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Everything posted by adam
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3-1 in last 4 games, only loss was the Detroit meltdown. So 0-4, then 2-3, then 3-1, so there is tangible progress. Now 4 left, 3-1 or 4-0 would be expected projection.
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Pats is too close to call and is dependent on how the non-common opponents finish. So just say CAR wins 2, that means their opponent loses 2, that will drop their SOS to .010 below NE. So NE's opponents would have to lose 3-4 more than the CAR opponents to drop their SOS under CARs (if CAR wins 2): NE PHI 10-3 NYJ 5-8 LVR 5-8 BUF 7-6 WAS 4-9 NYG 4-8 LAC 5-8 PIT 7-6 KC 8-5 DEN 7-6 41 games remaining CAR ATL 6-7 SEA 6-7 MIN 7-6 DET 9-4 HOU 7-6 CHI 5-8 TEN 4-8 TB 6-7 JAX 8-5 GB 6-6 42 games remaining
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I would say this last game was a + for Fields. The numbers weren't mind boggling, but the offense scored 3 TDs and 3 FGs, so 6 scoring drives. No turnovers, and now the 3rd straight without an INT, which is the first time in his career that he has done that. He hit a few MoF throws, missed a few, but none were high risk. I don't remember a single INT worthy throw which is also notable for him. So 2 out of 3 for Fields with 4 to play. I would like to see 2 great games out of the last 4 and no stinkers. The other two can be ok, just don't be the reason the team loses. If he can do that, his last 9-10 games will look really solid and he is going to make it be a really tough decision for Poles.
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If the Bears win out, it will be similar to what the Jaguars did last year. The Bears really only need a little help which may play out normally. They don't need any crazy upsets to make it. With 4 games left and a bunch of teams at 6-7, they would naturally go 2-2 and finish 8-9. Right now GB, MIN, and SEA have a slight edge, but 2 can make it. So the Bears need 2 of those teams to end up going 2-3. SEA can actually go 3-2 as long as they lose their next 2 conference games. MIN would have to go 3-2 against LVR, CIN, DET, GB, DET with at least one win against DET/MIN/DET. So if they finish 2-3, they are out (if Bears win out).
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What a weird week, the top 4 QBs this week for QB Rating right now in the middle of the afternoon games: 1. Jake Browning - 122.7 QB Rating 2. Zach Wilson - 117.9 QB Rating 3. Drew Lock 116.5 QB Rating (only game in progress) 4. Bailey Zappe 115.2 QB Rating
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The Bears defense in the last 3 games: 9 INTs and 8 sacks. Only 23 pts allowed in last 2 games (11.5 per game).
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CAR needs to lose 2 of their last 4, or go no better than 2-2 in their last 4 games to secure the 1st pick for the Bears. They have won 1 out of 13, so the odds of winning even 1 game is extremely low. The Bears are going to win a few more, at least two, so they will more than likely end up around pick 12, plus or minus a few. Bears 5-12 (finish 0-4, #6 pick) - most likely based on current teams rankings Bears 6-11 (finish 1-3, #8 pick) - most likely based on similar projections Bears 7-10 (finish 2-2, #12/13 pick) - most likely based on recent win/loss Bears 8-9 (finish 3-1, #16/17 pick or #7 seed) - most likely Bears thing to do, finish as the best non-playoff team Bears 9-8 (finish 4-0, #6 or #7 seed) - most likely based on recent play
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The Bears still need to win out to have a great chance at the playoffs. An LVR win would be huge against MIN. Week 16 NO vs LAR and Week 17 TB vs NO, then Week 18 NO vs ATL are 3 huge games in the conference. With a win next week, the Bears can gain a game against two teams, then in Week 16, it could be 4. If they can get to 8-8 in Week 17, they could be in a 4-way tie for the WC3 slot with one to play. Then Week 18 is CHI vs GB, MIN vs DET, ATL vs NO, LAR vs SF, and NO vs ATL. The NO vs ATL would decide the Division. Head to head and Conference record is going to be huge.
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The defense filled the box score. 4 sacks, 7 PD, 2 INT. Jaquan Brisker had 17 tackles. The Lions did this in the 2nd half: Punt, Punt, Punt, Fumble, Downs, Downs, Interception 71 yards allowed in the 2nd half. That is elite against one of the best offenses in the NFL.
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With the Bears huge win, division and conference. They inch closer to the field with a few losses from this group. OK, TB actually beat ATL, both teams 6-7 now. LAR is battling BAL, NO beat CAR as expected, now also 6-7. Now we need a LVR win this afternoon, and we need SF to beat SEA as well. That would make a 6 team tie at 6-7.
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Yep, all of those factors really hurt. I am not very high on Davis, he is getting beat a lot, but yeah, and the injuries to the defense, which is a big reason they started 0-4, and lost the lead to Denver.
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28-13, the Defense played better than expected. Great team win.
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Recent MVP candidate: Stroud against the Jets today: 10/23, 91 yards, 4.0 Y/A, 0 TD, 0 INT, 0 rushing yards.
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OK, this is the first time in Fields career that he has went 3 straight games without an INT, 93 straight passing attempts and counting!!! #BEARDOWN
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Lions shutout in the 2nd half. Seriously who are these guys?
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Victory Formation!
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Yes for sure, I outlined it in another thread, some help needed, but possible.
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This is a signature win for both Fields and Flus. Back to back wins, division wins, 2nd time seeing the same team. The cool part is the Bears have basically dominated the Lions for all but 10 mins in two games, 5 mins in both games where DET had the momentum (to end this half, and to close out the last game).
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Nope, not playing like this. The odds will be much closer going forward. Probably on a 3 or 4 point underdog for Cleveland.
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2 minute warning. 1 first down and it is game over.
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Another pick!!!! Edmunds, Goff playing scared. Defense pitching a shutout in the 2nd half.
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Get Green off the field, wtf, he is a liability. You can't give them any yards there on a stupid presnap penalty.
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Justin Jones scared Goff. What an awesome stunt with Sweat. He literally cut inside and picked 3 OLinemen to let Jones run right at Goff.
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3rd and 20, 2:51 left, 1 timeout.