey! For the record my Jersey collection: Sayers, Ditka, Urlacher, Butkus.

The Strength of Schedule thing is so skewed when you play more than one super bad team. RIght now the Titans, Jets, Raiders, Giants, and Saints have 2 or fewer wins. So if you played any of those teams a few times, your SoS is gone. NE has played the Titans, Jets, Raiders, and Saints, and the Bengals, Dolphins, Browns, and Falcons. That is 8 games against teams with 4 or fewer wins, and they are 7-1 in those games.

He told Ramsey, don't make me go Javon Wims on you boy.

LAR is for sure, they are humming. I am not sold on PHI, DET, or SF. PHI is 4-3 in their last 7, and lost to NYG and DAL in that stretch. See my post about Barkley, he has been off all year. For an 8-3 team, there is a lot of drama. DET is 3-3 in their last 6, and needed OT to beat NYG. They already have twice as many losses as last year. Goff playing in CHI in January should be fun in Week 18. SF is 4-4 in their last 8. People talk about the Bears wins. SF's last 3 wins have been against ARZ, NYG, and ATL. Their defense is not the same w/o Warner.

I think I like DJ G-Johnson a little more after sticking up for Caleb.

I was just joking around but I totally understand. I live locally so I get all Bear games and am a prime member but have to remember lots of people live everywhere else.

IMHO I think right now Detroit, LAR and maybe Philly are all better in the NFC. I’d even throw in SF because of Shannahan and that both Purdy and Kittle are back.

Yeah between that and the heavy focus on the run after the bye, I personally saw times where Johnson would make the adjustments necessary to score. The first couple of weeks of the season were rough . He tried to gameplan ( I think) more for the passing game. But for whatever reason Caleb wasn’t quite getting it or he (Johnson) was getting impatient. I think thar was partially why we didn’t see a lot of the optimal use of the 12 man scheme. Especially with the top two TEs and moreso this years’ #1 pick. If executed correctly the zone run offense will work every time. He had what he needed in Swift and Monangai and turns out good enough players on the oline to make it work. We saw a few times as the season progressed where the offense (specially Caleb) struggles in the RZ. Sure he looks great between the 20s but for whatever reason, with the need to think quicker he locked up a little. There was one game in particular (think maybe the Giants) where Ben called at least on trick play in the red zone that ended up with Caleb catching a TD from Moore that shook things up. This added another element that opposing defenses had to account for. Call it a little of the Campbell moxie if you will. Johnson comes by way of the Parcell’s coaching tree . Having started out with the 2012 Dolphins as an assistant. Since then he’s added some of Bill Walsh’s West Coast Offense and a hint of the spread offense. With the WCO you don’t have to have a superstar QB run it, just one that can play within the system. I think Ben will work to fix the inconsistencies and tics t and hopefully have a more finished product in the coming years.

Halftime adjustments exist:

Some context to Year 2 QBs, McCarthy starting in his 2nd year, who sat for a year, taking over a 14-win team with arguably a top 3 WR in Jefferson, a great defense, and a QB Whisperer HC is one of 3 QBs since 1980 to pass for less than 1K yards, less than 10 TD Passes, and 10 or more INTs in their first 6 starts to start their careers. He joins DeShone Kizer and Ryan Leaf in that category. Williams is the first QB in NFL history with more than 6K Passing Yards, 750 Rushing Yards, 35 Passing TDs, and 10 or fewer INTs in his first 28 starts, and that includes 17 games in a season where his HC and OC were fired.

Yeah something is going on in PHI. I have not paid attention enough. Barkley has only 3 games with a YPC over 4.0, 4.8 against the Giants (12 carries), 5.0 against DEN (only 6 carries), and his best game of the year 10.7 against the Giants (had 150 and a 65-yarder). However, he has had 7 games with a YPC of 3.3 or less. In 6 of those he had 18+ carries. On the season he is averaging 3.7 YPC, but against any team but the Giants, it drops to 2.99 per carry, wild.

The Congunkulator says PHI 23 - CHI 20 based on EPA/P, # of plays, and PPG. With it being in PHI, 3 more pts go their way, and with the officials, probably another 3-4, which makes it more like a 9-10 pt game. This is all assuming no Jaylon or Gordon as right now the DET blowout loss accounts for a lot of the bad averages. If you just use the last 9 games for both teams, the Bears should be favored by 3.

The Congunkulator has predicted 3 wins with pretty close margins of victory (scores have been a little off). I need to have it weighted for more recent games as Week 1 and 2 impact the numbers but really are not relevant now.

If they can't beat CLE, they don't deserve to be in the playoffs. So that leaves 5 other games, PHI, GB, SF, GB, and DET. 1-4 in those 5 would be bad, I am hoping no worse than 2-3, which is 3-3 the rest of the way for a 11-6 finish. I think that locks you into the #6 Seed. The #5 Seed is tough unless the Bears beat SF, and if they do that, they are probably winning the Division at 13-4.

Williams now 10th in Passing Yards, ahead of Jordan Love, Bo Nix, Baker Mayfield, Jalen Hurts, all with the same number of games. Stafford (MVP) and Hurts are the only QBs with more Passing TDs and fewer INTs than Williams. EPA/DB is 13th 26 QBs have been sacked more times