adam

I am sorry but this was funny as hell. I literally spit out my coffee onto my keyboard when I saw this. Thanks Mongo! ??

I am shocked at how disappointing the Jags have been this year. They are about to lose to the Titans who have 5 wins. Lawrence has 2 INTs and outside of the 59 Yard TD pass to Ridley, he really hasn't done anything. If they lose this one, its on him. Are they looking to draft a QB? They have Ridley, Kirk, Jones, and Engram to throw to with Etienne in the backfield who is also a receiving option. The Bears don't have anything close to the WR group besides Moore, and Kmet at TE. They also don't have an elite pass catching RB. So the options are 5 v 2.

I think if Flus stays, Fields has a much better chance of staying, say 75%. They would be looking for continuity. If Fields goes, they think the QB position was holding them back and they are a QB away. I think if Flus is gone, I think there is a 95% chance that Fields is gone with him, that's more likely than Poles bringing in an entirely new staff and giving them Fields just like he did with Flus/Getsy. That seems highly unlikely. So if both chances are even (50/50) for Flus, Fields has a 40% chance of staying. If Flus has a 75% chance of staying, Fields has a 57.5% chance of staying. If Flus has a 75% chance of being fired, Fields has a 10% chance of staying.

For draft position, Bears want the Vikings, Saints, and Jets to win early, and Raiders to win later. Those are the only teams that can impact draft position.

Things to watch today: DJ Moore needs 11 receptions to move into sole possession of 2nd place in franchise history for a single season with 103. DJ Moore needs 122 receiving yards to move into sole possession of 2nd place in franchise history for a single season with 1,422. Cairo Santos needs 2 FGs to become the single season franchise leader with 34 (1 ties him with Gould for the lead). TJ Edwards needs 9 total tackles to move into 3rd for solo tackles in a single season with 154 (8 ties Urlacher for 3rd) TJ Edwards needs 12 solo tackles to move into 10th for solo tackles in a single season with 96. Tyrique Stevenson needs 3 PD to move into 4th place for PDs in a single season with 18 (he would pass Tillman, Jackson, and Vasher). Justin Fields only needs 274 rushing yards to become the Bears all-time franchise leader for rushing yards as a QB. Justin Fields only needs 1,475 passing yards and 13 TDs to break the Bears all-time franchise records for a single season.

I didn't even include that in my post. A lot of things to like. He is definitely a keeper and probably a perennial top 10 QB, great to see, but next year will really be a test for HOU. They don't have their own 1st rounder, they have CLE, so more than likely will get a late 20s pick, not 2x top 5 picks. Stroud ends the season with the #16 QBR and is graded as the #14 QB according to PFF.

Stroud is playing amazing, but a few things. Outside of that one 75-yard busted coverage TD, he had 189 yards passing. In total 195 of his 264 yards were to Collins. So 17 passes for 69 yards (yay baby) to receivers other than Collins. That's 4.0 Y/A. Just like the WAS game with Fields and Moore. Collins needs to get some credit for that game. Hey IND, you may want to bracket Collins instead of leaving a rookie DB on him with no over the top safety help. What I loved about Stroud's game was the last scoring drive. Tie game, 4th quarter, you go 7-7, and recover from a sack and then a holding penalty while your lead back gets 4 rushes for 7 yards and the TD lol. They took 7 mins off the clock. In between TDs drives, it reminded me of the Bears though, punt, punt, punt. Indy missed a FG, then decided to pass the ball (to Tyler Goodson?) on 4th and 1 with Taylor as your RB. They were on the HOU 15 with 2 more timeouts down 6. Indy shit this game down their leg. Ryans deserves a ton of credit. This defense is sneaky good. In their last 5 wins, they have allowed 19, 3, 16, 17, and 16. In their last 3 losses they allowed 36, 30, and 24. I was surprised to see HOU with 10 wins, who did they beat? IND, TENx2, DEN, ARZ, CIN, TB, NO, PIT, and JAX. Of those teams, PIT is the only one that has 10 wins. I think next year is going to be exponentially tougher. Going from a last place schedule to a first place schedule is going to be interesting: Next season they get MIA, BUF, BAL, KC, DAL or PHI + DET, CHI, GB, and MIN. Good luck Texans!

The Packers are 4-1 when they rush for more than 125 yards, and they have done that the last two weeks with Aaron Jones who has been over 120 both games.

Love has been incredibly lucky. He had 2x guaranteed INTs turn into TDs; literally tipped up by a defender to a different WR. Just like in hockey, their is puck luck. Eventually that dries up. I feel like he is going to be one of those top 10-20 QBs, not a future HoFer or perennial to top 5 QB. Hell, he has 1x 300 yard game all year, and zero 4 TD passing games. So he has yet to have a truly elite game.

Either way the Bears are behind, by 2 to 4 times. If you figure 4-5 being the average, the Bears have half of that right now. If they draft a QB, they will only have 3 going into 2024. If they keep Fields, they will have 4. So a different way to look at this: 1. Bears keep Fields, trade pick for an additional 1st rounder in 2025 (at a min), their 1st rounder drafted roster count goes to 4, and in 2025 count goes to 6. 2. Bears draft Williams/Maye, trade Fields for a 2nd. Their 1st rounder drafted roster count goes to 3, and their 2025 count goes to 4. So 4 and 6 with a potential for 8 in 2026 (if you get 2x firsts) or 2 and 3 with a projected 4 in 2026. It would seem trading the pick accelerates the roster building x2 every year for at least the next 3 years.

The Pro Bowl is in the week between the Super Bowl and the Conf Championships. Obviously any player on the Super Bowl teams won't be there, and even some of the Conf losers bow out. So if a team like SF or BAL make it, that is a ton of players not going.

It's really a crapshoot. This season I tried to draft so my bye weeks were as strong as possible, and by the time those weeks came up, I had already waived half my team lol. The biggest thing I have seen recently is hitting on the unknown player on waivers that basically gives you an extra starter. This season, I hit on Puka Nacua.

Drafted not acquired (like Sweat). If you add acquired, some teams are over 10, and the Bears still only have like 4.

One other thing to consider. I was having a discussion on Twitter and realized there is a direct correlation to the number of 1st round draft picks on the roster and the overall team record. It doesn't guarantee success, but all the top teams had no less than 4 first round picks on their roster (drafted by them). The Bears have 2. BAL - 9 PHI - 7 BUF - 7 DAL - 7 DET - 7 JAX - 7 CLE - 5 SF - 4 KC - 4 MIA - 4 So the Bears needs to trade down and gain draft capital. Preferably pick up an additional 2025 1st, to keep stacking them.

Good points, but that has to be correctable right?

Very true on DET, there really is no comparison. GB is the worst. It is a family tradition to hate the Packers.

I know and I hate that it feels like work and it caused stress. That is the last thing we want out of this.

Your team is yours until you say otherwise. I have never used the ESPN app. We can do a vote and see if others are willing to switch. I have no preference and have no issues switching if you believe it is a better experience.

Very true, Fields is to blame for a good portion of the pressure, but the TTT stat is super skewed because if he scrambles and then throws, that 5 second play counts towards that number making it look worse. If you just time non-scramble plays, it is much lower. Also, Getsy has no quick slants or other passes that get out immediately like McDaniels does. That is very frustrating.

That includes 4.5 games with Bagent at the helm, so those numbers are even more impressive when you consider that.

1. I agree, but he is a baby HC, and he has improved. If he keeps improving, he might be able to get there. 2. Yep, I am good either way, would be sad to see Fields go, but understand the business. In Poles I Trust! 3. Yeah man, I am soooo sick of that team, it is crazy. Even their bloggers and beat reporters are annoying. Just like whipping DET, it be such an amazing way to go into the offseason.

I assume we will get a few more when SF/DAL/PHI players bow out. Jenkins, Edwards, Brisker, and Moore will probably get in as alternates as they were right there in the fan voting.

If they win on Sunday, then there is definitely a positive trend, a win on the road against a decent QB, 3rd straight win for the first time, etc. However, a loss just says they are where they are and the trend line may be going up but marginally.

Both of you guys are part of the OG crew, so it tough to see you go, but I understand. When it feels like work and it is no longer fun, I totally understand. I have actually used it as a way to cope with having such a bad team for so long. MadLith has been snakebit the last two years, I believe having the most points against 2 years in a row. That sucks and is really frustrating.

According to PFF, Fields is pressured on 48.1% of his dropbacks (the most in the NFL). Jordan Love is at 31.2% which is the 5th best among qualifying QBs. Tua is #1 at 24.3%, basically half as many dropbacks is he pressured, compared to Fields.