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adam

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Everything posted by adam

  1. Updated as of 23MAR: GAINS: Dalton, QB (replaces Trubisky) - upgrade Trufant, CB (replaces Fuller) - downgrade Blackson, DL (replaces Urban) - wash Attaochu, OLB (replaces Mingo) - wash Wilkenson, OL (replaces Coward) - wash Jones, LB Willams, RB (replaces Nall) - upgrade LOSSES (with snap counts): Offense (Team High= 1066): Trubisky, QB (570) Massie, OT (470) + ST (26) Coward, OL (333) + ST (73) Harris, TE (215) + ST (169) Patterson, KR (201) + ST (146) Defense (Team High= 1060): Fuller, CB (1060) + ST (87) - Most snaps on defense, ouch! Gipson, S (1054) - 3rd most on defense, ouch! Skrine, CB (557) + ST (81) Mingo, LB (390) + ST (374) Urban, DE (370) + ST (158) Robertson-Harris, DE (245) + ST (80) Jenkins, DT (223) + ST (48) McManis, S (25) + ST (205) I only included players with at least 100 snaps. So the 3 biggest losses are still Fuller, Gipson, and Patterson. So if we can get a CB and Safety, this team should technically be better than 2020. Dalton is an upgrade, Williams as a change of pace back is something we lacked. Now Cohen becomes more explosive and Patterson is not running into the back of the O-Line. Attaochu is at least equal to Mingo and may actually be better on the Edge. Blackson is like a poor man's Hicks and should be able to match Urban's production and snap count. So the more I look at it, if the team can get S, CB, and the WR or OL, I think we will be pretty solid.
  2. Best backup RB in a long time: https://www.nfl.com/news/damien-williams-agrees-to-one-year-deal-with-bears
  3. Safety is the only starting hole that needs to be filled, but I could see CB or WR first. I have an odd feeling we draft Mac Jones in the first, after a small trade up into the teens.
  4. Yep and I actually liked him when the Bears let him walk. Productive rotational player who will help on Special Teams too. If we don't lose Hicks, I like our front 7 with Goldman coming back. ,
  5. Who knows, but if it was one or two women, then it could easily be a money grab but 24 women seems like too many to all be lying.
  6. Lawsuit No. 14 calls Watson a 'serial predator': https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/31120815 Wow if this is even partially true, this guy is done.
  7. Mingo to Atlanta, so this is his replacement for sure.
  8. Nope, no offense, but this is what's wrong with sports today. There are not many industries that put up with behavior like this and still pay these guys millions.
  9. Everyone had the same conditions, Quinn looked slow and weak IMO. Some people plateau at different ages, I think Quinn is there. If your game is speed, that age comes much quicker.
  10. Updated as of 21MAR: GAINS: Dalton, QB (replaces Trubisky) Trufant, CB (replaces Fuller) Blackson, DL (replaces Urban) Attaochu, OLB (replaces Mingo) LOSSES (with snap counts): Offense (Team High= 1066): Trubisky, QB (570) Massie, OT (470) + ST (26) Coward, OL (333) + ST (73) Harris, TE (215) + ST (169) Patterson, KR (201) + ST (146) Spriggs, OL (70) + ST (34) Carter, WR (15) + ST (36) Defense (Team High= 1060): Fuller, CB (1060) + ST (87) - Most snaps on defense, ouch! Gipson, S (1054) - 3rd most on defense, ouch! Skrine, CB (557) + ST (81) Mingo, LB (390) + ST (374) Urban, DE (370) + ST (158) Robertson-Harris, DE (245) + ST (80) Jenkins, DT (223) + ST (48) Houston-Carson, S (91) + ST (372) McCullers, DT (86) + ST (13) McManis, S (25) + ST (205) Still need help at S (-3), DL (-3), OL (-3), CB (-1), KR (-1). 11 spots, so if they can get 3-4 more vet minimum signings, they could fill the rest in the draft and UDFA. So as of right now, the major difference between last year and this year looks like: 2020 - Trubisky, Fuller, Patterson, Gipson, Skrine, Mingo, Urban vs. 2021 - Dalton, Trufant, new KR, new Safety, new Slot CB, Blackson, Attaochu + Cohen and Goldman. Obviously without knowing who the Safety and Slot CB are is important, but if they can get Gipson back or someone comparable to him, the team is very similiar constructed. QB play is going to be key.
  11. Bears sign Attaochu, I'm assuming he replaces Mingo as Edge3.
  12. He was QB3 last year behind Brees and Hill. He had 75 passing yards on 11 passing attempts.
  13. I don't mind PFF for WR, RB, LB, DL and Edge. Outside of those, their analysis is too subjective for me. They don't know the play, the read, etc, so QB ratings are off, same for OL with blocking assignments. I don't like their secondary ratings as they don't know the coverage assignments.
  14. Go into individual player pages and AV should be the last column.
  15. PFR: https://www.pro-football-reference.com/teams/chi/2020.htm
  16. I agree but it is still a little shocking.
  17. The rookie pool is going to be about $7M this year with 8 picks. The Bears have about $2.7M after all of the other moves. So they need to free up at least $5M to bring in the entire rookie pool. Cutting Graham saves $7M, so that seems like a no-brainer. Hicks is still a wild card with a $12M cap hit and $10.5M savings. Outside of Leno or an ARob extension that relieves some cap hit from this year, there is not much else they can do.
  18. Yeah, not too bad. Urban signed too quick, as I bet they wanted him back but at the time had the ARob and Fuller stuff going on. Like you said, if Gipson and Mingo come back on comparable deals, that would be 9 out of 10 of the high-value guys back on the roster. Enjoy your reading. I like AV better than PFF Grades, though I wish they were broken down lower than whole numbers, like 2 decimals would've been perfect. I really wish this guy had a player rating system: https://www.usatoday.com/sports/nfl/sagarin/ I have been using his team rating systems for a long time.
  19. I am sure that has something to do with it, but Trubisky signed for the same price as Tim Boyle, half of what Brissett signed form and $10M less than Taysom Hill. Trubisky has more starts than all of them combined. Just feels odd to me. Also, there are still some teams with bad QBs and a lot of cap space, you would think one would've taken a flyer on Trubisky for more than $2.5M (Jags, Broncos, or Jets).
  20. Roster construction is all about bang for your buck. How can you squeeze the most out of the least while staying under the cap. At the end of the day, production has to match the pay in order to field a winning team. Based on 2020 cap hit and AV, here were the top 10 most productive players per dollar last year: David Montgomery Tashaun Gipson Bilal Nichols Darnell Mooney Jaylon Johnson Cairo Santos Brent Urban Barkevious Mingo Anthony Miller Roquan Smith The worst values were Skrine and Demetrius Harris, but interestingly enough the next 3 players that had cap hit over $1M and an AV below 10 were: Foles Fuller Graham The biggest shock was not to see Quinn at the bottom, but he only had a $6.1M cap hit last year, so he didn't need elite production to have marginal value. In case of Foles, Fuller, and Graham, Fuller was the only one with a cap hit over $10M of those 3. Closely following those 3 were Hicks and Leno, both were discussed as cap casualties based on their performance, so the eye test seems to work too. Now if you believe Fuller would repeat 2020 in 2021, there is no way you could pay him $20M. However, now they have to bring someone in for $4-5M and hope they can exceed Fuller's production in 2020. A tall order. The only chance is a bounce-back year from Trufant or a rookie CB.
  21. Apparently only $2.5M with $1.5 guaranteed. UDFA QBs and PS QBs sign for that amount. If I am Trubisky, I am firing my agent.
  22. Athletes are weird, they should just consider themselves subcontractors. They can be replaced all the time for the same reasons, price, performance, and availability.
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