adam

Brady only hit 4K once in his first 7 seasons. Caleb will hit it, and I am sure he will consistently hit it, but if he doesn't, I don't think it is the biggest deal. There are a lot of bad QBs that have hit 4K, so that alone is not the measure of success (Matt Schaub, Brad Johnson, Trent Green, Carson Wentz, Ryan Tannehill, Josh Freeman, Jon Kitna). Notable QBs in top 50 all-time: Elway's best season: 4,030 Passing Yards Esiason's best season: 3,959 Passing Yards Montana's best season: 3,944 Passing Yards McNabb's best season: 3,916 Passing Yards Aikman's best season: 3,445 Passing Yards I just hope he hits it, gets 270+ so we can finally move onto other discussions.

I sent you a DM in reference to payout.

Final Results for the 2025 Season in the TalkBears Keeper League. Payouts have been sent via Leaguesafe for all those with accounts. I go from 1st to 5th on 6 Passing Yards by Dak Prescott, tough league. Final Standings: 1. Bum Fights 2. Scotty Doesn't Know 3. SAVAGEw/LOOSEMORALS! 4. Hock Tua on my Chubby ------------------------ 5. Win in Rome 6. The Bunny 7. Nips&Tips 8. My Team Sucks 9. Trench Warfare 10. Nopper 2026 Draft Order: 1. Nopper 2. Trench Warfare 3. My Team Sucks 4. Nips&Tips 5. The Bunny 6. Win in Rome 7. Hock Tua on my Chubby 8. SAVAGEw/LOOSEMORALS! 9. Scotty Doesn't Know 10. Bum Fights

It is so funny how all 3 of the other fanbases are acting towards the Bears this year.

There are a bunch of these lol:

I could've sworn we were talking about him in the 2nd round and the Bears had 2x 2nd rounders, but went DB x2.

Crazy to think that the Bears could've had the best record in the NFL if games were called evenly.

Definitely, especially with an in-season injury.

There are 4 teams that have a positive EPA/P of +0.02 or greater on offense and -0.02 on defense. Surprisingly, the Bears are one of them (for how bad the defense has been lately): LAR, NE, BUF, and CHI. DEN would be the 5th but are only +0.01 on offense. Every other team either has a negative offense or defense that are in the playoffs. What does all of that mean? Those are the 4 most consistent teams and are most likely to progress thru the playoffs because probabilities are stronger in the playoffs. Home field advantage goes up 10% in the playoffs, meaning home teams win 10% more than they do in the regular season. LAR @ CHI and BUF @ NE for the Conference Championships would not be surprising at all.

I expected Washington to drop, last year was super fluky. BAL is a weird team. They have an elite run for a few years, a down year, then are back at it. This was their down year. I expected KC to regress, they had no business being in the Super Bowl last year. I did not expect DET to miss the playoffs. I figured a few game regression. Th Ben Johnson effect was bigger than I thought.

I hope Poles moves away from the "traits" guys in the 3rd round and later. Go with the production and proven dudes, like Monangai. Poles just doesn't seem to do that very often in the middle of the draft. I still laugh at taking a punter in the 4th with Malik Mustapha, Bucky Irving, and Ray Davis on the board, all went within 6 picks. Zacch Pickens was the 1st pick in the 3rd round (after they selected Dexter). WIthin a few picks: Tank Dell, Byron Young, Tucker Kraft, Josh Downs, Diaby, Achane. Velus went before Abraham Lucas, Christian Harris, Bernhard Raimann, Dylan Parham, and Rachaad White. I clearly remember mocks with Lucas and Raimann on them for the Bears.

Over 2,220 Yards from Scrimmage and 13 TDs from rookies (Loveland, Burden, Walker).

The Bears probably need a better DL Coach. They all seem slow off the ball, outside of Booker. Something is fundamentally wrong. Dexter has not improved, and it seems like every game we are talking about either being gashed in the run game or not having any pressure.

The Bears have the 3rd best offense in the league in terms of yards. So there is not much wiggle room other than passing more to rush less. However, the run game controls the clock and sets up the pass. The kickoff changes have reduced every drive's potential yardage by about 15 yards. Previously starting at the 20, now at the 35, at least 4-5 times per game adds up. Offenses as a whole are gaining fewer yards per game because there are less available. Teams averaged 353 yds/g from 2018-2020 in 16-game seasons. This season, teams are averaging 328.6 yards per game, 25 yards per game less. For the Bears, that would equate to 14.3 passing yds per game or 244 for a season in passing yards. Even with the 17th game, a team in 2018 that averaged 350 yards per game would have more total yards at the end of the season than a 2025 team averaging 329 for 17 games. Previous 4K Passers, 250 per game x 16 games = 4K With new kickoff rule, that reduced the potential for passing yards by 14.3 per game, down to 235.7. However, with an extra game, 235.7 x 17 is 4,006. So the extra game actually perfectly negated the loss from the kickoffs. So a 4K passer in 2018 would be equivalent to a 4K passer in 2025.

It is all about offensive efficiency. With the raw numbers, DET's offense looks relatively the same, but it is way different than last year. DET was a +0.15 EPA/Play last year,+0.25 per pass and +0.04 per rush. This season? DET is down to +0.05 EPA/P (-0.10), +0.12 per pass (-0.13) and -0.06 per rush (-0.10). So their passing efficiency got cut in half, their rushing went from a net positive to a net negative, resulting in a 66% relative drop in overall offensive efficiency. 3rd Downs? They went from 47.6% to 38.3%, a 9% drop. % of scoring drives 51.6% to 43.8%, an 8% drop. The Bears on the other hand went from -0.13 to +0.03 for EPA/P (+0.16), -0.15 to +0.02 per pass (+0.17), and -0.09 to +0.05 per rush (+0.14). The Bears on 3rd Downs: 32.9% to 43.1%, a 10% gain. % of scoring drives 29.8% to 44.6%, a 15% gain. So the raw stats are still there, but the efficiency of the offense is now with the Bears. It seems like they are running relatively the same offense, but every game, and every season, they will be that much more removed from it. I would expect some of the raw numbers to start falling off next year. With the easier schedule, that roster can still compete, but I don't see them being a juggernaut anymore. Goff has a $69M cap hit next season, St. Brown's is $33M. So between those two players, over $100M. Sewell is $28M and McNeill is $29M, that's another $57M, so $160M in 4 players, that's crazy.