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Good stuff. There's only one Jamir Gibbs though. Swift can hopefully bust some good runs. BJ should know...

I wanted to see how Dennis Allen's defenses have played to start a season, and they normally start out pretty hot. Here are Dennis Allen's last 5 Week 1 Games (5-0): 2024 - 47-10 CAR, Young 13-30, 161 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 4 Sacks, Hubbard 6-14 rushing. 2023 - 16-15 TEN, Tannehill 16-34, 198 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT, 3 Sacks, Henry 15-63 rushing. 2022 - 27-26 ATL, Mariota 20-33, 215 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Sacks, Patterson 22-120 rushing, 1 TD. 2021 - 38-3 GB, Rodgers 15-28, 133 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 1 Sack, Jones 5-9 rushing. 2020 - 34-23 TB, Brady 23-36, 239 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT, 3 Sacks, Jones 17-66 rushing. 5 games, only 2 Passing TDs allowed, but 9 Interceptions, and 11 Sacks. No QB passed for more than 239 yds (T. Brady) 4 out of 5 games had 2+ INTs 3 out of 5 games had 3+ Sacks Only 1 rusher over 70 yds (Cordarelle Patterson lol) I also looked at how Aaron Jones played against Dennis Allen defenses. In his last two games against Allen, Jones is 21-78 yds, 1 TD, and 4-30 receiving. In the 3 seasons Johnson was OC for DET, they are 2-1 in season openers. They lost to PHI 38-35, beat KC 21-20, and beat LAR 26-20. All 3 games had super tough defenses to deal with and they still averaged 27.3 a game, while Dennis Allen defenses allowed an average of 15.4 pts per game over the last 5 seasons. On the flip side, KOC's Vikings beat GB 23-7 in 2022 (Donatell DC), lost 20-17 against TB (Flores DC) in 2023, and beat NYG 28-6 last season. So KOC's offenses have averaged 23.6 per game in Week 1, and Flores' defenses have averaged 13 pts per game allowed over the last two seasons. However, Johnson's offenses, in 4 games, have never scored under 30 pts against a Flores defense. The Eagles, Packers, and Rams have scored 30+ on a MIN+Flores team each once, but Johnson's Lions were 4 for 4 over the last two years. So Ben knows something. One time could be a fluke. Two times, there is smoke. 3 times? Fire, but 4 out of 4? Inferno.

So the line has moved 3 pts in MIN favor since the opening line. Odd considering their true WR2 is suspended, Jefferson has been dealing with a hamstring issue, and Nailor, their projected WR3 has a hand injury. So it seems like there is going to be a lot of Jones and Hockenson, putting a lot of pressure on the LBs. Since the swap, I actually like both Edwards and Edmunds better.

Caleb was 17th in Passing Yards and 15th in Passing TDs in a completely dysfunctional offense as a rookie QB. Now entering his second year with better coaching and weapons, to me, it would seem like you could expect him to improve enough to be near the top 10. He would've needed 310 more passing yards and 5 more passing TDs last season for 11th. That is 18 more yards per game and basically one extra TD every 3 games.

Vegas is normally in the ballpark on these because they make the most money when they are closest to the middle. So plus or minus 2-3 spots. So they think Caleb will be somewhere in the range of 8-14, which to me, checks out. He was 17th in Passing Yards last season and tied for 15th in TD Passes. So a few spots with a better coach and more weapons is not that far of a reach.

You voiced your opinion and I voiced mine but of course your butt hurts because of the way I word statements. You just never stop. By suggesting that we trade DJ or before you said Kmet, you appear to be in BJs head with those statements. Poles is the GM but clearly BJ influenced the draft by the Loveland and Burden picks. Do you think his idea was lets draft these players so we can get rid of assets? He wants more weapons and has mentioned that in several interviews. Offensive minded coaches aren't even thinking about getting rid of weapons in his first year. The way Poles handed out contracts , everything is coming due when its time Caleb needs a contract. As far as future roster building , I think its thru the draft and cheap FA pickups. When you want to trade for huge contracts, you would have to dump assets, and they arent doing that . (IMO) You are going to say next year is different but this year is not a SB run, next year could be and no one is going to do that by dumping assets. You are assuming LT and pass rusher are a problem and you may be right, but they are going to let it play out and go from there. Neither of us know what will happen next year but we both have opinions.

This guy makes some good points. Good video

good one. Let's hope swift can break those tackles so the LBers have to bite down and the crossing routes are open on playaction.

Prelude to what we should see on MNF

See, you dont know what BJ is thinking. No one here does. You could say something like "I dont see BJ doing ______" But as much as you want to keep every player, wht you dont understand is that when you trade players, you get NEW players and cap room. And you will love those players too. So would we just cut DJ Moore next year? of COURSE not for the reasons you said, but could we trade him? Sure!

Burden will eventual replace BJ but it wont be this year and if he plays well next year either. BJ isnt ready to dumb assets when he is trying to get this offense up and running. 2027 is a different story,. You acquire all these assets and then start dumbing them right away? Offensive coaches want weapons that's why we drafted Luther and Loveland.

ahahahahaha FU Packers!

if this was a current ranking, then youre 100% correct. I think instead this was ranking the odds that they will be MVP at the end of the year, so it's not based on what we have seen as much as what they think we might see this year?

OK so based on WAY too little information, Im gonna predict Bears 24 Vikings 19 or 20

totally agree, and LOL @ Burden approves

One thing to point out - but Mahomes burned the Bears multiple times over on plays where he ran around holding the ball forever and than making something special happen. Like Caleb - there will be moments for him to do that - but he also has to take the easy and let the game come with him, because when he does that - the defense won’t be able to cheat as much and a lot more big things will happen. Hopefully the Bears can develop an effective running game this year cause that would go a long ways - especially knowing how adept BJ is at calling and designing the play action passing game.

Makes no sense for him to be this high with what we have seen - doesn’t mean his future isn’t bright though - but he has a lot on his list of things to really develop and to start stacking together.

That is kind of my point - don’t spend cap space and draft capital to acquire on non QBs…it doesn’t make sense and quite frankly when those non QBs come due - be very smart about when in their careers you extend vs parlay into trade that gives you more draft capital and keeps the time young and able to surround your qb (especially when they get paid) with as much talent as possible.

Luther Burden III approves this message. Time will tell but IMO the writing is on the wall for this future trade.

Caleb has the coach and weapons to be top 5. He has to make to right decisions and be quick. He forced a throw to Odunze in the EZ who was doubled when Swift was open close to the 1st down marker. Stop those hero throws and take what is given and live for another shot. I'd like to see more out of Odunze too than he has shown in the preseason. He needs to win those contested catches. Its like our top 10 picks are nice guys who hover that average level. Get to that good level or the great level. KC played great D, the zone they dropped to didnt leave many windows. I cant wait to see how BJ adjusts his game to counter Ds.

Who is taking Dak at $60M APY? He has the biggest contract based on APY by over $5M compared to the next guys which are Love, Burrow, Lawrence, and Allen. His cap hit goes to $74M next year and is $50M this year. That is a big reason why they didn't want to extend Parsons to the biggest non-QB contract in NFL history. So they really had no choice tbh. The Bears are in a great place with the cap. The two highest players on the team are Moore and Sweat, Moore has an APY of $27.5M, but that is 48th in the NFL. Sweat has a $24.5M APY, good for 58th. They don't have another player in the top 100. Their next guy is Jaylon at $19M APY, 124th in the league. Parsons deal makes him 11th in APY at $46.5M, that is equivalent to Moore+Johnson. It seems that paying any non-QB a ton of money does not equate to championships. The only guys in the top of the top-25 non-QB contracts are AJ Brown and Chris Jones. The list is pretty damning: Parsons, Watt, Chase, Garrett, Hunter, Crosby, Jefferson, Lamb, Bosa, Metcalf, Wilson, Brown, Jones, Gardner, St. Brown, Hill, Stingley, Aiyuk, Hendrickson, McLaurin, Higgins, Slater, Waddle, Hines-Allen, Burns, Wirfs, Sewell, and Trent Williams before DJ Moore. In most cases, teams don't have a choice, but once your QB is off the rookie deal and you start having to pay your top non-QBs top dollar, it makes it really hard to stay competitive.

this is right in my opinion.

Higher than I expected to be honest. Considering Goff is lower, and only Daniels is higher as a 2nd year QB. So Maye, McCarthy, Penix are all lower.

Generally speaking - I agree with this take. Giving up high end draft picks and cap space is not a good strategy - unless it is so solely put you over the top or get a qb. And even the solely to put you on the top is something I struggle with. As much as Cowboys got ripped - while I think they should have found a team where the first round picks would be better - I didn’t mind the trade. If I were them I would move Dak for some picks too and actually jump start a rebuild. In general, I think teams could benefit a bit more in NFL from trading guys at max value vs holding on too late and than leveraging cap space for those difference makers and than using it for more late round picks for good players with just a bit left (as they tend to be under valued in terms of draft capital). It is like DJ Moore - if I could get 2 2nd rounders and cap space for him I probably do it - same with Jaylon. Having that allows you to continue to bring in young, ascending talent while giving you cap space to retain your own and buy guys that fill your void.

Anyone ever listen to Steve Rosenbloom on the SCORE on Saturdays usually but on today. Im an optimist and it is the opposite of positive in the name of being realistic. I get critizms with a lot of things up in the air but there has been lots of positive moves this year and arrow is pointed up. I can only stomach him for 5 minutes and today his was talking about Bagent should start over Caleb because he performed so well in the preseason. He's a total debag.