adam

I am glad this is over, what a mess.

The wild thing is the QBs he has played for. Most of the other elite WRs have a had good to great QBs throwing them the ball. Jefferson is great, but how much worse would he have been on Carolina with 10 different QBs. The Bears are actually lucky that Moore's stats were suppressed in Carolina, because WR1s are hard to find. If the Bears played like they did last night in their previous games, they are probably 4-1 and would've given KC a run for their money. Now they need to take the next step and make halftime adjustments. I want Fields to close out a few more games and have some successful 2 minute drills.

Bears still have the 1st 2 picks, now the Carolina pick is #1, Bears pick is #2.

The Bears played a quarter without any RBs. That's wild.

Fields has 8 TD passes in the last 4 days.

That Denver game sucks because they were so close to being 2-3 right now.

How about the backup secondary too? Interception and a forced fumble.

Thank God the streak is over. A win and they didn't allow 25 pts. Fields currently leads the NFL in passing TDs (11) and total TDs (12). He is on pace for 3,954 passing yards and 37 TDs. Moore on pace for 1,805 yds and 17 TDs. Moore now 2nd in the NFL in receiving yards lol. I want to see that replay of Moore on the sideline, I don't think he stepped out.

Howell starting to pick apart the defense. Thankfully they held them to 6 there. Now they need a TD and FG to tie. Bears need an extended drive with at least a FG to put this away.

Seriously the Bears need to forfeit 2nd halves. Now Herbert hurt. That did not look good.

Bears will need to score 35+ to win.

Then they can't stop Sam Howell score on a QB Keeper. The Bears defense is back. That was wayyy too easy.

The exact thing that could not happen.

Honestly, I want 40+ to consider this a success. They need 2 more TDs. They need to stop them or hold them to a FG on the opening drive. I figure they will start using dig and stop routes to beat the zone. Mooney has been targeted 4 times, 0 catches. He does not look confident and it looks like he lost a step. I doubt they extend him unless he accepts WR3 money.

Last week Fields threw for 300, Herbert ran for 100, and Moore caught 100. Fields needs 111 in the 2nd half, Herbert needs 24 and Moore needs to not lose 37 for them to hit it in back to back games.

They have to close out games. We have been here before.

Just when you think the Bears have a good half last week, the entire team dominates the Commanders. Outside of a few misses to Mooney, Fields is doing everything right.

Fields cannot close out games. That may be a bigger issue than his issues against Zone. If Zone/Man was his only issue, that would show up in any quarter. Here are his 1st-3rd quarter stats: 303-491, 61.7%, 3647 yds, 22 TD, 12 INT, 7.4 Y/A 4th quarter stats: 127-220, 57.7%, 1326 yds, 9 TD, 14 INT, 6.0 Y/A Also, 18 of his career 26 INTs have come in his own zone. He only has 1 RZ INT, which is really good, but 18 picks in your own zone is killer. That is basically 18 scoring opportunities for the opposing team without the need to gain a yard. For some reason his pucker factor is too high in his own zone and in the 4th quarter. Basically when there is pressure on him to do something, he fails.

and Poles didn't draft Fields. The only way to reset this with the proper timeline, same President, GM, HC, OC, and QB is to draft Williams, get a new OC and HC with Poles and Warren. That would be the first time all of those have been aligned since the Angelo/Lovie/Grossman era.

DVOA for this game: WAS 24th 21st/18th CHI 31st 28th/31st Weighted scoring has Commanders by 4 pts, which is not that much considering they get 3 for being at home. So the Bears losing and covering the +6.5 spread seems like the most likely outcome.

Fun Fact: I went to high school with Pat, I was a year older than him. I would be good with it. Like I said before, it can't get worse. If you just sent the players to the game on their own, let the players call their own game, it would probably be better than what we have seen.

It couldn't be any worse. Technically we would want a defensive guy to come in for Flus as someone would need to call the plays. Leslie Frazier or Singletary come to mind.

I like Ruiz, another option is the trade market. The draft is going to be super interesting. I think no matter what happens with Fields, if the Bears get the #1 pick, it has to be Williams. You can't chance another Mahomes situation. There is a chance that the Bears actually keep Fields and draft Williams. The longest wild card that no one is talking about lately is Bagent. Super long shot, but look at Purdy. My best guess: 1. If #1 pick Option A - Draft Williams, trade Fields (most likely if #1 pick) Option B - Trade pick for splendor, keep Fields (this would be the Mahomes scenario) They are either drafting Williams or trading the pick. I don't see a scenario where they would keep the #1 and not draft a QB. 2. If not the #1 pick Option A - Draft BPA (WR, OT, DL), keep Fields (most likely if they are not in the top 3). Option B - Trade top pick for splendor, keep Fields (this would be kicking the can down the road to 2025, if you add an extra 2025 1st). Option C - Trade both 1st rounders and Fields to move up for Williams I don't really see any other scenario unless the Bears get the #2 pick and consider a QB other than Williams. However, for QBs, Williams is the only one I would replace Fields with, otherwise I would give him WR and a new DLineman. 3. The Nuclear Poles Smartest Guy in the Room Draft (if not in the top 3) Option N - If he misses on Williams and Harrison, he trades the first of the two 1st's for an extra 2025 1st (would then have 2x 1st's and 2x 2nd's in 2025), then drafts BPA for first pick (Edge, DL, OL), but for the later 1st round pick, he takes a developmental QB, Sanders, Penix, etc.

Washington's defense is predicated on pressure, and when they don't get it, they get burnt. They are a top 5 passing defense on passes under 25 yards and 30th over 25 yards. 5 of 6 passing TDs are on passes 30 yards or more.

I would be shocked if the Bears and Panthers both played their way out of the top 3, but if they did, a lot went right. If that much goes right, do the Bears keep their current coaching staff? The Bears have $111M in cap space for 2024 and if they release Whitehair, that will free up even more. I would assume they go for a free agent Center if they don't like Whitehair there. Nate Davis is completely omitted from that projection, and based on his dead money, he and Jenkins are the Guards for 2024. I think the Bears bring in a top Center, top Edge, and top DT in FA. Depending on what they do with Jackson, they may also get a new FS, Jackson has a $18M cap hit. Guys that won't be back on offense: Patrick, Whitehair, Tonyan, and Homer. Guys that won't be back on defense: Green, Ngakoue, Robinson, and Jones. I am on the fence on Jackson, but the cap hit makes me think they will part ways with him at 30. He has never been the same guy from 2018. I really think that injury changed him and he just never recovered. Edge and 3T are such huge needs, you can't wait until the draft, and with Dexter and Pickens already drafted, they will probably lean Edge for the draft. If they trust Braxton Jones at LT, then Center is the only need spot on the O-Line. As critical of a position as it is, I think they have to address it in FA. They can still double down on G/C in the draft. If Fields is the guy, he will be in for a massive pay day, so the team they have in 2024 won't look like the team in 2025 because you will have to cut even more fat to squeeze in $40-50M per year for Fields. I don't know if Poles can do that, and if he can't win with Fields on his rookie deal, he is definitely not building a winning roster with Fields making $40M a year. That's why I think no matter how well Fields plays, he will be traded.