adam Posted November 19, 2024 Report Share Posted November 19, 2024 Since this season is already over other than for watching the progress of Caleb, I took a look at the 2025 opponents based on the current records and seeding. On paper, it will be one of the toughest schedules in the league again with only 5-6 "winnable" games. The strong division makes the entire schedule that much tougher. 11 games against teams at .500 or better, 6 games vs sub .500 teams. Home Detroit Lions 9-1 Green Bay Packers 7-3 Minnesota Vikings 8-2 Dallas Cowboys 3-7 (Dak will be back) New York Giants 2-8 (should be ez win) Cleveland Browns 2-8 (should be ez win) Pittsburgh Steelers 8-2 Carolina Panthers 3-7 (currently 4th in NFC S) (should be ez win) Away Baltimore Ravens 7-4 Cincinnati Bengals 4-7 (Bengals a lot better than a 4-7 team) Detroit Lions 9-1 Green Bay Packers 7-3 Minnesota Vikings 8-2 Philadelphia Eagles 8-2 Washington Commanders 7-4 LAR/SEA/SF 5-5 (tied for 4th in NFC W) 17th game - LVR or JAX (should be ez win) That is a full season gauntlet with a current record of 92-74 .554. The Bears current SOS is .560 with all 17 games for 2024 with current records. So next season's schedule looks to be comparable. As an expected 5-win team this year, the Bears would be only favored in 4-5 games next season and they may be road dogs for all of them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinger226 Posted November 19, 2024 Report Share Posted November 19, 2024 This yr SF was rated to go to the SB, they are beatable. If Caleb is who we thought he was, they will be afraid to play us. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted November 19, 2024 Author Report Share Posted November 19, 2024 1 hour ago, Stinger226 said: This yr SF was rated to go to the SB, they are beatable. If Caleb is who we thought he was, they will be afraid to play us. That's the goal right? Make more of these games winnable, but right now, this is a 5-6 win team. The entire O-Line needs to be overhauled and they need at least another DT and Edge before that can happen. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted December 23, 2024 Author Report Share Posted December 23, 2024 On 11/19/2024 at 7:41 AM, adam said: Since this season is already over other than for watching the progress of Caleb, I took a look at the 2025 opponents based on the current records and seeding. On paper, it will be one of the toughest schedules in the league again with only 5-6 "winnable" games. The strong division makes the entire schedule that much tougher. 11 games against teams at .500 or better, 6 games vs sub .500 teams. Home Detroit Lions 9-1 Green Bay Packers 7-3 Minnesota Vikings 8-2 Dallas Cowboys 3-7 (Dak will be back) New York Giants 2-8 (should be ez win) Cleveland Browns 2-8 (should be ez win) Pittsburgh Steelers 8-2 Carolina Panthers 3-7 (currently 4th in NFC S) (should be ez win) Away Baltimore Ravens 7-4 Cincinnati Bengals 4-7 (Bengals a lot better than a 4-7 team) Detroit Lions 9-1 Green Bay Packers 7-3 Minnesota Vikings 8-2 Philadelphia Eagles 8-2 Washington Commanders 7-4 LAR/SEA/SF 5-5 (tied for 4th in NFC W) 17th game - LVR (should be ez win) That is a full season gauntlet with a current record of 92-74 .554. The Bears current SOS is .560 with all 17 games for 2024 with current records. So next season's schedule looks to be comparable. As an expected 5-win team this year, the Bears would be only favored in 4-5 games next season and they may be road dogs for all of them. I know it is still early, but this looks worse now than it did a month ago lol. 10x games vs teams that currently have 10+ wins (not just winning teams, elite teams) 2x games against 7-8 teams (CIN and DAL) 1x SFO (not a true last place team) 4x games vs bad teams (CAR, CLE, LVR, and NYG, but CAR is improving) SFO was ravaged with injuries, so they are not a true last place team. DAL has been without Dak for much of the season, so they will be better than a 7-8 team. CIN should also be better. So the Bears, a current 4-win team needs to improve in the offseason to the point where they can compete with the likes of DET, MIN, GB, PHI, WAS, PIT, and BAL if they even want a shot at a winning record next season. If you give them every game against a 7-8 team and lower, that's only 7 games. I know teams change from year to year, but teams like BAL, PIT, PHI, DET, and GB all had winning records pretty much every year. That leaves MIN and WAS. The Bears need to open the wallet and bring in impact FAs and nail the draft. Otherwise, I don't see how this is not a 5 to 6 win team next year. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ASHKUM BEAR Posted December 23, 2024 Report Share Posted December 23, 2024 I don't think any rookies will be able to translate to wins early on as well. They may help solidify the gap but to expect all-star performances is not realistic. New coaching and 15 new starters means 500 at best if we are lucky. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted Thursday at 01:47 PM Author Report Share Posted Thursday at 01:47 PM Revisiting the schedule, now post-draft. Right off the bat, I will say the Bears split the division, but that could go plus or minus a win, so at worst 2-4, at best 4-2. Home DET - W GB - W MIN - W DAL - L (Really depends on which DAL team shows up, could go either way) NYG - W (Feels like an easy win) CLE - W (CLE has 5 QBs, and none are starter quality) PIT - W (Defense good, offense bad) NO - W (Feels like one of the easier games on the schedule) 7-1 at home Away DET - L GB - L MIN - L PHI - L (Super Bowl champs) WAS - W (should've beaten them with Flus) BAL - L (Tough matchup) CIN - W (Feels like a shootout in the making) SF - L (This game could go either way, give the edge to SF right now) LVR - W (Should be one of the easier road games) 3-6 on the road 10-7 record, with probably a +/-3, meaning 13-4 if EVERYTHING goes right, and 7-10 if everything goes wrong. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BearFan PHX Posted Thursday at 06:39 PM Report Share Posted Thursday at 06:39 PM 4 hours ago, adam said: Revisiting the schedule, now post-draft. Right off the bat, I will say the Bears split the division, but that could go plus or minus a win, so at worst 2-4, at best 4-2. Home DET - W GB - W MIN - W DAL - L (Really depends on which DAL team shows up, could go either way) NYG - W (Feels like an easy win) CLE - W (CLE has 5 QBs, and none are starter quality) PIT - W (Defense good, offense bad) NO - W (Feels like one of the easier games on the schedule) 7-1 at home Away DET - L GB - L MIN - L PHI - L (Super Bowl champs) WAS - W (should've beaten them with Flus) BAL - L (Tough matchup) CIN - W (Feels like a shootout in the making) SF - L (This game could go either way, give the edge to SF right now) LVR - W (Should be one of the easier road games) 3-6 on the road 10-7 record, with probably a +/-3, meaning 13-4 if EVERYTHING goes right, and 7-10 if everything goes wrong. good analysis - I think you've got it right. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinger226 Posted yesterday at 01:24 PM Report Share Posted yesterday at 01:24 PM With the talent we have and the coach, we have to have a winning record or it's a failed year. Probably means Caleb didn't get better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mongo3451 Posted yesterday at 01:39 PM Report Share Posted yesterday at 01:39 PM 20 minutes ago, Stinger226 said: With the talent we have and the coach, we have to have a winning record or it's a failed year. Probably means Caleb didn't get better. Agreed. The rest of our division plays it the same. Rumor has it that we are in the best division... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted 4 hours ago Author Report Share Posted 4 hours ago This season will be the true test of the value of a coaching staff and scheme. The Bears with the same roster as last year should've won 2-3 more games with just better coaching. If you add the roster differences between last year and this year, that change should double. No team made more roster upgrades than the Bears, and they technically made more upgrades than all the other teams in the division combined. CHI - Key Acquisitions: Thuney (80.0), OG, Jackson (67.6), OG, Dalman (78.8), C, Jarrett (62.1), DT, Odeyingbo (66.1), DE + Ben Johnson + Dennis Allen Top Draft Picks: Loveland, Burden, Trapilo, Turner Biggest losses: Allen, Jenkins (75.4), Walker Wild Card: Brisker's health SOS: 26th Summary: Huge coaching staff upgrade, at least 8 upgrades across the roster. (+4 to +6 wins) MIN - Key Acquisitions: Allen (56.0), DT, Fries (86.9), OG, Kelly, C (67.0). Top Draft Picks: Jackson, Felton Biggest losses: Sam Darnold (80.7), Cam Bynum Wild Card: McCarthy's health and performance, how many 1 score games can they win? SOS: 28th Summary: Huge downgrade at QB, upgraded OLine (-2 to -3 wins) DET - Key Acquisitions: Reed (70.7), CB Top Draft Picks: Williams, Ratledge, Teslaa Biggest losses: Carlton Davis III (74.5), Za'Darius Smith, Kevin Zeitler (86.5) + Ben Johnson + Aaron Glenn Wild Card: Hutchinson's health is a huge question mark. There were talks about him playing in the Super Bowl if they got there, and now in May he looks like an old man. SOS: 30th Summary: Upgrade DL, downgrade OL, huge downgrade in coaching staff (-3 to -4 wins) GB - Key Acquisitions: Banks (65.4), OG, Hobbs (61.4), CB Top Draft Picks: Golden, Belton, Williams Biggest losses: T.J. Slaton (DT), Josh Myers (C), AJ Dillon (RB) Wild Card: How many near INTs from Love will turn into actual INTs? SOS: 23rd Summary: No change (Golden replaces Watson) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinger226 Posted 4 hours ago Report Share Posted 4 hours ago I think they all drop off some as we got a lot better. Detroit/ new coaches, GB/ love not getting better, Minnesota/ new QB, Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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