adam

Here we go: 1. If Fields makes it to #4, the Bears move up to get him in a package that includes Miller (with the news of ATL wanting to move Julio) and obviously a bunch of picks. 2. If the Bears can't move up, Pace will trade down and take Mond in the late first. 3. A QB will be drafted for the first time since Trubisky. 4. Pace will trade up at least once in the draft. 5. Pace will draft at least one D2 player. 6. Pace will have conviction on all his picks. 7. Pace will mention the amount of collaboration the team had on all their picks. 8. At least 2x UDFA's will make the roster.

No, I am tracking. From the Ravens standpoint, it doesn't make sense either. If Brown was that good, you sign him and trade Stanley who is going to cost $20M+ very soon. The Chiefs are going all in this year. They will probably move on from Hill and Kelce within the next year or two, but it's not like you can just plug and play with any player. Those two are top 5 at their positions and the Chiefs will be lucky to replace them with anyone near their levels.

Kelce will be 32 this year; for TEs, he is nearing that steep cliff from elite to average. For next season, the Chiefs have 119M locked into 5 players with very little wiggle room. That doesn't count Hill at $20.6M or Hitchens at $12.7M, which if you add them would be $152M for 7 players with a need to get 44 additional players under the cap with $48M left. Which still doesn't account for guys like Butker ($4.2M) and Edwards-Helaire ($2.9M) which will eat more of that cap than a vet minimum or rookie deal. Brown is set to only make $3.6M this year and will be due for a huge payday after this season. KC clearly sees this as a one-year deal because they will not have the cap space to bring him back in 2022. KC will more than likely let him walk and get a nice 3rd or 4th round comp pick for him, but was all of that worth it for one year of Brown over a rookie? Time will tell. Obviously the Ravens thought otherwise.

The known commodity is always better, but Brown is going to be really expensive. All the Ravens picks equals pick #23, even with some comp back, that gets you a solid OT on a rookie deal with 5-years of potential. Brown is basically a one-year deal.

KC gave up a first-rounder who could've been an OT on a rookie deal or packaged all the picks they traded and moved up to get a better one.

You have to believe the Bears are talking to them. #20 to #8 would probably cost #20 and 2022 1st. Would you do that for Fields, Lance, or Jones?

Yeah, looks good as OT, CB, and QB are obvious needs. Would like at least one WR in one of those 6th round picks.

Great move, fills a hole. He was very solid last year. We still should draft one, but this allows the team to pick one up later in the draft. Priority #1- CB, OT, QB Priority #2 - WR, ILB Priority #3 - S

Where city/town in Thailand are you at? That sounds awesome. Has anyone been to Costa Rica?

The Bears have 3 picks in the first 83. It would be really nice to trade back at some point and pick up a 4th, then get 4 of the top 100 prospects from these positions (2x OT, WR, CB).

Oh yeah, in 2017, Week 13, he caught 8 of 8 targets for 99 yards against the Bears lol. In a 3 game stretch starting in Week 13, he faced the Bears, Texans, and Titans, all good defenses, and ended up with 24 receptions, for 319 yds, averaging 8 receptions and over 100 yds per game. He is way better than some of the other lesser FA WRs Pace has brought in.

The Beast is awesome, and I really like his rankings the best. Enjoy your trip, glad the quarantine is only a week. My co-worker departs for Japan in a week and has a two-week quarantine for a two-week job and he is fully vaccinated.

We would throw a crow party for sure.

I would rather do that unless one of the QBs falls. Otherwise, get to the back of the first and pick up an extra mid-round pick.

I still think moving up to #10 would be enough to get one of the top 5 QBs. Will it be worth it? I think it would be if you only had to give up a 2022 2nd and a 2021 3rd (obviously including #20 in 2021). Like I said before, I think this scenario is highly likely because it essentially buys Pace/Nagy more time.

Miller will be a free agent after this year anyway, so if you can get a 5th or 6th for him, do it because you will be lucky to get that in a comp pick next year anyway. He has been a huge disappointment for the amount of draft capital paid to draft him. The Miller trade-up to #51 still baffles me. These were the next few WRs and TEs on the board: 60 - PIT - James Washington 61 - JAX - DJ Chark 81 - DAL - Michael Gallup 86 - BAL - Mark Andrews

I see that too, and it doesn't make sense. I assume they don't trust Mustipher at Center.

I know adding team speed was a priority, so this makes a lot of sense. He is way better of a WR than Patterson and probably better than Miller who doesn't have that type of speed. If you add Cohen into the equation, you definitely have some matchup problems. The challenge will be blocking long enough to get some deep shots.

It will be curious to see what he signed for as CPat signed for $3M. In March 2018, he signed a 3-yr $19.25M contract, so the 49ers obviously thought pretty highly of him after his 2017 season (962 Receiving Yards). He also took 2020 off due to COVID, so he should be fresh. Lastly, he is a true burner and a former track star (2012 Olympics), so even if he is 30, he can still fly. This really makes someone like Miller very expendable.

This is a direct shot at the 17-game schedule (with a cap decrease). I know the NFLPA agreed to the terms, but this is a way to "recoup" some of that money.

So this site tracks Mock Draft accuracy: https://www.fantasypros.com/nfl/accuracy/mock-drafts.php Here is who the top mock draft dudes are saying we are drafting: 20. Chicago Bears: Kadarius Toney (WR, Florida) 20. Chicago Bears: Caleb Farley (DB, Virginia Tech) 16. Chicago Bears: Christian Darrisaw, OT, Virginia Tech (trade up) 20. Chicago Bears: Teven Jenkins, OT, Oklahoma State So two are going with OT, one with Toney, which is bad, and one for Farley which is OK. I will keep looking these up and adding to it. Then we can check receipts after the draft to see who got it right.

Bookends would be sweet, but it hard to believe Pace would be that smart. He going to trade up for a QB, then reach for a WR.

If the Bears miss out on the top 5 (Lawrence, Wilson, Fields, Lance, Jones), here are the next 5 in the QB top 10. Who would you take, and when? 1. (3-4th Round) Kyle Trask - 88.5 QBR, 27 games, 7386 yds, 67.9%, 9.1 Y/A, 69 TD, 15 INT, 168.5 Rating, 54 Rushing Yds, 8 TD (impressive passing numbers in just 27 games, but his immobility scares me). 2. (3-4th Round) Davis Mills - 77.4 QBR, 14 games, 3468 yds, 65.5%, 7.9 Y/A, 18 TD, 8 INT, 141.9 Rating, 86 Rushing Yds, 3 TD (I don't know why people have him rated so high, for a college QB, limited experience, a mediocre TD/INT Ratio, no rushing ability, what is the deal here?) 3. (3-4th Round) Kellen Mond - 74.9 QBR, 46 games, 9661 yds, 59.0%, 7.1 Y/A, 71 TD, 27 INT, 132.0 Rating, 1609 Rushing Yds, 22 TD (seems very average, very low Comp% is alarming). 4. (4-6th Round) Ian Book - 84.0 QBR, 45 games, 8948 yds, 63.8%, 7.8 Y/A, 72 TD, 20 INT, 147.0 Rating, 1517 Rushing Yds, 17 TD (feels like Mond with a few less INTs). 5. (5-7th Round) Sam Ehlinger - 76.6 QBR, 46 games, 11436 yds, 62.5%, 7.7 Y/A, 94 TD, 27 INT, 145.0 Rating, 1903 Rushing Yds, 33 TD (crazy production, 127 TDs in 46 games). Why is he rated so low? Out of all of these, Ehlinger is the best value as a 5th Round pick. If they didn't draft one and he is still there at pick #165, you almost have to pull the trigger. Thoughts? One other thing I noticed while looking up the stats was Mac Jones had the best QBR season for a college QB since the stat was created in 2004. Here are the last 10 QBs with a QBR over 90: 1. Mac Jones 96.1 (2020) - Wow, that is impressive. 2. Justin Fields 91.7 (2020) - Fields on here twice. 3. Joe Burrow 94.9 (2019) 4. Tua Tagovalioa 94.8 (2019) - Twice for Tua 5. Justin Fields 92.1 (2019) 6. Kyler Murray 95.4 (2018) 7. Tua Tagovalioa 93.1 (2018) 8. Baker Mayfield 92.3 (2017) - Twice for Baker 9. Baker Mayfield 91.8 (2016) 10. Marcus Mariota 91.3 (2014) So it seems like Fields and Jones would be safe picks in the first (even trading up a few spots to grab one). It is hard to have that level of elite production and be a bust. Every other QB on the list is a starter and Mariota probably should be.

I would only move up for Wilson, Fields, or Lance, but to nothing higher than pick #10. Dalton is serviceable, and I believe he can make this a winning team, but only 9-8 or maybe 10-7, but that's the ceiling, and that is ok for this year, but if we can get a young QB drafted this year and sit under Dalton for a year, that would be awesome. OT is a need, but Ifedi played decent there last year (better than Massie) and Leno ended up having a pretty good year at the end. So it's hard to say what is a greater need without knowing how Dalton will play. Looking at the other positions, we literally do not have an SS right now, and Trufant is filling in Fuller's spot. So it is hard not to address those positions unless the tam believes in Vildor or Burns at CB. WR is on there but technically it would only be a need if they traded Miller, otherwise, they would have the same top 3 as last year in ARob, Mooney, and Miller. I still think they bring in a vet for WR3/4. CPat is also still available for KR. DL is stacked but aging. Edge is solid, but aging, and they are going to have to replace Trevathan very soon, so DL, Edge, and ILB are going to be needs really soon.

It looks like one of these QBs may slip to #10.