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  2. We're going to see a lot of difference in QB play between Rattler and a returning Jackson...after a bye. Add in they are 1-5 and they're looking for a strong and convincing bounce back game. Right now the Bears rank 26th total defense and 31st in Rushing defense - a strong concern when you have players like Jackson and Henry on the slate. The Ravens offense (without Jackson) is ranked 29th in Passing and 23rd in total offense. They are 10th when measuring their rushing production. Sure the Bears leading the NFL in takeaways is great but the offense needs to be able to do something with it when given the chance. Conversely (and as Adam pointed out) the Ravens defense ranks 29th in total defense, 28th in pass defense and 26th in rush defense. There is the chance the Bears can go go back and forth with them throughout the game but they'd have to start scoring from the minute they step out of the tunnel to do it...Or so I think.
  3. Beyond the struggles of Caleb during this last game, I noted a few things that were interesting: 1) the running game seemed to focus more on inside zone rushing this time vs outside zone (or so it seemed from a TV viewership perspective). And as is typical with Swift, the more he ran, the longer the gains...especially late in the game. Monangai even benefitted and of the two is a much better inside runner. 2) despite the promise to improve on it, our TEs were still pretty un-involved. Unless you count their being used for blocking. This could be in part because Caleb kept looking long (and predominantly #15) but still, after halftime it seems that would have been discussed at least and changed to some level
  4. Today
  5. Mongo3451

    2024 vs 2025

    Look at our 3rd down efficiency on O and D. It's a pleasant improvement.
  6. Since the Hail Mary game, Daniels has now went 14 games without passing for 280 yards and has went 8 straight without a Comp% over 75. I still think it is wild that a QB can be getting so much hype for passing for 222 yards against TEN.
  7. adam

    2024 vs 2025

    Now thru 6 games, the sample size is more meaningful. In 2024, the offense had a league low 283.5 yds a game (32nd), averaged 18.2 pts per game (28th), with a -0.13 EPA/Play (26th). In 2025, the offense is 13th in YPG at 346.5, averaging 25.3 pts per game (11th) with an EPA/Play of -0.01 (T-13th). So points up 7.1 pts per game, yardage up 63 yards per game, and EPA/P up 0.12 per play. I would say that is tangible improvement across the board from last season. QBP Rate and sacks are also down. On defense, the Bears are 25th in pts allowed, at 25.8 PPG, 25th in YPG at 350.0, yet their EPA/Play is -0.09, good for 8th. Last year the defense was 27th in YPG at 354.2, but only 13th in PPG at 21.8, and their EPA/Play was -0.05, good for 14th. So the team is allowing 4 more pts per game, 4 fewer yards, and are 0.04 better per play. The net differential is basically a FG, which makes sense that the Bears are now winning close games they were losing last year. That all equates to the 12th best offense and 19th best defense thru 6 games, the 16th best team, and they currently hold the 7th seed in the NFC heading into MNF.
  8. D'Andre Swift has the 2nd most runs of 10+ yards with 15. Taylor leads the league with 18. However, Taylor has 42 more carries than Swift, so Swift technically has more +10 yard rushes per attempt than anyone in the NFL (16.9%). Gibbs+Montgomery have 15 combined.
  9. This game is a completely different story if the refs called an even game. It is a 40-10 blowout. Same for last week. The silver lining is the old Bears would shit their pants and lose. This is a different team.
  10. Caleb is currently 19th in QB Rating, 17th in Passing Yards per game, not that you would know it, but he has a higher per game average than Nix, Daniels, and Rattler. Penix has him by 9 yards and Maye by 24 yards. There are 18 QBs who have taken more sacks than him and only 5 QBs with fewer INTs with the same number of attempts. Caleb's biggest issue is accuracy which impacts the Comp%. If that improves, he magically becomes a top 10 QB overnight from a top 15-20 right now.
  11. As much as the passing game and Caleb need to improve, they have scored 21 or more in every game. I think there was so much emphasis put on the run game over the bye that it may have impacted the passing game a little bit. Again, no excuses, Caleb has to be more accurate. Odunze needs to catch the ball, and the Bears need to get some calls go there way or at least not have bogus calls against them.
  12. I think it will be close, maybe a team scores late to make it look worse, but I think the game will be back and forth all game within a score. The Ravens haven't scored much with Jackson out, but that doesn't discount the fact that their defense has allowed 37, 38, 41, and 44 pts in 4 of their 5 losses. I think the Bears will be in the mid-20s again, maybe hit 30, while the Ravens will be in that same range. Either team can win 31-21 and I would not be surprised. Would it have made a difference if the Bears scored on the last drive instead of running the clock out to make it 33-14?
  13. our defense was a double edged sword. all in all our run defense has improved a lot. our pass defense was good and bad in coverage. the scheme was also up and down. when we went into the soft zones they ripped us apart. limiting our rush on the qb didn't help. if we go into these soft zones, every play will give up 5-10 yards with an easy reception. most of these came when their qb had open lanes and all the time in the world with no hurry. if this were even a mediocre team we could have lost this game.
  14. Exactly with quicker recognition and accuracy. Better decision making would help to . Several of those throwaways he could have run. These are the same issues Fields had, but Caleb have shown to be better than that. What bothered me was he was always good at throwing on the run, and Im not sure he hit one of those passes. I am the thumbs up guy so Im all in but this year will determine his being great or being average. The rest of the year will tell the story.
  15. I disagree, I think if we get less penalties and Caleb improves his % to his average 62% we will stay close. After two losses, people were saying we have no identity and that was true. Now after the bye week we found it. Run the ball and play the run defense better. The TOs are huge and as much as we struggle to get sacks we are putting enough pressure to force some of those TOs. I think most games are going to go down to the wire because whether we great play from the QB or not, we are reliant on the run game to set the tempo. The play action is the key to improve the QB play. Caleb is still making bad choices, he is honing in on one target and missing other open players. When he holds the ball he is great at avoiding the sack but needs to get in position to see the dump off target. Several times he could have run and moved to buy time to throw down field. When he holds the ball to long, it allows the coverage to catch up to his target. I remember one throw to DJ over the middle, the announcers said DJ took to long to look at the ball. The ball was 3 ft behind him. Had Caleb led the WR, the ball would have been where the WR eyes were fixed. I find it interesting that our hope for the future is a high end QB, yet in Doug Buffone speak, run the ball and stop the run is what has got us to 4 wins.
  16. Different defensive coordinators are trying different methods to get into Caleb's head. It worked today. That will give Caleb and Johnson a week to learn from it. Every new thing Caleb sees and then learns is one less thing that can trip him up later. Its a process. And Tremaine Edmunds has been moved to SLB from MLB, and thats going to get him more tackles and put him in good positions to be impactful
  17. I can't put a finger on Caleb yet. What I do know is he is not Justin Fields. He can work the middle of the field. Caleb also shows the ability to work through progressions and stay in the pocket. What I want to see is quicker recognition and accuracy. IMO, the arrow is up and can't wait to see it ...
  18. Caleb looked far less comfortable today than anytime since the first 2 weeks of the season. Lately he's looked very good early on in games and then some struggles settle in as adjustments are made and we get off script. I have to wonder how much the short week played into that where he gets one less day of reviewing the game plan. Given how much focus Ben has put on getting the running game going, which I think is the right thing to do, is that taking practice snaps away from the passing game? Overall Caleb had time to throw on most downs either he didn't read the defense right or nobody was open on a lot of these. Film studies will be out tomorrow but my take is this was not a good game for him. The running game continues to shine and that just feels good. Who is responsible for making Tremaine Edmunds a beast? Lately he's playing like he's on a mission. Until the last few games I don't recall seeing him play with violence like we've seen in recent games. To be fair the entire D is playing with that intensity. The D still has some holes to fill but playing with effort and (mal) intent is how it should be done. Dennis Allen has them doing that.
  19. I see a side of Dennis Allen I’ve never seen before. Then just like that it’s over and he’s on to next week.
  20. I would be shocked if the Bears are within 2 touchdowns of BAL. Going to have to get better quarterback play to beat a team desperate for a win with their MVP quarterback coming back to play. This is a mega important game for Caleb to get back on track, because things have been trending in a negative direction for him for 3 weeks now. This is supposed to be the soft part of the Bears schedule with all these bad defenses. If he can't put up numbers now, I think we're going to start having some harsher conversations about him in the not so distant future.
  21. Week 7 - Nix with a huge comeback, 33 pts scored in the 4th quarter, Maye with a solid game against TEN. Rattler threw 3 INTs and lost a fumble and his QBR dropped less than Williams, who plummeted from 60.4 to 52.0, his worst game of the season, and worst since NE last season where he had a 11.9. 1. Maye - 96.4 QBR - 222 yds. 2 TD, 0 INT, 4 sacks, and 62 rushing yds. 284 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 77.1, 1744 yards, 12-2 TD-INT 2. Nix - 82.4 QBR - 279 yds, 2 TD, 0 INT, 2 sacks, and 48 rushing yds. 327 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 56.2, 1556 yards, 11-4 TD-INT 3. Rattler - 30.5 QBR - 233 yds, 2 TD, 3 INT, 4 Sacks, and 12 rushing yds. 245 Total Yards. Lost. / Season QBR: 55.7, 1450 yards, 8-4 TD-INT, 1 FL 4. Williams - 19.8 QBR - 172 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sack. 170 Total Yards. Won / Season QBR: 52.0, 1351 yards, 9-3 TD-INT 5. Penix - 30.0 QBR - 241 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 2 Sacks, and 6 rushing yds. 247 Total Yards. Lost. / Season QBR: 48.3, 1409 yards, 5-3 TD-INT, 1 FL 6. Daniels - 45.8 QBR - 156 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 2 sacks, and 35 rushing yds. 191 Total Yards. Lost. / Season QBR: 51.8, 875 yards, 7-1 TD-INT, 2 FL 7. McCarthy - Always hurt / Season QBR: 23.9 (Last in NFL), 301 yards, 2-3 TD-INT
  22. The OPI penalty today on Loveland was crazy. He was standing there in ready to catch position for quite a while before the defender ran into him. In basketball that would be a charge on the defensive back. Crazy. Im not a conspiracy theorist, so Ill just say i hope the bad calls get evened out over time with calls to our advantage. But i can see why some people might think it was on purpose, because they really are awful calls.
  23. I think any time you hit the QB in the head they will call it, even though I thought that one was weak. Check out the play where Caleb avoids the sack and gets the pass to Swift. The DT takes an extra step after the ball came out to then land all his body weight on the QB. That is always a penalty. No call. Loveland's OPI call (now in back to back weeks). Saints RT false start on first TD, would've basically forced a FG.
  24. I agree with all of that. I just keep repeating - it will be uneven this year, and it should be more consistent and even in the back end of the season. I with it was crisp right now, but it takes time I think. I also have faith that BJ will get us there, and ride the team hard to make it so.
  25. Yesterday
  26. Johnson did call a good game. Just like last week though, a couple of bogus calls negate positive plays. They may not be much in the big scheme of things, but they add up. It is the difference between 57% and 65% Comp, 172 Yards Passing and 220. Only one sack. A lot of QBs struggling. Love with under 90 Yards passing thru the 3rd Quarter in ARZ. Nix under 100 and being shutout by the Giants.
  27. I've been looking at the roughing the passer rules, because I truly don't understand how that penalty was called on Brisker. He hit the QB's arm while the ball was being thrown and the follow through brushed the QB's head. Isn't there a provision in there where you are making a play on the ball? Kinda like blocking a punt and blowing up the punter in the process... Jason, can you elaborate?
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