adam

He clearly said 4 different types. My assumption is Williams, Maye, Daniels, and Penix.

What's interesting to me is, if the Bears trade down, they might even end up with more "resources" in 2024 AND 2025 while the team trading up will lose those. Look at CAR for example. They are actually projected to be worse next year than this year as they won't get a blue chipper 1st round rookie like 20+ other teams. Additionally, their cap space is only slightly above average which will help them improve a little bit, but that won't offset the loss of the #1 overall pick. Now one caveat, even if CAR is the worst team, that doesn't necessarily mean they will finish with the worst record but they should finish bottom 3. Injuries, unexpected performances (Nacua), and strength of schedule all have an impact on the projected outcomes that are not taken into account here.

So I did some additional research on this. Using ELO to measure the current roster, then taking into account the draft capital compared to the average plus the cap space compared to the average. I tried to figure out how much this team can improve based solely on the average outcomes of a draft pick and FA acquisition. This is what I came up with: 1. The Bears are currently 18th in ELO. 2. They have the 3rd most draft capital (though the #1 pick is probably worth more). 3. They have one of the highest effective cap spaces available as of today. 4. Their projected ELO for 2024 should increase by 57 putting them in 11th in the NFL (which would be 10-11 wins). 4a. The margin of error is around +/- 10, so 10th-12th is the projected ranking without any other context. 5. The 5 best teams to consider a trade with for a 2025 1st would be CAR, DEN, NYJ, WAS, and NE as they should finish 2024 in the bottom 5 of the NFL. 5a. What I find interesting is at least 3 of those teams need a QB (DEN, WAS, NE) and obviously WAS and NE are drafting #2 and #3 respectively. REFs: https://www.nfeloapp.com/nfl-power-ratings/ https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-teams-2024-offseason-resources-cap-space-2024-nfl-draft https://www.tankathon.com/nfl/power_rankings

I don't mind the INT games, but it kinda sucks to lose the extra home game AND have a week of extra travel. So I assume the bye will come after this game.

They do have some good conversations, but I despise Amon-Ra. Great player, but man he is cocky. It is really easy to catch passes when you are wide open dude.

At the expense of Carolina, lol. What's crazy to think is, there is a finite number of resources in the NFL, only so many All-Pros, Pro Bowlers, draft picks, salary cap, so when one team gets better, almost by default another team gets worse. Same goes for wins and losses, unless there is a tie, the entire league trades wins and losses every year. So the easiest way to improve is by gaining more resources than your opponents, thus taking those things away from them. CHI got a lot better, and CAR is borked for at least the next 5 years.

At this point, Fields camp has zero precedence for a top 10 contract based on his production. There are ranges, and Fields would be more in line with a Daniel Jones type contract than a Justin Herbert contract unless Fields breaks out. You could even say his current performance level puts his 5th year option in question.

He just moved to another position within the organization, but they told the staff that they are free to seek other employment. So it's definitely possible he could interview for the HC position there.

SEA was 12th in Offensive DVOA, CHI was 22nd. SEA was 10th in EPA/play SEA scored fewer than 13 pts once this season, 3 against BAL in BAL.

LMAO, Janocko was literally a joko.

This would be a great hire if they pull it off:

One thing that hit me, I know there are concerns about an OC coming in under a lame duck HC, but teams are always worried about losing their coordinators to HC jobs every year, sometimes after their first year as coordinators, so if the guy coming in thinks he is the bomb, he should only expect to be a coordinator for year before he heads off to be a HC somewhere right?

It could also mean they are extending Flus at least thru 2026 to give the incoming OC some predictability, versus coaching for a potential lame duck HC.

With the Carroll shocker, is someone like Waldron available for OC?

Lewis is 39 and Scales is 35. Those two guys alone add 0.5 years onto the team's average age lol. Totally off topic, it is funny to see that Moore, Mooney, and Velus are all 26 right now lol.

Firing a whole bunch of staff members after year 2 while others were fired in season does not give me very much confidence.

Tyke Tolbert gone as well. This makes sense considering young WRs have not developed.

This means Flus is coming back. I have no clue what kind of OC they are going to get. Very disappointing. Should've been the entire staff.

With Janocko

People overthink stuff. Stroud actually had better stats than Young last year, and Alabama didn't even make the college playoffs.

ATL has had the #8 pick 3 years in a row lol. They took Bijan and London with their last 2. I would be shocked if they gave that high of a 1st rounder for Fields. I could see a team doing it in the 20s, but most of those teams don't need a QB. I am not too concerned about that. There is way more tape out there on Williams than there was with Fields. I think the accuracy of the assessment goes way down when you have less reps to look at. Williams had 1099 passing attempts while Fields had 618 in college. That's a big difference, more than a full season of reps. The other thing that I recently noticed was Fields really didn't do much his 2nd year until late in the season. His early numbers actually look eerily similar to his Bears stats with no games over 250 passing yards, several under 200. I also remember hearing Fields talk about how he didn't run that much, which is weird because 11 out of his last 22 games he had over 10 rushes per game with a 100 yard rushing game in there. In a similar amount of games played, Williams has 14x 300-yd games and 5x 400-yd games. Fields has 7x 300-yd games and 0x 400-yd games passing. On a side note, I still can't believe Pace passed on Mahomes or Watson. Mahomes passed for 734 yds in one game and had 3 other games over 500 yds in college. That's 2,422 yards in 4 games. Fields has 2,100 in 8 games his Junior year lol.

So what type of OC is coming in knowing the HC is on the hot seat to start the season? How many OC's survive the HC being fired and are retained by the new HC? Does an new OC want to come to the Bears when the QB position is undecided? It feels like this has to be a clean sweep of the coaching staff, then bring in a new staff, and let them decide on what to do at QB.

That's the thing, do teams even announce that when coaches are under contract? Same with players, normally they are on the team without an announcement or cut/traded with an announcement. I know Ted Phillips and McCaskey did that silly press conference, but that seemed more of a one off than anything. I have to do some Google searches as I am honestly curious on that one.