Jump to content

adam

Admin
  • Posts

    16,655
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by adam

  1. This is it. The Bears are eliminated, but this game would put an exclamation point on the season. The Packers make the playoffs with a win, and miss the playoffs with a loss. So they have a ton of motivation to win this one. GB has the 13th Offense for yards, Bears now 15th. For Defense, Bears are 12th, GB is 21st. The Bears are the 2nd best rushing offense and best rushing defense per game. The Bears are #1 in INT (22), Packers are 30th (7). So the Bears have the edge overall. The Packers have the better passing game and screen game with Jones, but that's about it on offense. The Bears have the better rushing attack. Kmet's health is going to be key. If Kmet is healthy and plays, I think the Bears can eek out a close win 21-20. If Kmet does not play or is limited, I think the Packers win 24-17. A win and it's almost a guarantee that Flus, Getsy, and Fields would be back. A loss, and I would say all of those would be up in the air.
  2. adam

    Fields-O-Meter

    Something to consider, a lot of QB numbers are way down this year. The TD lead with 16 games played is Prescott with 32. That is super low considering QBs in the past had over 50.
  3. adam

    Fields-O-Meter

    Fields ended up with a 66.0 QBR for Week 17 which bumped his season QBR to 46.3. It has been an uphill battle all season but he does have 3x 60+ QBR games out of his last 4 games. That is a positive trend considering he started the season with an 18.3, 16.8, and 16.3. Fields QB Rating is now at 85.8 after a 99.5 for the game. Fields has a good chance to lead the team in passing and rushing for a 2nd consecutive season.
  4. He has but he gets way too lucky on too many passes. This is his first full season on tape, the league will adjust. He will have a much harder time next season. He throws to a lot of wide open receivers. Crazy to think Love will average 255 yards per game (passing+rushing) and Fields in 12 games counting the one he got hurt in averages 253 yds per game.
  5. So the playoffs come down to tonight's MIN/GB game ending in a tie. If that occurs, the Bears would need the following to happen in Week 18 to get in as the #7 seed: 1. CHI beats GB 2. DET beats MIN 3. TB beats CAR (TB needs to win the DIV) 4. ATL beats NO 5. ARZ beats SEA Final records would be: 7. CHI 8-9, 7-5 Conf 8. SEA 8-9, 6-6 Conf (loses Conf record tie-breaker to CHI) 9. ATL 8-9, 5-7 Conf (wins tie breaker against NO, loses tie breaker to CHI H2H) 10. NO 8-9, 5-7 Conf (loses tie breaker to ATL H2H) 11. MIN 7-9-1, 6-5-1 Conf 12. GB 7-9-1, 5-6-1 Conf If the Bears just held onto one of those collapses, they would be the 7th seed heading into Week 18. If they won them all they would be in the division lead at 10-6 with the H2H tiebreaker against DET. Unbelievable.
  6. adam

    Fields-O-Meter

    It's contagious. I was thinking, Fields has like 300 yards lost on drops in the last few weeks, including 3-4 TDs, and probably 100 yards rushing lost on worthless holding penalties that were not needed. The raw stats are very deceiving, like the INT that hit the ground yet still counts on his stats.
  7. BAL just beat SF and MIA in back to back weeks, 33-19 and 56-19 is crazy impressive. The AFC goes thru Baltimore and they are getting the bye. Good luck AFC. Wild cards are CLE and BUF. In the NFC, PHI just lost to ARZ, DAL barely beat DET and SF showed they can't beat BAL. BAL has to be the odds on favorite right now. In every game they will be favored to win.
  8. The most hilarious thing is Green Bay now stuck in the NFL purgatory zone between 7-8 wins annually drafting mid-teens with no shot at a top QB with Love doing just enough to win some and lose some.
  9. ARZ does have 2x first rounders, #4 and #17 right now. I would not rule them out. To me it looks like it could be WAS (to guarantee they get their guy), NE to ensure they don't miss out on the top 2 (and get their guy), then ATL is definitely a high probable option and LVR currently at 11 would take a haul to drop all the way to 11, but they do have Maxx Crosby. NYJ and ARZ are wild cards. The team that finishes 3rd out of WAS or NE is going to be the most likely candidate to leapfrog the #2 team to get their guy. WAS seems more desperate and NE seems more conservative in trade respects. The Bears already traded with both teams (Harry-NE, Sweat-WAS). ATL has the Pace connection to some players that could be added to the trade.
  10. Yeah I saw that, come on people, they need to brief the staff up to caught our players and the let the opponents run into that junk. Easy way to break your wrist.
  11. Sorry about the championship game. I just had the best two weeks of my fantasy football career (lol) in back to back weeks. 225 pts last week and 222 this week in the championship with Cooper out was shocking. Even without Lamb's 50, I would have 172 pts which would still beat every other team this week. Very unexpected for me.
  12. adam

    Bears losses

    Crazy to think these are the only teams the Bears lost to (see below). The worst teams are GB and MIN that play each other tonight. So the only one team that Fields lost to will go into Week 18 under .500, and 3 of those losses were the collapses. DET 11-5 (collapse) CLE 11-5 (collapse) KC 10-6 (early season loss) TB 8-8 (early season loss) DEN 8-8 (collapse) (early season loss) GB 7-8 (early season loss) MIN 7-8 (Fields injury game) NO 8-8 (Bagent) LAC 5-10 (Bagent) In hindsight, this looks a lot better than I thought. 4 playoff teams, with at least 2 fringe playoff teams, meaning only the losing team tonight was the only really "weak" loss for Fields.
  13. Steelers beating the Seahawks by 10 late in the 4th.
  14. Wild to think after Moore, the receivers with the most receptions coming into this game were: Roschon - 31, Herbert - 16, Scott - 14, and Tonyan - 8. In total that is an average of 4 receptions per game for this group. They had 11 receptions today.
  15. Bears currently #10. They can win next week and still draft 10th if GB beats MIN tonight and MIN beats DET next week AND LVR beats DEN next week. If LVR beats DEN next week, the Bears can pick no worse than #11. The only team that can leap them is if the loser of GB vs MIN loses in Week 18. So if GB loses tonight, and to the Bears in Week 18, they would pick 10th. If MIN loses tonight and to DET, they would leap CHI. If LVR loses to DEN next week, the Bears would pick no worse than #12. So the Bears are locked into 10-12th right now with a win next week. If they happen to lose, the best they could do is 8th (if NYJ and ATL win in Week 18), and no worse than 10th. So 8-10th. OVERALL - 8th best pick, 12th worst pick Not bad at all for a potential 8 win team in the hunt late in Week 17.
  16. adam

    Fields-O-Meter

    that was great to see, this team is having fun.
  17. A ton of injuries early on, most of the defense missed time to start the season. Going 2-2 with a UDFA in the middle of the season. 5 straight home wins. Chance to split the division at 3-3 next week. For this game, it's the most points ATL allowed all season, they only allowed 30+ once (31 pts to MIN). Herbert has the 2nd highest rushing total in Week 17, Moore has the 2nd highest receiving total in Week 17.
  18. What could've been 7 straight wins and 9-7 going into Week 18. 5-2 in last 7, only losses are to CLE and DET in those collapse losses.
  19. adam

    Bears Defense

    The Bears defense leads the league with 22 INTs, SF has 21, BAL has 18.
  20. These are the payouts: 1st - $440 2nd - $200 3rd - $75 4th - $35 So the loser of the 3rd place game gets $35.
  21. Bears need at least one tie. I think they need Vikings to tie the Packers.
  22. If he averaged 268 passing and 45 yards rushing, he would have over 4,400 passing yards and 750 rushing yards, and over 5,000 total yards. The best part of the game was no turnovers, no INTs, no fumbles, and literally escaped two guaranteed sacks and got first downs. He did that in Chicago weather.
  23. This 20 point win also puts the Bears in plus territory for point differential for the season, now +9 going into Week 18. They started out -62 in their 0-4 start. So since then, they are +71 and 7-5 with 3 of those collapse losses.
×
×
  • Create New...