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Everything posted by adam
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Yes, A-ARON with 94 yards passing, 58% and 3.0 Y/A. What's crazy is if you look at the last 3 games for Trubisky and Rodgers, you would not know Rodgers is the otherworldly elite QB. The numbers are very close.
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Had 43 yards rushing today on 6 carries. Montgomery had 22 yards on 13 carries. I can't believe we lost him for nothing because we didn't bring him up and put Trevathan on IR.
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I think they all are going to get another year based on last year's production, unfortunately. However, I think they are going to clean house with some of the coaches, Special Teams (Tabor), gone, Heistand, gone. Furrey, gone, Ragone, gone. They have to clean up the positional coaches as they have the biggest impact on the individual performances of the units. Special Teams is atrocious, our WRs are undisciplined outside of Arob, and our QB has not progressed, so Ragone has to go. Then for the roster, you release or trade Floyd, you resign Kwit, with Trevathan leaving. The only way you bring Trevathan or Prince back is if they take some huge salary cuts. You try to move Burton and Massie for anything, and cut Shaheen. I would try to resign HHCD with a longer deal so the cap hit isn't big next year. He has played way more consistent than Jackson this year and would be a nice security blanket. The only good thing about Jackson's play is the Bears should be able to sign him to a much lower contract than he would've received. I would bring in Bridgewater, Tannehill, Keenum, Mariota or a younger guy like Mullens, McCarron or Cooper Rush to compete with Trubisky.
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It looks like David and "Run dem Pockets" is going to lock up the 1st seed and a Week 14 bye with a win this week. Congrats! A big win by Kam and "PapaBear" against Brad and "SuperBearsSuperBowl" sets up for what becomes a play-in playoff game in Week 13 between Brad and Andrew. Travis and Adam will be vying for the 2nd seed and a Week 14 bye, while Sully and Kam look to jockey for better seeding. Pending any madness, the standings will look like the following going into the last week of the fantasy regular season: 1. Run dem pockets 9-3* (vs The Bunny - needs win to clinch 1st Seed or Domination Inc loss) 2. Domination Inc 9-3* (vs Cali Bears - needs a win or a loss with 18 more pts than Pepe for 2nd Seed, or a win and Run Dem Pockets loss for 1st seed. 3. Pepe 8-4* (vs El Dragon - needs a win and a Domination Inc loss with 18 more pts than Dom for 2nd Seed) 4. Cali Bears 7-5* (vs Domination Inc - needs a win for 4th seed, loss could drop Cali to 6th based on points for, and a win and loss by Pepe with 36 more pts could give them the 3rd seed) 5. PapaBear 6-6 (vs Nopper - needs a win to clinch a playoff berth, or loss with no less than 30 pts than the loser of SBSB/MadLith game. 6. SuperBearsSuperBowl 6-6 (vs The Mad Lithuanians - needs a win to clinch a playoff berth) 7. The Mad Lithuanians 6-6 (vs SuperBearsSuperBowl - needs a win to clinch playoff berth) * - Clinched Playoff Berth ^ - pts estimate
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This week, the Bears need GB, LAR, PHI, and CAR to lose. So far, PHI (5-6) and CAR (5-6) both lost. GB plays SF tonight and LAR plays BAL tomorrow night. If they all lose, the NFC will look like this: NFCN 1. GB 8-3 (@ NYG) 2. MIN 8-3 (@ SEA) 3. CHI 5-6 (@ DET) WC2 1. MIN 8-3 (@ SEA) 2. LAR 6-5 (@ ARZ) 3. CHI 5-6 (@ DET) 4. PHI 5-6 (@ MIA) 5. CAR 5-6 (vs WAS) Our only hope is if MIN loses to SEA, LAR loses to ARZ, and the Bears beat DET next week. That would make it only a 2-game lead for MIN with 4 to play (1 game head to head).
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Trubisky ends the game with 25-41, 61%, 278 yards, 6.8 Y/A, 1 TD, 2 INT, 69.0 QB Rating, 1TD Rush. The INT's were awful, but he did have more success down the field. On the 2nd INT, Nagy drew up 4 deep routes with no outlet. Nothing underneath, so Trubisky forced it deep. He still doesn't understand how to throw it out of bounds. The offense had 335 yards of total offense, but only scored 19 pts. The defense allowed another late TD drive that totaled 102 yards. The defense has to clean that up. They also dropped several INTs. Special Teams, outside of one great play by Patterson, has been awful.
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Nagy says "F it" and Trubisky runs in for a TD. Bears going for two.....and an unbelievable sequence occurs, Arob is called for a BS pick away from the play, Bears decided to kick, then get an illegal substitution penalty, then Pineiro misses a 48-yard XP. To his credit, the wind was blowing left to right and he kicked it left, but it never moved an inch right. He needs to just aim and kick dead center. Bears 19-7.
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Trubisky has 250 passing yards (4 from season high), has a season high rushing yards (19), and 7.4 Y/A is only 0.2 from a season high. A 300-yard game and a 2nd TD pass would be a nice finish, and a WIN! Bears up 13-7. I don't like Nagy's play calling near the goal line. He keeps cutting the field in half, which makes it easy for the defense. Keep the entire field open and try to some draws up the middle.
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Based on starting holes or lack of production, we have to address the following positions next year: 3x FA Holes: CB (Prince), S (HHCD), ILB (Trevathan) 3x Performance Holes: TE (Sharton), T (Masso), G (Danward) That would be our 6 picks in the first 5 rounds. Then you can use a 6th on Kicker. Unless someone falls, I don't see the Bears drafting a QB. I heard an interesting thing on the Hoge and Jahns Podcast. What about signing Clayton Thorson off the Dallas PS? We would have to bring him to the 53-man roster, but he would cost the team nothing. He was a 5th round pick in 2019, played 4 seasons at Northwestern, is a local kid out of Wheaton, so he can play in some bad weather. Unfortunately, like any guy on a PS, he is not without flaws (some very similar to Trubisky), but if Nagy thought he could fix Trubisky, maybe he can fix Thorson? What do we have to lose? If not him, I would really consider this option. You can get a young guy with zero risk. If he doesn't work out, you lose nothing.
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Right now the Bears are tied for the 12th worst team in the league with CLE and JAX (oh joy). Since we have the toughest SOS, we get the lesser pick (14th) in the first (to OAK) and then the 13th pick in the 2nd, and the 12th pick in the 3rd (to OAK). If the season ended today, we would have the 45th pick in the 2nd round and somewhere around the 52nd pick from the Raiders. Without 3rd and 5th Round picks, the Bears almost have to use one of those to trade down. I would rather use the second one and do something like this: 1. Select #45 2. Trade #52 (OAK) for #60 + late 4th + late 5th 3. Select #60 (from trade) 4. Trade late 4th and Eagles 6th to move up in the 4th 5. Select mid-4th (from trade) 6. Select 4th Round Comp (Amos) 7. Select 5th Round 8. Select 5th Round (from trade) 9. Select 6th Round 10. Select 7th Round This scenario would give us 6 picks in rounds 2-5, where Pace has better success.
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Not for that price. He has 20 touches for 117 yards on the season. He got 46 of it on one run. So outside of one big play, he is 19-71 on the year in 10 games. You just can't pay a guy $6M a year for that type of production. Even with the big run, that averages out to 2 touches and 10 yards per game. I know he is big and fast, but that's about it.
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Daniels might be salvageable, but he might be playing the worst out of all five. So you have to get at least two new guys on that line at a minimum and a new starting TE. I am sure Floyd won't be back for his price, Prince won't be back, HHCD or Trevathan. So that leaves 4 starter holes on the defense and 3 holes on offense without addressing the QB position. So things are not looking very good with the cap unless Pace can move some of the dead weight guys.
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I was wrong, it's $76M with Floyd, and $63M without. Talk about a gut punch. Patterson has $1M in dead money and Gabriel has $2M, so if you take those easy ones away, Fuller, Leno, Burton, Massie, and Skrine account for $51M in cap space or $41M in dead money.