Everything posted by adam
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Caleb tied for 11th in MVP Odds
Vegas is normally in the ballpark on these because they make the most money when they are closest to the middle. So plus or minus 2-3 spots. So they think Caleb will be somewhere in the range of 8-14, which to me, checks out. He was 17th in Passing Yards last season and tied for 15th in TD Passes. So a few spots with a better coach and more weapons is not that far of a reach.
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Parsons to Packers ffs
Who is taking Dak at $60M APY? He has the biggest contract based on APY by over $5M compared to the next guys which are Love, Burrow, Lawrence, and Allen. His cap hit goes to $74M next year and is $50M this year. That is a big reason why they didn't want to extend Parsons to the biggest non-QB contract in NFL history. So they really had no choice tbh. The Bears are in a great place with the cap. The two highest players on the team are Moore and Sweat, Moore has an APY of $27.5M, but that is 48th in the NFL. Sweat has a $24.5M APY, good for 58th. They don't have another player in the top 100. Their next guy is Jaylon at $19M APY, 124th in the league. Parsons deal makes him 11th in APY at $46.5M, that is equivalent to Moore+Johnson. It seems that paying any non-QB a ton of money does not equate to championships. The only guys in the top of the top-25 non-QB contracts are AJ Brown and Chris Jones. The list is pretty damning: Parsons, Watt, Chase, Garrett, Hunter, Crosby, Jefferson, Lamb, Bosa, Metcalf, Wilson, Brown, Jones, Gardner, St. Brown, Hill, Stingley, Aiyuk, Hendrickson, McLaurin, Higgins, Slater, Waddle, Hines-Allen, Burns, Wirfs, Sewell, and Trent Williams before DJ Moore. In most cases, teams don't have a choice, but once your QB is off the rookie deal and you start having to pay your top non-QBs top dollar, it makes it really hard to stay competitive.
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Caleb tied for 11th in MVP Odds
Higher than I expected to be honest. Considering Goff is lower, and only Daniels is higher as a 2nd year QB. So Maye, McCarthy, Penix are all lower.
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Questions?
For me it's (in no order): starting LT (can the unit gel in time to work as a cohesive unit?) Edge/Pass Rush (will it matter if DA likes to bring extra pressure anyway?) RB depth (after Swift, who is RB2/3rd Down back?) CBs (both Jaylon's health and CB2 - Stevenson again?) Special Teams as a whole (has looked like crap all offseason, can they afford to lose a net 5 yards per drive?)
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2025 TalkBears Fantasy Football League
Keepers are set for the 2025 season. For some reason Yahoo makes it a pain in the ass to view last year's keepers compared to previous seasons, so I am posting in here so there is record of them. 2025 TB Keepers The Bunny - Nabers & Hubbard Bum Fights - Pollard My Team Sucks - Thomas Jr. Trench Warfare - Hockenson & Burrow Nips&Tips - Henry & Brown Scotty Doesn't Know - Higgins & Williams Hock Tua on my Chubby - Bowers SAVAGEw/LOOSEMORALS! - Swift Nopper - Barkley & Jeudy Win in Rome - Cook
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2025 TalkBears Fantasy Football League
Damn, he is lucky, that looks bad, and will definitely need a front-end alignment! Glad he is ok.
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2025 TalkBears Fantasy Football League
Good to go on Thomas for Mike and Bowers for Chad. However, for Herbert, Chad did not draft him in 2024, so he is not eligible as a keeper.
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53 Man Roster
I still think the Bears bring in a vet Edge because of the Booker injury, and another RB.
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Week 1 Official Game Thread - MIN @ CHI, MNF, 9/8, 7:15PM CDT, CHI -1.5 O/U 43.5, ABC
Crazy to see this sequence again. Bears down by 10 with 1:11, scored 10 pts in 19 seconds and still lost in OT. This was in the middle of the losing streak. With Johnson, there is no way the Bears lose this game. This was a Flus special.
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Parsons to Packers ffs
So the trade off is Van Ness and Clark to Parsons and Wooden. So the overall upgrade is less because you have a downgrade at DT with the upgrade at Edge and backup Edge.
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2025 TalkBears Fantasy Football League
Looks like now I just need Chad's, Mike's, and Scott's keepers if they have any. I replied to Scott's message in the League chat window with his eligible keepers. Scott can also edit his team's name if he wants to.
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Parsons to Packers ffs
This definitely helps GB this year, but they are going to have to make some tough cuts or not resign guys going forward. For this season, Love is making 29.7M and Parsons is 24M, so only 54.7M, but then a combined 83M in 2026, 90M in 2027, and then a hilarious 121M in 2028. I didn't think their roster was built for just adding one player, but they did. The only saving grace is Parsons is not as good of a player outdoors or in prime time. So we will see how this plays out.
- Parsons to Packers ffs
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Week 1 Official Game Thread - MIN @ CHI, MNF, 9/8, 7:15PM CDT, CHI -1.5 O/U 43.5, ABC
Looking over some numbers between the MIN DEF and CHI DEF from last year. Surprisingly, CHI had a higher QBP% at 36.5% to 35.7%, only allowed one more TD (37 to 36), and CHI allowed fewer passing yards per game (218 to 242). MIN actually allowed the 5th most yards through the air in 2024, but they were stout against the run (2nd). This sort of plays into the Bears strengths as the WR/TE rooms are close to elite compared to the RB room.
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2025 TalkBears Fantasy Football League
Yeah, only Burrow and Hock are eligible as you have to draft the player and they need to be on your final roster, so McConkey would not be eligible. So it would be Burrow for a 7th and Hockenson for an 11th.
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2025 TalkBears Fantasy Football League
I got his confirmation.
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53 Man Roster
Placed DB Zah Frazier on Reserve/Non-Football Injury. Waived the following players: DB Millard Bradford DL Xavier Carlton DB Alex Cook LB Power Echols DB Kaleb Hayes QB Austin Reed RB Ian Wheeler TE Joel Wilson Released the following players: DB Tre Flowers RB Royce Freeman OL Joshua Miles
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2025 TalkBears Fantasy Football League
Invitation sent to ScottSeacrist@yahoo.com.
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53 Man Roster
Not yet. Also, as much as we all love the 53-man roster battles, something like 1% of the bottom 5 players on a 53-man contribute in a meaningful way. At the end of the day, the Bears need better starters, which pushes better players down to backups. Right now it feels like they need that at LT and RB on offense, and Edge and CB on defense. So LT and Edge need to be priorities with CB, then RB as the next with Safety as an honorable mention.
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Preseason Week 3 Game Thread - Bears at Chiefs, NFLN, FRI, 8-22, 7:20pm Central
The biggest concern with Caleb was holding onto the ball too long, as that led to too many sacks. If nothing else changed, and he got the ball out quicker, cut down on sacks, then the results will come. Here is Caleb's TTT compared to other QBs: In the KC game: • Patrick Mahomes 3.69 TTT • Tyson Bagent 3.08 TTT • Caleb Williams 3.06 TTT Caleb Williams on 25 pass attempts in the preseason this year: 68% completion 8.8 Y/A 122.1 passer rating 71.3 PFF passing grade 2.89 TTT Drake Maye, another second year QB in a new system (12 att): 58% completion 4.8 Y/A 70.8 passer rating 36.9 PFF grade 3.30 TTT So I would say he is passing the test so far, no delay of game penalties, no wasted time outs, no INTs, and only 1 sack.
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All Aboard.........the Hype Train
Related but unrelated, if Ben Johnson was coaching this team last year, I think they start at least 7-0. 19-13 loss to HOU, 21-16 loss to IND, 18-15 loss to WAS, then the falling off the cliff and losing to ARZ 29-9 and NE 19-3. No way that happens with him. Then after that are 3 straight Division losses by 3 pts or less. That's why I am more optimistic about this season. The roster is better, the coaching staff is better, so it is really hard for those two things to not move the needle. Compare to the Bears to the current Patriots. Which roster and coaching staff would you rather have? I like Vrabel, but outside of a few players from NE, I would take 85% of the Bears roster. Comparing OCs and DCs, I think the Bears have the edge on both sides for play callers. We will see how it works out but those two teams seem to have the most in common.
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Week 1 Official Game Thread - MIN @ CHI, MNF, 9/8, 7:15PM CDT, CHI -1.5 O/U 43.5, ABC
Yep, and those pin and pull rollouts to the flat. For some reason the Bears never get a defender over there in time, they always bite, and it is good for 7-8 yards every damn time.
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53 Man Roster
I think they were suggesting it because if he gets cut and has to clear waivers, I doubt he gets to the Bears. Here are some other cut candidates that I would consider: OL Cole Strange DE Azeez Ojulari DE David Ojabo DE Anfernee Jennings CB Adoree Jackson CB Beanie Bishop CB Jamel Dean S Kyle Dugger
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2025 TalkBears Fantasy Football League
OK, I will take a look, and I stand corrected on the keeper round cost: The first keeper is one round, and if you keep a second, that one costs two rounds. The only exception is if that you are keeping 2 players that would give up the same pick (like a 5th and a 6th both would require your 4th rounder), so in that case it gets swapped and you have to give up a 3rd and a 5th instead (for that example).
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2025 TalkBears Fantasy Football League
I will try to look it up, I don't know what Yahoo did, but they messed it up big time.