adam

It seems like the bubble players are Tonges, Weatherford, and maybe Velus? Other than that, it would seem like a shock if any of the other guys didn't make the roster. If the Bears do bring in a new Edge, who drops off, Weatherford at LB, Bell to the PS? The 9 DL seem pretty locked in: (DeMarcus Walker, Dominique Robinson, Trevis Gipson, Rasheem Green, Justin Jones, Andrew Billings, Gervon Dexter Sr., Zacch Pickens, Travis Bell). 4 Edge, 5 DT.

Hmm, works for me, even if I logged out. Try this one: https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/2022/f1/77716/draftresults?pspid=782200956&activity=draftresults If you can get to the final rosters link, you should see the "draft results" tab at the top next to "players".

keeping fingers crossed that he will avoid any major injuries, especially with his back/neck.

I started the league a little earlier as I will traveling for the next few weeks and didn't want to wait until then to get this up and running. https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/f1/81323?pspid=782200906&activity=league 9 out of 10 teams confirmed for this year before the end of last season, with one team in need of a new GM (drafting 4th). I will need to re-confirm with those 9 and bring on one new GM. So if anyone is interested in joining our Keeper league, just let me know. Current League Fields of Dreams (Adam) MotM (Steve) Nips&Tips (JTCStone) Nopper (Bill) PapaBear (Kam) SAVAGEw/LOOSEMORALS! (Brad) The Bunny (Ary) The Mad Lithuanians (Andrew) Victorious Secret (Duane) 10th Team (new GM needed) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Buy-In and Payouts $75 buy-in with payouts: $440 / $200 / $75 / $35 (LeagueSafe will open up after all GMs are confirmed) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Rule changes for 2023 Two new rule changes are up for vote. Right now these 2 rules have 3 votes to none, so with 2 more votes, we can lock these in for 2023: 1. Consolation Round plays for draft order - The winner of the Consolation Round will draft 1st, and the team that loses twice will draft 4th. This is for teams that finish the regular season 7th-10th. 2. Defense scoring - Pts Allowed 28-34 - change to (-3) to be consistent with the other scoring. Right now there is no change in defense scoring from 21 pts to 35 pts. It is currently set at (-0). This is a very small change and is just to make the scoring more even. Current League Settings: https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/f1/81323/settings ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Keepers 2022 Draft to determine keepers, each team can keep up to 2 players, they can't be a keeper from last year, they had to be drafted by you and on your final roster. The first keeper costs one round higher (5th round pick = 4th round), and the second keeper costs two rounds higher. 2022 draft results: https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/2022/f1/77716/draftresults?pspid=782200940&activity=draftresults End of year roster: https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/2022/f1/77716/starters

I was thinking, which players on the Bears have the best chance at a Pro Bowl, based on last year's performance, and a little projection? On defense, I was thinking Edmunds and Brisker. On offense, Moore and Jenkins or Davis seem like they have the best chance. Fields might have a shot. The best QBs in the NFC from last year were Hurts, Cousins, Goff, Smith, and Jones. What do you think? Do the Bears have anyone you think has a good shot at a Pro Bowl selection this year?

Yep, that it why I stumbled onto reviewing them. Our bar is so low right now for passing. Fields minimum goal should be 3500 yards and 25 passing TDs. 9 players had over 4100 passing yards last year, but then there was a huge gap and the next best (#10 - Hurts) had only 3701. #15 was Daniel Jones, who only had 3205. So being league average is probably around 3200-3500 yards.

I don't know lol, but I haven't seen this mentioned yet.

I just realized that this is not the Bears first DJ Moore. They had a CB named DJ Moore that was drafted in 2009 and played 4 seasons with the Bears before going to Carolina for a year before he was out of the NFL. He had 4 INTs in his 2nd and 3rd seasons with the Bears and has 10 on his career. I totally forgot about him. Now a decade later we get him back reincarnated as a WR (who happens to be 10 years younger).

Here are the Bears single season records on offense. Passing 370 Completions - Cutler 2014 561 Attempts - Cutler 2014 3838 Yards - Kramer 1995 29 TD - Kramer 1995 Rushing 381 Attempts - Payton 1984 1852 Yards - Payton 1977 14 TD - Sayers 1965, Payton 1977, Payton 1979 Receiving 118 Receptions - Marshall 2012 1508 Yards - Marshall 2012 13 TD - Kavanaugh 1947, Gordon 1970 It feels like with the RBBC, the rushing records won't be touched for quite some time. All the passing ones seem to be in play every year and for receiving, Moore has a shot at 118 receptions, but it would be a long shot. Thoughts?

Goff has 3x seasons with over 4400 yds passing, and 4 of his seasons would be Bears franchise records. I trust him more than Cousins, but that isn't saying much. Goff is probably a top 15 QB, so I don't think it is a stretch for them to win 1 more game than last year.

I think it is going be really tight. Lions 11-6 (won 9 last year, should be better) Bears 9-8 (won 3 last year, +6 wins is a huge jump but lost a lot of close games) Vikings 7-10 (won 13, but 11 by one score, and they lost 6 starters) Packers 6-11 (won 8 with Rodgers, hard to see Love matching that with basically the same team)

? That is "did you like that jump cut"

Damn, you think so? Vegas says 8.5 wins. The Vikings went 11-1 in one score games last year. They easily could've when 6-6 in those games and would've been an 8 win team. Their new leading rusher had 283 yards last year at 3.8 per carry. Thielen had a down year and still had 70 receptions for 716 yards an 6 TDs. Addison is going to have to replace those numbers. On defense, they lost an Edge rusher with 10 sacks, their leading tackler in Kendricks, and their INT leader in Peterson. AND they still have Cousins as their QB. I don't think they hit the Vegas line of 8.5.

Tank is probably the wrong word, definitely a soft reset then. That is a lot of talent to shed in one offseason to not replace. Also, I think 7-8 wins is their ceiling, I would not be surprised if they go 6-11 or worse.

Every game that Monty gets under 30 rushing yards and averages less than 3.0 YPC, I will post this pic on Twitter:

It looks like Kwesi is quietly going into tank mode. They shed Thielen, Kendricks, Peterson, Z. Smith, and Cook, but kept Cousins. They drafted Addison in the 1st, who will just replace Thielen's production, so there is no real gain there. They signed Murphy at CB and Davenport at Edge, but at most those are a push, if not a downgrade from Smith (sacks leader) and Peterson. With Cook gone, their RB room is Mattison, rookie Dwayne McBride, Ty Chandler, and Kene Nwangwu. That may be the worst RB room in the NFL. Jefferson is their entire offense now, their defense is worse, they still have Cousins, and they won a lot of close games last year. They feel like a 7-8 win team at the most. Thoughts?

RBs nowadays get one big contract after their rookie deal (if they are lucky). Monty will more than likely play 1-2 yrs on this deal, then a few 1-yr deals until he is done by 30. That is the career arch for most of these guys. He will be 27 this year, and 28 is the wall. At 29, production is cut in half, and at 30 in half again. It keeps halving after that until 33. Dalvin Cook is a perfect example, he will be 28 this year, so this is it for him.

I have seen some saying the Davis signing may be the most underrated by the end of the year.

I was looking over some stats and noticed a few things that got me excited. Regardless of what you may think, the Bears are closer to the 2022 Eagles than they are to the 2022 Bears this year. Jalen Hurts was in his 3rd year and finally broke thru with a new WR1 in AJ Brown. He ended the year with the following line: Passing: 306-460, 66.5%, 3701 yds, 22 TD, 6 INT; Rushing: 165 ATT, 760 yds, 13 TD If you simply give Fields the same number of attempts for both passing and rushing, his numbers (from 2022 w/o Moore) would look like this: Passing: 277-460, 60.4%, 3243 yds, 25 TD, 16 INT; Rushing: 165 ATT, 1179 yds, 9 TD Outside of the INTs, that is a pretty solid season with over 4400 total yards and 34 total TDs. Again, this does not account the addition of Moore which should improve Fields' Comp%, Y/A, and Y/G. If we use Hurts' improvement from Year 2 to 3, and apply that to Fields new numbers (which would now include Moore), he would end up with the following: Passing: 296-460, 64.6%, 3731 yds, 28 TD, 13 INT So Fields would have more passing yards and TD than Hurts in 2022, but more INTs and a slightly lower Comp%. To me, these numbers feel very realistic. What do you think? Can Fields hit 3700 passing yards? 28 TDs? Looking at the different units, the Eagles obviously win in the trenches, not even close when it comes to O-Line and D-Line, but every other unit seems to be some good comps. 2022 PHI - 2023 CHI QB - Hurts vs Fields RB - Sanders/Gainwell/Boston vs Herbert/Foreman/Johnson/Homer WR - Brown/Smith/Watkins/Pascal vs Moore/Mooney/Claypool/Scott TE - Goedert/Stoll vs Kmet/Tonyan I would give the Bears the edge for groups in RB and TE, and WR is a push as the Bears are deeper, but the Eagles have the higher ceiling with Brown and Smith. For QB, I will say it is a push because going into 2022 there were the same questions about Hurts as there are about Fields now. O-Line goes to the Eagles. So if you count OL as 2, QB as 2, and all other groups as 1. The Eagles get 2 for OL, Bears get 1 for RB, and 1 for TE, with QB as a push. The teams are very close on offense with Philly having a slight edge because how good their O-Line was. On defense, the Eagles get 2 for their D-Line. The Bears have potential there, but too many unknowns. For LBs, the Bears 2023 corps is elite and has Edwards from the 2022 Eagles, so 1 for the Bears. Then for the secondary, the Bears have the better Safeties in Brisker/Jackson vs Epps/Blankenship and the Eagles have the edge for CBs with Slay, Gardner-Johnson, and Bradberry vs Johnson, Gordon, Stevenson, but it is close, especially if Gordon is improved in the slot and Stevenson is the real deal on the outside. So that makes it a push in the secondary, the Eagles get 2 for D-Line and Bears get 1 for LB Corps. So the Eagles have the edge again, but not by much. To me, that is very favorable to comp that close to a team that went 14-3 and went to the Super Bowl. Even if the Bears are a tier down from them due to the trenches, the entire 53-man roster is not that far off. The Bears are projected as a 7.5 win team, but I feel like the potential is there to get to 9 or 10 fairly easily.

Yeah that pat messes up the timing. He has to overthrow the ball to catch back up to the timing, which leads to inaccurate passes. He almost needs to practice with just one hand on the ball (like golfing with one arm). Then once that is comfortable, add the 2nd hand back in to just hold the ball more securely without the pat.

They need everyone in as soon as possible. Hopefully he doesn't become a distraction like Roquan. He was dropped to the 2nd team last year in the offseason and that generated a little drama. Hopefully none this year.

The Bears as a punching bag ramped back up after the Trubisky pick unfortunately. Not only was it laughed at then, we have been reminded of it constantly since that point. I just don't understand the hate of Fields. The Bears were not even in position to draft a QB in 2021. So to get Fields and after Wilson and Lance seems like a crazy good deal. The Giants got Neal and Toney out of the Fields trade. Toney is no longer on the team and Neal was terrible as a rookie. Do people even look at other players' stats? Lamar Jackson averages about 175 passing yards per game for his career, and has never topped 3127 yds (when he won MVP) in a season. Fields is not that far off other QBs that made huge leaps in their 3rd years. Fields comps pretty favorably to Hurts and Allen In their first two seasons: 20/21 Hurts 19 GS, 22-13 TD-INT, 5343 total yds, 13 Rushing TDs 21/22 Fields 25 GS, 24-21 TD-INT, 5677 total yds, 10 Rushing TDs 18/19 Allen 27 GS, 30-21 TD-INT, 6304 total yds, 17 Rushing TDs Yet Fields is the only QB they are worried about. Very odd. The overall team narrative is tired. However, until the Bears actually win, the media will continue to repeat the shallow storyline.

So it seems that the offseason moves have improved pretty much every facet of the team. If you look at it from a high level, on offense, the passing game should be improved, and at worst, the running game should be the same. The Bears added Moore, Wright, and Davis, as well as Foreman, Johnson, Scott, and Tonyan, and really only "lost" Montgomery since losing Mustipher is an upgrade in itself. If the offense is better and has some additional TOP, then the defense will be a little more rested and potentially get off the field a few more times. On defense, the run defense was historically bad. With the additions to the DLine and LB Corps, the run defense should be better. Edmunds and Edwards are tackling machines and rarely miss tackles. For pass defense, it should be the same, if not better with the addition of Stevenson and the ability of Edmunds. The pass rush is still an issue, but again, it is no worse than last year. Like I said above, if the offense is slightly better, then the defense should benefit from that as well. Now if we look into situational football, the the 1st Down offense is going to be better. Moore alone should do that, but also Foreman and Johnson as well. Then on 3rd Down, here is a crazy stat from Twitter: So the Bears targeted Pettis 21 times on 3rd and 4th Down and got 2 first downs from those targets. Moore, Tonyan, and Scott should improve that number drastically. Even if the Bears go from 2 of 21, to say 10 of 21, that is 8 additional first downs, just from targets to Pettis. On defense, with a much improved run defense, 1st Down defense should be better giving the other team some additional 3rd and longs. Without much of an upgraded pass rush, 3rd Down defense will probably be very similar to last year, but possibly a tick better if the other teams have longer downs to convert. So what do you think? It feels like the 8 to 9 win target seems completely reasonable based on this perspective.

I still find it funny that Monty says that after playing in college on a team that ended up .500 when he was there, and even though he played hard for the Bears, never really produced many explosive plays. Then he goes to a team that may have paid him more than the Bears offered, but then got immediately bumped down the depth chart after they drafted an RB in the first round.

My surprises as they will be better than expectations: Billings and Green for FAs, and Sewell and Scott for draft picks. The Bears DTs were bad last year. Billings is really going to help against the run (where the Bears were historically bad). Green has 3.5 sacks in a 5-game span last year for HOU. If he kept up that production for 17 games, he would easily be a double digit sack guy. I think Sewell is going to make more impact plays than anyone expects as a LB4. For some reason, I feel like Scott is going to end up as a super productive WR4. With all the attention on Moore, Claypool, Mooney, and Kmet, guys like Moore and Tonyan are going to get some easier matchups. I am expecting Walker to be good, I don't know if he is going to be a surprise, more of a relief for me. I expect Edmunds, Edwards, Walker, and Moore all to play at the same levels they have done before.