Jump to content

jason

Super Fans
  • Posts

    8,631
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by jason

  1. I don’t think I believe that. I think it has more to do with Poles getting “his guy,” and not the guy from the previous regime. Or probably it’s about finances? Or maybe even the whole Williams is a “can’t miss, generational”-prospect (which I don’t believe). We also don’t know what other teams contacted the Bears, but there is no way he’s thought of lower than some of the scrubs who have been signed.
  2. Hell no. Calm down Kevin Costner.
  3. Horrible value. Better to keep him as insurance, and see if the new QB can beat him out.
  4. I don’t buy that. All the draft pundits change their minds after getting their panties moist during the regular season. By the end of the year they’ll have 3-4 they think are “sure fire starters,” and maybe one that’s a “generational talent.”
  5. My opinion on this is, it paints a pretty clear picture that Fields stays as QB. Allen counts for $23M against the cap (correct me if wrong) Guess who's an UFA after 2024? Keenan Allen Teven Jenkins Larry Borom Khari Blasingame Fields has one more year under rookie numbers before a huge payday After the trade the Bears have FOUR PICKS in the 2024 draft, which doesn't fit Poles' message of building through the draft 1.1 1.9 3.75 4.124 Everything above points to a make-or-break year for Fields in 2024, where they'll trade the #1 pick, acquire more than 4 measly picks, load up on talent, likely add starters at OL and WR, then say to Fields, "Time for you to earn your next contract and take us deep into the playoffs." If Fields fails, then the draft talent is there in 2025 with a year of experience, Keenan Allen's money is off the books, they'll have extra picks from this year's trade, at least the offensive side of the ball is wiped clean, and it'll be time for the inevitably new coaching staff to draft for their future.
  6. That’s all fair, but I just don’t think it’s a sure enough bet to go for Williams. He has numerous red flags, his teammates apparently didn’t like him, he was significantly worse against good competition, he held the ball longer than Fields, his teams didn’t win in a weak ass PAC12, he often ignores his check downs for home run balls, multiple people think the LSU kid is better, the “experts” and “pundits” aren’t in unison on him, and I hate the idea of starting over yet again. Mark my words: If the Bears draft Williams, the overall team morale will suffer because the locker room wants Fields (shades of Thomas Jones and Cedric Benson), his development will be hampered by a horrible pass-blocking OL, he will underperform, the HC will get fired, they’ll burn through a window where FA talent wants to come to Chicago, that will lead to a drop in team quality, and the Bears will be back in this same position in 2027.
  7. Neither of our scenarios is guaranteed. You increase odds by creating a good team that consistently makes the playoffs and threatens for the SB every year. It’s more realistic to build a team, create the culture, sustain excellence, and get to the big dance a few times a decade if you’re lucky. Otherwise you’re making “very good” the enemy of “perfect,” and ruining a good team every 4 years in search of virtually unattainable perfection.
  8. Disagree. You’re making it like there is one lottery ticket. The #1 might be the Powerball winner, but the odds aren’t great. Having multiple tickets increases the odds of hitting that Powerball. And even if you don’t hit the Powerball, which is extremely rare anyway, having multiple tickets increases the odds of getting a few of those million dollar tickets. Several of the million dollar tickets can deliver the win.
  9. Your analogy is understood, but not ideal. More picks means more chance at success. It’s fact. Take it to the extreme and give a team every first round pick. They’d certainly have several successes and some busts. But if 10 first round picks every year are all pros, odds are better of getting one if you have more picks.
  10. Thanks. I was going to post this. Dude had pressure roughly 50% of drop backs. League average is 35%. No wonder his accuracy isn't perfect. No wonder he holds onto the ball sometimes. Side note: I would argue some of the stats are skewed because Fields is able to run and evade the pressure. Trade the #1. Stockpile picks. Build around the team leader.
  11. Short answer: More high picks means better odds of more positions being filled with potentially better players. Long answer: Grabbing a QB at #1 means less day 1-2 picks, less future draft capital, and gambling three years of the franchise on a 50/50 roll of the dice who has numerous red flags and is not the unanimous best QB of the draft class, while filling other positions with known lesser quantities (it’s pure salary cap math at that point). Additionally it means trashing a QB who, while he may not be on track for the HOF at this point, is solid, electrifying at times, and appears to be a clubhouse leader with near universal support, despite the glaringly obvious team issues hindering his potential progression (coaching carousel, bad OL, bad offensive weapons until DJ).
  12. The ferocious debate on this kills me. There are people from every level - former GMs and personnel people all the way down to garden variety fans - who have differing opinions on Williams. Highly respected people thought Fields was a can’t miss prospect. Well, his detractors now say that was a mistake while simultaneously believing in the same “experts” who are already putting Williams in the HOF. The fact is, however, that ANY AND EVERY college QB transitioning to the NFL is an unknown. Meanwhile, Fields supporters aren’t going off of unknowns. We have seen his glimpses. The arm strength. The spectacular play ability. The incredible running addition. The obvious rapport and leadership with teammates. And we have also literally seen him play behind a subpar OL, with multiple train wreck coaches at varying positions, and a single WR who opponents fear. Given all the red flags, and complete unknown, the smart play is to go with what we know and build a team, not take another risk and keep a team full of holes.
  13. I’d argue the proof is questionable. Multiple people have broken down and shown where he has serious flaws reading defenses and holding the ball forever. But since he played in the weak ass PAC-Whatever, every team pretty much gets 30 points by default. And that doesn’t even touch on the topic of why he has huge stats against bad teams, but his production drops when he plays decent-good teams. Arm talent? Sure, elite. Big plays? Yep. Game play question marks? Also yes.
  14. I would do research before asking stupid questions about circumventing the CBA and having ownership in a team. I’d also advise my son to take part in medical, and participate in the combine. I also would have told him to skip the nail polish and Cam Newton outfits. To me those are all red flags. You can dismiss them at your discretion, but where there is smoke there is fire. He and his camp are doing almost everything wrong when it comes to the extracurriculars, and that should be concerning to the Bears, because either he actually is a huge risk, or his camp is attempting to throw the Bears off the scent. Either way, it’s an issue.
  15. This dude's idiot father not only doesn't want to hire an actual NFLPA agent, but he's also asking completely idiotic questions about foregoing NFLPA collective bargaining rookie salary structure, and yet again about team equity. Dude is going to be a combination of Jamarcus Russell and the the Ball Brothers moron father. The Bears absolutely can't take the risk that his father convinces his son to hold out, or to take it even further, basically holding the Bears entire franchise at ransom. TRADE THE PICK. https://www.outkick.com/sports/caleb-williams-agent-nfl-draft-status https://theathletic.com/5301341/2024/02/28/caleb-williams-quarterback-nfl-draft-ownership/?source=user_shared_article
  16. I’m not a fan of using a 1st on Bowers while the Bears have Kmet, but even I would be OK with how this plays out. Offense with the first four picks is the exact strategy the Bears should have in order to maximize Fields and focus on offense.
  17. The fact that I look at some of these and think of how many trades you had to make them come true, and I STILL think it’s believable, is exactly why trading down makes sense. Load up, double down on positions of need, draft insurance picks.
  18. I tell people this all the time and nobody ever recalls how bad the OL has been. The problem is with PFF stats it can be incredibly misleading. Four linemen doing well on each play still results in pressure. Play 1-LT fails Play 2-LG fails Play 3-C fails Play 4-RG fails Play 5-RT fails That results on four linemen grading out at 80%, but a QB who faces 100% pressure rate. Especially last year, that’s how it felt watching Fields.
  19. FYI-Don’t let any of that fool you. I’ve reffed 4 different “pro” women’s leagues, with teams stretching the entire southeast, and they’re all virtually the same. The level of play is atrocious. The athleticism is nearly nonexistent. It’s like a bad high school varsity team strictly because of the player size. I could give you dozens of examples, but it’s definitely not as legit as playing in high level varsity, let alone NCAA. A few examples: 1. A team traveled 10+ hours and forgot their pads in the “other truck.” 2. A team quit mid-3rd Qtr with injuries piling up and because one player said “we got jobs tomorrow.” 3. Team owner was also coach and RB. In other words, she footed the bill. In little league this is called “Daddy Ball.” 4. Nearly every player for one team, including “skill” positions, had a visible beer gut, or post pregnancy weight lingering. 5. I told two coaches at half of one game that if they wanted the game to continue with refs, they’d relay to their entire team that we are tired of hearing they’re uninformed complaining. They were absolutely clueless about the rules and never shut up. I could go on and on. I can’t speak about the time with the Commanders, but all women’s pro league resume building is like listing your HS job at Burger King when applying for a professional job in your 40s.
  20. May the best Xavier win. LOL There would be some serious camp competition with that many new bodies. I could see a roster turnover like never seen before.
  21. Concur. I just don’t know how people actually watched the games last year and come to a different conclusion. Ruined Cutler. Ruined Trubisky. Ruining Fields. When will this franchise prioritize the OL in order to protect the franchise’s number one asset?
  22. I won’t reply individually to each point, but it really comes down to percentages and finances in my mind. A QB at #1 means guaranteed holes elsewhere and a 50/50 coin flip success rate. It also means financially burdening the franchise with one player in such a way that virtually guarantees flaws elsewhere. It reminds me of going to the arcade with my kids. They spend all their money on those huge games. Sometimes those games are awesome, with great game length, amazing graphics, etc. And other times they die in very short order. Meanwhile I’m playing twice as long for a third of the money because I’m playing the classics and having a blast. If they pick the right game, their experience is fun. IF. In general, however, my strategy provides more consistent success.
×
×
  • Create New...