#10 Pick Prediction

[adam]

We are 10 days away from the 2025 NFL Draft!

Give me your top 3 players that YOU believe will be selected by the Bears if they stay at #10.

I am going with

• Warren - TE (people have comped him to McBride, matchup problem, used like a WR3)
• Banks - OT (replaces Jones at LT Day 1)
• Grant - DT (If Dexter slides outside sometimes, DT is a bigger hole and needs to get younger quickly with Billings and Jarrett.)

After doing what feels like a million different mock drafts, and looking at the needs of the teams in front of the Bears, it feels like Ward and Sanders will go in the top 9. Hunter, Carter, and Graham are the 3 positional players that I am most sure of that won't be available at 10. I don't think Campbell, Jeanty, or McMillan fall either, but they are the possibles. That leaves Warren, Banks, and Membou from the consensus boards. 

Sanders again is the key. I think it goes Ward, Hunter, Sanders, Carter, Graham as the top 5. Then Jeanty - LV has huge hole at RB, Campbell - NYJ to protect Fields, McMillan - CAR needs a WR. That leaves NO. If Sanders is gone, they could actually pick Dart here, or go BPA, which is probably Barron. If NYG doesn't pick Sanders, I think NO takes him, making the top 9 unchanged, just scrambled. 

 

[Stinger226]

I agree with the players in the top 10 that are gone. 

Mine ( no particular order) 

Warren ( another weapon)

Javon Walker ( he's supposed to be one of the blue chip players, Allen with use as a blitzer, edge, rover)

Kenneth Grant ( Billings last year contract- Jarrett older) Akim Hicks player comparison 

[dawhizz]

In no particular order:

Ashton Jeanty - Literally the only potential top ten pick the Bears have reportedly brought in for a visit. Maybe he won’t be there but I have to believe he’s in the mix.

Will Campbell - Not my #1 choice, but good character guy with high RAS score and at worst he’s a very good to great guard. 

Mykel Williams, DE, Georgia - Biggest need, size is right for the Dennis Allen scheme, seems likely to be available. Another high character guy by all accounts.  Production not maybe what you want but wasn’t 100% healthy. 

[adam]

2 hours ago, Stinger226 said:

I agree with the players in the top 10 that are gone. 

Mine ( no particular order) 

Warren ( another weapon)

Javon Walker ( he's supposed to be one of the blue chip players, Allen with use as a blitzer, edge, rover)

Kenneth Grant ( Billings last year contract- Jarrett older) Akim Hicks player comparison 

 

2 hours ago, dawhizz said:

In no particular order:

Ashton Jeanty - Literally the only potential top ten pick the Bears have reportedly brought in for a visit. Maybe he won’t be there but I have to believe he’s in the mix.

Will Campbell - Not my #1 choice, but good character guy with high RAS score and at worst he’s a very good to great guard. 

Mykel Williams, DE, Georgia - Biggest need, size is right for the Dennis Allen scheme, seems likely to be available. Another high character guy by all accounts.  Production not maybe what you want but wasn’t 100% healthy. 

Another wild card is Dennis Allen, how much influence will he have on using the #10 pick on a defensive player?

[AZ54]

1 hour ago, adam said:

 

Another wild card is Dennis Allen, how much influence will he have on using the #10 pick on a defensive player?

I’ve been warming up to taking Mykel Williams at 10.  Premium position.  Premium talent.  Less than premium production.  

[dawhizz]

18 minutes ago, AZ54 said:

I’ve been warming up to taking Mykel Williams at 10.  Premium position.  Premium talent.  Less than premium production.  

Agree. If you take a closer look to the production of the bigger DEs that might fit our scheme, 5 sacks is almost three times what a healthy Shemar Stewart got, the same as Nic Scourton, and not that much less than James Pearce (7.5) and Landon Jackson (6.5). If he was injured all year and couldn’t put big time weight on that leg, and you project him to be healthy, maybe you have something. Of course, he ran a pretty slow 40 at the end of the year, so is that just what he is or what he still feeling the effects of the injury (which would be concerning to me). Much to consider. 

[AZ54]

3 hours ago, dawhizz said:

Agree. If you take a closer look to the production of the bigger DEs that might fit our scheme, 5 sacks is almost three times what a healthy Shemar Stewart got, the same as Nic Scourton, and not that much less than James Pearce (7.5) and Landon Jackson (6.5). If he was injured all year and couldn’t put big time weight on that leg, and you project him to be healthy, maybe you have something. Of course, he ran a pretty slow 40 at the end of the year, so is that just what he is or what he still feeling the effects of the injury (which would be concerning to me). Much to consider. 

Where did you find that time?   He didn’t run at the combine nor at the pro day as far as I can tell?   So it comes down to private workouts.  He’s long and rangy so I don’t expect him to be elite in the 10yd split    Against Texas inSEC title game he had 6 pressures 4 hurries and 2 sacks.  Against two Potential NFL OTs

[dawhizz]

27 minutes ago, AZ54 said:

Where did you find that time?   He didn’t run at the combine nor at the pro day as far as I can tell?   So it comes down to private workouts.  He’s long and rangy so I don’t expect him to be elite in the 10yd split    Against Texas inSEC title game he had 6 pressures 4 hurries and 2 sacks.  Against two Potential NFL OTs

 

[dawhizz]

11 minutes ago, dawhizz said:

 

To put this in further context:

-Pearce ran a 4.47 but is 20 pound lighter.

-Stewart ran a 4.59 and was about the same size at the combine  

-Pretty much the same 40 as Landon Jackson who is about the same size as Williams. 

[AZ54]

8 minutes ago, dawhizz said:

To put this in further context:

-Pearce ran a 4.47 but is 20 pound lighter.

-Stewart ran a 4.59 and was about the same size at the combine  

-Pretty much the same 40 as Landon Jackson who is about the same size as Williams. 

Isn’t Williams still really young?  

[dawhizz]

14 minutes ago, AZ54 said:

Isn’t Williams still really young?  

Yep. Turns 21 in June. 

[DABEARSDABOMB]

5 hours ago, dawhizz said:

 

He is the defensive player I’m taking if they want a linemen. He played hurt this year and still was good…his tools are great though. But what he showed grinding through hurt for his team was impressive. 

[DABEARSDABOMB]

Quite frankly I’d be fully game with Stewart. Production not quite there but we have a good coaching staff and his tools are ELITE. 

[DABEARSDABOMB]

My pick: 

Banks

Stewart

Mykel Williams 

[Stinger226]

I'm trying to find it but I read where one of these Edge players didn't have very many sacks but had 53 pressures. I'm thinking it was Pierce, buy can't find the article. It could have been Williams. 

[dawhizz]

Can someone explain the Tyler Warren thing to me?  I get that he is very good and a "weapon" but we currently have what I would say is an above average and possibly great TE that we just need to use.  I don't really see Warren doing things that I don't think Kmet can do.  Plus, I get that Ben Johnson will use the personnel he had, but even if Warren is used in both 2 TE sets and split out wide, Ben Johnson has really never used a 2nd TE much in his offenses and hasn't even really schemed a lot to get WR3 and WR4 touches, so how much are you really going to get out of Tyler Warren in his offense?  While he was there, the Lions never really went after a good TE2 or invested heavily on a WR3 or WR4, so I don't really see him doing it now.

[AZ54]

I’ve only got two for 10 

Walter Nolen

Mykel Williams.  

[BearFan PHX]

For me, it's (in order)

Banks
Jeanty
Graham
Nolen
Williams

I know that's five, if you need three, then just take the first three But I'd be happy with those five.

If you factor in

Abdul Carter
Travis Hunter
Cam Ward

then you gotta hope 2 more players go before us (Sanders? Campbell? Membou? Warren?) to get one from that first list.

I don't want to be stuck holding the bag on Tyler Warren or Membou. I think this is why we see all the articles about us wanting Warren, to shine him and our interest in him up for a possible trade down.

[Stinger226]

On 4/16/2025 at 1:27 AM, AZ54 said:

I’ve only got two for 10 

Walter Nolen

Mykel Williams.  

I expect us to take anyone of the blue chip players if there, otherwise Mykel Williams is my focus right now.

I heard a podcast and can't remember the football guy but he mentioned we were 6 deep at DT. Dexter, Billings, Jarrett, Cris Williams, Zach Pickens and Johnathan Ford. Lots of questions past the first 3 but we do have those bodies on the roster. DE is much thinner.

[adam]

I don't think they will go Edge in the 1st, Odeyingbo has a $20M cap hit in 2026 and $19.5M in 2027, I don't think Poles pays him that much to be Edge3.

Billings is on the last year of his deal, and Jarrett is older. If the talk of Dexter sliding outside is true, that makes Edge even less of a priority with a very high-draft pick.

Braxton is still recovering, his status is unknown and Kiran is still a question mark. OT has to be high on their list.

Kmet is the only TE signed past this season, if he gets injured, Smythe is TE1. So TE will be selected in the first 4 picks. 

OT, DT, TE, and RB will most likely be the first 4 picks. S and WR potentially in the 2nd or 3rd is someone drops.

 

[ASHKUM BEAR]

35 minutes ago, adam said:

I don't think they will go Edge in the 1st, Odeyingbo has a $20M cap hit in 2026 and $19.5M in 2027, I don't think Poles pays him that much to be Edge3.

Billings is on the last year of his deal, and Jarrett is older. If the talk of Dexter sliding outside is true, that makes Edge even less of a priority with a very high-draft pick.

Braxton is still recovering, his status is unknown and Kiran is still a question mark. OT has to be high on their list.

Kmet is the only TE signed past this season, if he gets injured, Smythe is TE1. So TE will be selected in the first 4 picks. 

OT, DT, TE, and RB will most likely be the first 4 picks. S and WR potentially in the 2nd or 3rd is someone drops.

 

Clear your cards!  We have a Bingo.

The Bears have to become successful at drafting and developing O and D lineman.  They have been trading picks and paying for FAs for far too long.  Draft the best LT and DT in round 1 and 2.  Draft line every year until you are set with youth in the top 3 rounds.

The silence on the top OT tells me they are blowing smoke.

 

 

[BearFan PHX]

40 minutes ago, ASHKUM BEAR said:

Clear your cards!  We have a Bingo.

The Bears have to become successful at drafting and developing O and D lineman.  They have been trading picks and paying for FAs for far too long.  Draft the best LT and DT in round 1 and 2.  Draft line every year until you are set with youth in the top 3 rounds.

The silence on the top OT tells me they are blowing smoke.

 

 

agree with all of this adam, and ASHKUM.

We either take OT, DL or HB with pick 10 I think.

If we take OT, then it's Kalen Johnson and a defensive player DL or S in the 2nd unless a dream WR or TE falls

If we take HB, then it's Ersery in the 2nd and a defensive player DL or S in the 2nd unless a dream WR or TE falls

If we take DL, TE or WR in the first, then it's Ersery and Kaleb Johnson in the 2nd.

So if we take TE or WR with the first pick, then theres no defensive help until round 3, which seems bad for Allen, so i think that kind of rules out TE or WR at 10

In the 3rd, you can look at DL, S, WR and TE

But 2 of the first three picks have to go to OT and HB I think. And then you try to get some defensive line help or possibly a safety.

 

[ASHKUM BEAR]

1 hour ago, BearFan PHX said:

agree with all of this adam, and ASHKUM.

We either take OT, DL or HB with pick 10 I think.

If we take OT, then it's Kalen Johnson and a defensive player DL or S in the 2nd unless a dream WR or TE falls

If we take HB, then it's Ersery in the 2nd and a defensive player DL or S in the 2nd unless a dream WR or TE falls

If we take DL, TE or WR in the first, then it's Ersery and Kaleb Johnson in the 2nd.

So if we take TE or WR with the first pick, then theres no defensive help until round 3, which seems bad for Allen, so i think that kind of rules out TE or WR at 10

In the 3rd, you can look at DL, S, WR and TE

But 2 of the first three picks have to go to OT and HB I think. And then you try to get some defensive line help or possibly a safety.

 

And the way it looks, the 1st Rd RB will be gone at 6.  The Bears need to hype up Membo, Warren, and Walker and pray 2 or 3 QBs go.  

I'd love to see Campbell and Banks there at 10 to see who they would take. 

Couple more arm length tidbits.

Robert Gallery had 32.4

Joe Thomas had 33.8 "

Jason Peters 33-1/8

Taylor Lewan 33.9"

Will Campbell 32.7"

Kelvin Banks. 33.5"

[AZ54]

42 minutes ago, ASHKUM BEAR said:

And the way it lookss, the 1st Rd RB will be gone at 6.  The Bears need to hype up Membo, Warren, and Walker and pray 2 or 3 QBs go.  

I'd love to see Campbell and Banks there at 10 to see who they would take. 

Couple more arm length tidbits.

Robert Gallery had 32.4

Joe Thomas had 33.8 "

Jason Peters 33-1/8

Taylor Lewan 33.9"

Will Campbell 32.7"

Kelvin Banks. 33.5"

That’s an easy decision. Banks

[BearFan PHX]

47 minutes ago, ASHKUM BEAR said:

And the way it lookss, the 1st Rd RB will be gone at 6.  The Bears need to hype up Membo, Warren, and Walker and pray 2 or 3 QBs go.  

I'd love to see Campbell and Banks there at 10 to see who they would take. 

Couple more arm length tidbits.

Robert Gallery had 32.4

Joe Thomas had 33.8 "

Jason Peters 33-1/8

Taylor Lewan 33.9"

Will Campbell 32.7"

Kelvin Banks. 33.5"

It just depends on how you move i think. Thats why watching them play football is the best measure. If your feet are a little better then your arm length can be a little shorter etc. Longer is better of course, but it isnt the only thing.
 

 

11 minutes ago, AZ54 said:

That’s an easy decision. Banks

I see it that way too - pretty strongly, but if both are on the board and the bears take Campbell, I'll be willing to see if they were right, and rooting for him of course.

I just honestly believe they see the same thing I see, which scares me about other teams taking Membou or Campbell first - they see the tape too.