adam

The Bears have really drawn the short stick on weather games. Several rainy, windy, and/or cold.

No QB is perfect. Every incompletion of Caleb's is scrutinized, yet his numbers are comparable to Daniel Jones, Josh Allen, Jordan Love, Justin Herbert, Bo Nix, and better than Jalen Hurts, Baker Mayfield, CJ Stroud, etc. If you didn't see the league leaders with him in 12th for Passing Yards, T-12th in Pass TDs, 5th in Sack%, and 8th in INT%, you would think he is a bottom 3rd QB. It is so weird. QBs make inaccurate passes, miss reads, take sacks, and throw INTs. He absolutely has to be more accurate, especially in clean pockets, but we are talking about 2-3 passes a game.

The play got really mucked up, Trapilo falls down, Oz barely blocks, Kmet looks like he is running in place. Look at how much ground Kmet and the DB (who intercepted it) cover in the same amount of time. One of the lesser seen parts is the guy who intercepted it was actually covering DJ, but because he came across the LOS after the snap, the DB was actually tracking him first, then switched to Kmet when he crossed his path. If DJ runs a normal route right towards his defender, Kmet is wide open again.

I would love for them to get the next two, then at least split with SF and DET. 11 wins gets you in, especially if DET and GB lose this week, but 12 wins keeps you in the #1 Seed contention. The MIN game in Week 1, really, really, really sucks now. The differential is such a hard thing to use, as it doesn't take any context into account. There are a lot of garbage time TDs that pad stats on both sides. CAR has a winning record but is -61 while KC has a losing record but is +63?

Coverage and return units still suck balls. The Bears lost 28 net yards between their kickoffs and GB kickoffs. That is basically 3 pts lost on just kickoffs. Starting LOS after kickoffs - CHI 28, 26, 26, 40 (kicked OB), 26 GB 40 (kicked short), 35, 37, 27, 35 Bears punted at the GB 41 because they couldn't trust Santos on long kicks (again).

And if you saw the underneath defenders, they were all over that play. They are not going to win every game in that fashion, and it should not come down to that, but no team is going to win many games when your defense is allowing 4 TDs per game.

This is now a must-win, mainly because the Bears have to win games they are favored to win at home. With GB playing in DEN and DET playing LAR, there is a chance that both GB and DET lose, and CHI wins, which would reset the division back to the way it was before the loss to GB, making the Week 16 rematch even that much more important. CLE's defense is no joke. They are pretty much a top 5 defense across the board. Their offense looks more explosive with Sanders at QB. This is going to be an ugly FG war. Bears 20-16.

I don't think there will be any kind of leash for awhile, if ever. Williams and Nix have nearly identical numbers, but DEN's defense has allowed 100 fewer pts on the season. Winning and the rest of the team really make a difference in perception. Maye - 25 TD - 6 INT Williams - 23 TD - 6 INT Nix - 23 TD - 9 INT Bears non-QBs have 2 more rushing TDs than the Pats, so as offenses, NE and CHI have scored the same number of TDs. Daniels is playing below replacement level, but I don't think Daniels is on any kind of leash. If Williams connects with Kmet, but then they fail the 2XP conversion, the end result is the same, but most people would probably feel a lot better about Williams. The biggest conversation is Williams Comp%/Accuracy, but to me, it's only 2-3 passes a game. He has started 27 straight games with 0-1 INTs, and has only thrown 2 INTs in a game twice in his career, Game 2 and 3. Winning has sped up the development process, which comes with higher expectations. If the Bears make the playoffs, and Williams' numbers are better than last year, he has met my expectations for the first year of a new system following whatever last year was. Stuff like this also has to be taken into consideration. He had the highest unblocked pressure rate last year, and this year, he has yet to take a sack when there is an unblocked pass rusher, which is mind boggling considering the types of Pash Rushers he has faced.

Week 14 - 1. Nix - 76.0 QBR - 212 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 3 Sacks, 16 Rush Yds. 228 Total Yards. Won. Season QBR: 55.7, 2,954 yards, 19-9 TD-INT, 16 Sacks, 3 Rush TD. (13g) 2. Nine - 75.2 QBR - 163 Yds, 3 TD, 0 INT, 4 Sacks, 15 Rush Yds, 1 Rush TD. 178 Total Yards. Won. Season QBR: 27.6, 1,092 yards, 9-10 TD-INT, 24 Sacks, 3 Rush TD. 3. Williams - 40.6 QBR - 186 yds, 2 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sacks, 15 Rush Yds. 201 Total Yards. Lost. Season QBR: 53.4, 2,908 yards, 19-6 TD-INT, 20 Sacks, 3 Rush TD, 1 Rec TD. (13g) 4. Daniels - 11.1 QBR - 78 yds, 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sack, 16 Rush Yds. 94 Total Yards. Lost. Season QBR: 54.8, 1,262 yards, 8-3 TD-INT, 18 Sacks, 2 Rush TD. ------------------------------------------------------------------ Maye - BYE Week Penix - IR Season QBR: 56.4, 1,882 yards, 9-3 TD-INT, 13 Sacks, 1 TD. Rattler - DNP Season QBR: 50.4, 1,586 yards, 8-5 TD-INT, 18 Sacks, 1 FL. Low totals across the board this week. Crazy how similar Nix and Williams are this year.

Just thinking about everything you said, and the Bears STILL had a chance to tie/win in the final seconds of the game. The only thing I can think of for DJ is he is playing hurt, because nothing else makes sense.

Gordon practiced all week, then you take him out on game day (like an in-game injury), and things will look different. I am sure they had set plays/pressures designed just for him. When you from Gordon to McCloud, things are going to look bad. Still no excuse, but it felt like the pressures didn't match the coverages, the Bears got burnt.

And somehow I see Nagy on the "Hot Coaching Candidate" charts. Are people even paying attention to games anymore?

Win in 2 weeks at home and they are back in 1st place.

Good adjustments but not the best called game for Johnson. Running game got hot, had GB on their heels then you get too cute.

Horrible spots all game, doesn't matter now.

Ffs that's the call on 4th and 1? Come on Johnson, what are you doing? The INT doesnt even matter on 4th Down.

Duvernay redeems himself, a WR holds onto the ball.

Huge hole on Kickoff, Duvernay doesn't follow his blocks runs right into defender

Brisker is worthless man, ugh. Bad in coverage and now can't tackle or stop the run.

Brisker needs to make a play, he has been terrible.

8 minutes, probably 2 possessions left for each team

Amazing drive by the Bears there, that felt like the Philly game. They dominated the LOS all the way down the field. Tie game.

And that's another reason I'm not worried about Caleb's comp rate. Dumb play calls, dropped passes, and throwaways.

What I don't understand is that play never works, either loses yards incomplete or near INT. Yet Johnson goes back to it like that was the right time to call a play that has never worked.

And there is the WR screen without numbers. Johnson is good for at least 2 of those per game. Never works, ever.