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Everything posted by adam
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	After his first 300-yard game of the season, Trubisky now only needs 450 yards to get to a career-high in passing yards with 2 games to play (225 yard average). He is also 8 completions from a career-high but will need 8 TDs if he wants to break his career-high of 24. I doubt he gets the TDs, but the other should be fairly easy to reach. At this point, there not much to play for other than pride (or draft position), KC has clinched a playoff spot and is only playing for seeding. As the #3, they would need some help to get a bye. The Minnesota game may have more value as Minnesota is still in the hunt for the Division and WC seeding. It's crazy to think GB is the #2 seed and tied with Seattle with 11 wins and GB could end up as the #1 seed if GB wins their last 2 and Seattle loses one of their last two.
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	So the Semifinal round will come down to MNF for both games: In the first game, both teams are projected to have 164 pts (at times within a tenth of a point) with Run Dem Pockets having Jack Doyle to play on Monday. SBSB has the New Orleans defense on MNF and has the remainder of the SNF game to get some pts from James Conner. In the second game, Dom Inc has build a decent lead (thanks to Julio Jones), but PapaBear has the Pittsburgh defense on SNF, then Thomas and Cook on MNF. This one will end up a lot closer than the current projection.
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	I think we have our WR1 and WR2. We need both locked up for the next 5+ years: Last 4 games Robinson 26-390, 4 TD Miller 27-377, 2 TD
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	There was also a blatant block in the back on the long kick return. Our player (#53) was pushed straight in the numbers right at the point of attack and no flag. Then you take the Patterson one which could've been a 14 pt swing and the ARob one where the guys has one arm hooked and the other around his back, and the Bears win by 10+. It's frustrating to say that the team needs to fight thru that and win, when GB doesn't have to. On an even officiated game, the Bears win with the same effort.
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	We just didn't have the mojo this year. In this game, it was the officials getting calls blatantly wrong (Patterson's call was the ballgame, that was potentially a 14-pt swing) to guys slipping all over the field. How about the missed INTs? Kwit had one hit him in both hands. Fuller also missed one at his feet. The O-Line was downright terrible. Coward and Daniels kept getting beat easily and then Leno and Lucas started the revolving door play. If they can rush 4 and drop 7 with 6 DBs, that is tough to throw against. Mitch outplayed Rodgers and gave the team a chance to at least tie. He had some laser throws and some others that were A+ quality. He is still a work in progress, but a 300 yard game in those conditions is pretty good. I can't believe it ended on a series of laterals with Horsted getting tackled and then just throwing it to the ground as he missed a wide-open Robinson to his right who walks in for an easy 6. Unbelievable. Also, on that play, Miller saw the ball on the ground at his feet and actually jumped away from it allowing for an easy recovery for GB. That play was a microcosm of the season. Very chaotic with a bad ending. Our defense played ok, but you never like to see 21 pts and 3 TDs. Prince is a liability and there is no way he is back. Floyd too. He gets manhandled on every play. Mack can't make that amount of money and be held off the stat sheet again. Not even some tackles? That signing is starting to get stale. Hicks played a hell of a game and battled thru injury all game, that was impressive. The O-Line, DBs, and TEs are the top priorities. I like what I saw from Kwit and KPL again, they didn't look overmatched, so if you can bring them back with Roquan, ILB is set. For OLB, we need some fresh blood across from Mack (goodbye Floyd and Lynch). For Safeties, now I am seeing the problem here. HHCD and EJack are too close to the same style player. We need someone who can cover TEs, but also better against the run. I don't think HHCD comes back. For CBs, we need an upgrade across from Fuller, Prince is a liability, I like what I saw from Tolliver but Skrine has returned to his old ways. Skrine cannot guard anyone it seems anymore. I don't know what happened, but between him and Prince, there was always an open receiver. You hate to lose to GB, but making the playoffs was always a long shot, especially after the Vikings wins against Seattle last week and LAC this week. So now we play spoiler, but with us being eliminated, any guys with nagging injuries will probably go on IR. After seeing Hicks in pain today, I would not be surprised if he went back on IR. I would also expect Trevathan to go on IR to bring up another body to take a look at. I would also shelf Gabriel and Prince. Onto the draft, the Raiders also lost so we are basically locked into two picks in the late 40's.
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	The line has slipped to Bears +4, so there is a lot of money on the Bears. With Akiem Hicks back and the way KPL played for Smith. I feel like the Bears have a chance to surprise a lot of people. Most of the national media is picking the Packers, and with the odds, the Bears come in as the underdog, which is something they seem to like. For the weather, it looks like it is going to be in the high to mid-teens and sunny for most of the game. Only a little bit of wind and no snow, so the weather should not play a big factor. Revised score, Bears 27-13.
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	Yeah, it's really odd that they have not used Trevathan's roster spot. He got injured on November 10th, so tomorrow will be 5 weeks. If we somehow make the playoffs, that would be 8 weeks from the injury. Sunday will be 10 weeks for Hicks, so I am assuming Trevathan's was less serious and they feel he can be back a few weeks before Hicks was?
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	Lol sorry was looking at the bracket and the team names. Yeah, hard to beat 200+ pts in the playoffs. You would hope 150 is enough to win.
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	He is a true #1 WR and is only getting better. He is still fairly young, so there is no reason not to lock him up and not have to worry about that position for the next 5-6 years.
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	A TE that can exploit the seams is our biggest need on offense. Once that has to be defended, other things will open up. Burtheen has been an absolute disaster and their lack of production really hurt the entire offense.
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	Mongo, and even one of those can be killer from a conditioning and focus standpoint. He had a double whammy on both (no pun intended).
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	You needed 110 to win, a close game, with a bunch of players underperforming based on their projections.
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	Onto Round 2, after wins by SBSB and PB: 1-Run Dem Pockets 10-3 --- | |-------------- | 5-SuperBearsSB 7-6 ------- 6-PapaBear 6-7 --------- | |----------------- | 2-Domination Inc 10-3 --
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	I really don't understand how he doesn't grade out as one of the worst LT's in the league. We are unfortunately stuck with him with that contract. My belief is once he got paid, he got lazy. He is another guy that needs to be benched. One option would be to move him to RT, but we still have Massie's contract to deal with.
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	Kicking ourselves, I see what you did there.
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	There is another component to this as well. Refs can either miss a call by not calling a legitimate penalty or by calling a penalty that was a legal play. Both are bad and the Bears seem to be subject to a ton of the phantom calls this year, and with Mack held on every play, I am surprised the team didn't send anything into the league complaining about it. This week is Holding Week and the under/over on missed GB holding calls is 8.
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	Here we go! The real test starts this week. We need to take care of business this week or the remaining games will only matter for draft position. In our Week 1 loss, Montgomery only got 6 carries as Davis started. Miller only had 1 target and did not have a reception in Week 1. This week should be a lot different in terms of the offense. We are going to score some points. On defense, the biggest change will be with our LB corps. However, with the forecast, running the ball is going to be critical and Kwit is a huge run stopper, which works in the Bears favor. KPL is the wild card, as is Tolliver. If those two guys can step up and we can get some production out of our TE's, I think we have a great chance to win. Based on DVOA, Packers are 10th, 6th on Offense and 20th on Defense while the Bears are 15th, 23rd on Offense and 7th on Defense. Last week the Bears were 19th, so the DAL game made us jump 4 slots, which is a big jump. Not that it's a big deal, but Trubisky is out of the cellar in QBR and DVOA, now he ranks 27th in both. Hopefully, he moves up the ranks again after this game as well. I am thinking this one will be close, but the Bears win 23-20.
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	Slowly but surely we have lost a ton of starters from our original 53-man roster. On offense, we have lost Long, Massie, Burton, Shaheen, Gabriel, and Trubisky to injuries. On defense, we have lost Nichols, Hicks, Trevathan, Smith, and Prince. That's basically half the starters from both sides of the ball with several missing 4+ games. The one silver lining is we might have some good depth with fresh legs. At this time of the season, players start to get dead legs, especially in the cold weather. Also, most players who have played every game are beat up in some way shape or form. Now you bring in some fresh bodies who are way closer to 100% than the guys they replaced. The draw back is they won't know all the plays and won't have the same chemistry as the starters. KPL looked really good and hopefully with 1st team practice reps he can get in a groove. One interesting fact is that KPL and Kwit practiced together a lot as the backups, so they have a good working relationship. Bond is just a bottom end of the roster type of guy. Has never had a sack in the NFL in limited playing time in TB. I am assuming he would be filling more of a special teams role so KPL and Kwit don't have to do double duty all the time.
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	It has been bad for several years now and it seems with every rule change, it actually gets worse. With all the technology today, I don't understand why they don't leverage some of it. They could easily put sensors in each of the balls (at the tips) to determine the spotting of the ball, they can have the sky judge in the stadium to assist with calls that are hard to see from ground level. The one thing I will point out is that most TV viewers and those in the stadium have a better view of what's going on than some of the officials on the field. So that's why the ones they see, they have to get right. They also need to spell out the rules for holding and pass interference better to make less of a gray area.
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	Oh, I was not comparing what he did to Trubisky, I was just saying that Trubisky has zero margin for error. His pick, that was a toe tap and drag on the sideline was a bad throw. Mahomes throw into clear double coverage (with the ball underthrown) was a good play by the defender. KC got away with murder in NE. The refs had to be from KC. That was in the top 5 of the worst officiating games I have ever seen.
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	Yes, the 4th pick in next year's draft
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	PapaBear chose a great week to score 200pts and looks like the first lock to advance to the next round of the playoffs against Pepe. The other game is close and will come down to Golden Tate vs PHI defense. Cali Bears needs Tate to score 5 more pts than the PHI defense to win this week. It will be decided on MNF.
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	Well damn, Seattle shit the bed at the wrong time. The Rams actually looked really good and dominated the Seahawks. They really muddied the waters with that win and move to 8-5. They play at Dallas and at SF next. We really need them to drop BOTH of those games. Otherwise, they are going to win 10 games and beat us in the head to head tiebreaker. There is some weird 3-team tiebreaker that uses conference record as the second tiebreaker if three teams tie, but we would need MIN to finish with 10 wins as well. If that happens, things get complicated. A 10-6 Rams team would end up with an 8-4 conference record. If Bears win 10, you guessed it, an 8-4 conference record. If MIN loses to GB and CHI, they would end up with 10 wins and a 7-5 conference record. The next tiebreaker is common games (minimum 4), if you count the head to head, we only played LAR, DAL, and NO commonly, so it goes to strength of victory. If you projected the remaining games for both teams and counted the records of the teams we beat, the Bears would have a 4 game lead on the Rams right now. However, that can easily change based on the teams we each beat. We need teams like CAR, NO, CLE, ATL, CIN, ARZ, and SEA all to lose, while we want teams like DEN, WAS, DET, NYG, GB, and KC to win when they don't play us. Besides us winning out, the best scenario is for MIN and LAR to go 9-7 (MIN losing to GB and CHI and LAR losing to DAL and SF). The Chargers looked really good, and there could be an upset brewing there. That would be incredible if the Chargers could pull out a win against the Vikings and while we beat the Pack and the Rams lose to the Cowboys. That would be an epic weekend and would set us up for a crazy last two weeks of the season.
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	and has played worse than Trubisky over the last 5 weeks, but you will never see that in the mass media. Very odd at this point. There were a bunch of "experts" quick to jump on Trubisky for his one INT last game, yet you hear nothing about Mahomes or Watson when they do the same thing. Even the NFL is in on it. Goff had almost an identical throw (to Trubisky's) through two Seahawks and his throw was a great throw through a small hole. When Trubisky does it, its a bad through into double coverage. I don't understand the disdain for the kid. It's not like he is Cutler or someone who is rude to the media. You can tell the entire team and locker room are behind this kid. It's just unfortunate that he continually gets crapped on by the national media minus a few smart analysts.

 
        