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Year 2 QB QBR Tracker


adam

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Caleb now has been sacked 7 times in 4 games, 75 in his career. Just say he averages 2 sacks per game for the remainder of the season, he would no longer be in the top 20 sacked QBs (first 34 games starting their careers). So for how bad he was sacked last year, he can completely change the narrative in respect to sacks if he can continue to average 2 per game (which he is under right now). 

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With the DEN win, all 4 2nd Year QBs that played won this week. Nix had a really good game, and bumped his QBR over 50. So going into Week 5, the 4 non-injured QBs all have QBRs over 50, which is cool to see. Hopefully this group turns out to be the next 1983 QB class. 

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Interesting how close Goff and Williams are passing:

Goff 929 yds, 9 TD, 2 INT

Williams 927 yds, 8 TD, 2 INT, 11th in yards, t-3rd in TD Passes, 15th in QBR, 14th in QB Rating.

All the while Goff has Gibbs and Monty as RBs. Huge difference in running game support.

 

Williams current 97.8 Rating would be the highest QB Rating in a single season in franchise history (w/ more than 250 attempts). Trubisky had a 95.4 in 434 attempts in 2018. 

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Caleb Comparison

2025 - 4 games
4 games with 200 yards passing (100%)
4 games with at least 1 TD pass  (100%)
3 games with 60% Comp (only game not 59.5%) (75%)
3 games with 2 or fewer sacks (75%)


2024 - 17 games
8 games with 200 yards passing (47%)
7 games w/o a TD Pass (41%), 
7 games with Comp% below 60 (41%)
5 games with 2 or fewer sacks (29%)

Also, Caleb is on a 4-game streak with at least 200 yards passing, 3 games was his longest streak last season. Going back to Week 18 last year, he now has 5 straight games with a TD pass.

He has thrown only 8 INTs in 692 career attempts, which is the lowest rate in NFL history to start a career. 

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On 9/29/2025 at 3:42 PM, adam said:

Caleb now has been sacked 7 times in 4 games, 75 in his career. Just say he averages 2 sacks per game for the remainder of the season, he would no longer be in the top 20 sacked QBs (first 34 games starting their careers). So for how bad he was sacked last year, he can completely change the narrative in respect to sacks if he can continue to average 2 per game (which he is under right now). 

I remember when we were talking what we thought great improvement would be and it was 40.  It's awesome to see he's on pace to blow that out of the water.

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20 hours ago, Mongo3451 said:

I remember when we were talking what we thought great improvement would be and it was 40.  It's awesome to see he's on pace to blow that out of the water.

Yeah, I forgot about that. He is trending for the low 30s. I will have to look but I think cutting sacks in half with a comparable amount of attempts has to be unprecedented. Guys like David Carr took sacks every year.

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Week 5 -

Williams - BYE Week / Season QBR: 64.8, 927 yards, 8-2 TD-INT

Maye - 64.1 QBR -  273 yds. 0 TD, 0 INT, 4 sacks, and 12 rushing yds. 285 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 63.7, 1261 yards, 7-2 TD-INT

Penix - BYE Week / Season QBR: 57.5, 918 yards, 3-3 TD-INT

Nix - 63.7 QBR - 242 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 2 sacks, and 22 rushing yds. 264 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 54.8, 1003 yards, 8-4 TD-INT

Daniels - 71.7 QBR -  231 yds, 1 TD, 0 INT, 1 sack, and 39 rushing yds. 270 Total Yards. Won. / Season QBR: 45.4, 664 yards, 4-0 TD-INT

McCarthy - Always hurt / Season QBR: 21.5 (Last in NFL), 301 yards, 2-3 TD-INT

2nd Year QBs were 3-0 this week. 7-0 the last two weeks.

By virtue of how opponents did today, Williams is now the highest 2nd Year QB for QBR passing Maye by 1.1. 

Watching the games today, it almost seemed like half the games didn't matter for 3 quarters, then the teams starting playing. 

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Bo Nix is gritty, DEN defense holds PHI to 17 pts.

Jayden Daniels is elite, WAS defense holds LAC to 10 pts.

Drake Maye had his coming-out game, 0 TDs, NE defense holds BUF to 20 pts.


I still get a kick out of the narratives. 

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6 hours ago, adam said:

Bo Nix is gritty, DEN defense holds PHI to 17 pts.

Jayden Daniels is elite, WAS defense holds LAC to 10 pts.

Drake Maye had his coming-out game, 0 TDs, NE defense holds BUF to 20 pts.


I still get a kick out of the narratives. 

I think Bo Nix is gritty.  Jayden Daniels has perennial pro bowl potential.  Drake Maye is proving to be a stud.  Caleb Williams can be a supernova if he chooses.  Really solid QB class...

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I wasn't crapping on them. It is just funny when their defense basically gives them the win, regardless of what they do in that game, they did amazing.

The 2024 QB Class may go down as the best ever, and it won't be close. Williams, Daniels, Nix already with big numbers in 1.25 years, Maye and Penix coming on too. Rattler is technically a part of the class, losing a lot but playing better than McCarthy.

So they could end up with 5-6 "starters" going into Year 3. 

Williams, Daniels, and Nix in their first 20 games each (60 games) have combined for over 12,000 Passing Yards, 90 TD Passes, and 31 INT.

 

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Right now the 2024 Class is trending as the best "top 5" ever.

There are groups with a better top QB, or top 2, but as a top 5, this group is trending as the best. Here are the last 3 classes with at least 4 QBs that had 4K Passing Yards in their first 2 seasons.

2022 - Herbert, Burrow, Hurts, and Tua
2018 - Jackson, Allen, Mayfield, and Darnold
2012 - Wilson, Luck, RG3, Tannehill, Foles, and Weeden

The 2024 class will have 5, maybe 6 depending on what happens with Penix, and Rattler who already has 2300 yds. Williams, Daniels, and Nix are already there, and Maye needs 463 more to hit 4K. 

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2 hours ago, adam said:

I wasn't crapping on them. It is just funny when their defense basically gives them the win, regardless of what they do in that game, they did amazing.

The 2024 QB Class may go down as the best ever, and it won't be close. Williams, Daniels, Nix already with big numbers in 1.25 years, Maye and Penix coming on too. Rattler is technically a part of the class, losing a lot but playing better than McCarthy.

So they could end up with 5-6 "starters" going into Year 3. 

Williams, Daniels, and Nix in their first 20 games each (60 games) have combined for over 12,000 Passing Yards, 90 TD Passes, and 31 INT.

 

I read you right.  And yes, defense is definitely huge.

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