adam

These are the 5 games leading up to the next Divisional game against MIN in Week 11. Week 6 at WAS (WAS is 2-2 heading into a road game against LAC, very well could return home 2-3 before playing the Bears). Week 7 vs NO (NO is 0-4, plays NYG, then NE at home before playing the Bears, could easily be 0-6 by then). Week 8 at BAL (BAL is coming out of their bye, gonna be a tough game, Madubuike out for season though). Week 9 at CIN (Burrow on IR, they play NYJ the week prior at home, have 3 straight home games with the Bears being the 3rd). Week 10 vs NYG (Nabers on IR, play SF at home the week prior) 3-2 seems likely, with 4-1 very possible depending on the health of WAS and/or BAL. I think NO and NYG should be wins, leaving the other 3 games as toss ups with CIN being the most likely win, then WAS depending on Daniels and McLaurin's health. Lamar and Daniels kinda scare me because the Bears really don't have a fast spy that can keep up with those QBs if they slip the pressure. So 5-4 or 6-3 heading into MIN. MIN has CLE, PHI, LAC, DET, and BAL before CHI. I could easily see them 4-5 or 5-4 going into that game. GB has CIN, ARZ, PIT, CAR, then PHI in those same weeks. After tying DAL, it would seem like 3-2 is the most likely outcome for their games, maybe 4-1, so 5-3-1 or 6-2-1. DET has the lightest schedule, CIN, KC, TB, MIN, WAS, 1 loss, maybe 2, so 7-2 or 6-3

PFF Grades overall thru Week 4 and for Week 4: Overall Williams 75.0 (9th) / 62.2 vs LVR Maye 73.9 (10th) / 76.5 vs CAR Daniels 71.0 / DNP Penix 61.1 / 84.4 vs WAS McCarthy 55.5 / DNP Nix 44.6 (plays MNF)

PFF Grades for Week 4: Top 5 Bottom 5 Offense Monangai 70.8 Thuney 66.6 Dalman 65.4 Odunze 65.3 Zaccheaus 65.1 ------------ Smythe 49.4 Trapilo 47.9 Kmet 46.9 Jones 41.3 Benedet 38.7 TE and OTs struggled. Defense Byard 94.1 Stevenson 93.3 Billings 66.9 Sweat 66.5 Robinson 61.8 ------------ Edmunds 49.6 Wright 49.2 Kpassoagnon 46.2 Ford 46.0 Odeyingbo 41.7 Byard and Stevenson playing at an all-pro level. Both had higher grades than Maxx Crosby lol.

I can only assume that he is either struggling with the playbook or pass pro. Jamaal Williams, Gus Edwards, and Donte Foreman are all available. None of those guys are going to wow you, but all have shown enough in this league to at least give them a shot. They can't be worse than what Swift has shown so far. Hell, Khalil Herbert was just signed and now released by the Colts. We all know Herbert is at least serviceable. Herbert's career YPC is 4.8 and he could be used on special teams. Don't know why the team stopped using him last year, then traded him to CIN.

Have to give Scot Daly credit, I believe he was the one that brought it to the attention of the team.

Maxx Crosby was less effective in the 2nd half. The change, Braxton Jones comes out, they slide Benedet over to LT and Trapilo gets 40 snaps at RT. I will have to watch every snap, but Trapilo was solid, if not above average at RT, and Benedet was solid at LT as well.

Looking back at some of the replays, a huge missed holding call on LVR on that long Jeanty run. Kpassagnon was clearly held at the point of attack, which would've been a short gain at best. Jonah Jackson got called for something way less egregious on a Monangai run.

Caleb has 8 career INTs, 2 of them are literally throw aways that were caught, one this year. The last one by Crosby was a crazy tipped pass and catch. What is very promising is that of his nearly 700 career passing attempts, so few were INT worthy.

Caleb is the first QB in NFL history with over 4,400 Passing Yards, 500 Rushing Yards, 25 Passing TDs, and fewer than 10 INTs through their first 21 games to start a career. There is no one else. Year 2 QBs thru Week 4 (Career Numbers) Nix 4310 Pass Yds, 34 TD, 15 INT, 501 Rush Yds, 4 TD (Plays MNF) Williams 4468 Pass Yds, 28 TD, 8 INT, 599 Rush Yds, 1 TD Daniels 4001 Pass Yds, 28 TD, 9 INT, 976 Rush Yds, 6 TD Maye 3264 Pass Yds, 22 TD, 12 INT, 519 Rush Yds, 4 TD Penix 1693 Pass Yds, 6 TD, 6 INT, 42 Rush Yds, 2 TD McCarthy 301 Pass Yds, 2 TD, 3 INT, 50 Rush Yds, 1 TD

They were purposely chewing the clock down the entire last drive, every play took 40 seconds off the clock. Then they get 1st and goal at the 2 and use one play. LVR used a timeout there before the TD. If you think they should not have tried to burn some clock with 4 plays to score, then there is no way going for a 4th Down with more than a yard would ever make sense. The probability of scoring a TD with 2 yards to go with multiple plays is magnitudes higher than going for it on 4th Down with more than a yard to go when you only have one play. I know the Bears are not there yet, but in general, I think you need to burn the clock and force LVR to use another TO on at least one play after that first down. I get it that if you don't score you lose, but the exact thing played out on why you need to burn more clock/timeouts as they need a blocked FG to negate it.

The bye week is a good week to bring someone in if you are going to do it. There are several trade candidates and a few other guys still on the street.

Yeah, Williams faced a gauntlet last year as a rookie and gets another this year.

Williams on pace for 3,940 Passing Yards, 34 TD, and 9 INT with 467 rushing yards and 4 rushing TDs. 3,838 Yards and 29 TD is the record (in 16 games). Caleb needs to average 224 Passing Yards and 1.7 Passing TD for the remainder of the season to break both records. I honestly think he will hit both before Week 16.

On pace for 85-1258 and 21 TDs. That would be the 6th most receiving yards in franchise history, and the franchise record for TD receptions is 13 (last achieved by Dick Gordon in 1974 lol), so he would blow that out of the water by 8. I am sure his TDs will slow down, but he has 13 games left to get 9 TDs (to hit 14 for the record).

3-2 in 2025, should be 3-1 this year, that Week 1 loss to McCarthy still stings. Still feels great to get a win and go into the bye at 2-2.

The early line has the Bears as +4.5 Dogs coming out of the bye. I think the line will shift as we get closer and determine the health of Daniels and McLaurin. Washington plays in LA at 3:25pm on Sunday, so they have to travel back home, but get an extra day of rest for MNF. So they very well could be 2-3 heading into the matchup with the Bears. The Commanders' offense is still putting up points, even with Mariota at QB. They scored 27 and lost to ATL, yet Mariota only threw for 156 yards. They had 147 rushing yards, which is what kept them in the game. The Bears need to shore up the run defense, especially if Daniels is back. Too early for predictions. Will do that after next Sunday.

Week 4 - Maye - 94.5 QBR - 203 yds. 2 TD, 0 INT, 1 sack, and 11 rushing yds. 214 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 63.9, 988 yards, 7-2 TD-INT Penix - 90.3 QBR - 313 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 sack, and 2 rushing yds. 315 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 60.5, 918 yards, 3-3 TD-INT Williams - 46.0 QBR - 212 yds, 1 TD, 1 INT, 1 sack, and 13 rushing yds. 225 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 62.3, 927 yards, 8-2 TD-INT Nix - 82.5 QBR - 326 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 0 sacks, and 7 rushing yds, 1 TD. 333 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 51.1, 861 yards, 7-4 TD-INT Daniels - DNP / Season QBR: 39.7, 433 yards, 3-0 TD-INT McCarthy - DNP / Season QBR: 20.7 (Last in NFL), 301 yards, 2-3 TD-INT Penix had himself a game. Same defense Caleb will face out of the bye. Maye had a low volume game (17 attempts), and his season QBR slide past Williams.

What a great win to watch in person, glad you got to see it.

9 targets, 3 receptions, 3 drops, and 2 false starts. Ugly game.

Crosby is a menace. Sucks he is stuck in NFL purgatory.

He does hit the hole quicker. Swift is slow with no vision.

Can't count on a blocked FG to win, glad that happened, but could've avoided that situation with better clock management. I understand the theory of just scoring, but teams sometimes allow teams to score to get the ball back with more time. With how the defense was playing in the 2nd half, you can't give the other team that much time and allow that big of a return.

The Hail Mary ended Flus's run, the team was sleepwalking after that game. My hope is this is the signature gritty win they were looking for, battling for 60 minutes to scrap out a last second win. Johnson needs to improve his play calling; felt like he was forcing the runs that were turning into instant lost yards. Then, with first and goal at the 2, you score on first down when you could have burned the clock all the way down and forced them to use their timeouts. A lot of learning points while getting a win going into the bye. They really need Edwards, Jarrett, Gordon, and Wright back.

Another week and another non-existent running game. I just don't understand what is going on. How could it be that bad. There are 3 defenders in the backfield or a huge hole and Swift or Monangai run right into a defender.

Kmet may have just had his worst game as a pro. They are overpaying for a very average TE. Too many drops and penalties for a veteran. DBs should not be able to tackle him so easily. I would consider trading him before the deadline for anything if Loveland is healthy. I really like him as a person, but he continually underwhelms and has seemed to take a huge step back this year.