adam

You also have to give credit to Waldron too, outside of that terrible 4th Down call, he called probably his best game to date. The routes are working off each other like they are supposed to. On Moore's first TD over the middle, the little crosser rub helped Moore get open.

On the back end, Edmunds has really stepped up his game, but I still have concerns about Stevenson. Out of all the starters on defense, Stevenson worries me the most. Brisker, Byard, and Johnson are all playing at a Pro Bowl level.

Dexter and Billings have been elite. Dexter is a top 5 Pass Rushing DT and Billings is top 12 for pass rush and top 15 overall. That is rare to have 2x in the top 30, let alone top 15. Then you have DeMarcus Walker and Darrell Taylor have overperformed while Sweat has been slightly less productive but not terrible. PFF has the Bears rated as the 2nd best defense (by grade), behind only PIT and tied with DET. The only weakness is the leaky run defense, when they overpursue. The LBs and Safeties have to be on the same sheet of music on those outside zone runs. It always seems like the offense has extra blockers or ones where they can take out two defenders when the runner cuts back.

I think back, I really liked Claypool over Kmet, lmao. Kmet was expected to go in the 2nd or 3rd, NFL.com had him rated as a "Will eventually be plus starter". His comp was Tyler Higbee.

Obviously the passing game was a little slow to get started, but has picked up the last 3 weeks with Caleb averaging 275 yds per game, if he can stay near 250 per game, there is a good chance 2-3 receivers break 1K. I don't think Allen is going to do it. Same with Velus or Scott. Thru 5 weeks: 1. Moore - 294, needs 59 y/g to hit 1K 2. Kmet - 219, needs 65 y/g to hit 1K 3. Odunze - 206, needs 66 y/g to hit 1K 4. Swift - 165, needs 70 y/g to hit 1K 5. Allen - 81, needs 77 y/g to hit 1K 6. Everett - 22, needs 82 y/g to hit 1K 7. Velus - 8, needs 83 y/g to hit 1K 8. Scott - 0, needs 84 y/g to hit 1K Swift is 13th amongst RBs in yards from scrimmage; that is somewhat surprising considering his first 3 games he had 30, 42, and 42 total yards. He followed up those 3 stinkers with 165 and 120. I hope he can consistently stay over 100. That should slide him into the top 10 by the end of the year.

These guys are on fire. 9 WRs already making an impact. Nabers leads the NFL in receptions. Whittington is 3rd in receptions amongst WR rookies and he is a 6th round pick. How does LAR do it? Kupp, then Puka, now Whittington. Thomas looks like a steal at #23. Outside of Whittington, Thomas may end up being the best value WR pick in the draft. I am not worried about Odunze because his issue is not skill, it has been target volume. Once his targets go up, he will be right there with the leaders. Nabers 35-386-3 (1st) Thomas 22-397-3 (1st) Whittington 18-201-0 (6th) Harrison 17-279-4 (1st) Odunze 15-206-1 (1st) McConkey 15-176-2 (2nd) Legette 13-151-1 (1st) McCaffrey 10-98-0 (3rd) Coleman 9-175-2 (2nd)

So this guy got 1 target and 1 reception in Week 1. Even with that week of low usage, he still is 5th amongst TEs in receptions and yards, 3rd for 1st Downs, and has the highest Catch Rate amongst the top 20 TEs this season. He is 8th in AAV for his contract amongst TEs, only 500K more than Friermuth. It feels like the Bears got a very solid deal with Kmet who is signed thru 2027. His cap hit is fixed, so every year it is going to become an even better deal.

Fields highest EPA/DB in his career was +0.38 against SF in 2021 (Week 1). Kind of funny that his best game as a passer was in a monsoon. Trubisky's was +0.95 against TB in 2018. Everyone remembers that game.

As rookies, in their first 5 games to start their careers, there have only been 4 QBs to have over 1K passing yards, 100 rushing yards, 5+ Passing TDs, less than 5 INTs, with a 60% Comp%. Caleb became the 4th yesterday, to join Herbert, Minshew, and Watson. Even with Caleb's first few games, he is still on historic pace. With his season averages, Williams is on pace for 3,709 passing yards, 17 TD, and 13 INT. He is averaging 274 yds and 1.7 TDs per game over the last 3 games. Here is what he has to do to challenge some of the team records for passing in the remaining games: Average 229 yds per game for the remaining 12 to surpass Erik Kramer's team record of 3,838 passing yds in a season. Average 242 yds per game for the remaining 12 to hit 4K. Average 249 yds per game for the remaining 12 to equal Kramer's yards per game average. Average 2.1 TDs per game to hit 30 Also, on a side note, Stroud ended up with 4,108 passing yds and 23 TDs last year. Williams would have to average 251 yds per game to hit that number, and only 1.5 passing TDs a game to hit 23. I think the crazy thing is none of those seem outrageous or unrealistic.

Fields needs basically 3 1/2 more starts to get the Bears a 4th rounder. It seems like Steelers fans are quickly getting accustomed to what we have experienced over the last few years. Their defense allowed 20 pts and lost. In the last two weeks they had the ball last with a chance to win or tie and lost. Fields has been super efficient, but 131 yards passing against a ravaged Dallas defense is almost impossible to do. Previously his rushing saved him, but he only added 27 yards on the ground. They have some easy games coming up, so I hope they go with Fields for the next 3 until the bye, that would be LVR, NYJ, and NYG.

EPA/DB - Williams ended with +0.47, which is the 9th highest this season overall and 4th highest with 25+ attempts. Crazy to think it would've been higher if Moore doesn't drop that super easy catch too. Of the 4 with 25+ attempts (Allen, Mayfield, Burrow), Williams had the highest pressure rate, 5% higher than Mayfield. EPA/DB gets tougher with more attempts and yards, because an incomplete and lack of yards on a pass will drop it. Williams and Burrow are the only players with a top 10 EPA/DB game AND over 300 yards passing.

Pulling the starters, even for a few plays helps. The defensive starters did not play in the last drive, 9 plays.

Yeah it will more than likely be an ugly game. Penalties and turnovers will probably decide it.

yeah 10 games is not a Fluske

Thru 5 games: 107-170, 62.9%, 1,091, 6.4 Y/A, 5 TD, 4 INT, 81.3 QB Rating, 36.6 QBR. With his 2nd 300-yd game, he would need 4 more in the next 12 games to join this exclusive group: 300-yd games as a rookie: Herbert - 8 Luck - 6 Stroud - 6

Williams with a QBR of 84.0 this week, currently leads the NFL thru the THU and early SUN games. Wow, super impressive. Since Week 2, Williams has improved every week. That should put his overall QBR close to 40 which would be on par with Love and Herbert. 21.3 > 35.1 > 38.6 > 84.0

Jordan Love throws into triple coverage, and somehow Reed catches it. Then he throws a terrible pick-6 trying to avoid a safety. He is not a good QB, he just gets incredibly lucky. Outside of that ridiculous bomb, he is 4-10 with 19 yards, 1 INT (Pick-6).

Early Line has Bears favored by 1 or a PK, depending on the sportsbook. JAX is 1-4, defense allowed 34, 24, and 47 their last 3 games. They barely beat a Flacco led Colts without Taylor. The Jags offense got going with 37 pts. This is going to be a close game, but I am going with 24-20 Bears going into the bye at 4-2. The Bears defense is the best unit amongst both teams.

Bears now 5th in points differential.

Bears are now WC2, the 6th Seed, at 3-2. If the season ended today, they would be playing the 3-seed, Seattle.

2-1 in the last 3, need a win against JAX in London. JAX just won so they won't be as desperate as if they were coming in winless. JAX's offense came alive, Lawrence with a 300-yd game, Bigsby with a 100 yard rushing game, Thomas with a 100 yard receiving game. Their defense allowed 34 to a Flacco led Colts team without Taylor.

Williams - QB Rating the last 4: 51.0 > 80.8 > 106.6 > 126.2 3 TD, 0 INT in his last 2 games, 5-2 in the last 3. Only 1 sack, had 7 in Week 2, then 4, then 3, and now 1. Offensive Line improving.

Defense - 10 pts allowed, 1 INT (should've been 2), 4 sacks, 2 forced fumbles, 6 PD, 292 yards allowed. Offense last 7 quarters - 60 pts, 8 TDs

BEARS WIN! Very solid game all around minus a few plays (drops, penalties, and the one play they over pursued on defense). Another win, not allowing 20 pts. Another home win. Williams now has 2x 300 yard passing games in his last 3 games.

They need the practice, low risk if they don't get it.