adam Posted yesterday at 01:42 AM Report Share Posted yesterday at 01:42 AM The 11-4 Bears travel to SF to take on the current 10-4 49ers. A primetime matchup of two teams that earned a playoff berth with Detroit crapping their pants. McCaffrey accounts for 23.6% of the targets, and has 10 games with over 105 scrimmage yards. He accounts for 34.8% of the 49ers yards from scrimmage. The Bears have to figure out a way to contain him, especially in the passing game. Surprisingly, he has been mediocre running the ball this year with his lowest career YPC at 3.6. He has a -31.0 Rush EPA, which puts him in the bottom 10 of the league in that category. SF will be coming off playing in Indy on MNF. 2 fewer days rest than the Bears with the Bears travel being cancelled by the 49ers travel back home from Indy. Advantage Bears. Warner and Bosa have been out, and that is not the same 49ers defense. They have played better of late, but EPA/Play-wise, their defense is 23rd, but 9th in scoring, 16th in Yards (10th against the Rush, 20th against the Pass), T-21st in Takeaways. So at best this is about a top 15 defense. Compared to GB, CLE, PHI, and PIT, this will be the easiest defense the Bears have faced in quite some time. Their offense is 12th in scoring and 11th in yards, and McCaffrey makes up over a 1/3 of that. It is wild to me that an RB leads the team in targets with 108, followed by Jennings at 74, and Kittle at 54. However, it seems like slowing McCaffrey down running the ball is the key. They are 8-0 when he rushes for at least 55 yards, and 2-4 when he doesn't. They are 0-3 when he rushes for under 50. I am picking the Bears, but I think the score will be dictated by the IND game somewhat. If it is high scoring, I think the Bears win 33-24 or something along those lines, a 2-score win while scoring 30+. If the IND game is low scoring, then I see it more like 24-17 Bears, more like a 6-8 point win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted 20 hours ago Author Report Share Posted 20 hours ago EPA/Play: CHI OFF: T-9th CHI DEF: T-11th SF OFF: T-9th SF DEF: T-23rd Offenses are identical in efficiency, but the 49ers defense is one of the worst on a play-by-play basis. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinger226 Posted 18 hours ago Report Share Posted 18 hours ago We keep thinking these games are going to be high scoring but will end up like the Packers game. 26-23 and if course the Bears win. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted 17 hours ago Author Report Share Posted 17 hours ago 51 minutes ago, Stinger226 said: We keep thinking these games are going to be high scoring but will end up like the Packers game. 26-23 and if course the Bears win. The Bears/Packers game was not typical. The Bears had the 2nd lowest score of any winning team this week. I hope it is not that close. I would like a 2 score lead late in the game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bears4Ever_34 Posted 4 hours ago Report Share Posted 4 hours ago The 49'ers are starting to look like a scary team. Just a complete evisceration of the Colts defense tonight. Almost 50 points. It looked like they were running routes on air the entire game. They haven't punted since November 30th! Unless the Bears can dominate time of possession, I have a feeling this game could get ugly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DABEARSDABOMB Posted 4 hours ago Report Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 minute ago, Bears4Ever_34 said: The 49'ers are starting to look like a scary team. Just a complete evisceration of the Colts defense tonight. Almost 50 points. It looked like they were running routes on air the entire game. They haven't punted since November 30th! Unless the Bears can dominate time of possession, I have a feeling this game could get ugly. I’m not looking forward to this game - bears have struggled in San Fran over the years and this is a real good Niners team. That said - let’s go Bears!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adam Posted 4 hours ago Author Report Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 minute ago, Bears4Ever_34 said: The 49'ers are starting to look like a scary team. Just a complete evisceration of the Colts defense tonight. Almost 50 points. It looked like they were running routes on air the entire game. They haven't punted since November 30th! Unless the Bears can dominate time of possession, I have a feeling this game could get ugly. Have to contain McCaffrey. Kittle didn't finish the game, left with an ankle injury. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jason Posted 1 hour ago Report Share Posted 1 hour ago The fact that Purdy threw five TDs to McCaffrey, a hobbled Kittle, and three dudes I couldn’t pick out of a lineup is very worrisome. If the DL doesn’t get pressure, this could be a difficult game. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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