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Everything posted by adam
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The team needs to purge itself of whatever has infested the organization. Whether it is weakness, passiveness, being too nice, whatever it is, they need to clean house and start fresh while Caleb is still on his rookie deal. I would fire Poles, the entire coaching staff, and other staffers that have bred this losing culture over the past 3 years. For the roster, I am saving some cap space by cutting or trading Edmunds, Everett, and Bates to free up about $15M. Some dead cap for Edmunds but it would be worth it. I would be open to trading just about anyone on the roster for draft capital. Poles has now built a team that has had 2 losing streaks 7 games or longer. There are teams that have not lost 7 games in that same time frame, but people are defending Poles. This is the 2nd worst team in the NFL over the past 3 years and there is a good chance CAR passes the Bears with 2 more wins in the last 4 weeks to put the Bears at the bottom.
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The roster is too weak. If SF could do that to the Bears with 10+ starters injured, then the 3-4 guys the Bears were missing shouldn't have mattered. Their 5th string RB scored a TD on the Bears defense. At the end of Year 3 and the team still needs a DT, Edge, CB, probably another S, and an upgrade at LB. That's 5 on defense. On offense, they need at least 3 on the O-Line at a minimum and a real threat to catch the ball at TE. That is another 5 players without counting depth pieces. There is no way this roster should be that weak after 3 full offseasons.
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The way the defense looked, one other thing is apparent. Washington as a coordinator sucks too. Too many guys way out of position.
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The Bears won't end up at #9 with 4 more losses. Probably #6 or #7 at this point.
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The Bears have the #9 pick, #35 (CAR), and the #41 pick. Assuming they lose out, which looks very probable, they will have 3 picks in the top 40 and 4 in the top 70.
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This will probably be the most active thread from here on out. The Bears currently have the 9th pick at 4-9, but CIN has not played yet this week at 4-8. If CIN wins, the Bears stay at 9, if CIN loses the Bears drop to 10th. This next week, JAX 3-10 vs NYJ 3-10, guarantees another 4-win team. 3-win CAR also plays 5-win DAL, and 3-10 TEN plays 4-win CIN. In order for the Bears to get a better pick, we need several of the current 3-win teams to win at least 2 more games. Realistically though, even with the Bears losing out, I don't think they get a pick better than #6, which still requires 3x 3-win teams to win 2 out of the next 4. This is a terrible year to be bad. The Bears could finish with 4 wins, with 11 straight losses and not get a top 5 pick.
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His 2nd punter he drafted in 3 years. Great use of draft capital. Auto draft using a big board with BPA picks would've yielded a better team after 3 years.
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Poles has to go. The Bears need a clean slate to start fresh with Williams. Someone needs to come in and build inside out, all trenches until they are top 10 units.
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Well that game was on Poles. This is the 4-9 team he built in his 3rd year as GM. Edmunds is a terrible and overpaid MLB. Almost every other player is overrated. Braxton Jones is not a starting LT. Wright over Jalen Carter looks worse every day. I am glad he used his first two draft picks on a Nickelback and Safety. That sure is paying dividends. The list goes on and on. He lucked into the CAR trade and that is the only thing saving him from not having the worst team in the NFL in his 3rd year. SF had their 5th string RB score a TD.
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Here are the worst records against the top half of the league. It makes sense that most of the bottom feeders are on the list, but I was surprised to see DEN on there. They are 8-0 against bad teams and 0-5 vs good teams. If they make the playoffs, they are the first team eliminated (AFC side). ATL would be the same for the NFC. There is only one team on this list with a losing record AND a positive points differential, the Chicago Bears. You cannot make up how bad this team has been under Flus. JAX 0-8 CIN 0-7 CHI 0-6 MIA 0-5 DEN 0-5 (8-5) NE 0-5 NO 0-4 CAR 0-4 LVR 1-7 NYJ 1-7 SF 1-6 NYG 1-5 ATL 1-5 (6-6) Besides one-score game losses, how about turnover differential? The Bears are 4th in the NFL with a +10. BUF +17 (10-2) PIT +15 (9-3) LAC +11 (8-4) CHI +10 (4-8) HOU +10 (8-5) It is literally near impossible to do what the Bears have done over the past few years. This is in direct relation to the type of coach Flus was and how he performed on the sidelines. He gave away no less than 10 wins in the past 3 years with his ignorance. The silver lining is this team is much better than their record indicates.
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Bosa is their top defensive player and Trent Williams is arguably their best player on offense as an elite LT. Both out including no McCaffery or Mason at RB.
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Bosa is out for sure:
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An interesting note in the rookie QB comparisons. Not only do they not talk about opponents, but they don't even mention things like pressure rate. Of the QBs with at least 10 starts, Bo Nix (27.3%) has the 3rd lowest QBP and Jayden Daniels (29.2%) has the 6th lowest. On the flip side, only 2 QBs with 10 starts have a higher QBP than Williams (37.6%).
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Teams ahead of the Bears in the draft order have some favorable matchups in the event that the Bears lose. Both other 4-8 teams have easier opponents with CIN at DAL, and NO at NYG. TEN also plays JAX. So there is a good chance that we 3 teams with another win below the Bears. That would make a Bears loss equal pick #9 and a Bears win equal pick #12 or #13.
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In their last two games they have been outscored 73-20 and now they have more players injured.
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Trent Williams out, Bosa doubtful. McCaffrey and Mason done for season. After returning from a frozen Buffalo game where they were beat up. This SF team may be mailing it in for the season. We will see, but that team had way loftier goals than the Bears and are only 1 game ahead of the Bears thru 12 games.
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I thought Warren literally said in the presser that Poles was the "Point Man" on the HC hire?
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He hasn't thrown one since he played us 4 weeks ago. Goff had one though.
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Say what you will about Caleb, but straight up game comparison against the same team, same location, and same day of the week as Jordan Love against DET: Love 12-20, 60%, 206 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 23 rushing yds Williams 20-39, 51.3%, 256 yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 39 rushing yds Also, the biggest thing for Love was field position. Campbell was doing everything in his power to give the game to GB. GB had starting field positions of the DET 30 after a turnover on downs, the DET 16 after an INT, and the GB 48. Even with that, Love only put up those numbers. Lastly, his 206 yards includes a 59-yarder to Watson, so he had 147 passing yards the rest of the game besides that one play.
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He just needs to get stronger and be able to take on a bull rush.
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Stats vs teams with a winning record: Player G Cmp Att Cmp% Yds TD Int Rate Y/A Y/C Drake Maye 1 20 33 60.6 243 3 2 88.3 7.4 12.2 Jayden Daniels 3 63 101 62.4 662 3 1 87.1 6.6 10.5 Caleb Williams 5 108 178 60.7 1132 5 2 83.8 6.4 10.5 Bo Nix 5 106 173 61.3 1038 4 6 71.4 6 9.8
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🤔🤔Strength of Victory: DEN SoV .302 CHI SoV .292 NE SoV .292 (w/ Maye starting) WAS SoV .281
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Maye has only played one winning team, Daniels only two. Maye 0-1 vs winning teams Daniels 0-3 vs winning teams Nix 0-5 vs winning teams Williams 0-5 vs winning teams
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Nix: 11 TD, 0 INT vs LVR, ATL, CAR 6 TD, 8 INT vs everyone else 🤔 No one is talking about this Zero wins against winning teams, why is this not discussed more as well? Daniels: WAS is 3-2 when he throws an INT. All other QBs have a losing record when throwing an INT. Last 5 wins: TEN, NYG, CHI, CAR, CLE who have a combined 15-45 record. His other wins: ARZ, CIN, and NYG again lol. Zero wins against winning teams, why is this not discussed more? Interesting trend for rookie QBs. Maye: 5 straight games with a TD and INT (1-4, only win vs Bears lol). The Bears game is Maye's only win as a starter (where he finished the game) Just to clarify, no rookie QB has a win against a team that is currently over .500.
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Last 3 games, 4 rookie QBs, two are getting ORoY consideration, can you guess who: A. 71-110, 64.5%, 874 Yds, 7 TD, 2 INT, 14 Rushing Yards (Total Yards 888) B. 75-117, 64.1%, 827 Yds, 5 TD, 0 INT, 142 Rushing Yards (Total Yards 969) C. 75-106, 70.8%, 742 Yds, 4 TD, 3 INT, 112 Rushing Yards, 2 FL (Total Yards 854) D. 72-100, 72.0%, 672 Yds, 6 TD, 4 INT, 126 Rushing Yards, 2 TD (Total Yards 798) I thought it was pretty wild that all 4 were within 4 completions of each other. The only other thing that stood out was one QB was clean the last 3 games while the other 3 had at least 2 INTs, and one QB had 2 rushing TDs while the other 3 had zero. If you take away the names, I don't know how Williams is not in the discussion with what he is doing lately. It goes to show that wins have more of an impact on the awards than raw stats.