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Everything posted by adam
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The difference between the 3rd and 4th place schedule is pretty big; currently it is playing LAR/SF, WAS, and ATL or ARZ, NYG, and NO. I know it changes from year to year, but in the NFC West, playing ARZ over LAR/SF is a pretty big difference.
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Lions just lost to the Vikings and are now in last place in the division and are fully eliminated from playoff contention.
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The Bears also are 3-1 vs current playoff teams, the best record in the NFL against playoff teams, tied with the Chargers, but the Bears have the better pts differential in those games. Go figure.
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Post Week 16 games. 2018 was probably the last time the national media had the Bears ranked this high. Here are the top 10 power rankings and the Bears ranking: CBS Sports - 4th Yahoo - 5th NFL.com - 6th Sharp - 6th NBC/PFT - 7th ESPN - 8th The Score - 8th Fox/Brady - 9th USA Today - 9th nfelo - 10th Average - 7.2 It feels like any team in the top 10 has a shot at the Super Bowl, the Rams are the closest to a complete team and they just lost to the Seahawks. If the Bears beat the 49ers, they have to be considered a top 5 team, which is hard to believe, and it is wild to see some rankings already have them in the top 5.
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That's why I don't worry about comp% too much. Still needs to work on accuracy but receivers need to catch the ball
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The Browns need to get under the cap in March, so they can't move Garrett as a post-June 1st transaction. They will cut Njoku to get $10M and restructure Ward to save another $8-10M.
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Darnold had 10 INTs in his first 9 games, then only 2 in his last 8 in 2024. He just had a bad game in Week 18 and was sacked 9 times in the playoff loss to the Rams. I still don't know how you let him walk after throwing for 4300 yards and 35 TDs.
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I hope everyone is having a safe and merry holiday season, and most importantly, BEARing DOWN! 🐻 🔽 🎄
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Kittle didn't practice today, they will be off tomorrow, so we will see what he looks like on Friday.
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Caleb trolling Lions fans with gifts to his O-Linemen, this man is on another level right now. So some dude posted a picture about cracking open a bottle when Ben Johnson gets fired from the Bears (because so many fans were so butthurt when he left), and Caleb bought his protectors the same bottle lol.
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This is SF's biggest net rest difference this season, -2 days. They have to somehow figure out how to handle Xmas too, so it will be interesting to see how they look. The Bears went right to work a day early but like a normal week so they could give the players Xmas off, then normal travel to SF. So they get Christmas off and an extra day of rest to prepare. If SF also takes Xmas off, half of their practices will be walkthroughs this week as they just got back from IND this morning. The Bears need to take advantage of this early and often on SNF.
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Dalman, Thuney, and Byard make the cut, they are the Bears 2026 Pro Bowlers. I feel like Nahshon Wright is probably the biggest snub for the team.
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Possibly, but Cousins signed a 4-yr deal a month before they drafted Penix. Darnold also signed a one-year deal with Minnesota before they drafted McCarthy. The timing just seemed off on both of those deals. Then Minnesota doubled down on bad after McCarthy got hurt, Darnold led them to a 14-3 season, with 35 TD to 12 INT, over 4,300 yards, and instead of righting the wrong, they let him walk and roll with McCarthy. Darnold repeated his play with SEA, now 12-3 while MIN is 7-8 in last place and McCarthy is injured for the 4th time.
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Early on there were a lot of concerns about the Bears picking Loveland over Warren (or a DT, Edge, or OT). Warren came out of the gate on fire and was really looking like one of the best TEs in the league while Loveland was still recovering from surgery and getting limited playing time. Right now Warren's raw stats look better, but those are essentially padded by playing time. Warren has 200 more offensive snaps than Loveland and 41 more targets. However, since November, Loveland has been one of the best TEs in the league. In that span, he beats Warren in every category. Warren has been pretty bad the last few weeks, with only 8 catches on 21 targets, for a total of 64 yards. Loveland had 4-63 against CLE alone. This has actually turned out to be one of the better TE classes with Warren, Loveland, Fannin, and Gadsden all with over 500 yards receiving as rookies.
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SF jumped up with that win. Now it is #5 CHI vs #8 SF. A Bears win and they would move into the top 3, an SF win, and they would move into the top 5. Huge game.
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To be fair, 22 of Purdy's 34 attempts were to McCaffrey, Kittle, and Jennings. Of the 62 offensive plays that weren't kneel downs, McCaffrey was targeted or carried the ball 29 times, almost 50% of the offense. Purdy had 2 carries for 11 yards, so it was not like he was scrambling either. The Bears need to do whatever it takes to take McCaffrey out of the game. Force someone else to beat you.
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If you need any more evidence about Caleb Williams, check out Jahdae Walker's presser from yesterday. Walker stated Caleb called him after a home game earlier this season and asked him to meet him at the indoor facility, where they proceeded to practice and run routes for 3-4 hours, after a game, Caleb is calling up a UDFA rookie to get him extra reps and work on whatever he needed to work on. How crazy is that? Then in Week 16, this dude is called upon to make a game-tying TD on 4th Down. Impressive.
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Have to contain McCaffrey. Kittle didn't finish the game, left with an ankle injury.
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I didn't like the fake ranking systems that just used "feels" to figure out how good teams are, so I made my own. On the left I have a raw score, then on the far right, a weighted ranking. The Bears are 10th raw and 5th weighted which takes into account turnover differential. I am adding Explosive Differential next to make it even more refined. However, without knowing the outcome beforehand, Rams being #1 and Jaguars being #2 (after beating DEN) feels pretty good. Does any team look out of place? Just based on tiers, LAR is in their own tier, then JAX, SEA, HOU, and CHI are probably in Tier 2, followed by BUF, DEN, and NE.
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If SF loses to IND, the Bears should be favored the last two weeks. SEA has to play in CAR, and then in SF to close out the season. They just have to lose one of those for the Bears to have a shot at the #1 Seed. LAR should easily win out against ATL and ARZ to finish 13-4 and 8-4. So depending on what SEA does, they could end up as a 13-win 5-seed playing an away playoff game in CAR or TB. GB @ CHI (3rd meeting in 6 weeks) SF @ PHI SEA/LAR @ CAR/TB (CAR beat LAR, TB beat SEA) The Divisional Round could then look like: PHI/SF @ CHI (Week 13 or 17 Rematch) LAR @ SEA (3rd meeting in 10 weeks) NFCC: CHI @ SEA or LAR @ CHI (This would be crazy, because the 5th seed would have to travel to the East Coast for the Wild Card, then to SEA/LAR for the Divisional round, then potentially to CHI for the NFCC. No matter the outcome, the #1 seed is more than likely playing the #5 Seed in the Divisional Round, which should be SEA or LAR, unless the 6 or 7 seed wins in the Wild Card round. You only want to have to play the #1 seed or the #5 seed, not both because they could be the top 2 teams in the conference.
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There is a WAS fan who did it last year for Commanders players. It seems like someone did it for the Bears this year. Only the top/top guys will get in since the fan vote is only worth 1/3 of the actual voting.
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After the Zach Miller TD, you have to make sure there is no doubt, especially when the ground is involved and the defender is contacting you. DJ's play was too close for comfort in my opinion especially considering how many calls have went against the Bears this year.
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DJ kind of worried me when he let the ball hit the ground when he laid out like he was dead. Hold onto the ball for a few more seconds so there is no way they can say he didn't "complete the catch". I felt like he let it go pretty quick.
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That's the issue with them lumping all the players into a single tweet, then everyone retweeting the hell out of that one. Somewhat odd that Moore, Kmet, and Santos were missed though.
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Clearly someone scripted something that included McCloud and Booker. No Santos, Moore, or Kmet lol.
