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adam

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Everything posted by adam

  1. He played a great game, but didn't blow me away. That fumble was literally a 10-pt swing. Philly had a 24-14 lead at half with KC getting 7 from that fumble. Without it, it's 24-7 at the worst. His growth does give us hope for Fields development.
  2. Chase Young tore his ACL in 2021 and only played in 3 games in 2022. Huge red flag. You have no clue what you are getting there. Dotson is ok, but at 5'11" 180 is too similar to Mooney for my liking. To move down that far, I would be looking at Sweat and McLaurin. To move out of the top 10 would require a king's ransom. They have already talked about going with Howell, so we will see. To me, the realistic trading partners are HOU, IND, LVR, ATL, CAR, TEN, and NYJ.
  3. Fields had 160 rushing attempts, but a ton were scrambles (I need to find those numbers). Hurts had 165 attempts (led all QBs), Allen had 124, Daniel Jones had 120, and Lamar had 112 in 12 games. Fields had 400 more yards than Hurts in 5 fewer attempts. That is insane. With a better O-Line, he probably scrambles 2 fewer times per game (if not more), so his attempts would be down 30 to 130ish, in line with Allen and Jones. Yeah, if we have competent receivers who are a threat that the defense has to honor, AND they need a spy on Fields, someone should be open on every play.
  4. I agree, that O-Line was the true MVP, they should've shared the award. Mahomes did nothing special on his own. He had a couple of wide open runs, 2 TD passes to wide open receivers and one to arguably the best TE ever. With Brady retiring, he is now the anointed one.
  5. The Chicago Bears are now on the clock..........
  6. It was a fairly entertaining game until the ticky tack call that basically ended the game. It probably was the right call, but tough given the situation (not called earlier). However, the Eagles did that to themselves, their vaunted defense was terrible. Hurts fumbles against no contact and it ends up as a defensive TD. Crazy to think the Eagles offense outscored the Chiefs offense and lost. BTW, thanks for the 4th round pick for Quinn(#132). As much as Roseman gets a ton of credit for his roster construction, which he should, giving up a a 4th for less than 100 snaps of Quinn seems comical at this point. Mahomes won the MVP with 182 passing yards, 6.7 yds an attempt, with 2 of his 3 passing TDs to wide open receivers. I wonder if we will hear how Hurts is a RB this offseason with 3 rushing TDs and 70 rushing yards? After watching the game and the playoffs, I actually feel better about the Bears turnaround with Fields. There was maybe one wow throw the entire game, from Hurts to Goedert. The QBs combined for over 110 rushing yards, Fields would've had 300. I can't believe how much faster Fields is than even someone like Hurts. Getsy needs to get better at play design and play calls. The Chiefs always have someone open. The Bears rarely have someone open, that was clearly visible. We need more motion, that jet sweep counter was deadly and almost uncoverable because if you stop and they keep going the jet sweep is wide open. You ultimately have to bracket the player in motion on both sides of the field. Great game, I am glad it is over because the CHICAGO BEARS ARE NOW ON THE CLOCK!
  7. A lot of irony, there was also the other Colts-Texans game that ended in a tie. If the Texans lost that one instead of a tie, they would've had the first pick. So all they had to do is finish tied with the Bears and they would've had the first pick. Wild. The Colts were slick losing that one. They actually lost their last 7 and 10 out of 11. The Colts somehow beat the Chiefs which has to be the biggest upset all season. The Texans actually played really good down the stretch. They won 2 of their last 3, lost to KC by 6 in OT and Dallas by 4. Dallas scored with 46 seconds left to win the game.
  8. Yeah, I was pretty much going BPA after the trades.
  9. The PFF Mock Draft Sim is pretty crazy on the trades. I tried just two trade downs, going from 1-4, then 4-8; picked up 35, 44, 79, and 161 in 2023, then a 1st and 2x 3rds in 2024 and tried my best to go BPA throughout, got only two B grade on all picks:
  10. I don't know about that. 80 is a mid-3rd round pick. There may not be 20 elite guys are something like that, but there are more than 80 starters. The Bears currently have 4 picks in the first 102 and with one trade will add at least another. They have 3 picks in the first 64, and will likely have a 4th after a trade.
  11. I am telling you, I may have to be admitted to the hospital if Poles pulls off 2 trades AND stays in the top 10. That would mean multiple 1sts in the future and possibly multiple 2nds this year.
  12. I feel like the Texans are really going to have to overpay to move up one slot. Either way, with at least 2 QBs going in the top 3, the Bears would still get a blue chipper at #4. If Poles can trade down twice and acquire multiple future 1st rounders, he would undo what Pace did over the last 7 years (trading away 1st rounders).
  13. There could be a bidding war going on between Texans and Colts. For 2 to 1, the Bears should get the Texans 2nd (#32) and mid-round pick in 2023 or 2024. (1 <>2+32+4th or 5th round pick) For 4 to 1, the Bears should get the Colts 2nd (#34), and potentially a 2024 1st (1 <>4+34+2024 1st) If not a 2024 1st, then it would have to be at least a 2024 2nd and a 2024 3rd (1 <>4+34+2024 2nd+2024 3rd) *Note - Indy does not have a 2023 3rd rounder
  14. adam

    Top FA Targets

    Team cuts and cap casualty projections are starting to pop up all over. The Free Agent market is going to look a lot different once teams starting making those cuts before the new league year on March 15th. We are now 5 weeks out. Compared to previous seasons, since the Bears basically control the market for at least the first few signings, I figure we will have 2-3 key signings in the first 24 hours, and will know who they will be on the 13th (first day of legal tampering period). Then the more accurate mock drafts can start.
  15. adam

    Draft Trade Rumors

    You would think the right side was the one with expensive QB, not the left. Also, not related to this image but Philly has 2 DL and 2 OL that are +10 year team vets still anchoring the trenches. That is hard to do nowadays, half of your D-Line and 40% of your O-Line starters locked down for that long?
  16. Yeah, it's insane really. I heard a good review on Stroud, who has similar traits and performance as Fields did. The knock on him is the offense he was in looks great with a lot of time and great receivers, but in the NFL, that type of intermediate to deep style just doesn't work effectively enough to be sustainable. I just hope Fields is like other QBs that came out of those situations and figured it out. the concern is most of them don't.
  17. That's pretty funny. I always found it interesting how many signs were in English in foreign countries where English wasn't the first (or even second) language.
  18. Looking at all these cap numbers, I noticed a few things. Fields makes HALF of what Lawrence, Wilson, and Lance make due to where he was drafted. Fields full contract was $18.8M, Wilson's was $35.1M, that is crazy. No wonder Lamar Jackson wants a new deal, he has only made $32M for his first 5 seasons, with an MVP season in there. Jalen Hurts total earnings thru this year: $4.1M which includes a cap hit of only $1.6M for this season. For the Super Bowl, these are two totally different constructed teams. The Eagles have $34M more money in non-QBs than the Chiefs roster. With the Bears cap situation, and where Fields is in his rookie deal, there should be zero excuses as the Bears can field one of the most expensive rosters in the league excluding QB. Side Note - If for some reason Fields is not the guy and doesn't take the next step as a passer, the Bears QB history since 2017 could look like this: 2017 - Passes up arguably one of the best QBs in the history of the game (Mahomes), while also trading up for no reason to draft Trubisky - insert Clown Face 2018 - Since Bears have Trubisky, they draft Roquan Smith, who is no longer on the team, and pass on Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson. 2019 - Due to Khalil Mack trade, Bears do not have 1st rounder, and still think Trubisky can go from 101 to 201. False hope season. 2020 - Bears realize they are stuck with Trubisky, and that he is not the guy, but due to the Mack trade, the Bears do not have 1st rounder again, miss on Justin Herbert in the 1st, draft Cole Kmet in the 2nd, and 10 picks later Jalen Hurts gets drafted. 2021 - Bears trade up to draft Justin Fields, giving up a 2022 1st. 2022 - Due to Justin Fields trade, Bears don't have a 1st Rounder 2023 - Bears trade #1 pick, another team trades up and drafts a QB that becomes better than Fields. That would be a sad 6 year run with 3 huge misses at QB.
  19. Oh yeah, for sure. I assume they put DEs with DL and OLBs with the LB.
  20. They really need to break it down by Edge, IDL, and LB. So OLine, DLine, and Secondary, then WR, LB, TE, then RB.
  21. They don't even show him in Denver colors because he wasn't there long enough.
  22. From the article at OTC, it is basically for all the performance bonuses that hit during 2022. Those carry over into 2023 since they are not awarded until they are met. So if a guy gets a $1M bonus for Pro Bowl selection, that doesn't count in the 2022 cap because it won't be awarded until well into the season. If that hits, the $1M has to be accounted for in the cap number for the next year. Signing bonuses are spread over all the years, workout bonuses apply to current year, and performance bonuses apply to the following year.
  23. My guess is 5-6 top end FAs this offseason. 2-3 on D-Line (Payne, Ngakoue, Jones/Allen), at least one on O-Line (McGary-RT), then maybe a CB (Dean) or LB (Long), TE (Engram) or WR (Meyers). Then at least one trade back to pick up an extra 1st in 2024 and a 2nd rounder in 2023. 4 picks in the first 64 picks. That would be close to 10 new impact players in one offseason. It is hard to fathom.
  24. The Bears could sign Payne, Ngakoue, and someone like Dre'Mont Jones or Zach Allen at DT and still have the most cap space. That would be an elite D-Line. Then you rotate Gipson and Robinson in at Edge with Justin Jones rotating in at DT.
  25. The league announced the cap will be $224.8M for 2023. With that info and the known carryovers and other related charges, OTC has the Bears at $90.8M in cap space and $82M in effective cap. Using effective cap, which is more realistic, the Bears could sign 3x players with a $10M cap hit for 2023 and STILL have the highest available cap space. Truly insane. 17 teams are over the cap (effective cap) and another 6 are under $10M. The Saints and Bucs are going to have to cut some big name players as they are $58M and $62M over. There is no way you can manipulate the cap that much. Some teams are actually quite comical. Packers are $20M over and saddled with Rodgers contract. Panthers have no QB and are $14M over.
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