The numbers crunching show some interesting results.
However, we all know that stats can be misleading at times. I'm going of going with the smell test. I watch all theBbears games, and have seen a number of games Holmes has been in. Especially playoff games. And the Super Bowl. In big games, and in big situations, Holmes seems to come up big. I honestly don't feel that way about any of our wideouts.
Maybe I'm just being "the grass is always greener over there" guy... But, Hester and Knox do not strike my as reliable targets. Bennett is closer to that... But doesn't seem to have "it".
I would roll the dice on Holmes if possible. I'm far more sold on him. He's won big games. Sidney Rice just looked great for one year when favre was playing out of his head. I'd probably roll the dice on him too... But, I would much rather have Holmes. Adn, the due is 27. He's in the prime of his football career. easily 2 great years, potentially a bit more. I'd roll the dice on Holmes, pure & simple as long as the cost was not ridiculous.