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  2. MIN is interesting, as the season is wearing on, they are slowly getting worse across the board. Now 12th in Total Defense, and 18th in Scoring Defense. 22nd against the Run, and 9th against the Pass. The Bears offense is now 3rd in Total Offense, 2nd in Rushing, 11th in Passing, 7th in Scoring. MIN on offense is 21st in scoring, 24th in Total Offense, 22nd in Passing, 24th in Rushing. The problem for the Bears is Special Teams and Defense. Defense is 28th in scoring, 27th in Total Defense, 26th against the Pass, 24th against the Run. So based on the congunkulator, the most logical outcome is Bears 23-20. Last week it projected an 8 pt win, and if Wright catches that INT, it is a 7-pt win, so I am rolling with it. Bears OFF +0.03 x Vikes DEF -0.07 / -0.04 x 62.3 plays= (-2.49 DIFF) 26.6 Bears O x 23.7 Vikes D + DIFF = 22.66 (23 pts) Vikes OFF -0.14 x Bears DEF -0.03 / -0.085 x 58.5 plays= (-4.97 DIFF) 22.3 Vikes O x 27.4 Bears D + DIFF = 19.88 (20 pts)
  3. Penix is like an afterthought for the 2024 draft class. Last year it was Daniels, Williams, Nix. This year it is Maye, Williams, Nix.
  4. Today
  5. There are 3 QBs tied for the league lead in 4th Quarter Comebacks and Game Winning Drives with 4. Mayfield, Nix, and Williams. Baker and Caleb have the same record at 6-3, yet Baker is an MVP candidate. So odd.
  6. Hopefully the sack narrative for Williams is gone. Here are just the 2023 and 2024 QBs with a higher sack rate than Caleb Williams for their careers: Levis - 11.04% Maye - 9.96% Howell - 9.60% Young - 9.08% Daniels - 8.99% There are 29 QBs this season with a higher sack rate than Williams. Can the media finally move on from this narrative?
  7. 6-3, going 4-4 the rest of the way is 10-7. Assuming they can beat CLE due to how bad CLE's offense is, they have to go 3-4 against MIN, GB, GB, DET, PIT, SF, and PHI. Just say they split with GB and beat MIN, then they need to go 1-3 against DET, PIT, SF, and PHI. I could see them beating PIT and SF and losing to DET and PHI.
  8. In the post game interview, once Williams saw Kmet 1v1 with no other defender in the area, he already made his mind up. Oz was open, trailing Kmet, but that dude was dropping everything. So I am glad he didn't throw it to him. Who else was wide open?
  9. Every game matters and playing on the road isnt the best for this team but that is where we will see our growth. Minny game is winnable and that game will determine if we have a shot at the playoffs. Philly and Lions are probably the two losses for sure on our schedule but the rest are winnable games. We won 5 last year and now have 6 wins. Does anyone think we cant go 3-5 in our last 8 games? Our floor will be a winning season, and that is achievable. We have 4 home games left.
  10. Not sure why we didnt pound the ball at the beginning of the Giants game but we have to in this game. People keep praising the Flores defense but as someone laid out, it isnt good this year. They have given up over 150 yards rushing twice in the last 3 games. We should have won the first Viking game when we didnt play well. The refs helped us lose that one. Of course the game will go down to the end of the game like so many have this year. Caleb is 4-1 in one score games. I will ride the storm with him. Dart was a rookie and played well against us so I dont see having JJ Mac being a problem for them. I can see us getting some ints. against the Vikings and go with that. I have noticed that our defense is a lot weaker when TJ Edwards doesnt play. He wont be in this game either.
  11. Yes and Theo had a better game. The Giants aren't good but they did have talented edge rushers.
  12. The national media are starting to notice the Bears and Caleb
  13. Burns vs Wright. 🤣 https://www.instagram.com/reel/DQ2aovGEW5Q/?igsh=YTN6czZvOG54OXZr
  14. Agree on Swift v Monangai. Swift seems pedestrian at times, and doesn’t hit the expected hole immediately, costing him yards. Monangai sees it, hits it, drives hard, and regularly picks up extra yards after contact.
  15. for sure, playoffs or no, we need a pass rush, and we dont have one. this is not a complete team yet, but we do have some young players, and theyre starting to get it. I especially liked reports of Ben Johnson telling Poles NOT to trade picks for players at the deadline. Johnson has some affection for the young guys he hasnt even drafted yet that he knows they will coach up. That's the right way to think it. Im so happy to hear it.
  16. There were definitely some Justin Fields games where he was the best player and the primary reason for the win. As for today, love the win, love the clutch gene, but watch that last scrambling TD again. Two WRs wide open. WIDE OPEN. I would have been much more impressed if Caleb had stopped and fired a game-winning TD pass. As it stands now, the end of game scrambling heroics remind me of guess who? Fields again.
  17. I agree 100%. As good as 6-3 feels and the fact that Caleb has been the catalyst, we’ve beaten some lousy teams. With the way the D and ST are playing it wouldn’t surprise me if we go 0-4 over the next four weeks. If we go 2-2 over those games the playoffs are within reach.
  18. Yeah, I wish I felt better about this game than I do. McCarthy isn't an NFL starter, but I don't have confidence in this defense to make him look terrible. As long as Ben Johnson continues to use Swift more than Monangai, I'm not as confident in this run game against the Vikings. Swift just doesn't have the physical presence that Monangai does running down hill. He gives them some extra juice, and picks up those hidden yards that Swift generally does not do. If Johnson continues with the same script next week, I think that's going to be a big mistake, along with keeping Burden off the field. I hope he's smart enough to recognize this.
  19. CGJ is an above average player. With all the mistakes Poles has made this one appears to be a win win for literally nothing.
  20. Week 11 - 1. Maye - 55.2 - 270 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 sack, 13 Rush Yds. 283 Total Yards. Won. Season QBR: 72.9, 2,555 yards, 19-5 TD-INT, 35 Sacks, 2 TD (10g) Season AVG: 255.5 YPG, 1.9 TD, 0.5 INT, 28.3 Rush YPG 2. Williams - 71.8 QBR - 220 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 0 sacks, 63 Rush Yds, 1 Rush TD. 283 Total Yards. Won. Season QBR: 57.8, 2,136 yards, 13-4 TD-INT, 14 Sacks, 3 Rush TD, 1 Rec TD. (9g) Season AVG: 237.3 YPG, 1.4 TD, 0.4 INT, 27.3 Rush YPG 3. Nix - 53.4 QBR - 150 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 1 sack, -2 Rush Yds. 148 Total Yards. Won. Season QBR: 54.8, 2,126 yards, 18-8 TD-INT, 10 Sacks, 3 Rush TD. (10g) Season AVG: 212.6 YPG, 1.8 TD, 0.8 INT, 20.5 Rush YPG 4. Penix - 29.9 QBR - 177 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 3 sacks, 1 FL. 176 Total Yards. Lost. Season QBR: 53.5, 1807 yards, 9-3 TD-INT, 13 Sacks, 1 TD, 2 FL 5. Daniels - Gumby Arm. DNP. Season QBR: 51.2, 1184 yards, 8-2 TD-INT, 17 Sacks, 2 FL. 6. Rattler - DNP. Season QBR: 49.4, 1586 yards, 8-5 TD-INT, 18 Sacks, 1 FL (benched for rookie). 7. McCarthy - 18.7 QBR - 248 yds, 1 TD, 2 INT, 1 sack, 48 rush yds. 296 Total Yards. Lost. Season QBR: 26.7, 692 yards, 5-6 TD-INT, 15 Sacks, 2 Rush TD. Caleb is basically 2 yards per game under Kramer's pace for 16 games. He is still on pace to hit 4K. He should break 30 total TDs, but unless he has at least one monster game, he probably won't hit 30 Passing TDs this year.
  21. This time around we've got the running game that we didn't have in week 1. It will help a lot when Minn presses the LOS.
  22. To be fair the Giants LT kept blocking inside giving CJ a free run to the QB. You could say those sacks belong more to the DC if that was something seen on film study. Still CJ has to make the play that's put before him and he did.
  23. For all of us: We are gonna play some tough teams, and we are going to have some losses. Get ready for it. It doesn't mean the sky is falling, we will either show that we are a lot better than we've been, or we will get our asses kicked a few times, and grow from the experience. I think we are about 50/50 to make the playoffs, but if we dont, it doesnt mean everything needs to be scrapped and start over. I still think we are on pace to where we are going. Hopefully, we beat some good teams, but if we don't we will learn what the level of effort really is thats needed to beat good teams. And thats a lesson we need right now. We arent giving enough in all phases.
  24. It could be short lived, but I believe this is the first time the Bears would be in the playoffs if the season ended today. They're the 7th seed currently. If the Packers lose tomorrow, I think they fall to the 7th spot and the Bears move up to 6h. Big losses for the 49'ers, Vikings, and Panthers today gives the Bears a slight cushion. The next two weeks become another inflection point for this team. Win both and your chances of making the playoffs grow considerably. Lose both and your season is probably over. Split, and you're still alive, but the road gets infinitely more daunting with PHI and GB coming up right after.
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