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There has never been a QB to pass for 7K Passing Yards, 45 Pass TDs, with 15 or fewer INTs in their first two seasons. Williams needs 59 Pass Yds and 2 TDs without throwing 4 picks in the last 2 weeks to hit that mark. To break this down, there have only been 18 QBs to hit 7K, of those only 13 with 45 Pass TDs, and none with fewer than 17 INTs. If you include Rushing Yards (800) and remove the INTs, the only QB left is Kyler Murray who had 7,693 Pass Yds, 46 TD, 24 INT, and 1,363 Rush Yards. Williams has half the INTs with 2 games to go. A 50% difference in any raw stat is massive. Kind of funny, but Williams comps to Murray and Luck, while Nix comps to Bortles and Carr, for the first two years of their careers.
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Week 16 Official Game Thread - GB @ CHI, 7:20pm, SAT, 12/20, FOX, CHI +3
Alaskan Grizzly replied to adam's topic in Bearstalk
Absolutely right! Merry Christmas to you as well. Thanks for stopping by. -
2024 QB Class Totals: 1. Nix - 7,383 Pass Yds, 53 TD, 22 INT, 41 Sacks, 659 Rush Yds, 8 Rush TD, 8 4QC 2. Williams - 6,941 Pass Yds, 43 TD, 12 INT, 91 Sacks, 858 Rush Yds, 3 Rush TD, 1 Rec TD, 8 4QC 3. Maye - 6,223 Pass Yds, 40 TD, 18 INT, 80 Sacks, 808 Rush Yds, 6 Rush TD, 1 4QC ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 4. Daniels - 4,830 Pass Yds, 33 TD, 12 INT, 65 Sacks, 1169 Rush Yds, 8 Rush TD, 4 4QC ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ 5. Rattler - 2,930 Pass Yds, 12 TD, 10 INT, 40 Sacks, 313 Rush Yds, 0 Rush TD, 0 4QC 6. Penix - 2,757 Pass Yds, 12 TD, 6 INT, 17 Sacks, 81 Rush Yds, 2 Rush TD, 0 4QC 9. McCarthy - 1,450 Pass Yds, 11 TD, 12 INT, 27 Sacks, 174 Rush Tds, 4 Rush TD, 1 4QC Two interesting nuggets not in the stats, but in the splits. Williams has the highest Play-Action rate, 29%, compared to Maye at 19%, and Nix at 15% (almost double Nix). The splits are similar to Shotgun vs Under Center, where Williams has the most time Under Center at 37%, Maye at 30%, and Nix at 25%. Thru 32 potential games, Williams is 2nd in Pass Yds, 2nd in Pass TDs, 1st in INT%, 3rd in Sack%, 2nd in Rush Yds, and T-1st in 4QCs. The top tier is clearly Nix, Williams, and Maye, and all for different reasons. Daniels would be in there, but durability and injuries were always the risk. I don't know what Atlanta or Minnesota were thinking moving off Cousins and Darnold for Penix and McCarthy were always head scratchers, and after Year 2, they look worse. Darnold is a top 5 QB and Cousins is at least serviceable.
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EPA/Play: CHI OFF: T-9th CHI DEF: T-11th SF OFF: T-9th SF DEF: T-23rd Offenses are identical in efficiency, but the 49ers defense is one of the worst on a play-by-play basis.
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Christmas came early for bear's fans, I totally thought we lost that game , down 10 with 2:30 left in the game. Make no mistake, these next 2 games will not be easy but we could win both. Seattle doesn't have an easy schedule.
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I just watched that and was going to post this. You beat me to it.
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Week 16 Official Game Thread - GB @ CHI, 7:20pm, SAT, 12/20, FOX, CHI +3
50england50 replied to adam's topic in Bearstalk
Also why wasn’t the cheap shot the DB did to Moore in the first quarter, not called, which will make him feel sore today. For me that was a Charles Martin type play. I was disappointed that Rome and Luther weren’t fit to play, but it might bode well over the next 2 games, if it helps them to be fully fit. It’s a shame our dline is not stronger. I hope this is not something that affects us in the playoffs. -
What a turn around in Ben Johnson’s first season. Looks like a fantastic signing for the Bears because it improved us, but made the Lions worse. Poles needs a pat on the back for finally putting together a strong roster, especially what he achieved at the guard and centre of the O line. Let's hope we can at least get the 2nd seed and host a playoff game. Finally, Merry Christmas to my Bears friends, this year has been so different to what we have had to put up with recently. One more win and we will win what is likely the hardest division in the NFL.
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for sure, we need all of it, DT and DE. our D line is invisible. Dexter probably moves to 1T? We need a really active 3T and a stud DE too. It's incredible we've won all these games without them. It's kind of cool knowing exactly what we need. Usually the problems have been systematic, this offseason, it's all about D line. Makes it obvious. Of course there will be turnover at other positions too. But we can bet that first pick is going to the D line. And hopefully some unexpected major free agent move and accompanying suddenly found cap space?
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Not sure which angle you saw but on the film breakdown I only see the DB look back once and then for the last ten yards of that play his eyes are only on DJ.
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Without the defense scoring
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Hopefully he is praying with the rest of us
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All that mattered happened. Merry Christmas everyone
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What's amazing is we did this with Caleb not at the height of his game. Wait until he gets consistent. This is a 40 point a game team. The modern NFL is about offense and we have arrived. Next year: Caleb - Bagent Swift -Monongai- Brown - rookie DJ- Rome-Burden-Walker-rookie Loveland - Kmet If the Bears trade any players it will on the defensive side of the ball. They're building a killer offense, what would they subtract?
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The ending to that Lions game was ridiculous. The Lions got every questionable call, and the Steelers kept shooting themselves in the foot with boneheaded decisions. That fat TE for PIT ruined two scoring drives, one his own fumble and the other was a penalty-negating touchdown that kept Detroit alive. I'm just glad we don't have to fret anymore about needing another win to get in, and can instead focus on trying to get the highest seed possible.
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Moore has 129 regular season games without a playoff appearance, Billings is at 107g, Jaylon Johnson at 75g (he missed the one in 2020), Daly is at 74g, and Dalman is at 72g. Jaylon is the longest tenured Bear without a playoff appearance. This is feeling more and more sustainable every week.
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The offense needs to control the ball more than 2-1/2 minutes to help the D too. Seems like GB would march the whole field were the Bears were 3 and out. I almost feel the Bears need a stud or two at DT more than the DE. Billings is not the same force as he was a year or two ago.
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Let’s hope it’s the first of a shitton of playoffs for these players!!!
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I am really happy for the dudes that have never been to the playoffs, like DJ Moore. Been in the league for awhile and this will be his first playoff game, and he earned it.
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Bears get 2 extra days rest with Christmas wedged in there. Might be a high scoring affair as SF's defense is not that good without Warner and Bosa. We will see how they look on MNF.
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The 11-4 Bears travel to SF to take on the current 10-4 49ers. A primetime matchup of two teams that earned a playoff berth with Detroit crapping their pants. McCaffrey accounts for 23.6% of the targets, and has 10 games with over 105 scrimmage yards. He accounts for 34.8% of the 49ers yards from scrimmage. The Bears have to figure out a way to contain him, especially in the passing game. Surprisingly, he has been mediocre running the ball this year with his lowest career YPC at 3.6. He has a -31.0 Rush EPA, which puts him in the bottom 10 of the league in that category. SF will be coming off playing in Indy on MNF. 2 fewer days rest than the Bears with the Bears travel being cancelled by the 49ers travel back home from Indy. Advantage Bears. Warner and Bosa have been out, and that is not the same 49ers defense. They have played better of late, but EPA/Play-wise, their defense is 23rd, but 9th in scoring, 16th in Yards (10th against the Rush, 20th against the Pass), T-21st in Takeaways. So at best this is about a top 15 defense. Compared to GB, CLE, PHI, and PIT, this will be the easiest defense the Bears have faced in quite some time. Their offense is 12th in scoring and 11th in yards, and McCaffrey makes up over a 1/3 of that. It is wild to me that an RB leads the team in targets with 108, followed by Jennings at 74, and Kittle at 54. However, it seems like slowing McCaffrey down running the ball is the key. They are 8-0 when he rushes for at least 55 yards, and 2-4 when he doesn't. They are 0-3 when he rushes for under 50. I am picking the Bears, but I think the score will be dictated by the IND game somewhat. If it is high scoring, I think the Bears win 33-24 or something along those lines, a 2-score win while scoring 30+. If the IND game is low scoring, then I see it more like 24-17 Bears, more like a 6-8 point win.
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Bears play at SF on a short week and could play there again for the big dance.
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What a turn around this year has been.
