Everything posted by adam
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
Holy shit this defense is on fire. They want this one for DA.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
Roschon sighting, gets the first down. Swift with the rushing TD, he found the hole. 13-0 Bears.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
This game is bananas.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
He made his mind up before the snap, can't do that. If he threw a better ball, it would not have been an INT. That ball has to be to the outside and not short.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
and now an INT. Murphy kicking the Bears ass today. BS penalty negates big play, then an INT.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
Loveland called with another phantom call, what the hell was that?
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
Sweat is having himself a game already. He stops Kamara on 3rd Down to force a punt. He has been very active. Dexter as well. If those two are playing well, the entire defense plays well.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
Offense looking like crap. Fumbled snap on a high snap from Dalman, then on 3rd Down he snaps the ball and then holds onto it? I don't know if I have ever seen that before and how that is not a penalty lol. Bears settle for FG. Offense is killing themselves right now.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
Defense coming up huge, Montez Sweat with the strip sack and Dexter with the recovery.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
Terrible start. Of course. The typical quick screen to the WR that is almost intercepted, then a false start penalty to cause a 3rd and long and quick 3 and out. Lovely.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
Yes lol.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
Don't blitz Rattler and wait him out as he gets worse the longer he holds the ball: Blitz: +0.12 EPA/DB No Blitz: -0.11 EPA/DB TTT below 2.5: +0.12 EPA/DB TTT above 2.5: -0.32 EPA/DB
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Week 6 Official Game Thread - CHI @ WAS, MNF, Oct 13, 8:15PM CDT, ABC, CHI +4.5
The Long Snapper is considered a defenseless player when snapping the ball with his head down. On both of the last two kicks, the block and the GWFG, Payne is clearly on Daly's back instantly, and using him as leverage. On the previous kicks, Payne would just rush the gap between the LS and the G, but in these two he was going over the back of Daly, which didn't give him a chance to even attempt to block him. In the MIA game, this was called against the defense.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
I was trying to look for some trends for this game, but in general, the Saints have been so bad under Rattler and over the last two years, there is not much to find. However, I did notice that in their only win and Rattler's first (1-12), he did not take a sack, nor did he throw an INT. NO is 1-1 when he doesn't take a sack, and winless when he takes at least one. For Williams, the Bears are 1-6 when he doesn't throw a TD pass but are 4-0 when he is sack 1 or fewer times in a game. They are 4-14 when he is sacked 2 or more times. So the formula is at least 1 TD pass with 1 or fewer sacks for Williams.
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Year 2 QB QBR Tracker
I think the top 3 are really comparable with different elite traits. The one factor that has to be considered is the opponents. The difference between Maye in 2024 and 2025 is the absolute cream puff schedule he has this year. So I would expect him to lead all 2024 QBs in passing this year just based on that alone. Daniels had that last year. WAS was 1-4 against playoff teams and 11-1 against non-playoff teams. Daniels and Nix are in Year 2 of the same offense as well. So thru Week 6 in Year 2, Caleb has had the toughest SOS and is already on his 3rd play caller, OC, and HC. Penix and Rattler are with Caleb, on their 2nd coaching staff and have harder schedules. 1. Maye -coaching staff change, +schedule 2. Williams -coaching staff change, -schedule 3. Daniels +lack of coaching change, +schedule 4. Penix -coaching staff change, -schedule 5. Nix +lack of coaching change, +schedule 6. Rattler -coaching staff change, -schedule 7. McCarthy -always injured One last note on Maye, he has never thrown for more than 287 yards, and the most passing TDs in one game is 3, which he has done only twice. Caleb has 4x 300-yard games and 2x 4 TD passing games. Daniels has one game over 275 passing yards, the Hail Mary game against the Bears. That one stupid play gave him a career high, and his only 300-yd passing game of his career to this point.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
They had the same punter in last week to help the returners.
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Year 2 QB QBR Tracker
Oof, Loveland would be 20th.
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Week 7 Official Game Thread - NOR @ CHI, Oct 19, 12PM CDT, FOX, CHI -5.5
Side note to the New Orleans game, the Saints are 23rd in Pressure Rate. In contrast, the Bears have faced teams that apply a lot of pressure, in 4 other games: WAS - 4th, DAL - 8th, DET - 9th, MIN - 10th. I was suprised to see WAS that high, so maybe Caleb's performance was a little better than I thought considering he was facing a top 5 pressure defense and the offense still put up 25.
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>4K Passing Yards, >25 Passing TD, <10 INT, >500 Rushing Yards before 24 yrs old
Yeah, from what I can see, it seems he moves from 1-2 pretty fluidly, but then 2-3 and beyond, his eyes and feet separate.
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Cut Swift after the season?
The entire line played great.
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Cut Swift after the season?
The Bears had their best games in terms of Rushing Success Rate in the last 20 years, and one of the best games by any team this season. It also does contrast with Swift's career as he has typically been a 47% Success Rate Rusher, slightly below the league average of 49%.
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>4K Passing Yards, >25 Passing TD, <10 INT, >500 Rushing Yards before 24 yrs old
The accuracy is the main issue, but he didn't have accuracy issues in college, so I think it is something that can be corrected. I heard Nate Tice say something about the deep incompletion to Rome that was considered "underthrown, that it was the 2nd longest throw in the NFL this season only a half yard shorter than Mahomes hail mary attempt.
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Week 6 Official Game Thread - CHI @ WAS, MNF, Oct 13, 8:15PM CDT, ABC, CHI +4.5
Moore is a baller if he played through that. 😁
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Kmet is a liability
The TEs have really underwhelmed. Kmet is having the worst year of his career (pass catching), and Loveland has barely played as a top 10 pick (which is not good). All the while Tyler Warren leads all TEs in Rec Yards.
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Cut Swift after the season?
I think with Swift it is the consistency. He is just not a consistent player, never has been. He has games like this once or twice a year, then 5-6 games of subpar play. That was his 8th 100 Yard Rushing game in his career (6th year). The most 100-yard games he's had in one season is 2, and in both seasons, the were in back to back games oddly enough. Also, this was the first time he had a 100-yard game without a run of 20 yards or longer, his longest was 19. He has also never had more than 2 games in a row with a YPC at 5.0 or higher. Never 3 games. It is so odd. If the Bears got this Swift weekly, you absolutely keep him, but if he reverts to his old self for the next month, then you have to move onto someone who can do it week in and week out.