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Everything posted by adam
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It's really a crapshoot. This season I tried to draft so my bye weeks were as strong as possible, and by the time those weeks came up, I had already waived half my team lol. The biggest thing I have seen recently is hitting on the unknown player on waivers that basically gives you an extra starter. This season, I hit on Puka Nacua.
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Drafted not acquired (like Sweat). If you add acquired, some teams are over 10, and the Bears still only have like 4.
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One other thing to consider. I was having a discussion on Twitter and realized there is a direct correlation to the number of 1st round draft picks on the roster and the overall team record. It doesn't guarantee success, but all the top teams had no less than 4 first round picks on their roster (drafted by them). The Bears have 2. BAL - 9 PHI - 7 BUF - 7 DAL - 7 DET - 7 JAX - 7 CLE - 5 SF - 4 KC - 4 MIA - 4 So the Bears needs to trade down and gain draft capital. Preferably pick up an additional 2025 1st, to keep stacking them.
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Good points, but that has to be correctable right?
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QUICK HITS - Pick 3 Points and Give a Brief Explanation...
adam replied to madlithuanian's topic in Bearstalk
Very true on DET, there really is no comparison. GB is the worst. It is a family tradition to hate the Packers. -
I know and I hate that it feels like work and it caused stress. That is the last thing we want out of this.
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Your team is yours until you say otherwise. I have never used the ESPN app. We can do a vote and see if others are willing to switch. I have no preference and have no issues switching if you believe it is a better experience.
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Very true, Fields is to blame for a good portion of the pressure, but the TTT stat is super skewed because if he scrambles and then throws, that 5 second play counts towards that number making it look worse. If you just time non-scramble plays, it is much lower. Also, Getsy has no quick slants or other passes that get out immediately like McDaniels does. That is very frustrating.
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That includes 4.5 games with Bagent at the helm, so those numbers are even more impressive when you consider that.
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QUICK HITS - Pick 3 Points and Give a Brief Explanation...
adam replied to madlithuanian's topic in Bearstalk
1. I agree, but he is a baby HC, and he has improved. If he keeps improving, he might be able to get there. 2. Yep, I am good either way, would be sad to see Fields go, but understand the business. In Poles I Trust! 3. Yeah man, I am soooo sick of that team, it is crazy. Even their bloggers and beat reporters are annoying. Just like whipping DET, it be such an amazing way to go into the offseason. -
I assume we will get a few more when SF/DAL/PHI players bow out. Jenkins, Edwards, Brisker, and Moore will probably get in as alternates as they were right there in the fan voting.
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If they win on Sunday, then there is definitely a positive trend, a win on the road against a decent QB, 3rd straight win for the first time, etc. However, a loss just says they are where they are and the trend line may be going up but marginally.
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Both of you guys are part of the OG crew, so it tough to see you go, but I understand. When it feels like work and it is no longer fun, I totally understand. I have actually used it as a way to cope with having such a bad team for so long. MadLith has been snakebit the last two years, I believe having the most points against 2 years in a row. That sucks and is really frustrating.
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According to PFF, Fields is pressured on 48.1% of his dropbacks (the most in the NFL). Jordan Love is at 31.2% which is the 5th best among qualifying QBs. Tua is #1 at 24.3%, basically half as many dropbacks is he pressured, compared to Fields.
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Burrows numbers are worse than Fields, Lawrence is meh, and once they get tape on Stroud, more than likely, his numbers will drop too, but Stroud would be the only one I would consider.
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Yeah the pressure rate matters. They need to have all of the stats weighted with pressure %.
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He is staying. Out of Flus, Getsy, and Fields, Flus is the most likely to stay. The team's improvement from Week 1 until now is quite remarkable. The only fear I have is the trend of only beating teams with bad QBs. His wins this year have come against Howell, Hoyer, Young, Dobbs, Goff, Murray, and Heinicke. He has lost to Love, Mahomes, Wilson, Cousins, Herbert, Carr, Goff, and Flacco. This goes back to last year as well. An extension of that is beating good QBs on the road. A Flus team has yet to do that. He only has 3 road wins in the last 2 years total, and they were against Howell, Dobbs, and Zappe. That's it. The next step in this progression is beating a decent QB on the road, I would say, based on Love's stats this year, he qualifies. So a win against Love on Sunday would sort of break the trend. He would also get that elusive 3rd straight win. So there is a lot on the line.
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They have a lot of average players with a good scheme on offense.
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The Bears can win 3 in a row for the first time since 2020 with a win on Sunday.
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The Pass Defenses GB and Love have faced since their bye: Post Bye CAR 3rd TB 32nd NYG 20th KC 2nd DET 26th LAC 30th PIT 22nd LAR 24th MIN 18thx2 DEN 23rd GB has not faced a defense like the Bears who are #1 against the run AND have the most INT in the league. If the Bears can shutdown the screen game with Jones, I think they will win handily. This game fits right into the Bears strengths (Bears #2 rush attack against GB's #28 Run Defense). The Bears should be able to control the clock. As long as they can limit turnover, I think the Bears win by 10.
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I added the players. Basically if need be, they could add vet min guy for about $1M per year.
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Game Time temperature 31-33F on Sunday, context matters. Just on averages, Fields should outgain Love and have similar TDs, while Love will have 10-20 more passing yards while Fields has 30-40 more rushing yards. Jordan Love (21-40F) 3 games, 101.8 QB Rating, 69.3%, 769 yds (256/g), 6.7 Y/A, 6 TD, 1 INT, 13 rushing yds (4/g), 0 TD 260 yds per game, 2 Total TDs/g, 0.3 INT/g Justin Fields (21-40F) 2 games, 93.8 QB Rating, 60.0%, 491 yds (246/g), 7.6 Y/A, 2 TD, 0 INT, 103 rushing yds (52/g), 2 TD 298 yds per game, 2 Total TDs/g, 0 INT/g Expect a lot of dink and dunk from Love.
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And Philly is burning right now. They are trending down fast. Losing to ARZ? Carter still has elite traits but will always have the bad stuff that comes with it. Also, once they get enough tape on some players they find ways to neutralize them.
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One sneaky thing to think about for next year. They say turnovers are "luck" and you rarely lead the league in multiple or consecutive years. So even if the Bears get fewer takeaways, if they are more efficient on offense and turn more of those into points, it would be a net positive.