Here we go. I don't think I would ever imagine that I would be talking about the 9-3 1st Place Chicago Bears playing the 8-3-1 Green Bay Packers in Week 14, but here we are.

This is going to be another weather game with game time temps in the teens, chance of snow and some light wind. 

 

Until this team loses, it is hard to bet against them right now. I am going to say 24-20 Bears in another one-score game.

 

 

 

You thought the Bears ran the ball well this week? Woo boy, Ben's gotta be licking his chops thinking about all the ways they can run right at Micah Parsons this week and overpower him.

Chance to take a 2 game lead in the division with a win. Hopefully they get Edwards and Sewell back next week. LFG!

Rivalry game on the road - don’t stop now boys!!! Let’s go Bears!!! Going to take our best game yet!!! 

2 hours ago, Bears4Ever_34 said:

You thought the Bears ran the ball well this week? Woo boy, Ben's gotta be licking his chops thinking about all the ways they can run right at Micah Parsons this week and overpower him.

Chance to take a 2 game lead in the division with a win. Hopefully they get Edwards and Sewell back next week. LFG!

Yep, replaced Kenny Clark with Parsons and now lost Wyatt.  They are a long way off from the talent of  Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter in the trenches.  You know they watched that game too and know what is coming their way.  

7 hours ago, AZ54 said:

Yep, replaced Kenny Clark with Parsons and now lost Wyatt.  They are a long way off from the talent of  Jordan Davis and Jalen Carter in the trenches.  You know they watched that game too and know what is coming their way.  

I watched highlights of the game and Dalman on several snaps handled Jordan Davis one on one. That was amazing. 

Looks like the odds slide to Bears +6.5. That's a lot of points. Still no love from Vegas.

Wyatt out for GB is big, they are thin in the interior and Edge guys don't play the run well. The Bears could have another 250 yard rushing game next weekend.

 

Brooks and Brinson are their starting DTs now. That is considerably weaker than any DT group the Bears have faced in quite some time.

As much as I would love to say we run over GB, playing there its going to come down to late game heroics is more likely. We could lose this game and two weeks later beat them here and put us back in the division lead. Blowing teams out will come when Caleb comes more consistent in his play. Running the ball and TOs will give us a chance to win the rest of the games on the schedule and would love if we run the table, just not likely quite yet. 

The Congonkulator says:

Using the entire season's stats, GB has the edge 25-23.

Only using the last 5 weeks (recent and relevant): the Bears have the edge 23-22.

So it seems that the team that scores 24 will probably win.

The DET game really skews the Bears per game average stats. Removing that game puts the defense near league average for scoring and yards.

55 minutes ago, adam said:

The Congonkulator says:

Using the entire season's stats, GB has the edge 25-23.

Only using the last 5 weeks (recent and relevant): the Bears have the edge 23-22.

So it seems that the team that scores 24 will probably win.

While that is interesting, I don't know what algorithm they are using and I can't see how a season long statistical trend is relevant when you add in Gordon, Johnson, and remove Wyatt and Kraft from Green Bay.  Add in Trapilo giving up less pressure off the left edge than the consistent push back into the QB we saw with Theo.   

Carolina (and their own #1 overall chosen QB) doing all they can to help Bears take possession of the #1 NFC seed.   Currently up 31-28 on the Rams.  With that should the Bears see the Rams somewhere later in the season, it should give Chicago a good blueprint to play them. 
 

edit:  Carolina wins after forcing a TO on Rams last drive.  

30 minutes ago, Alaskan Grizzly said:

Carolina (and their own #1 overall chosen QB) doing all they can to help Bears take possession of the #1 NFC seed.   Currently up 31-28 on the Rams.  With that should the Bears see the Rams somewhere later in the season, it should give Chicago a good blueprint to play them. 
 

edit:  Carolina wins after forcing a TO on Rams last drive.  

Your NFC #1 Seed Chicago Bears.

I thought the Rams were the one team the Bears would lose against if they played in the playoffs. Now I am not. The Bears can beat any team in the league right now head to head.

33 minutes ago, Alaskan Grizzly said:

Carolina (and their own #1 overall chosen QB) doing all they can to help Bears take possession of the #1 NFC seed.   Currently up 31-28 on the Rams.  With that should the Bears see the Rams somewhere later in the season, it should give Chicago a good blueprint to play them. 
 

edit:  Carolina wins after forcing a TO on Rams last drive.  

Man that Week 1 loss still sucks. Should be 10-2, a game up on every other team in the conference, but I will take it.

4 minutes ago, adam said:

Your NFC #1 Seed Chicago Bears.

I thought the Rams were the one team the Bears would lose against if they played in the playoffs. Now I am not. The Bears can beat any team in the league right now head to head.

Lets go!

Yes this team can beat anyone. It's all a matter of coaching and execution - it's in our hands now.

We still need a pass rush, but this team finds ways to win, and it's a matter of not beating ourselves now.

I am speechless right now. We have to beat the Packers, period 

3 hours ago, AZ54 said:

While that is interesting, I don't know what algorithm they are using and I can't see how a season long statistical trend is relevant when you add in Gordon, Johnson, and remove Wyatt and Kraft from Green Bay.  Add in Trapilo giving up less pressure off the left edge than the consistent push back into the QB we saw with Theo.   

It's my thing lol. I use EPA/Play for CHI offense vs EPA/Play vs GB Defense, then take into account average plays run vs average plays against, then PPG vs Pts Allowed.

So if you are running more plays and your opponents run less, your EPA is more impactful than theirs, and vice versa. 

None of the injuries are really accounted for in a meaningful way, which puts the Bears in a better position going into next week considering Kraft was their #1 Receiving threat and Wyatt was their top DT. 

1 hour ago, BearFan PHX said:

Lets go!

Yes this team can beat anyone. It's all a matter of coaching and execution - it's in our hands now.

We still need a pass rush, but this team finds ways to win, and it's a matter of not beating ourselves now.

If they can beat the Packers in GB, they may not lose another game.

44 minutes ago, Stinger226 said:

I am speechless right now. We have to beat the Packers, period 

Yes, with the Conference AND Division Lead at stake. This becomes the biggest game for the Bears since 2018.

Remarkable the Bears are in this position right now. Unfortunately, only a single game separates the Bears and 49'ers from the 1 and 7th seeds. It makes this Packers game all the more important.

If the Bears can win next week, they go up 2 games in the division. The Packers have the Broncos the following week, while the Bears play the Browns. Huge opportunity for this team to get a stranglehold on NFC North over the next couple weeks.

I think first we should take the North, and then after that, never give it back.

2 hours ago, adam said:

It's my thing lol. I use EPA/Play for CHI offense vs EPA/Play vs GB Defense, then take into account average plays run vs average plays against, then PPG vs Pts Allowed.

So if you are running more plays and your opponents run less, your EPA is more impactful than theirs, and vice versa. 

None of the injuries are really accounted for in a meaningful way, which puts the Bears in a better position going into next week considering Kraft was their #1 Receiving threat and Wyatt was their top DT. 

Given that, and using it as sort of a baseline for the team, then we can add in the gameday tweaks.  

12 hours ago, AZ54 said:

Given that, and using it as sort of a baseline for the team, then we can add in the gameday tweaks.  

If definitely shows the odds are off, and GB should not be favored by 6/6.5. Can GB win by a TD or more, sure, but if the teams play like they have over the last month against each other, then CHI should have a slight edge.  Kraft is still #2 in targets and has missed 4 games. It is now Doubs and Jacobs. Wyatt was their best DT. It feels like there will be some running lanes inside zone.

I've been traveling so I don't know if anyone has posted this but last season when we beat the Packers our OL was Boron - Curham-Shelton-Pryor-Wright. What a difference a year makes.

On 12/2/2025 at 5:53 PM, Stinger226 said:

I've been traveling so I don't know if anyone has posted this but last season when we beat the Packers our OL was Boron - Curham-Shelton-Pryor-Wright. What a difference a year makes.

That's crazy, I can't believe they won any games with that line.