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Week 12 Official Game Thread - PIT @ CHI, Nov 23rd, 12PM CST, CBS, CHI -2.5


adam

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Looks like the odds will start at Bears -1.5 but they opened at -2.5, and it may change again with injury news.

The Steelers are in the bottom half of the league for offense and defense. With the schedule about to get extremely tough, this becomes another game they need to win.

Bears 27-20.

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10 minutes ago, Mongo3451 said:

You can delete this after reading.  What the heck is going on with all of these trashy click baits as we open the site?  Some of this crap is offensive to see and I'm a perv.

I have a popup blocker on, so I don't see any ads. Is there some crazy stuff going on in the ads?

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2 hours ago, Mongo3451 said:

You can delete this after reading.  What the heck is going on with all of these trashy click baits as we open the site?  Some of this crap is offensive to see and I'm a perv.

Brave browser and I get the full Sgt Shultz treatment... I see nothing.  

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2 hours ago, Mongo3451 said:

You can delete this after reading.  What the heck is going on with all of these trashy click baits as we open the site?  Some of this crap is offensive to see and I'm a perv.

hahahaha

Get an ad blocker for sure!

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Must win. Steelers aren't good on either side of the ball, but will present a better challenge on offense than the Vikings did with McCarthy. TJ Edwards and Kyler Gordon need to come back this week.

10 wins might not be enough to get in this year. Highly unlikely they can get to 11 without this win.

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PIT only sacked Flacco once. Chase Brown had 99 yards rushing on 5.5 YPC.  Flacco targeted Chase and Higgins 18 times and they only had 6 receptions. 

Rodgers had a 38.2 QBR and Rudolph had a 25.1 QBR against CIN. For Rodgers, that follows a game against LAC where he had a 4.5 QBR. Rodgers has looked really old and slow the last two weeks. 

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Looks like Rodgers won't play, still possible, but unlikely. So it will be Mason Rudolph. Can't lose to another backup QB after losing to BAL. They need to take care of business and get right at Soldier Field on Sunday. Sunday weather is forecasted in the high 40s to low 50s, partly cloudy, perfect football weather. Bears by double digits!

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PIT is a common opponent in the Division race, so this game does have tie-breaker importance beyond just a Win vs Loss. 

8-3 with 6 games left would really set the Bears up for no less than a Wild Card berth. 

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Bears OFF +0.02 x PIT DEF -0.04 / -0.01 x 66.7 plays= (-0.67 DIFF)   
25.8 Bears O x 23.2 PIT D + DIFF = 23.8 (24 pts)

PIT OFF -0.04 x Bears DEF -0.05 / -0.045 x 57.1 plays= (-2.57 DIFF)    
24.6 PIT O x 26.4 Bears D + DIFF = 22.9 (23 pts)

Congunkulator shows a close game 24-23, but that is with Rodgers at QB. If it is Rudolph, you have to believe that is at least 3 pts less for PIT, making it a 24-20 game. 

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I didn't realize PIT had the worst passing defense in the league, worse than DAL and CIN (in terms of yardage) and in the bottom half of the league in terms of QB Pressure:

PIT OFFENSE: 
22nd Passing
29th Rushing

PIT DEFENSE: 
32nd Passing
13th Rushing
 

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Playing Pitt will be a physical game and will take advantage of mistakes much like we do. They have been Minny-NE-Colts which arent considered bad teams. Only two teams have went over 120 rushing against them this year. Their defense is much like ours, bad stats and make big plays. Offensively they (if Rundolph) will be throwing a lot to RBs and their TEs.  All under stuff like we seen against Minny. We need a better game from Caleb and we will be in the drivers seat. 

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