adam
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Posts posted by adam
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8 minutes ago, Stinger226 said:
Good teams always seem to have a good punter , most the time a kicker that can make pressure FGs. Since the rules have changed, special teams will require better players to play because of potential big plays. I think Poles and Flus are paying attention to that. V Jones will excel at that or be gone, not any help as a WR. Dante Pettis is back and a unspetacular but reliable punt returner that adds speed to the WR room. 4.32 He had 9 punt return TDs in his college career. Maybe we can revive his career.
1 net yard on punts adds almost 2 pts per game, so there is correlation between field position and outcomes.
Gill was terrible and was a bottom 3 player on the 53-man roster. It sucks they had to use a 4th to get him, but they got Booker in the 5th which sort of makes up for the reach on Taylor.
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This guy is something else. I know you don't win press conferences, but man, his responses are literally night and day compared to Fields, Trubisky, Cutler. It is honestly refreshing.
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12 hours ago, DABEARSDABOMB said:
I think Scott will surprise us in a good way this year.
How so? He seems like the 7th option on offense right now behind Moore, Allen, Odunze, Kmet, Everett, and Swift.
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It starts today. We will finally get "real" news on our rooks. Can't wait to hear about Taylor!
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6 hours ago, BearFan PHX said:
I'm a little bit concerned that we keep hearing a lot about Caleb and Keenan Allen, and Rome Odunze, but not a lot is said about DJ Moore. Allen will probably only be on the team for a year or two, so eventually Moore is going to be very important to this team.
I assume that Williams is savvy enough to keep DJ feeling love, but I'd like to hear Williams mention him in interviews the way he does the other two, and in the press in general. I sure hope DJ doesnt get disgruntled.
Im sure in the end if he gets his targets he will be happy, but right now I just keep noticing he isnt as much of a part of the conversation.DJ was at the Cubs game with him, Odunze wasnt'. DJ also lives in the area and has a family. I think it is much to do about nothing. DJ has had some of the worst QB situations since being drafted, and now he finally has a real QB. I don't think him not being everywhere Caleb is at is an issue. Keenan is also new to the area, so he clearly is taking advantage of the new fans and area.
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$5M in cap savings if they cut Borom and Homer, that would bump the Bears up to $17.5M in effective cap. They always leave some operating income, so that would probably leave them to sign a guy or two up to 9-10M in total.
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So a lot of people are now using AI for season projections. Here the 33rd Team has all 3 of the Bears top WRs getting over 1K yards. If you add Kmet, Everett, Swift, Herbert, Johnson, and Scott, Williams would have close to 5K passing yards.
Also, as a disclaimer, AI is very accurate, so at least 50% of the time, these predictions will be 100% accurate.
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6 hours ago, AZ54 said:
I watched the Kay Adam’s interviews from Halas Hall today. It’s safe to say it’ll be game on in practice.
So traditionally our defense has played against a bad offense in practice. Now they are going to get some real competition, which should make them even better. Another added benefit of this offseason's acquisitions.
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Looking at DVOA from last year, the Bears had the 22nd offense and 17th defense for the season. Here is how the rest of the North looked:
DET 5th/13th
GB 6th/27th
MIN 23rd/11th
So just say the offense gets to 15th (right at league average), and the defense improves to a top 10 defense (they were top 5 the last 7 weeks of last year). That would put them at 15th/10th. There were 3 teams to finish in the teens in both offense and defense last year, HOU, NO, and JAX. That should be a 10-7 record.
Now looking at the other teams, DET's offense looks to be exactly the same, and based on previous seasons, most teams have a dip, so I expect DET to be top 10, but not top 5, say 8th. On defense, they should be slightly better, say 12th. That would put them at 8th/12th, and probably atop the division again. This is 11-12 wins.
For GB, this will be interesting. They finished with the 6th offense and 27th defense. I feel like their offense is going to come down to earth, say 10th, and their defense will be better, say 22nd. That would put them at 10th/22nd. This is 8-9 wins.
Lastly we have MIN, their offense was terrible last year and now has a rookie QB. I think they will be worse on offense, say 25th, and their defense is going to stay exactly the same at 11th. So 25th/11th. This is 6-7 wins.
So with the factual scientific data output, we get:
Lions 11-6 #2 Seed
Bears 10-7 WC1
Packers 8-9
Vikings 6-11 -
13 hours ago, AZ54 said:
Pix,
My condolences. I just lost my mother about 10 days ago so I haven't been online much recently. I cannot imagine what you have endured. Your message rings true. Our families are a gift, Bear Down and make the time for them.
AZ, I am sorry for your loss. Getting old sucks. I lost my dad 10 years ago and my mom is hanging in there but getting close.
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I would have liked a better option at Center, that is my only gripe right now. I am assuming they will bring in a vet Edge and DT to fill out the rotation on defense. The only position I don't like is Center with Bates/Shelton. The only saving grace is Shelton started the entire year for the Rams, so at least we know the floor.
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It feels like Williams is wired differently. He doesn't give a crap about the Bears passing records, he is going for league passing records while carrying his team to the playoffs and winning often.
I will say this, if the Bears make it to the playoffs, they are going to be a hard out.
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How did I not know this.
Rome Odunze led the entire nation in receiving yards in 2023 with 1,640 yards, paired with 92 receptions and 13 TDs. He also had a rushing TD.
Compare that to Harrison Jr who had 67-1,211-14
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This is going to be the first official field event for Williams, Odunze, the other rookies, UDFAs and some camp invites.
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13 hours ago, Pixote said:
I hope he wasn't. I love the idea of players hanging out and enjoying an evening together. Bonding. On and off the field. So important. I want it to be something they themselves organized without management being involved.
Yeah, it seemed like a player bonding experience, and from the looks of it, they are bonding really well. I liked that there were WRs, RBs, TEs, and OL there with Williams. Not just starters too, guys like Roschon and Carter, which is cool to see.
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I am so sorry for your losses. Losing family members, especially children, is such terrible experience. I lost my dad and my older brother, and both of those were tough. I can't imagine losing one of my kids. So my thoughts and prayers go out to all those that lost family members.
If there is anything I can ever do, please don't hesitate to ask.
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1 hour ago, Stinger226 said:
Is that Flus sitting behind him?
I did not see Flus or Poles, but they may have been there.
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1 minute ago, BearFan PHX said:
it kills me.
and the worst is that someone would pipe up and say "thats not true! we beat them twice in the last ten years!"
Which is almost worse LOL
Since 2009, which is 15 years ago, we have beaten the Packers four times. Our record vs them over those 15 years is an astonishing 4 - 22, or a 15% winning rate.
Our SHORTEST losing streak in that time was 4 in a row.
I cant wait for all the payback.Every season is like a new hand of poker. GB has had a good run but that is ending this year. Also, the hand 5 years ago has nothing to do with this hand, it just makes for good conversation.
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Caleb with Keenan, DJ, Cole, Braxton, Roschon, and Ja'Tyre at the Cubs game.
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13 minutes ago, BearFan PHX said:
So apparently the Bengals are calling asking about Khalil Herbert in trade. They need a RB, having just lost Dixon.
At the same time, Trey Hendrickson, their best edge rusher has asked for a trade. He had 17.5 sacks last year and has two years remaining on his deal.
Hmmmm.Those both popped up around the same time too. I would be down with it as they are more than likely not extending Herbert with Roschon having 3 more years left and Swift just signing a multi-year deal.
Since Hendrickson is way more valuable, who will also be 30 this year, I would say a pick swap like Herbert+4th for Hendricks+6th would be fair.
If they did that, I would go grab someone like Josh Kelley or Marlon Mack as RB3.
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3 hours ago, AZ54 said:
The bears are coming to AZ. I’ll be at the game. I’ll bet we’ll have a huge Bears crowd again.
It will be an away home game for the Bears.
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1 minute ago, Stinger226 said:
Acho loves hot takes. I would not go that far because there is only 1 Mahomes, he is not any type. Is Williams the best college QB ever? I don't think so. Burrow's last season at LSU was crazy. There have been a few others like that. To me, Williams is one of the most well-rounded QBs coming out ever, where he really doesn't have a weakness that defenses can attack. Make him a pocket passer, and he shreds you. Force him to rollout and he eats you up on the move. Blitz him and he looks like a matador as the blitzer loses an ankle.
Right now, the QB style is honestly based on the individual. Look at how different these guys are:
Purdy, Prescott, Allen, Jackson, Stafford, Mahomes, Bagent, Tua, Hurts, Stroud.
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Caleb Williams, QB, USC selected #1 overall
in Bearstalk
Posted
OK, after evaluating the first minicamp practice, my predictions for Williams are as follows:
387-574, 67.4%, 4362 yds, 7.6 Y/A, 37 TD, 7 INT
Bookmark this and come back here in January. I have a feeling he is going to be a top 5 QB out the door.
Comparing him to Trevor Lawrence, Williams is already months ahead in development at this point.