adam

The gift that keeps on giving. I thought a 2nd rounder was steep for a WR3, but at the time, not knowing they would be able to get Moore, I understood it. However, now after a good chunk of the season, an entire offseason, and now he lands on the PUP for the start of the real offseason training camp. Not a good trend. With the addition of guys like Moore, Tonyan, and even Scott, and possibly some increased PT for Velus, Claypool is going to be the odd man out. Only so many targets to go around. It seems like the pecking order is Moore, Mooney, Kmet, Tonyan, RB1, Scott, then Velus or Claypool. By the time you get to the 5th player, that is about 5 targets a game.

Very true, just an unbiased assessment without being too subjective either from the 3 win, 10 straight loss season, or drinking the koolaid.

Walker is putting in the work. Everywhere he travels, he is working it. Nice to see.

I think Sanborn's injury is another reason why they doubled up on LB in free agency. He is still an unknown at this point in his recovery, and the Bears need more knowns to improve that defense.

They need reps, a ton of them. Until they are comfortable with all the wrinkles, it will be clunky. They are still in the phase where they have to think about what they are doing, instead of it being instinctual.

What is wild is there is almost zero correlation between any Bears team before 2020 and this team.

For me, it is fine. I think that changes as the date gets closer and the media/Vegas can see how Fields and Love look. Right now that is a good bet to take the Bears as a FG win beats the odds. The Bears a 7.5 wins is another decent bet. Fields as Offensive PoY is +2200 on FanDuel. It seems like a decent bet for $10, MVP +2000.

One problem, like an MSRP, is the anchor point. Fields new norm is 2500 yds passing and anything wildly over that number is seen as too unrealistic. 226 yds per game passing for 17 games would be a Bears franchise record. Fields had 7.1 yds per attempt, but had such a low number of attempts, it really messes with the numbers. That was 14th in the NFL for QBs with 2K passing yards or more. Middle of the pack. So if he gets middle of the pack attempts, he magically jumps over 3800 yds easily. I still feel like he will end up around 3500 passing yards with 800 rushing yards but I really think we are underestimating how bad the WR Corps was last year. Moore is going to give Fields 2-3 easy completions per game (which will add up to +500 yds right off the top from last year). Claypool as a WR3, Tonyan as a TE2. This is a sneaky good Receiving Corps with options out of the backfield (Homer especially).

Here are the best seasons for the top 4 receiving options for Fields: 87-1175, 4 81-1055, 4 62-873, 9 50-544, 7 That is 280-3647 yds, 24 TDs combined for just Moore, Mooney, Claypool, and Kmet. Take 10% off that for shared targets and you still have 252-3283, 21 TDs to just the top 4 players. No RBs, no WR4-5, and no TE2-3. Last year, with the worst passing offense in the league, Monty had 34-316, 1 TD, ESB/Pringle/Pettis/Jones combined for 57-810, 7 TD 91-1126, 8 TD and Herbert as RB2 had 9-57, and 1 TD, so the remainder of the receivers totaled 100-1183, 9 TD, if you take 10% off for shared targets, that is 90-1065, 8 TD. So in theory, if the top 4 receivers play near their potential and the rest of the receivers do what they did last year, that would be near 342-4348 yds, and 29 TDs. So no koolaid here, take 10% off those numbers for overlapping shared targets and a potential for less attempts: 308-3913, 26 TDs. Thoughts on those numbers over 17 games (230 yds per game, 1.5 TDs a game)?

OK, we need 5 GMs, for the following settings change: 1. Add a 3rd IR slot to each roster (due to increased length of season to 17 games and 18 weeks). Right now we have 3 votes (Mongo, Stinger, and myself), so we need 2 more.

Jacksonville went 3-14 to 9-8. That also included a coaching and scheme change. Comparing the teams, Fields vs Lawrence is a wash, Etienne/Robinson vs Herbert/Foreman is also probably a wash. WRs? Kirk/Jones/Jones vs Moore/Mooney/Claypool, edge Bears. TEs? Engram/Arnold vs Kmet/Tonyan, edge Bears. For O-Line, edge Jags until we see what the Bears unit can do. So it is not out of the realm of possible for the Bears to get 8 or 9 wins and be in the playoff hunt. The division is a lot weaker than it has been in a long time.

Current Keepers: Fields of Dreams - Amari Cooper - 9th, Treylon Burks - 11th SAVAGEw/LOOSEMORALS! - Amon-Ra St. Brown - 5th, Drake London - 8th Victorious Secret - Tony Pollard - 5th MotM - Kenneth Walker - 13th

Walker is good to go for a 13th (was drafted in the 14th), however, Brian Robinson ended the season on MadLith's team. For the rule changes, we are currently at 17 roster spots and 2 IR spots, so we will definitely have to vote on those changes. With the league going to 17 games and 18 weeks, 17 players was sort of the sweet spot to help with bye weeks and injuries (non-IR).

If I switch things around, look for QBs with at least 4K yards, 24 TDs, less than 25 INTs, over 59% Comp rate, Fields ends up in a group of 24 QBs at #23 for QB Rating and dead last in yards and TDs. Trubisky was 15th for QB Rating, 19th in yards, 20th in TDs. So we have seen some pretty poor young QB play for quite some time.

Lol but in his Seattle days. I sorted by Rating, but did not include it in the filter. The only other stat was sacks over 50. So basically Fields is the best of this group when it comes to rating, Comp%, and top 3 in TDs.

14 first rounders and 6 #1 overall picks. Fields was actually the 4th latest draft slot of this group.

I was looking at some stats to see if there were other cases of QBs with similar stats to Fields after their second years, and surprisingly, there were actually quite a few and some that ended up very successful. Here is a screenshot of the output. 16 QBs qualified, since 1980, in their first two seasons, totaled less than 30 TDs, more than 20 INTs, Comp % under 60, and yards less than 5000.

I just hope Fields works out. His play will be the difference between 10 wins and 5 wins. If he plays like he did in college and carries the team with his arm and legs, this team can win 10. If he struggles to read defenses and complete short passes, this team will be lucky to win 5 or 6. Very few QBs have turned into any special with 25 starts under their belts with 24 TDs and 21 INTs averaging 150 passing yds per game. Lamar Jackson already had his MVP season by start 22. Josh Allen is close, but even he had more TDs, yards and less INTs at that point. Jalen Hurts is also close, but I don't think the Bears have the same number of vets the Eagles had in 2022. So from a pure "stats" perspective, Fields is no different than other failed 1st round pick QBs at this point. The good thing is the Bears have a safety net. If Fields doesn't play well, the stats didn't lie, and the Bears will have 2 top 10 draft picks to move up and get one of the no-brainer QB picks in 2024. Also, if Fields is bad, the Bears may have 2x top 5 picks, which could allow them to get a QB and another player in the top 10 next year.

Yes, we are still looking for one new GM. I just need an email to send them the transfer link and LeagueSafe link for payment.

That link also ranks CBs, Ss, etc. No other Bears make the list. The one thing to note about defensive players in individual rankings, a ton of their performance is influenced by their teammates. A ton of Philly secondary players made the list, but if they had the Bears D-Line, I don't know if any of them make the list. I know that holds for some offensive positions as well, but there is a reason why you see a lot of SF, PHI, and BUF defenders on the lists, because they had dominant D-Lines.

Darnell Wright+Nave Davis vs Sam Mustipher+Revolving Door at RT If an average NFL starter is a 75, Mustipher was a 40 and the revolving door was probably around a 45. Wright should be no worse than league average and Davis should be slightly higher, say 80. If the other 3 (Whitehair, Jones, Jenkins) stay relatively the same, just those 2 upgrades will improve the entire line to slightly better than league average (at worst). So a bottom-2 unit jumps to 13-15th in the NFL.

Sorry to hear that, back injuries suck. Quick Summary: 1. Fields to Moore is gonna be a thing, they are building some great chemistry. 2. Rookies like Stevenson (CB) and Scott (WR) have looked good, Dexter is huge. 3. Gordon is playing in the slot exclusively and not bouncing around. 4. Whitehair has been solid at Center, will be a clear upgrade over Mustipher, especially with protection calls at the line. 5. Claypool has not participated yet due to some injuries, so there are still question marks there. 6. Terrell Lewis (Edge) has really stood out without pads on. My own notes: RBs and LBs are gonna be team strengths. Tonyan may be the best TE2 the Bears have ever had (pass catching-wise). The last WR spot is going to be interesting. I still expect a few vet FA signings to round out the roster.

It seems like the bubble players are Tonges, Weatherford, and maybe Velus? Other than that, it would seem like a shock if any of the other guys didn't make the roster. If the Bears do bring in a new Edge, who drops off, Weatherford at LB, Bell to the PS? The 9 DL seem pretty locked in: (DeMarcus Walker, Dominique Robinson, Trevis Gipson, Rasheem Green, Justin Jones, Andrew Billings, Gervon Dexter Sr., Zacch Pickens, Travis Bell). 4 Edge, 5 DT.

Hmm, works for me, even if I logged out. Try this one: https://football.fantasysports.yahoo.com/2022/f1/77716/draftresults?pspid=782200956&activity=draftresults If you can get to the final rosters link, you should see the "draft results" tab at the top next to "players".

keeping fingers crossed that he will avoid any major injuries, especially with his back/neck.