Everything posted by adam
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Fields-O-Meter
One other thing to consider. I was having a discussion on Twitter and realized there is a direct correlation to the number of 1st round draft picks on the roster and the overall team record. It doesn't guarantee success, but all the top teams had no less than 4 first round picks on their roster (drafted by them). The Bears have 2. BAL - 9 PHI - 7 BUF - 7 DAL - 7 DET - 7 JAX - 7 CLE - 5 SF - 4 KC - 4 MIA - 4 So the Bears needs to trade down and gain draft capital. Preferably pick up an additional 2025 1st, to keep stacking them.
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Fields-O-Meter
Good points, but that has to be correctable right?
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QUICK HITS - Pick 3 Points and Give a Brief Explanation...
Very true on DET, there really is no comparison. GB is the worst. It is a family tradition to hate the Packers.
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TalkBears Keeper FFB League 2023 is live
I know and I hate that it feels like work and it caused stress. That is the last thing we want out of this.
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TalkBears Keeper FFB League 2023 is live
Your team is yours until you say otherwise. I have never used the ESPN app. We can do a vote and see if others are willing to switch. I have no preference and have no issues switching if you believe it is a better experience.
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Fields-O-Meter
Very true, Fields is to blame for a good portion of the pressure, but the TTT stat is super skewed because if he scrambles and then throws, that 5 second play counts towards that number making it look worse. If you just time non-scramble plays, it is much lower. Also, Getsy has no quick slants or other passes that get out immediately like McDaniels does. That is very frustrating.
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Fields-O-Meter
That includes 4.5 games with Bagent at the helm, so those numbers are even more impressive when you consider that.
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QUICK HITS - Pick 3 Points and Give a Brief Explanation...
1. I agree, but he is a baby HC, and he has improved. If he keeps improving, he might be able to get there. 2. Yep, I am good either way, would be sad to see Fields go, but understand the business. In Poles I Trust! 3. Yeah man, I am soooo sick of that team, it is crazy. Even their bloggers and beat reporters are annoying. Just like whipping DET, it be such an amazing way to go into the offseason.
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Jaylon Johnson and Montez Sweat Pro Bowl Players
I assume we will get a few more when SF/DAL/PHI players bow out. Jenkins, Edwards, Brisker, and Moore will probably get in as alternates as they were right there in the fan voting.
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Will Flus stay or go!
If they win on Sunday, then there is definitely a positive trend, a win on the road against a decent QB, 3rd straight win for the first time, etc. However, a loss just says they are where they are and the trend line may be going up but marginally.
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TalkBears Keeper FFB League 2023 is live
Both of you guys are part of the OG crew, so it tough to see you go, but I understand. When it feels like work and it is no longer fun, I totally understand. I have actually used it as a way to cope with having such a bad team for so long. MadLith has been snakebit the last two years, I believe having the most points against 2 years in a row. That sucks and is really frustrating.
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Fields-O-Meter
According to PFF, Fields is pressured on 48.1% of his dropbacks (the most in the NFL). Jordan Love is at 31.2% which is the 5th best among qualifying QBs. Tua is #1 at 24.3%, basically half as many dropbacks is he pressured, compared to Fields.
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Fields-O-Meter
Burrows numbers are worse than Fields, Lawrence is meh, and once they get tape on Stroud, more than likely, his numbers will drop too, but Stroud would be the only one I would consider.
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Fields-O-Meter
Yeah the pressure rate matters. They need to have all of the stats weighted with pressure %.
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Will Flus stay or go!
He is staying. Out of Flus, Getsy, and Fields, Flus is the most likely to stay. The team's improvement from Week 1 until now is quite remarkable. The only fear I have is the trend of only beating teams with bad QBs. His wins this year have come against Howell, Hoyer, Young, Dobbs, Goff, Murray, and Heinicke. He has lost to Love, Mahomes, Wilson, Cousins, Herbert, Carr, Goff, and Flacco. This goes back to last year as well. An extension of that is beating good QBs on the road. A Flus team has yet to do that. He only has 3 road wins in the last 2 years total, and they were against Howell, Dobbs, and Zappe. That's it. The next step in this progression is beating a decent QB on the road, I would say, based on Love's stats this year, he qualifies. So a win against Love on Sunday would sort of break the trend. He would also get that elusive 3rd straight win. So there is a lot on the line.
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Jaylon Johnson and Montez Sweat Pro Bowl Players
They have a lot of average players with a good scheme on offense.
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Week 18 Official Game Thread CHI @ GB, SUN 1/7, 3:25PM, CBS, CHI +3, 44.5 O/U
The Bears can win 3 in a row for the first time since 2020 with a win on Sunday.
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Week 18 Official Game Thread CHI @ GB, SUN 1/7, 3:25PM, CBS, CHI +3, 44.5 O/U
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Week 18 Official Game Thread CHI @ GB, SUN 1/7, 3:25PM, CBS, CHI +3, 44.5 O/U
The Pass Defenses GB and Love have faced since their bye: Post Bye CAR 3rd TB 32nd NYG 20th KC 2nd DET 26th LAC 30th PIT 22nd LAR 24th MIN 18thx2 DEN 23rd GB has not faced a defense like the Bears who are #1 against the run AND have the most INT in the league. If the Bears can shutdown the screen game with Jones, I think they will win handily. This game fits right into the Bears strengths (Bears #2 rush attack against GB's #28 Run Defense). The Bears should be able to control the clock. As long as they can limit turnover, I think the Bears win by 10.
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Offseason Resources (Bears are #1)
I added the players. Basically if need be, they could add vet min guy for about $1M per year.
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Week 18 Official Game Thread CHI @ GB, SUN 1/7, 3:25PM, CBS, CHI +3, 44.5 O/U
Game Time temperature 31-33F on Sunday, context matters. Just on averages, Fields should outgain Love and have similar TDs, while Love will have 10-20 more passing yards while Fields has 30-40 more rushing yards. Jordan Love (21-40F) 3 games, 101.8 QB Rating, 69.3%, 769 yds (256/g), 6.7 Y/A, 6 TD, 1 INT, 13 rushing yds (4/g), 0 TD 260 yds per game, 2 Total TDs/g, 0.3 INT/g Justin Fields (21-40F) 2 games, 93.8 QB Rating, 60.0%, 491 yds (246/g), 7.6 Y/A, 2 TD, 0 INT, 103 rushing yds (52/g), 2 TD 298 yds per game, 2 Total TDs/g, 0 INT/g Expect a lot of dink and dunk from Love.
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Anything comments
And Philly is burning right now. They are trending down fast. Losing to ARZ? Carter still has elite traits but will always have the bad stuff that comes with it. Also, once they get enough tape on some players they find ways to neutralize them.
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Bears Defense
One sneaky thing to think about for next year. They say turnovers are "luck" and you rarely lead the league in multiple or consecutive years. So even if the Bears get fewer takeaways, if they are more efficient on offense and turn more of those into points, it would be a net positive.
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What are the top 5 team needs?
Going off shear need, meaning biggest upgrade of one roster spot from the current player(s), my order would be: 1. Center - I know this won't be the first one addressed in the draft or FA, but adding a league average player to this position would be the biggest upgrade on the roster IMO. The Center touches the ball every play, is responsible for getting the ball to the QB on time, helping with protections, identifying the Mike, etc. A great Center helps the entire line and QB. A bad one makes everyone worse. 2. WR2 - Mooney has been serviceable at best, but highly replaceable. This to me would be the 2nd biggest upgrade felt on the offense, especially considering this will more than likely be a high draft pick. We have been craving a true WR1 for awhile and were blessed with DJ Moore. Now to truly compliment him with a Robin would also make Moore better. Passing volume would have to increase to fully utilize this guy. 3. RG - I have not been high on Davis, maybe he can shake off a bad year, but only looks slightly better than Patrick or Whitehair out there. I am surprised they haven't went to Carter. If there is a way out of his contract, I would move on from Davis, he has been that bad for me. 4. TE2 - Just based on usage, I have this below RG because RG plays every down. The Bears need a U-TE to compliment Kmet. That is missing right now, or is in need of an upgrade on par with WR2, however, WR2 sees more snaps than TE2, so I put WR2 first. Like I said with WR2, passing volume would need to go up to make use of this guy and get him targets. Otherwise, you are just taking them away from Moore or Kmet which may just be a wash. 5. 3rd Down Back/Scat Back or Real Slot WR - On 3rd Down, it only seems like the RB is there to be an extra blocker, but if you had a pass catching RB who could line up in the backfield, then go out wide (Cohen), that creates hell for defenses. In the same breath, having a real Slot WR who has short area quickness to go with Moore and Odunze would be wild. You can mix and match with Kmet or a U. The amount of combinations would be epic.
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Trade Down Scenarios
Two things to add, if he trades back and gains another first (say in 2025), they would have the draft capital to move up for a QB in case Fields regresses or gets hurt. Hedging in back to back years. If Poles can keep flipping a first to acquire a future first, he can keep the roster cost controlled better than pretty much every other team. He is gaining an extra 5th year on every first he acquires. It might not sound like a big deal, but when that player is on that 5th year option vs a full extension, that is a decent amount of savings. It's at least a mid-level vet starter ($10M or so) for that year. So if he was somehow able to pull off another trade back, that would be at least 2 extra 5th year options. So even if they had to start paying Fields $40-50M, they would at least have some cushion with so many of their starters on rookie deals. In 2026, Fields would be on his 1st year of an extension, and the Bears could have at least 30 key contributors on rookie deals. That's crazy to think of really.