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adam

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Everything posted by adam

  1. If the Bears win out and ARZ loses one, they would have the same record, conference record, but the Bears would have the tiebreaker with common games. ARZ wins against NYG, losses to LAR, DET, CAR, and one remaining against LAR, max 2-3 in common games, or at worst 1-4. CHI wins against NYG, DET, CAR, losses against DET, LAR, 3-2 in common games. If MIN loses to CHI and CHI wins their remaining games, MIN can finish no better than 8-8. The Bears have to beat the Vikings this week in Minnesota, or none of it will matter. The team that loses is basically eliminated based on tie-breakers and would need ARZ to lose their remaining 3 AND the winner of Bears-Vikings to lose their last 2 to get in. Here is the remaining schedules: ARZ - PHI, SF, @LAR MIN - CHI, @NO, @DET CHI - @MIN, @JAX, GB
  2. After seeing what Philly did to NO, an ARZ win is not a lock for next week. SF always plays them tough and the Rams are still in it from a bye perspective.
  3. Trubisky would have to be willing to take a lot less (under $10M to fit him under the cap).
  4. Who is taking on $36M for Brees? If they cut him that is over $22M in dead money. They are 100M over the cap, so even if they cut him, that saves just over $13M. They would have to do that with another 6-8 starters, then have another 4-5 to restructure just to make it under the cap with a roster of about 40 players.
  5. I am torn on this. On one side I like the fact that he made the changes, but on the other side, it seems like either complete stubbornness or stupidity that he waited so long to make such an obvious change (on the playcalling). For the first time, in what feels like a year, they were actually playing to Trubisky's strengths, cutting the field in half, and making some easy throws.
  6. Monty is excellent if he is not hit in the backfield. He just has a few habits he needs to break. One is when he catches a swing pass, he immediately does a little stop step like he thinks he is going to take a hit, even when he is open, so he loses all his momentum.
  7. I thought the Bears had cap issues, but the Saints are close to $100M OVER the cap. The Eagles are $70M over, the Falcons $38M, Steelers $32M, Packers $27M, Rams $25M, Chiefs $24M, Raiders $15M, Texans $14M, and Vikings $11M. I honestly have no clue what the Saints are going to do. They can't cut enough guys. They are going to have to trade a ton of guys like Thomas and group him with a bad contract, and then give them away for basically nothing.
  8. He also lost his receiver on the dropped TD pass. The TE was wide open but he was looking right into the sun. So the sun was better at coverage than Jackson was. I don't know what it is but he hasn't been the same since 2018. With his huge deal, I wouldn't mind moving on from him this offseason.
  9. The Bears scored in the 3rd quarter. 33-7, and the Texans coming out in their first drive chewing up the clock with a bunch of runs.
  10. That's partly on Watson, who seems like he is holding onto the ball forever.
  11. Yeah so you are basically swapping Fuller+Hicks for ARob. That doesn't seem like a good trade-off for a comparable cap hit. ARob is going to get paid, I just don't think it's with the Bears.
  12. I know, on both sides of the ball. The blindly obvious things they should've been doing all year.
  13. Wow, Bears send Smith on a blitz and him and Mack converge on Watson in the end zone for a safety, a play after Nichols gets a huge sack when Watson holds onto the ball too long. Probably the best back to back plays for the defense in 2 months.
  14. Bears can't do anything after a Mack fumble recovery, then the teams swap TD drives. Bears 14-7. On Texans TD drive, Jackson loses his man and it's an easy TD pass for Watson.
  15. Wow, Monty with an 80-yd TD run, O-Line with great blocking. The defense did enough to force a punt on the first Texans' drive, and actually brought pressure on 3rd Down that ultimately led to the incompletion. However, the pass hit Jackson right in the hands. Another missed INT. It didn't matter this time though.
  16. I think you move on from Leno, Massie, Skrine, and Graham, then have Fuller and Hicks both restructure to save a couple of mil without pushing too much into future years.
  17. I hate to see anyone injured, and hope he recovers, but this is an early Christmas present.
  18. Yep, him too. There are a lot of GM candidates out there, almost hard to whiff on a good one this offseason (unless you are the Bears).
  19. I wouldn't say Floyd is everything we wanted him to be, but he is light years ahead of Quinn who got lazy once he got paid. The scheme really makes a difference, but so does having arguably the best interior lineman and perennial DPOY on that line. There is a huge difference between having to worry about interior pressure vs edge pressure. With Mack on the other edge, you can always chip with the TE and RB as well as shift protection to that side. However, on an interior guy like Donald, you basically lose the RB chip and any TE help. It is interesting to look at what Quinn did with Donald, from 2014-2017 he basically averaged 10 sacks per 16 games with Donald (9.7 to be exact) and Floyd is on pace for 9.2. Floyd has consistently been an underachiever even before Mack on the Bears. I think the change of scenery has pushed him so he can get a nice hefty contract. I bet he does and I bet his performance dips once he gets paid.
  20. So there seems to be 5 very solid QB prospects this year. Trask reminds me of Big Ben, 6'5" and 240 is a tank back there. Mac Jones has really impressed with a crazy completion % with the average over 12. Trask has a ridiculous QB-INT ratio, 38-3 is mind boggling good. All these guys are at least 6'3", all have better comp%, AVG, and TD-INT than both Mahomes and Watson, which is impressive. The assumption is Lawrence goes #1, but looking at the raw numbers, he has the worst comp% of the group, lowest average, and is in the middle of the pack for TD-INT. His biggest factor is his size at 6'6" and experience. I will need to watch some tape on these guys but I would not be disappointed if we got any of them. I feel like at worst you are looking at a decent NFL starter. Trevor Lawrence - 69.2% Comp, 20-3 TD-INT, 9.7 AVG, 2431 yards - 38 G, 6'6" Justin Fields - 78.1% Comp, 15-3 TD-INT, 10.3 AVG, 1407 yards - 31 G, 6'3" Mac Jones - 75.7% Comp, 27-3 TD-INT, 12.2 AVG, 3113 yards - 26 G, 6'3" Kyle Trask - 71.4% Comp, 38-3 TD-INT, 10.1 AVG, 3243 yards - 24 G, 6'5" Zach Wilson - 73.0% Comp, 27-3 TD-INT, 11.1 AVG, 2964 yards - 28 G, 6'3" Patrick Mahomes - 65.7%, 41-10 TD-INT, 8.5 AVG, 5052 yards - 32 G, 6'3" Deshaun Watson - 67.4%, 41-17 TD-INT, 7.9 AVG, 4593 yards - 38 G , 6'3"
  21. There are actually a lot of good GM candidates, WAAAAYYYY more qualified than Pace ever was. Here are a few: Scott Fitterer - SEA, built the Legion of Boom John Dorsey - helped build KC and CLE Ed Dodds - IND Mike Borgonzi - KC Louis Riddick - ESPN Analyst, PHI
  22. This is the realistic tanking pool the Bears are in. With 4 games remaining, they can potentially leap frog the following teams in draft position: 7 . CAR 4-8 (.536) vsDEN 8. ATL 4-8 (.536) @LAC 9. HOU 4-8 (.549) @CHI 10. DEN 4-8 (.568) @CAR 11. WAS 5-7 (.461) @SF 12. DET 5-7 (.505) vsGB 13. CHI 5-7 (.516) vsHOU 14. SF 5-7 (.534) vsWAS SoS is the tiebreaker, so all the Bears need to do to pass CAR, ATL, HOU, and DEN is have the same record as them. A loss against HOU this week would allow the Bears to gain one slot, and since CAR plays DEN, one team will end up tied with the Bears, so that is another guaranteed slot to move to 11th. SF plays WAS, so a WAS win would give the Bears another slot to 10th. ATL is playing a worse team in LAC so they should be favored, which would bump the Bears to 9th. So if the Bears lose and the other games play out as projected, the Bears could be 5-8 with the 9th pick and only behind one of CAR or DEN at 4-9 and DET at 5-8. CAR plays GB in Week 15 and DEN plays BUF, so those are both expected losses. DET plays TEN, so that is an unlikely win for DET as well. So this is the move week. I don't see them gaining any draft position next week.
  23. If Stafford with backup WRs can carve up the Bears, I can't imagine what Watson is going to do. Watson 28 - Bears 13 Projected stats: Jackson with 8 tackle observations (he was there for moral support) Skrine with 7 receptions against (he is being giving this time of year) Mack with 6 missed holding calls (he likes to cuddle) ARob with 5 receptions (at least he didn't run out of bounds one yard short of the sticks) Kmet with 4 targets (huge if true) Trubisky with 3 passes short of the sticks (on 3rd Down of course) Hicks with 2 TFLs (the star of the game) and 1 more loss for the Bares.
  24. adam

    Fire Nagy

    You are right, but after a 12-4 playoff season, it was going to take a lot worse than a bad run in an 8-8 season to get rid of Nagy, especially considering all the injuries. I agree on Trubisky, it should've been clear after the first month that he wasn't grasping the offense and still couldn't read a defense. I remember Nagy making the calls for him after he would rush to the line to see the defensive alignment, then back off and get the play call in. That was embarrassing. Not addressing OT was one of Pace's biggest gaffs. How do you think Charles freaking Leno and Bobbie Massie are good enough to start in the NFL, when they would be backups on every other team in the league? They both are swing tackles at best, not starters.
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