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adam

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Everything posted by adam

  1. He had to wait for the ball too, which made his overall route slower than it could've been. Swift and Roschon didn't look bad, but Monangai for a rookie has some quick twitch.
  2. adam replied to adam's topic in Bearstalk
    Yeah, people make the 4K Passing season a big deal, but the entire passing offense ineptitude has to end this year and with this group. Yep, and even if one of them doesn't pan out, the odds of all of them failing are close to zero.
  3. adam replied to Mongo3451's topic in Bearstalk
    Right, it doesn't say anything about Daniels not being told what to watch. Just because he watched tape alone doesn't mean he wasn't told by Kliff what to watch. Whether he did it at home, at the facility, at, during, or after practice is a moot point if he was instructed on what to watch.
  4. There is a good chance that the Bears top 4 franchise receiving leaders are currently on the team. Johnny Morris is #1 in Receiving Yards with 5059. DJ would need 2.5 more years with his average numbers to surpass Morris as the franchise leader. Then you have Odunze, who as a first round pick will more than likely get a 2nd contract. If he gets one, and just say he puts up his rookie numbers annually, he would surpass Morris halfway thru Year 6. Then you have Loveland and Burden. Both have the highest pedigrees of Receivers that the Bears have drafted (besides Odunze lol) since Alshon (3rd in franchise). A wild note about Alshon, if he stayed with the Bears, he would've been the franchise leader in receiving yards and 2nd in receptions. However, he never even had a 900 yard season in Philly before retiring at 30. So the Bears made the right move with him and he lucked in a Super Bowl with Philly and Foles.
  5. adam replied to Mongo3451's topic in Bearstalk
    On another note, it makes his performance last year look even better considering what he was up against.
  6. adam replied to Mongo3451's topic in Bearstalk
    I would say it is not "nothing" but it is no more than other players calling the coaches out during the season in different ways. So, how does Jayden's presence in the facility at 330 have anything to do with Caleb's not being told what to watch? It has already been stated that Caleb was in early, staying late, on off weekends, and literally doing things on his own to get better. Someone coming in to get extra work done and coaches not doing their part are totally unrelated. Williams' statement was simply I was on my own with little to no guidance.
  7. Week 1 - Vikings at Bears (MNF) - W Week 2 - Bears at Lions - L (short week, team still gelling) Week 3 - Cowboys at Bears - W Week 4 - Bears at Raiders - W 3-1 Week 5 - BYE WEEK Week 6 - Bears at Commanders (MNF) - W (2024 rematch with a much better team/coach, bye gives them an extra week to prepare) Week 7 - Saints at Bears - W Week 8 - Bears at Ravens - L Week 9 - Bears at Bengals - L 2-2 Week 10 - Giants at Bears - W Week 11 - Bears at Vikings - W Week 12 - Steelers at Bears - W Week 13 - Bears at Eagles (FRI) - L 3-1 Week 14 - Bears at Packers - L Week 15 - Browns at Bears - W Week 16 - Packers at Bears (SAT) - W Week 17 - Bears at 49ers (SNF) - L Week 18 - Lions at Bears - W 3-2 11-6 If the Bears can beat DAL in Week 3 at home and handle business in the division at home, they have a great chance at going 8-0 at home with the other games being NO, NYG, PIT, and CLE.
  8. 4 "short" weeks either after MNF, or leading into the FRI or SAT games. Right now it looks like no more than back to back weeks at home or on the road.
  9. Bye is Week 5 ugh. Feels way too early for me. Earliest bye week should be Week 7.
  10. They released all international games, and the Bears are not on the slate. I do not mind at all that they don't have to travel internationally. The Bears travel the 5th fewest miles. I would say there is not much of a difference in a few thousand miles over the course of an entire season, but with the top 3 teams having over 30K miles and 20K more than the Bears seems like a lot for them, and a good thing for the Bears.
  11. No Thanksgiving Game but we get a Black Friday game. Hoping the bye is Week 12 so it's not a short week on the road in Philly. Week 1 - Vikings at Bears (MNF) Week 2 - Bears at Lions Week 3 - Cowboys at Bears Week 4 - Bears at Raiders Week 5 - BYE WEEK Week 6 - Bears at Commanders (MNF) Week 7 - Saints at Bears Week 8 - Bears at Ravens Week 9 - Bears at Bengals Week 10 - Giants at Bears Week 11 - Bears at Vikings Week 12 - Steelers at Bears Week 13 - Bears at Eagles (FRI) Week 14 - Bears at Packers Week 15 - Browns at Bears Week 16 - Packers at Bears (SAT) Week 17 - Bears at 49ers (SNF) Week 18 - Lions at Bears
  12. It's amazing what a Win-Loss record does for you. It's also crazy that Nix led all rookie QBs in passing TDs and Passing Yards, but you would think Daniels dominated all the other QBs when he only had 27 more passing yards than Williams. Williams had 4x 300-yd games, and Daniels had one, against the Bears, meaning he needed the Hail Mary to even hit 300. Hell, he doesn't even have another game over 275 yards.
  13. Collectively, between Johnson and Allen, they have to be a top 5 play-calling duo for both sides of the ball. Then you add Bieniemy, Randle El, and Harris, and we have some of the best position group coaches as well with a ton of experience either playing and or coaching. HC / Play Caller - Johnson DC - Allen ST - Hightower RB - Bieniemy WR - Randle El DB - Harris
  14. I wonder if they are interested, or want to go full tank mode. Bagent would win them some games. They also drafted Shough in the 2nd round.
  15. adam replied to ChileBear's topic in Bearstalk
    I saw two funny ones: Chicago got the papacy before Detroit won a Super Bowl. It only took two days to select Pope Leo XIV, and it took 3 days to select Shedeur Sanders.
  16. adam replied to adam's topic in Bearstalk
    I think it is natural for Bears fans to be pessimistic when it comes to passing numbers, but Goff is a good comp. He had 2x years with Anthony Lynn before Johnson took over. He improved in every statistical category. So Goff averaged 8.6 Y/A last year, which followed up back to back years of 7.6 Y/A. Williams was at 6.3 Y/A. So just say Williams adds only 1.0 Y/A to his average, that's over 500 yards from last year's total. If you consider that with the sack reduction, now he is around 700 yards better than last year with nothing else changed. If Trubisky could average 230 yards passing a game, Williams can average 250 per game. Stroud averaged 273 his rookie year. This is kind of funny looking back on it, but Trubisky averaged 230 yards per game in 2018 passing to Gabriel, Robinson, Miller, Burton, and Cohen. Compare that to Moore, Odunze, Burden, Loveland, Kmet, and Swift.
  17. adam replied to adam's topic in Bearstalk
    and the same with my numbers, I didn't account for any WR beyond WR3, or TE2. Duvernay, Zaccheaus, Scott, or Smythe. Zaccheaus had 45 receptions last year. I am not saying it will be a lot but even a few catches per player beyond the ones we listed would bump up Caleb's numbers by at least 100-200 yards.
  18. Good to see for the Bears. It looks like the Texans are the first team ever to give a fully guaranteed contract to a 2nd rounder.
  19. adam replied to adam's topic in Bearstalk
    My perfect world prediction was: Williams 395-580, 68.1%, 4490 yds, 7.7 Y/A, 31 TD, 8 INT He does have Williams missing 2 games, so the TDs look spot on, but I doubt he doubles his INT rate. Also, if he only averages 35 extra passing yards a game with the addition of Ben Johnson, the new O-Line, Loveland, and Burden, then I still see that as a failure. Stroud threw for 4100 in 15 games as a rookie but Caleb with everything around him better will throw for 500 fewer yards?
  20. adam replied to adam's topic in Bearstalk
    Everyone can have an opinion, and it is always safer to go lower because that only increases the chances of the player of meeting the expectations, but in this case, this would not be a successful season for Caleb outside of the 28 TDs.
  21. adam replied to adam's topic in Bearstalk
    and he may only end up as a one year rental. Is he really going to play on the last year of his rookie deal without any future protection? If he sees himself as a WR1, I doubt he plays on a lame duck deal, especially knowing he won't be #1 in targets.
  22. adam replied to adam's topic in Bearstalk
    Williams had a 9-sack game, 2x 7's, and a 6. If there was improvement in just those 4 games to 2 sacks, that is a 21 sack reduction from 68 to 47 in just 4 games. Sacks make a whole bunch of other stats look horrible. EPA drops, QBR, and just about every other advanced passing metric really dock QBs hard for sacks, and in some cases, even more so than interceptions. So if Williams does cut his sack total in half, his advanced metric stats are going to look like they were shot out of a cannon. If you apply the updated projected sack totals to last year's QBR, he becomes a top 12 QBR QB without any other changes. He was 28th in QBR last year. That is how big sacks impact all the other stats.
  23. adam replied to adam's topic in Bearstalk
    I just find it funny that magically Dallas is now a Super Bowl contender, because they added a good WR2. Yet, if that is the case, then PIT should drop the same amount with the loss of that player, but they won't. Pickens is good, but not that good. Mooney has outperformed him over the last few years. For some reason the media makes him out to be some elite WR1 and yet he has never produced like one, even in college.
  24. adam replied to Mongo3451's topic in Bearstalk
    Yeah, it is definitely challenging to assess, but I think you have to break it down step by step at the time of execution. First, he made the trade assuming the 2024 QB Class would be better than the 2023 Class. He nailed that. Then there's getting Moore in the trade. Even with a terrible offense, Moore has been 6th in the NFL in receptions over the last two years and 8th in receiving yards. That's top-ten WR production. Adding Moore also ensured you had a solid eval of Fields. So I would say this was another feather for Poles. Then it's the Darnell Wright pick. Just exclusively evaluating Wright compared to other OL drafted around him (Paris Johnson, Skoronski, and Broderick Jones), Wright was the Wright pick. Then it comes up to the 2024 draft, I think we have to wait longer to assess if he got the picks correct, but at the time of the picks, I would've taken Williams and Odunze (or Bowers), so this is leaning towards being the right moves. Then he closed it out with the Burden pick. So he could've done things differently in hindsight, but at the time of the moves and state of the team, they seem to be as close to on point as you can get.
  25. I just have to revisit this now. Caleb + Bowers + Irving alone would've been crazy.

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