Everything posted by AZ54
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๐ Week 14 Official Game Thread ๐ CHI@GB, Dec 7th, 325PM CST, FOX, CHI +6.5
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Kswu-PAfj90
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๐ Week 14 Official Game Thread ๐ CHI@GB, Dec 7th, 325PM CST, FOX, CHI +6.5
Iโm not happy we lost but watching a couple film studies of Ozzy made me smile. He was shaky early but you can see him gaining confidence as the game went on and in the second half he was rag dolling Parsons. I do mean tossing him around. Beyond that, it was head on a swivel, picking up stunts, quick feet to redirect when he lost leverage. He wasnโt perfect in the game for sure but I have no doubt we have a starting LT. One more big test with Myles Garrett but heโll be ready for Rd 2 against Green Bay.
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How long is Calebโs leash?
You are comparing Lovie's ending with Johnson's beginning.
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How long is Calebโs leash?
TE was still open. Ball was under thrown which is common when throwing football in very cold weather. We saw that all game from both QBs.but definitively more from Caleb.
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๐ Week 14 Official Game Thread ๐ CHI@GB, Dec 7th, 325PM CST, FOX, CHI +6.5
Ben going for the win, pretty sure if we scored we were going for 2. I like that. With no pass rush we're not going deep into the playoffs. So just throw it all out there. This year is so different with clear changes for the better in the 2nd half on offense. We have definitely closed the gap with the playoff contenders. Now we need the icing on top.
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๐ Week 14 Official Game Thread ๐ CHI@GB, Dec 7th, 325PM CST, FOX, CHI +6.5
Listened to Olin yesterday. He said the Eagles defensive front was trying to flow to the ball and our Oline was just washing them out of the play. The best way to stop the cut backs we were running is to go upfield and get penetration. From what I've seen in film of the Eagles game, you can keep one of the LBs backside to stay in that gap. Yet that removes a player or two from the front side of the play. You can replace one gap with a safety. Or what the Vikings did in our 2nd game was blitzing a CB or two off the edge to counter both the run game or go get your QB. Word is the Packers generally are a zone coverage defense with 2 safeties back. Are they going to commit a safety to the box? I don't see them changing a lot of the zone coverage to man especially as that zone helps keep eyes on Caleb when he's running. Whatever they try to do, Olin doesn't expect their DTs to hold up well against our Oline. Single high is risky against our receivers but with cold weather and Caleb's inaccuracies you could bet that he won't complete many.
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2025 Schedule/Opponents - Oh boy
Any road game on a short week is always a tall task regardless of records. Makes the win that much better.
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The Ben Johnson Effect
Wow. I've been wondering about that stat but didn't know where to find it.
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๐ Week 14 Official Game Thread ๐ CHI@GB, Dec 7th, 325PM CST, FOX, CHI +6.5
Packers passed over Burden and took Golden in Rd 1 He said heโd remember the teams that passed on him. I hope heโs dialed in to the playbook this week.
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๐ Week 14 Official Game Thread ๐ CHI@GB, Dec 7th, 325PM CST, FOX, CHI +6.5
Does anyone know how long heโs been playing with the stress fracture in his foot?
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๐ Week 14 Official Game Thread ๐ CHI@GB, Dec 7th, 325PM CST, FOX, CHI +6.5
I don't think Rome has had a bad season at all. There have been a few bad drops, and some missed throws from Caleb, but he's 9th in the NFL in receptions over 20 yards and 15th in 1st down receptions. That's not a bad place to be for a 2nd year receiver in a new offense. There were a lot of growing pains with the offense in the first 4-5 weeks and there still are things to work out. His big play ability is something defenses must account for.
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2025 Schedule/Opponents - Oh boy
Branch is the joker in that defense and that's going to be a big loss in their secondary.
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OL...
Say what.... I've never heard or seen this metric before. No clue how they grade players but regardless, I'm shocked to see our rookie on the list in just his 2nd game as a starter at LT against the Eagles. I hope one of y'all put money down on that bet having any NFL week with 2 Bears OTs ranked in the top 7.
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OL...
If you want to see how diabolical Ben Johnson is, this is my absolute favorite film breakdown of the year. Now it's crystal clear why his offense is so complex in all the options he wants to present to a defense, yet simple when you see the actual play run, and finally why he demands so much precision from his offensive players. To put all of that together with the timing for the various motions, snap timing, option routes, option blocks (shown in the Oline Committee video), etc. is why it's taken this team so many weeks to get to this point and we still have room to grow.
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2026 Roster - Early Look
I still think he could have had the Arizona Cardinals job but the sticking point was Kyler Murray. I don't think he wanted to commit to Murray who the owner's had just given a big extension. There is no way to ever know but seeing Murray get benched and about to move on to his future as a bridge QB for QB-desperate teams I'd like to know what the Bidwill's are thinking now. If that were true, would you come back to the former GM candidate who was correct in his QB assessment?
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OL...
The cat is out of the bag. I always watch several film breakdowns each week. This week there are so many Bears film breakdowns it is insane. Iโm not even talking about the short take stuff from big media orgs which I find to be mostly useless blather. These guys are just fun to listen to and they catch some small details that I donโt ever hear in the usual play breakdowns reviews
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Year 2 QB QBR Tracker
I've only seen 3 quarters of a Broncos game. You give me season long stats which does not inform about the types of passes made. https://www.pro-football-reference.com/years/2025/passing_advanced.htm Caleb has 8.4 Intended Air Yd/Att, Nix 7.6. (FWIW last is Aaron Rodgers at 5.8) Caleb has faced 110 blitzes vs. 67 for Nix. The 2nd year QB who is leading the pack is Drake Maye and I think I'm going to go watch a little more of that game.
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2025 Schedule/Opponents - Oh boy
just another example where this Bears coaching staff has resuscitated a players career.
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Year 2 QB QBR Tracker
I watched most of the Broncos game curious about Bo Nix. All I could think of was he is the second coming of Jacoby Brissett. Almost everything he threw was an outlet or underneath route. Those deep intermediate throws we see from Caleb each week over LBs and between safeties non existent. Moving Safeties with his eyes โฆnon existent. When he did get a little pressure his eyes came down very quickly. I canโt see how the Broncos short passing game wins playoff games. I think the best way to put it is that I expected to see some of the Sean Payton Drew Brees type of offense. That was old offense was nowhere to be found. I share the frustration with some of Calebโs missed throws but IMO what he is doing on offense is much more advanced than what Nix is doing. I'm confident Ben Johnson is pushing Caleb in the right direction.
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2026 Roster - Early Look
The number one thing I think Iโve learned in the last two weeks is that we have far too much money invested in our LBs. Weโre getting decent production out of special teams caliber players. I realize weโre still a better team with Edwards and Edmunds on the field. In many ways scheme was simplified. We also faced Mason Rudolph and a moribund Eagles O. With better DBs returning to the field LB weaknesses can be covered up somewhat. If we have to rely on Edwardโs, Hipolyte and a rookie or Sewell, Demarco Jackson I think weโll be alright DJ Moore is the most obvious trade target to get us more cap space. Edmundโs is the most obvious cut. I have to say I believe DJ adds more value to the team. We might do both but it will depend on return for DJ. Iโd like a 3rd Rd pick but maybe we can find a late 2nd Rd offer.
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๐ Week 14 Official Game Thread ๐ CHI@GB, Dec 7th, 325PM CST, FOX, CHI +6.5
Given that, and using it as sort of a baseline for the team, then we can add in the gameday tweaks.
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๐ Week 14 Official Game Thread ๐ CHI@GB, Dec 7th, 325PM CST, FOX, CHI +6.5
While that is interesting, I don't know what algorithm they are using and I can't see how a season long statistical trend is relevant when you add in Gordon, Johnson, and remove Wyatt and Kraft from Green Bay. Add in Trapilo giving up less pressure off the left edge than the consistent push back into the QB we saw with Theo.
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2026 Roster - Early Look
If weโre going to carry a pure NT type on the roster Iโd replace Billings with the Big Citrus out of Iowa State in rd 3. Bigger faster maybe not stronger because Billings is a beast. Both have a love for the buffet. Better length helps Orange as a space eater whereas Billings gets moved around a lot. Iowa Stateโs defensive scheme is pure garbage. I think better coaching can get more out of Orange but Iโm not going to say there is huge upside. Then again Iโm talking about round 3 but he can become a good piece in your DT rotation which is a lot more than we get from Billings. https://www.profootballnetwork.com/domonique-orange-nfl-draft-week-10-2025/
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๐ Week 13 Official Black Friday Game Thread ๐ CHI@PHI, Nov 28th, 2PM CST, AMZ, CHI +6.5
Dayo doesnโt have enough strength to hold up outside much less do anything inside. Any winning he does inside is coming off a stunt but you canโt live by that. Booker and the new DE are both playing the edge better. We have to hope Dayo responds to the competition because cutting him is painful next year with at best a $17mil cap hit. If we draft an edge high it seems more likely Turner moves inside which is where they had him earlier this season before needing help at DE, then IR. We really need an interior pass rusher anyway.
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OL...
Ozzy is already better than Theo and peak Braxton. Heโs not perfect but there wonโt be any looking back now because any team can win with how well he is playing right now. It only gets better from here. Iโm watching this film a second time because it is fun watching Darnell against Jalen Carter. Itโs fun watching Dalman against Jordan Davis so might need to have a 3rd view. This Dline is very talented so our guys did not win on every snap but they won the vast majority of them.