Everything posted by adam
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Fields-O-Meter
Love has been incredibly lucky. He had 2x guaranteed INTs turn into TDs; literally tipped up by a defender to a different WR. Just like in hockey, their is puck luck. Eventually that dries up. I feel like he is going to be one of those top 10-20 QBs, not a future HoFer or perennial to top 5 QB. Hell, he has 1x 300 yard game all year, and zero 4 TD passing games. So he has yet to have a truly elite game.
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Fields-O-Meter
Either way the Bears are behind, by 2 to 4 times. If you figure 4-5 being the average, the Bears have half of that right now. If they draft a QB, they will only have 3 going into 2024. If they keep Fields, they will have 4. So a different way to look at this: 1. Bears keep Fields, trade pick for an additional 1st rounder in 2025 (at a min), their 1st rounder drafted roster count goes to 4, and in 2025 count goes to 6. 2. Bears draft Williams/Maye, trade Fields for a 2nd. Their 1st rounder drafted roster count goes to 3, and their 2025 count goes to 4. So 4 and 6 with a potential for 8 in 2026 (if you get 2x firsts) or 2 and 3 with a projected 4 in 2026. It would seem trading the pick accelerates the roster building x2 every year for at least the next 3 years.
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Jaylon Johnson and Montez Sweat Pro Bowl Players
The Pro Bowl is in the week between the Super Bowl and the Conf Championships. Obviously any player on the Super Bowl teams won't be there, and even some of the Conf losers bow out. So if a team like SF or BAL make it, that is a ton of players not going.
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TalkBears Keeper FFB League 2023 is live
It's really a crapshoot. This season I tried to draft so my bye weeks were as strong as possible, and by the time those weeks came up, I had already waived half my team lol. The biggest thing I have seen recently is hitting on the unknown player on waivers that basically gives you an extra starter. This season, I hit on Puka Nacua.
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Fields-O-Meter
Drafted not acquired (like Sweat). If you add acquired, some teams are over 10, and the Bears still only have like 4.
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Fields-O-Meter
One other thing to consider. I was having a discussion on Twitter and realized there is a direct correlation to the number of 1st round draft picks on the roster and the overall team record. It doesn't guarantee success, but all the top teams had no less than 4 first round picks on their roster (drafted by them). The Bears have 2. BAL - 9 PHI - 7 BUF - 7 DAL - 7 DET - 7 JAX - 7 CLE - 5 SF - 4 KC - 4 MIA - 4 So the Bears needs to trade down and gain draft capital. Preferably pick up an additional 2025 1st, to keep stacking them.
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Fields-O-Meter
Good points, but that has to be correctable right?
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QUICK HITS - Pick 3 Points and Give a Brief Explanation...
Very true on DET, there really is no comparison. GB is the worst. It is a family tradition to hate the Packers.
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TalkBears Keeper FFB League 2023 is live
I know and I hate that it feels like work and it caused stress. That is the last thing we want out of this.
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TalkBears Keeper FFB League 2023 is live
Your team is yours until you say otherwise. I have never used the ESPN app. We can do a vote and see if others are willing to switch. I have no preference and have no issues switching if you believe it is a better experience.
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Fields-O-Meter
Very true, Fields is to blame for a good portion of the pressure, but the TTT stat is super skewed because if he scrambles and then throws, that 5 second play counts towards that number making it look worse. If you just time non-scramble plays, it is much lower. Also, Getsy has no quick slants or other passes that get out immediately like McDaniels does. That is very frustrating.
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Fields-O-Meter
That includes 4.5 games with Bagent at the helm, so those numbers are even more impressive when you consider that.
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QUICK HITS - Pick 3 Points and Give a Brief Explanation...
1. I agree, but he is a baby HC, and he has improved. If he keeps improving, he might be able to get there. 2. Yep, I am good either way, would be sad to see Fields go, but understand the business. In Poles I Trust! 3. Yeah man, I am soooo sick of that team, it is crazy. Even their bloggers and beat reporters are annoying. Just like whipping DET, it be such an amazing way to go into the offseason.
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Jaylon Johnson and Montez Sweat Pro Bowl Players
I assume we will get a few more when SF/DAL/PHI players bow out. Jenkins, Edwards, Brisker, and Moore will probably get in as alternates as they were right there in the fan voting.
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Will Flus stay or go!
If they win on Sunday, then there is definitely a positive trend, a win on the road against a decent QB, 3rd straight win for the first time, etc. However, a loss just says they are where they are and the trend line may be going up but marginally.
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TalkBears Keeper FFB League 2023 is live
Both of you guys are part of the OG crew, so it tough to see you go, but I understand. When it feels like work and it is no longer fun, I totally understand. I have actually used it as a way to cope with having such a bad team for so long. MadLith has been snakebit the last two years, I believe having the most points against 2 years in a row. That sucks and is really frustrating.
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Fields-O-Meter
According to PFF, Fields is pressured on 48.1% of his dropbacks (the most in the NFL). Jordan Love is at 31.2% which is the 5th best among qualifying QBs. Tua is #1 at 24.3%, basically half as many dropbacks is he pressured, compared to Fields.
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Fields-O-Meter
Burrows numbers are worse than Fields, Lawrence is meh, and once they get tape on Stroud, more than likely, his numbers will drop too, but Stroud would be the only one I would consider.
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Fields-O-Meter
Yeah the pressure rate matters. They need to have all of the stats weighted with pressure %.
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Will Flus stay or go!
He is staying. Out of Flus, Getsy, and Fields, Flus is the most likely to stay. The team's improvement from Week 1 until now is quite remarkable. The only fear I have is the trend of only beating teams with bad QBs. His wins this year have come against Howell, Hoyer, Young, Dobbs, Goff, Murray, and Heinicke. He has lost to Love, Mahomes, Wilson, Cousins, Herbert, Carr, Goff, and Flacco. This goes back to last year as well. An extension of that is beating good QBs on the road. A Flus team has yet to do that. He only has 3 road wins in the last 2 years total, and they were against Howell, Dobbs, and Zappe. That's it. The next step in this progression is beating a decent QB on the road, I would say, based on Love's stats this year, he qualifies. So a win against Love on Sunday would sort of break the trend. He would also get that elusive 3rd straight win. So there is a lot on the line.
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Jaylon Johnson and Montez Sweat Pro Bowl Players
They have a lot of average players with a good scheme on offense.
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Week 18 Official Game Thread CHI @ GB, SUN 1/7, 3:25PM, CBS, CHI +3, 44.5 O/U
The Bears can win 3 in a row for the first time since 2020 with a win on Sunday.
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Week 18 Official Game Thread CHI @ GB, SUN 1/7, 3:25PM, CBS, CHI +3, 44.5 O/U
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Week 18 Official Game Thread CHI @ GB, SUN 1/7, 3:25PM, CBS, CHI +3, 44.5 O/U
The Pass Defenses GB and Love have faced since their bye: Post Bye CAR 3rd TB 32nd NYG 20th KC 2nd DET 26th LAC 30th PIT 22nd LAR 24th MIN 18thx2 DEN 23rd GB has not faced a defense like the Bears who are #1 against the run AND have the most INT in the league. If the Bears can shutdown the screen game with Jones, I think they will win handily. This game fits right into the Bears strengths (Bears #2 rush attack against GB's #28 Run Defense). The Bears should be able to control the clock. As long as they can limit turnover, I think the Bears win by 10.
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Offseason Resources (Bears are #1)
I added the players. Basically if need be, they could add vet min guy for about $1M per year.