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3 QB is in the MVP discussion with odds: Josh Allen: +150 (1,833 Pass Yds, 13 TD, 4 INT, 280 Rush Yds, 7 Rush TD) Justin Herbert: +2000 (2,390 Pass Yds, 18 TD, 8 INT, 305 Rush Yds, 1 Rush TD, 9 games) Baker Mayfield: +2000 (1,919 Pass Yds, 13 TD, 2 INT, 158 Rush Yds) ------------------------------------------------------ Caleb Williams: (1,916 Pass Yds, 12 TD, 4 INT, 183 Rush Yds, 2 Rush TD, 1 Rec TD)

I am giving Allen the benefit of the doubt right now as they have been working mainly with their 5th and 6th CB as starters for most of the year. No Jaylon, a lot of no Kyler, some no Tyrique. Lost Zah Frazier and Terrell Smith for the year. Brisker still not looking 100%. I know everyone has injuries but the secondary was supposed to be a strength. The DLine, especially the DTs have been super disappointing. Billings, Dexter, Jarrett all have underperformed, which has seemed to bring down everyone else.

The Pats were up by 10 entering the 4th? His GWD was against BUF. They were tied and he led the last scoring drive. That's why it was not a 4Q Comeback, because they were tied.

GB lost Kraft for the season, he was their leading receiver. So their main threat is Jacobs who averages 3.8 yards per carry. That makes both of those games a little easier on the defense. SF's defense is nowhere near they have been in the past. Warner is lost for the year I believe, and he may be a bigger loss than Jaylon on the Bears.

Simply put, Johnson is making me a believer… at least for now. What stood out was how he used the bye week to acknowledge the offense was struggling, then simplified things and leaned into the zone-run game. Since then, his in-game adjustments have kept the momentum rolling. And for most of the other things you said. Also agree the 'worst-worst' is special teams. As I started out going into the year I'll say again, not a fan of Allen. So far his scheming as of late has done nothing to make me think better of him. There have been some great individual performances (Byard, Edmunds and Edwards among them) but overall, the coaching hasn't been all that. Adding some key players could help him but if he's such a well regarded DC then he should be able to work with what he's got available to him.

Even with them both back, and assuming the defense magically rebounds because of it AND Caleb stays consistent on Offense I'd say... GB: My neighbors/friends are not at all happy with how the Packers are playing right now. They tell me they are playing like a$$. I can't tell you why that all is but one of them said, ever since the Cleveland loss earlier this year they seem to be losing focus. Cumulatively they (the fans) are convinced they won't make the playoffs. I feel the Bears should at the very least, split those two games. Browns...they seem to have been in selling mode as of late and got rid of the aforementioned Flacco while doing so. Don't think they'll pose much challenge. 49ers: Not sure what Purdy's and Kittle's return dates are but so far Jones hasn't been doing too awful filling in. With it being in SF, I could see it as a loss. Lions: agree 100%. This could be a similar situation to last year's season ending game (against the Packers) only bigger.... 50/50. And as an aside, I know its already been brought up the similarities to this year and 2018, but WHAT IF we find ourselves in the playoffs (at home) and playing against the Eagles? Do we keep Santos as our kicker until then or go with Moody? Or call back Parkey to give him a chance to redeem himself?

For Maye, does the game last weekend against the Falcons count where they were down by one going into the 4th quarter and ended up winning? And believe me when I tell you as a Broncos fan how fond of him my sister is. They really like him there in Denver. That 33 point comeback against the Giants in the 4th quarter last month was pretty incredible.... Speaking of...the Bears play the Giants this weekend.

I enjoyed watching and listening to this film study https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=b0pyXwLlPgw

All last year, and even into this year, all we heard about is Caleb Williams taking too many sacks. So how is this possible: Williams sack rate last year was 10.79% and his career sack rate is now down to 9.10% Drake Maye has been sacked 34 times this year, which matches the same number he had last year. His sack rate this season is 11.76% which is 1% higher than Williams' last year, but no one is talking about that. Additionally, Maye's career sack rate is 10.29%, which is over 1% higher than Caleb's and only 0.5% less than Caleb's "terrible" sack rate from last year.

If the Bears get both Jaylon Johnson and Kyler Gordon back for the final month (5 games), would that change your outlook on any of these games? It should make all of them more competitive. 14 - DEC 7th @ Green Bay Packers - coming off FRI game while GB is coming off THU game. Both teams with at least 2 extra days rest, but in GB. Will be tough. 15 - DEC 14th vs Cleveland Browns - WIN (Only scoring 16.1 ppg) - Final 4 games, CLE will be in Aruba planning mode by then. The Bears have to win this one. 16 - DEC 20th vs Green Bay Packers - short week, Saturday game, while GB comes from DEN - This feels like a win. 17 - DEC 28th @ San Francisco 49ers - This one seems like it will decide the playoff hopes due to the Wild Card. 18 - JAN 4th vs Detroit Lions - This game becomes massive if somehow the Bears are in the division title hunt heading into this game, but they would have to had beat MIN and GB twice to even have a shot at it before this game.

It's about a 40 slot drop from the Bears projected 6th to the Eagles projected 7th. That equates to an early 7th round pick. Now I know Monangai worked out, but the odds that a 6th or 7th rounder even make the 53-man are low. Kyle Monangai, Luke Newman, Travis Bell, Kendall Williamson, Zachary Thomas, Trestan Ebner, Doug Kramer, Ja'Tyre Carter, Elijah Hicks, Trenton Gill. Of the 8 6th and 7th rounders Poles has selected before this season, Hicks is the only one on the 53-man roster. That is a 12.5% hit rate. So using a 7th rounder value on a former 1st rounder is not that bad.

Caleb now has 5 4QC in 25 starts. So 20% of his starts have included a 4th Quarter Comeback. He has also led 4 Game-Winning Drives in 10 of the wins. Probably would have a couple more of each if not for being Flus'd. Maye has never led a 4th Quarter Comeback and has one Game Winning Drive. Nix has had 7 of each, which is kinda crazy. If he only played in the 2nd and 4th quarters, he would be the greatest QB of all-time. 32 TD - 9 INT in the 2nd and 4th quarters, 14 TD - 9 INT in the 1st and 3rd quarters. Daniels had 4 of each last year, 0 this year. Penix has never led a 4th Q comeback or had a Game-Winning Drive. McCarthy has one of each, both against the Bears in Week 1.

Poles track record on free agents is up and a lot of down as far as value. Billings-Edwards-Byard were good values. Plenty of bad signings. I will say the way he does contracts that most dont have a long term affect on the Cap We wont know what Joe T-S will be until he plays for us. For better or for worst the Cap is structured to have the most money available when Caleb's contract comes up. The proper time to grade everything is at the end of this year. If we end up being a winning team then the way he structured it worked out. If not another bad mark on Poles track record.

I think they will draft another LT, it comes down to the progress of Theo and what they project Ozzy as a future prospect. The key to that comment is what round. I think they could look at edge or even CB to be more important. It depends on how the season plays out.

He didnt play in Cleveland bc Myles Garrett amd the next two DEs are players they drafted. He has a great RAS score, great attitude, young, and maybe just needs the right team and opportunity. JTS plays 1 and 2, Booker in for 3rd downs.

I dont see Theo becoming a above average LT. He is a tyrannosaurus....monster (6-7) with short arms (32-1/8). This does not mean I dislike him. He has the feat, but will get beat more than win because of the arm length. Ozzy has 33" arms, a little better. I think they need to consider drafting one only if they check all the boxes. I dont mind dipping into well until they get it right.

I agree (or not at his current price per AZ's post above, hes got a point), and there's some chance they look at CJGJ as a safety too - because I think his skills set makes a good fit there.

I think he stays but on a lesser deal than he hopes to get. Other teams will also shy away from his concussion history so I don't expect him to have a big market. I wouldn't even be surprised to see 1 yr deal.

Brown had a little Forte in him, a little bit of a taller back with long strides. Swift and Johnson both being limited are upgrades from last week. Monangai is probably in a little bit of a rest protocol after taking so many reps in game. Hopefully they will all be full by Friday.

Technically, halftime of this Sunday's game will be the exact halfway point of the season, but with the bye already past, we are sort of at that point now in terms of calendar days. At 5-3, what are some of your bests and worsts for this team so far? For me, the best "best" is Ben Johnson. He is really exceeding expectations in almost every possible way. He is a maniac. He is the anti-Flus and something this team has lacked since Lovie or even Ditka. On offense, I really like the balance of the offense (run vs pass, with no one player being targeted too much). 3 players have 30+ receptions, 6 with 20+ targets, which includes 4x 100-yd receiving games from Odunze, Burden, and Loveland. 8 different players have a receiving TD (including Williams). The O-Line, especially Wright, who is playing at an All-Pro level, have been playing at a high level. Thuney, Dalman, and even Jackson are really coming around. They have facilitated 3x 100-yd Rushing games from Swift and Monangai. Of late, I have also been impressed with Monangai and Loveland. Hopefully they can keep up the production. The worst on offense is probably the LT position and Cole Kmet's production. Kmet is 7th on the team in receptions, only 1 more than Monangai. Oz is probably 3rd for me as I was expecting more out of him with how he looked in the offseason and the number of targets he has received so far (2nd most on the team). On defense, Byard and Edmunds have been the best players on a unit that is struggling. Byard is playing at an All-Pro level. The worst have been McCloud, Brisker, and Billings. I expected more out of Brisker and Billings (they were supposedly the missing pieces last year), and I didn't expect McCloud to be the worst cover CB in the NFL when targeted. They really miss Jaylon, and Stevenson did not seem like the same player prior to missing the BAL game. Special Teams as a whole though, is probably my worst "worst". Holy crap they are bad. They are terrible in kick coverage, blocking for FGs, kicking FGs, and outside of 2-3 punts all year, Taylor has again shown he was a waste of a 4th round pick. The league average per punt is 47.9, Taylor is at 48.5. The ironic thing for him is he is the same exact punter from last year in terms of distance. The league average last year was 47.6, he was at 47.7. Santos has missed 3 kicks with a long of 52. That is embarrassing. Moody was cut for missing 2 kicks in a game SF won lol, then he makes 8 of 9 for the Bears. I would rather have Moody than Santos the rest of the way. Honorable mention for worst is Richard Hightower. I still do not understand how this guy is employed. He is a big reason why the ST unit is so bad. Hopefully they can improve to just be average the rest of the way. Just don't lose games for the team.

Speaking on that. See that three of our RBs are on the injury report for today listed as “Limited” (Swift, Monangai and Johnson). Not as a big of a deal on a Wednesday as say a Friday report but still worth noting. Maybe Brown’s turn to shine? 🤷🏻‍♂️

Brisker won't be back. He is nowhere near as strong in the box as he was before the concussion (which makes sense), but he seems even worse in coverage this year. In his final year of his rookie deal, I think they let him walk.

How good is the Bears running game? Swift, Monangai, Johnson, and Brown are all in the top 30 for Success Rate, and all but Roschon are in the top 30 in Explosive Play%.