adam

One thing I heard from all the player interviews is that most of the young guys only know losing. The Bears really need to bring in a few FAs from perennial winning organizations.

4 OL, Edge, CB2, S2, and a rotational DT. That is 8 starters at a minimum. So they need to get a min of 4 in FA.

Of the two other 4-win teams, CAR is at TB and NYJ is at BUF. I don't see either of the lesser teams winning. So our only hope is some 3-win teams move up. TEN is @JAX, so one of those teams will move to 4 wins. LVR is @NO, who looked terrible against GB. So LVR could move to 4 wins. That sets up for some interesting games in Week 18: MIA @ NYJ - (MIA is terrible in the cold), NYJ could move to 5 wins JAX @ IND - if JAX beats TEN in Week 17, this could get them to 5 wins CAR @ ATL - this is the last realistic game where a team could move to 5 wins Other games: LAC @ LVR - Is LAC resting starters for WC Weekend? TEN @ HOU - Is HOU resting starters for WC Weekend? So the absolute best the Bears could do is 6th, if JAX beats TEN and IND, NYJ beats MIA, and CAR beats ATL. The issue is based on odds, only NYJ is favored to win. That would give the Bears 8th if they don't win again. If they win one more, it looks like 10th is locked in unless NO wins again (they play LVR and TB), so a win is likely against LVR. So figure 8, 9 or 10. For CAR, at this point we would rather have the better first-round pick than 2nd. One slot is huge in the first round. So we actually want CAR to win one more. That scenario would give the Bears #8, 40, and 42. or 9, 41 and 42. 9 to 8 is worth a late 3rd round pick.

I always find this interesting, how the media can portray the same production. All 3 of these QBs have played 15 games. Herbert gets praised all the time, and no one ever talks bad about Kyler, yet Caleb is crapped on constantly. Kyler Murray 3,288 yds, 16 TD, 9 INT, 518 Rush Yds, 5 TD Caleb Williams 3,271 yds, 19 TD, 5 INT, 442 Rush Yds, 0 TD Justin Herbert 3,243 yds, 18 TD, 3 INT, 252 Rush Yds, 2 TD The biggest issue with Caleb is sacks.

Thru 15 games: 1. Moore - 826, proj: 936 (87/g to hit 1K) 2. Odunze - 701, proj: 794 (149.5/g to hit 1K) 3. Allen - 694, proj: 786 (153/g to hit 1K) 4. Scott - 0, proj: 0 (500/g to hit 1K)

Some of this is dependent on who they resign. I am going with them resigning Jenkins for one of the OG positions. With Braxton's injury, the OLine is going to need a new LT, new OC, and a new OG. They need a real TE2, with Allen probably leaving, they will need a new WR3, and they will need a new rotational RB. Depthwise, they will need another OT, OG, and OC. That is 9 spots on the offense at a minimum. On defense, they need a real Edge2, another DT, a CB2, and another S. Depth wise, they need another DT, Edge, CB, LB, and S. So for the 53-man, that's also 9. So I see about 18 spots, at a minimum that need to be filled in FA and the draft. Obviously 4-5 of those are going to be vet min deals. The draft will need to fill 4-5 of those, so 6-7 need to be filled in FA with legit contracts.

Yep that accounted for more than 2x INTs by other QBs, it makes no sense. On the flip side, PFF graded him at 83.0, his 3rd best game of the season.

I know it is still early, but this looks worse now than it did a month ago lol. 10x games vs teams that currently have 10+ wins (not just winning teams, elite teams) 2x games against 7-8 teams (CIN and DAL) 1x SFO (not a true last place team) 4x games vs bad teams (CAR, CLE, LVR, and NYG, but CAR is improving) SFO was ravaged with injuries, so they are not a true last place team. DAL has been without Dak for much of the season, so they will be better than a 7-8 team. CIN should also be better. So the Bears, a current 4-win team needs to improve in the offseason to the point where they can compete with the likes of DET, MIN, GB, PHI, WAS, PIT, and BAL if they even want a shot at a winning record next season. If you give them every game against a 7-8 team and lower, that's only 7 games. I know teams change from year to year, but teams like BAL, PIT, PHI, DET, and GB all had winning records pretty much every year. That leaves MIN and WAS. The Bears need to open the wallet and bring in impact FAs and nail the draft. Otherwise, I don't see how this is not a 5 to 6 win team next year.

From the Twitter Doctors, it looks like a season ending injury and potentially something that will impact next season. So the Bears will need a new LT on opening day next season. Just another need for a team with a ton of needs. Poles needs to go.

Braxton Jones broke his leg, going to be out 8-10 months. They will need a new LT now too. So 3-4 OLinemen depending on Jenkins and DT, Edge, CB, and probably S. It won't all be addressed in the draft, but they really need to find 4-5 starters in the draft.

Yeah, it is pretty crazy for a 4 win team to only get the 9th pick. I am going to have to look, but that is one of the worst picks ever for a 4 win team. The only hope is for NYJ or CAR to win one more. NYJ plays MIA in Week 18. CAR plays @TB in Week 17 and @ATL in Week 18. They just beat ARZ, so a win against either of them is at least possible. I don't see the Bears winning another game.

I have no idea how QBR is giving Caleb a 39.7 for this game? 334 Passing Yards, 65.0% Comp, 8.4 Y/A, 2 TD, 0 INT, 2 Sacks, 6 carries, 34 Rushing Yards. Like how is that possible? It has to be a typo right? His 2nd highest passing yards, 7th highest Comp%, 2nd highest Y/A, T-2nd TD Passes, T-1st INT, T-6th Rushing Yards, T-2nd Sacks, and 4th highest QB Rating. Yet that equates to a 39.7? Stroud had 244 passing yards, 59% Comp, 6.3 Y/A, 2 TD, 2 INT, 2 Sacks, and 23 Rushing Yards. Every single stat worse than Caleb yet he ended up with a 64.3 QBR?

Caleb also has 442 rushing yards. So he has 3,713 total yards for 247.5 yards per game with 2 games left. So he is on pace for 4,208 total yards.

Bears Franchise Record (Passing Yards) 1. Erik Kramer, 1995: 3838 2. Jay Cutler, 2014: 3812 3. Jay Cutler, 2009: 3666 4. Jay Cutler, 2015: 3659 5. Jay Cutler, 2010: 3274 6. Caleb Williams, 2024: 3271 (2 games remaining)

Another one: Williams has 326 passing attempts without an INT, now over 100 attempts more than the previous rookie record. The NFL record is next, 402 attempts by Rodgers in 2018. Williams needs 76 attempts, which would be 38 per game for the last two games, or he can extend it into next season. He has 5 games where he had more than 38 attempts, and a 6th game where he had 37.

Here is where the generational talent comes in: 300 Yard Passing Games (Rookies) Caleb Williams - 15 starts, 4x 300-yd games All other rookie QBs - 45 starts, 2x 300-yd games (Daniels 1, Nix-1, Maye-0, Rattler-0, Penix-0) So he has twice as many 300-yd passing games than all other rookies combined in a 1/3 of the starts.

The Lions have 8 starters on IR or were out against the Bears. The Bears had 4.

The Bears last national embarrassment game of the season. Short week, the only advantage is Seattle is playing right now in Seattle against Minnesota. So they are going to have a short week and have to travel. With Seattle expected to lose to Minnesota and already down by 10, they have to win out to even have a chance to make the playoffs. So for them, it is a must win. The Bears have only pride to play for, and based on recent weeks, I don't know if that is enough. I am going with Seattle 27 - Bears 23. I revised my prediction score. I think both teams score 3 TDs, but SEA also gets 2x FGs.

Another one of those punches in the gut, Penix gets his first start, wins by 27. Team scored 34 points. What you don't see are the 2 defensive TDs accounting for 14 of the teams points. Penix had 202 yards passing, 0 TD, and 1 INT but won lol.

AG, just because someone has a label, that should not require them to exceed all others if the situations are not the same. People also forget that Williams is a year younger than both Daniels and Nix. So a younger QB in a complete mess of a team and situation. So it is hard to use wins as a metric when the other 52 players have done nothing. Williams now has 3,271 Passing Yards, 19 TD, 5 INT Daniels (The ORoY) has 3,302 Passing Yards, 22 TD, 8 INT Nix has 3,235 Passing Yards, 22 TD, 11 INT So Daniels has 31 more passing yards than Williams, both Daniels and Nix have 3 more TD passes, but Williams has 6 fewer INTs than Nix and 3 less than Daniels with more passing attempts. The Bears defense has allowed 30 pts in 3 out of the last 4 games. Williams can break the franchise passing record with 568 yards in the last 2 weeks (284/g). Williams 3,271 is the most by a Bears QB since Jay Cutler's 3,659 in 2015. He has exceeded every season by Trubisky and Fields in 15 games.

CAR winning sucks, they will probably end up with a worse pick than the Bears the way this is going. 7. CAR 4-11 8. NYJ 4-11 9. CHI 4-11 10. NO 5-9 In this scenario, the picks would rotate so the Bears would get the 2nd and 3rd picks of the 4-11 teams in the 2nd round. So #9, #40, and #41 (CAR)

Edmunds is playing terrible. Owens and Stevenson are huge liabilities in coverage. You can't have that many gaping holes with 11 players. They really need to go with Edwards and Sanborn, put Smith in and Stevenson, and a tackling dummy instead of Owens.

Owens is a terrible Safety, he has accounted for at least 2.5 TDs against which is the difference in the game.

Refs are bullshit as well. Pryor literally rocked 2 inches and they called false start, yet the KC RT can move a whole second before the snap and it's not a false start.

Allen over 100 yards receiving for the first time this year.