adam

He had 30 snaps. Van Ness had 36.

For the highest paid non-QB, I didn't think he looked that good. Compare that game to what Mack looked like in 2018. Parsons had a garbage time sack on a drive that the Lions scored a TD on, so it was pretty non-consequential.

Darrisaw is not 100% and may not actually play, that would be another huge loss for MIN:

Hutchinson is never going to be the same player. It was crazy talk about him coming back for the SB if the Lions got that far and even in the offseason videos, he looked slower. Both sides of the ball didn't look particularly well, but they did lose both coordinators. Bears will get them next week on a short week in Detroit. So that is a double negative for the Bears, especially with all the current injuries. I just hope that same DET team shows up next week.

Huge news for MNF, no Harrison Smith. That is a huge loss for the Vikings secondary. This is advantageous for the Bears TEs.

Some interesting Week 1 games. Both the Dolphins and Panthers looked terrible. One of those HCs will be the first one fired. Currently, only 2 RBs have hit 100 yards rushing. this week. Etienne had 143 but one rush accounted for 71 yards lol. Breece Hall was the other with 107. Only 2 Passers with over 300 yards so far, Geno Smith had 362 and Herbert had 318 on Friday. Looking at some of the comparable QBs: Penix had 298 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 sack, and 21 rushing yards. 319 Total Yards. Lost. Maye had 287 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 INT, 4 sacks, and 11 rushing yards. 298 Total Yards. Lost. Daniels had 233 passing yards, 1 TD, 3 sacks, and 68 rushing yards. 301 Total Yards. Won. Fields had 218 passing yards, 1 TD, 1 sack, and 48 rushing yards. 266 Total Yards. Lost. Still playing: Goff, near the end of the 3rd Quarter, has 152 passing yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 1 sack. Lions' offense with only 6 pts, look completely different without Ben Johnson. Nix, near the end of the 3rd Quarter, has 131 passing yards, 1 TD, 2 INTs, 1 sack, and 13 rushing yards with 1 fumble lost. Currently winning 13-12. Stroud, near the end of the 3rd Quarter, has 122 passing yards, 0 TD, 1 INT, 3 sacks, and 26 rushing yards.

Week 1 is gonna be ugly. After that game last night, a tale of two halves. Zero punts in the first half to 1 FG in the 2nd half. PHI's defense did not look that good, and their entire offense was Barkley or Hurts scrambling. For DAL, it was pretty much all Lamb on offense and he still had 4 drops, which is crazy.

I appreciate it.

Looking at the contracts, I am still loving the Dalman signing. The 2 Centers with more APY than Dalman are from PHI and KC, pretty good company.

I started playing in 1995 via Sporting News. You had to call in your changes every week between Tuesday and Thursday afternoon. Then they would mail you the results weekly which you may not even receive until Wednesday or Thursday anyway. If you wanted a waiver wire pickup, you had to pay like $1-2 per. It was crazy. One of the biggest factors is also the waiver wire. Every year that I do well, I hit on at least one key waiver wire acquisition.

thanks, it's a crapshoot, injuries are probably the biggest determining factor, and not overdrafting.

Yes, I just sent him another invite via Yahoo to ranordoorguy@gmail.com to take ownership of My Team Sucks.

It looks like the Bears created enough cap space for operating during the season after restructuring Jaylon Johnson's contract (saved $8M on this year's cap). However, I don't think there is room to add any big ticket guys like Zadarius Smith. At most it will be a vet minimum guy that doesn't impact the cap.

Week 1 is in Chicago.

Most of the sites overwrite the current odds, but leave the "Open" odds. So that is the only place I see the Bears -1.5 now is in the open column like in the pick. Then you can see all the others are swapped to +1.5 for the Bears.

Oh yeah, for sure, but even then, he wasn't that far off in the dysfunction last year.

The line opened with Bears -1.5, which is what it was when I created the thread. Since then it has gone 3pts in MIN's favor. So people have been putting more money on MIN as they are now giving pts to the Bears. Bears +1.5 is actually a pretty good bet right now.

I wanted to see how Dennis Allen's defenses have played to start a season, and they normally start out pretty hot. Here are Dennis Allen's last 5 Week 1 Games (5-0): 2024 - 47-10 CAR, Young 13-30, 161 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 4 Sacks, Hubbard 6-14 rushing. 2023 - 16-15 TEN, Tannehill 16-34, 198 yds, 0 TD, 3 INT, 3 Sacks, Henry 15-63 rushing. 2022 - 27-26 ATL, Mariota 20-33, 215 yds, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 Sacks, Patterson 22-120 rushing, 1 TD. 2021 - 38-3 GB, Rodgers 15-28, 133 yds, 0 TD, 2 INT, 1 Sack, Jones 5-9 rushing. 2020 - 34-23 TB, Brady 23-36, 239 yds, 2 TD, 2 INT, 3 Sacks, Jones 17-66 rushing. 5 games, only 2 Passing TDs allowed, but 9 Interceptions, and 11 Sacks. No QB passed for more than 239 yds (T. Brady) 4 out of 5 games had 2+ INTs 3 out of 5 games had 3+ Sacks Only 1 rusher over 70 yds (Cordarelle Patterson lol) I also looked at how Aaron Jones played against Dennis Allen defenses. In his last two games against Allen, Jones is 21-78 yds, 1 TD, and 4-30 receiving. In the 3 seasons Johnson was OC for DET, they are 2-1 in season openers. They lost to PHI 38-35, beat KC 21-20, and beat LAR 26-20. All 3 games had super tough defenses to deal with and they still averaged 27.3 a game, while Dennis Allen defenses allowed an average of 15.4 pts per game over the last 5 seasons. On the flip side, KOC's Vikings beat GB 23-7 in 2022 (Donatell DC), lost 20-17 against TB (Flores DC) in 2023, and beat NYG 28-6 last season. So KOC's offenses have averaged 23.6 per game in Week 1, and Flores' defenses have averaged 13 pts per game allowed over the last two seasons. However, Johnson's offenses, in 4 games, have never scored under 30 pts against a Flores defense. The Eagles, Packers, and Rams have scored 30+ on a MIN+Flores team each once, but Johnson's Lions were 4 for 4 over the last two years. So Ben knows something. One time could be a fluke. Two times, there is smoke. 3 times? Fire, but 4 out of 4? Inferno.

So the line has moved 3 pts in MIN favor since the opening line. Odd considering their true WR2 is suspended, Jefferson has been dealing with a hamstring issue, and Nailor, their projected WR3 has a hand injury. So it seems like there is going to be a lot of Jones and Hockenson, putting a lot of pressure on the LBs. Since the swap, I actually like both Edwards and Edmunds better.

Caleb was 17th in Passing Yards and 15th in Passing TDs in a completely dysfunctional offense as a rookie QB. Now entering his second year with better coaching and weapons, to me, it would seem like you could expect him to improve enough to be near the top 10. He would've needed 310 more passing yards and 5 more passing TDs last season for 11th. That is 18 more yards per game and basically one extra TD every 3 games.

Vegas is normally in the ballpark on these because they make the most money when they are closest to the middle. So plus or minus 2-3 spots. So they think Caleb will be somewhere in the range of 8-14, which to me, checks out. He was 17th in Passing Yards last season and tied for 15th in TD Passes. So a few spots with a better coach and more weapons is not that far of a reach.

Who is taking Dak at $60M APY? He has the biggest contract based on APY by over $5M compared to the next guys which are Love, Burrow, Lawrence, and Allen. His cap hit goes to $74M next year and is $50M this year. That is a big reason why they didn't want to extend Parsons to the biggest non-QB contract in NFL history. So they really had no choice tbh. The Bears are in a great place with the cap. The two highest players on the team are Moore and Sweat, Moore has an APY of $27.5M, but that is 48th in the NFL. Sweat has a $24.5M APY, good for 58th. They don't have another player in the top 100. Their next guy is Jaylon at $19M APY, 124th in the league. Parsons deal makes him 11th in APY at $46.5M, that is equivalent to Moore+Johnson. It seems that paying any non-QB a ton of money does not equate to championships. The only guys in the top of the top-25 non-QB contracts are AJ Brown and Chris Jones. The list is pretty damning: Parsons, Watt, Chase, Garrett, Hunter, Crosby, Jefferson, Lamb, Bosa, Metcalf, Wilson, Brown, Jones, Gardner, St. Brown, Hill, Stingley, Aiyuk, Hendrickson, McLaurin, Higgins, Slater, Waddle, Hines-Allen, Burns, Wirfs, Sewell, and Trent Williams before DJ Moore. In most cases, teams don't have a choice, but once your QB is off the rookie deal and you start having to pay your top non-QBs top dollar, it makes it really hard to stay competitive.

Higher than I expected to be honest. Considering Goff is lower, and only Daniels is higher as a 2nd year QB. So Maye, McCarthy, Penix are all lower.

For me it's (in no order): starting LT (can the unit gel in time to work as a cohesive unit?) Edge/Pass Rush (will it matter if DA likes to bring extra pressure anyway?) RB depth (after Swift, who is RB2/3rd Down back?) CBs (both Jaylon's health and CB2 - Stevenson again?) Special Teams as a whole (has looked like crap all offseason, can they afford to lose a net 5 yards per drive?)

Keepers are set for the 2025 season. For some reason Yahoo makes it a pain in the ass to view last year's keepers compared to previous seasons, so I am posting in here so there is record of them. 2025 TB Keepers The Bunny - Nabers & Hubbard Bum Fights - Pollard My Team Sucks - Thomas Jr. Trench Warfare - Hockenson & Burrow Nips&Tips - Henry & Brown Scotty Doesn't Know - Higgins & Williams Hock Tua on my Chubby - Bowers SAVAGEw/LOOSEMORALS! - Swift Nopper - Barkley & Jeudy Win in Rome - Cook