adam

Can't run laterally, GB is one of the fastest defenses. Have to run right at them.

Santos with maybe his best FG ever, 46 yards with 20+ mph side winds.

Great dump off to Monangai but then they run Swift laterally for a 2 yard loss.

It's one thing to lose a shootout, but this? This is 10x worse. No Parson, Love hurt, and they have 0 pts at half. Absolutely embarrassing for a home game with so much on the line.

Being shutout in the first half without Parsons is wild. They better score something before half, preferably a TD.

Kmet and Loveland have zero targets. Worst time to shit the bed.

This is embarrassing man. Willis picking apart our defense.

I'm just confused by the passing play calls. Loveland is mismatch but no targets.

Probably Ben's worst game calls this season. They are dropping 8 deep and bringing an extra guy yet no one is open. Where is the hot route? Check down?

It was a yard, stack a side and run that way. If you don't get it, they are pinned inside their 10.

If the Bears lose, it's on Johnson for the bonehead call on 4th and 1.

Why Ben? Why trickery when you were dominating them? Come on man.

Huge stop by defense after GB was gifted 30 yards.

30 yards in penalties between the kickoff and defense to start the game, not ideal.

🤣🤣

I'm in Alabama, so it's Central for me.

GB now +1, which is exactly where it should be. My congonkulator has the Bears by 1.3, but that is too close to call. Refs can impact the game by +/- 3, so this is well within the margin of a pick em game. To me it comes down to the Bears defense ability to stop GB enough to win. I think the Bears score at least 20, 2 TDs and 2 FGs, but I am hoping for 3 TDs and 2 FGs for 27. The defense has to hold GB to a max of 2 TDs. So 20-23 total pts allowed. 27-23 seems like it is the most accurate projection.

Weather will again be in play, at least for the kicking game, and maybe for the deep passing game in one direction. Temps will be near freezing with wind in the teens. Real feel in the 20s, which will feel balmy compared to what the Bears played in last week.

The last game in GB came down to basically one play, and that was with Parsons and Tom playing for GB. If Tom is out, their offense is weaker. The Bears defense is technically healthier now compared to last game. Missing Odunze and Burden will hurt the Bears offense, but the Parsons loss lessens those losses. The Bears also had one game without Odunze already, so they are really just replacing Burden's targets in this one compared to last week (which is easier to do in a week). GB scored 4 TDs last time, I think the Bears hold them to 2, but allow 2-3 FGs, so 20-23. I think the Bears offense scores 3, and that is the difference in the game. Bears 27-20 or 30-23.

Seeding scenarios: It seems that the Bears have 3 slots that are the most likely outcomes, their current slot is #2, home playoff game against #7 seed which is currently GB. This is the most likely outcome. If the Bears beat GB, that positioning actually gets stronger because DET is 1.5 games back, so even a GB loss to the Bears and a DET win against PIT would not change the 2 v 7 seeding for Bears v Packers. If things go well for the Bears, the next seed option is actually #1 Seed, first round bye. Win out and SEA loses one game. If things go bad for the Bears, they would slide all the way to the #7 Seed and it would be role reversal, playing in GB for the Wild Card Round. There is still a chance at not making the playoffs, but if they lose to GB at home, they don't deserve to be in the playoffs imo. If 3-0 = #1 seed or #2 seed, 50/50. If 2-1 = #2 seed, 100. If 1-2 = #7 seed or miss playoffs, 75/25. DET needs to win out with Bears only beating SF or GB. If 0-3 = miss playoffs or #7 seed 95/5. DET would need to lose to PIT and MIN for the Bears to get in at 10-7.

Jacobs is also questionable.

Bears lead the NFL in Rushing First Downs with 123. The next closest team is BUF with 116, but they have 41 from Allen at QB. Bears lead the NFL in Takeaways with 30. The next closest team is JAX with 26. Crazy how much takeaways correlate with success. The top 11 teams in takeaways: CHI 10-4, JAX 10-4, HOU 9-5, LAR 11-4, PIT 8-6, SEA 12-3, LAC 10-4, TB 7-7, BUF 10-4, and IND 8-6. PHI is 11th at 9-5. Packers were 5-4 on the road last year and 5-6 in 2023, but are currently 4-2-1 this year. So they are due for a correction.

Crazy game last night in SEA, but the SEA win really makes a Bears #1 Seed a possibility. Obviously, the Bears have to do their part, but now the only external help needed is SEA losing one of two to CAR and SF, both games on the road.

Huge game tonight for the NFC. The winner has the highest odds to be the #1 seed. The loser doesn't have a bad consolation ending up as the #5 seed and trip to TB or CAR for the Wild Card round. However, if SEA wins, the Bears have a real shot at the #1 seed.

Line down to GB -1. Most of the money is coming in on the CHI side. I would not be surprised if this slides to even favor the Bears by 1 by game time.