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Everything posted by adam
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Swapping the MIN - W and DAL - L, the Bears would've been 1-2 heading to LVR. So a win there, then into the bye at 2-2, and this is back to being on track for 10 wins.
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The Raiders just got gashed by Marcus Mariota. WAS sacked Geno Smith 5 times, and they had a punt return for a TD. On defense LVR is closer to DAL than MIN or DET. LVR has fewer QB Pressures than DAL. I feel like this is a high 20s to low 20s type of game, like Bears 28-20. The Bears have to get to 2-2 going into the early bye. For the Raiders, this is not as much of a must-win for them.
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Overall, in PFF, as a team, the Bears are 19th, OFF is 9th, and DEF is 29th. To me, that actually feels about right, the offense is top 10, defense bottom 5. We just need the defense to be top 20 and I think this team will win more than it loses. I think we are going to get to a point where if the offense scores 30+, they will win, and lose if they score 24 or less.
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Through Week 3 PFF Grades: Williams 78.1 (10th) Maye 71.2 (12th) Daniels 71.0 (14th) Penix 51.4 (26th) Nix 44.6 (28th)/ 28 eligible Caleb is now 9th in Passing Yards, T-1st in Passing TDs, 6th in Passer Rating, 9th in Y/A, 9th in EPA/DB, 9th in QBR, and 12 QBs have taken more sacks than him.
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Top 5 OFF and DEF PFF Grades: Burden - 93.0 Loveland - 88.7 Odunze - 77.8 Williams - 76.8 Dalman - 76.4 4 guys on rookie deals and a guy you just signed to a long-term deal. That is what I like to see. Dexter - 83.6 Edmunds - 83.4 Stevenson - 79.8 Robinson - 74.1 Sweat - 72.7 Nice to see 2 Edge players and 3 total from the trenches on there. Billings and Odeyingbo were 7th and 8th.
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Yeah in 1 or 2 more games, Williams will have the best numbers for their careers of every QB in his class outside of Daniels rushing numbers. He already has the best Year 2 numbers by a wide margin.
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Week 3 - Williams - 86.6 QBR - 298 yds, 4 TD, 0 INT, 0 sacks, and 12 rushing yds. 310 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 67.0 Maye - 59.5 QBR - 268 yds. 2 TD, 1 INT, 5 sacks, and 45 rushing yds and 1 Fumble. 333 Total Yards. Lost. / Season QBR: 57.3 Nix - 38.5 QBR - 153 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 2 sacks, and 33 rushing yds. 186 Total Yards. Lost. / Season QBR: 41.6 Penix - 12.4 QBR - 172 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 0 sacks, and 9 rushing yds. 181 Total Yards. Lost. / Season QBR: 47.7 Daniels - DNP / Season QBR: 38.9 McCarthy - DNP / Season QBR: 20.5 (Last in NFL) 3 straight games for Williams with improvement to Comp%, Y/A, TD, and QB Rating. ------- Week 1 > 2 > 3 Comp% - 60% > 63.3% > 67.9% Y/A - 6.0 > 6.9 > 10.6 Pass TD - 1 > 2 > 4 QB Rating - 86.6 > 91.9 > 142.6 Don't look now, Williams is on pace for 4,051 passing yards, 40 Passing TD, 6 INT. He would have 3,812 thru 16 games. So he even has a shot to break Kramer's team record of 3,838 in the same number of games, and also hit 4K in the same year. Very promising. Now we need to stack weeks like this. Over 20 games, the top 3 QBs in the 2024 class, TD/INT: Nix 34 TD, 15 INT Daniels 28 TD, 9 INT Williams 27 TD, 7 INT Nix only has 46 more passing yards than Williams, who are now 1-2 in Passing Yards.
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Yeah Bears receivers still leaving some plays on the field. Even with those drops, there have only been 22 other times in NFL history where a QB threw 4 TDs with no INTs or Sacks, with a Y/A over 10.0 and under 30 attempts. Williams was the 23rd time.
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0 sacks taken, 0 INTs, 4 TDs and a ton of explosive plays. This offense hasn't even scratched the surface yet.
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Feels like a double win with the GB loss to CLE. Now they need to handle business in LVR and go into the bye at 2-2 feeling good.
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No running game again. Swift 13-33 yds, but had one for 11, so he went 12-22 the rest of the way. Monangai was not much better at 6-16, but he did lose a bunch on one run.
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Ok 3 INTs and 1 forced fumble for the defense. Not bad. The reverse Flus Revenge game worked lol. One of the best games in Williams career, very promising.
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A pleasant surprise today. Need to see how they close this out but 31-14 with DAL pinned back at their own 5 with 9 mins to go needing 3 scores. Offense looks much better but without any running game. Glad to see Burden getting involved, though Moore still looks like he is not having fun out there. Caleb having a great day, should be player of the week but we know how that goes.
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Just one more GM left and we are paid for the year.
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Jeanty has also looked terrible, but there are others drafted after Trapilo and Turner who are looking solid.
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I am actually shocked the line has not moved, Bears -1. With the JJ news and DAL having Lamb and Pickens, I would've thought that the line would shift to DAL.
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I really hope they do something because in addition to JJ being out, Stevenson has been brutal. Literally the worst CB in the league with QBs having a perfect passer rating throwing at him. Why even throw anywhere else? Just spot him presnap and that is your read.
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More specifically, Swift. The Bears are a top 5 rushing unit BEFORE contact, meaning the OLine is actually doing a great job at run blocking, yet Swift is bottom 5 after contact. So the run game is completely dependent on making a gaping hole that anyone can run through. RB will need to be addressed. Still can't believe Poles waited until the 7th to address it with a bunch of RBs on the board in the first few rounds.
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It sucks that the Bears had to get back to back Division games so early in the season, but they won't play another Division game until November 16th, Week 11. The next 7 games are DAL, LVR, WAS, NO, BAL, CIN, and NYG. I would say 6 of those are winnable.
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He was a Pro Bowl LG in DET, then LAR tried to use him at Center and RG and it didn't work. Bears trade for him as a RG. Poles is really bad at his job. Making guys swap sides normally doesn't work out. Like try skateboarding with your opposite foot forward, you can do it and if you practice, you can get better, but it never feels natural.
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They will have an Out or IR designation. Sometimes that does not occur until it is official.
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7 of the top 10 draft teams are still in the top 10 from last year. Falling out were JAX, NE, and LVR, all who are 1-1 and JAX is the only team of the 3 to have a plus point differential after 2 games. The 3 teams that replaced them are MIA, HOU, and KC. MIA seemed to be trending this way since last year. HOU has always been a shaky team right at the cusp of winning and losing, but KC is pretty shocking since the matched their loss total from last year in 2 weeks. However, with 7 of 10 still in the top (or bottom) 10, and the other 3 teams only 1-1 really shows that it is hard to move out of the basement, just like a 32-yr kid who is unemployed.
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Yeah, at this point, we are back to only tracking QB growth in Year 2, Year 1 in new system. Most people were expecting a fringe playoff team, but unfortunately this roster is filled with guys content with 5 wins.
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Updated after MNF: 1. NYJ 0-2 (.471 SOS) 2. NO 0-2 (.471 SOS) 3. MIA 0-2 4. CLE 0-2 5. TEN 0-2 6. CHI 0-2 (.559 SOS) 7. NYG 0-2 8. KC 0-2 9. CAR 0-2 10. HOU 0-2 (.647 SOS)
