adam

There is an expected drop off in takeaways with the top 4 guys (Byard 7, Wright 5, Edmunds 4, and CJGJ 2) all off the roster. With Brisker's 1, that is 19 INTs off the roster. However, in place of that, we get Bryant who had 4, Thieneman good for 2, a healthy Jaylon Johnson good for 3, Bush had 3, and whoever replaces CJGJ's snaps gets 1. That is 13 without being extremely optimistic. Also, the consensus was the 2025 players would not produce those numbers in 2026 anyway. So those 19 could easily be down to 13 or 14. In line with the new player projections.

I didn't clarify enough, I mean the window between Thursday night, September 3rd at 7pm Central <----------->and Sunday Night, September 6th at 9pm Central. Your Tuesday Night is clear.

I am getting 2013 vibes from this offense. Last year's offense was 9th in pts and 6th in yards. In 2013, they were 2nd in pts and 8th in yards. I think this offense will be the first one to be top 5 in both pts and yards. That would be a first for the team in the Super Bowl era. You have to go back to 1965 to find a Bears offense that finished top 5 in both yards and points. That makes it easier on the defense, because if they can play with a lead more often, that puts the other team in more predictable situations. The defense finished 23rd in pts and 29th in yards. I don't expect a huge jump but even if they finish top 20 in both, while the offense ascends, that is the formula for a perennial playoff team.

I am trying to narrow down the live draft window. The best window is Thursday night, September 3rd at 7pm Central through Sunday Night, September 6th at 9pm Central. I know we have GMs all over the world, so please let me know by August 8th, what time/date you prefer and if there is a time/date you cannot make it. Once I get that info, I will lock our draft in on the 9th of August to give GMs a few weeks to set their pre-draft rankings and lock in their keepers. Also, don't forget the league dues through LeagueSafe.

I would not be surprised if Loveland has over 1K Receiving Yards and 10 TDs.

It still feels like they will bring in a vet at Edge if they don't like what they see in the next few weeks.

Once the injury stuff popped up, there is no way you take him that early. The Bears already have enough young guys injured or who missed time last year, they didn't need another high risk injury guy.

Still wild that Caleb is the only QB in NFL history with this stat line in their first two seasons >7K Passing Yards, >40 Passing TDs, <20 INTs, >500 Rushing Yards, and he has crushed all those numbers: 7,483 Passing Yds, 47 TDs, 13 INTs, 877 Rushing Yds The two closest QBs are: Burrow had 7,299/47/19/260 Stroud had 7,835/43/17/400 For their first 3 seasons, Kyler Murray is the gold standard for the combination of Passing Yards, TDs, and Rushing Yards, though he threw 34 INTs. After 3 seasons, he compiled 11,480 Pass Yards, 70 TD, 34 INT, and 1,786 Rush Yards. Caleb can easily surpass Murray in every category except Rushing Yards.

If they trade him, it would have to be in-season. If they don't extend him, which is unlikely, then I assume he becomes a free agent and hopefully a comp pick for the Bears in the future.

With no other change than Comp%, if Caleb gets back to his rookie Comp%, +4.4% from last year, with all else equal, he would throw for 298 more yards (25 more completions), which would put him at 4,239 yards and 29 TDs and basically MVP#s (Maye put up 4,394 and 31). That is with no other change. So with any actual improvement, fewer drops, fewer throwaways, that is probably closer to his floor than his ceiling.

Stevenson is going into Year 4, I don't know how much more he can improve from here on out. Typically, a player is who he is at this point. Only 1 INT last year, when the Bears led the league in takeaways, is not a good look. Outside of the forced fumble, which was a big play, there was very little from him last year. The only thing that may make him improve is that he is in a contract year.

Yep, great guess. Love is an EPA machine, but folds like a wet paper bag under 4 mins, on MNF, and in the playoffs.

< 4 min (all situations): QB A: 14-31, 45.2%, 225 yds, 7.3 Y/A, 1 TD, 1 INT, 5 Sacks QB B: 29-57, 50.9%, 426 yds, 7.5 Y/A, 4 TD, 1 INT, 1 Sack, 1 Rush TD (Led NFL QBs in under 4 min for Total TDs: 5) You know who QB B is, who is QB A?

I like your optimism. I don't know if WR is top 5 yet, last year with Moore, probably top 10, without him, until someone else steps up, probably top 12-15. TE and OL Rooms, in violent agreement. If Caleb is no worse than last year with improved Comp% and hitting the easy ones, top 5 is easy. Either way, I think collectively it equals a top 5 offense when you add in Swift/Monangai. Secondary should be top 5, but until I see Thieneman, who is at CB2, and if Gordon plays 15+ games, they are probably top 12 for me. If Gordon does play, Thieneman is legit, and whoever ends up at CB2 is not a weakness they target consistently (Vildor I am looking at you), then I can see your top 5. I actually like our LB corps, Sewell/Sanborn as depth pieces is solid. Bush was top 5 last year and Edwards was underrated when healthy. I am still concerned about DT and Edge 2. I honestly think they go as far as those two position groups allow. I can see a trading deadline move to shore those up if the team has a good record leading up to it.

If Caleb gets his Comp% over 65%, that wouldn't just make him above average, that would make him arguably the best QB in the league. He already is in the top 10 in basically every other major stat (7th in Pass Yds, 6th in Pass TDs, 1st in INTs) which doesn't even include the heroics. Stafford won the MVP and AP and had the 17th highest Comp%. I really feel like people are splitting hairs on this. Does he need to improve his accuracy, absolutely, but he is not THAT bad. Remember sacks and TTT were the big issues his rookie year. He was holding onto the ball too much and taking too many sacks. He went from historically bad to historically good in one offseason. I bet his Comp% will do the same. Caleb gave us some easy math because he attempts 33 passes a game. So to increase his Comp% by 3%, all he would need to do is complete one extra pass per game. So to get him to 64%, that is one extra completion per half. If they want him to hit his goal of 70%, that is just under 4 extra completions per game or 2 per half. Caleb led the league with 40 throwaways, just say he cuts that down by 10 by either running or by completing a pass. Now say the receivers don't drop the 3rd most in the NFL, and that gets cut down by 10 for the season. We are now down to 2.5 completions per game or 1.25 per half. So 1.25 extra completions magically turns him into the best QB in the league? Also, on a side note, did everyone forget some of the weather games the Bears played in? Holy crap, the PHI game was ridiculous, then there seemed to be several extreme cold games the Bears had to play in. Not to make excuses, but the weather is a huge factor in the passing game, so the more crappy games, the worse your stats will be: https://medium.com/data-science/football-weather-diving-into-the-effects-of-weather-on-nfl-qb-performance-f0edb420623d

So Mark Schlereth is making the rounds about how Caleb is a bad QB lol. That his superman plays are what saves him from being a bad QB. I think this is absolutely laughable. He just finished his 2nd year in the NFL, had a terrible coaching staff his rookie year, was getting sacked a ton, etc. Does he need to improve, for sure, but it's literally 3-4 total throws a game and he is magically an all-pro. There is no way he could put up stats like in the first post if he was "bad" or even mediocre. Just funny how some media guys that have some personal beef with him will go down with the ship instead of just admitting they were wrong.

Which is crazy to think about. Kramer was the last Bears QB to finish in the top 10 in Passing Yards (1995) since Caleb who finished 7th last year. He was 106 yards away from already being in the top 5. A funny fact is Rex Grossman finished 12th one year, which was higher than Cutler did in any season he played for the Bears (13th twice).

Comparing QBs closest to Williams in 2024-2025: Herbert 672-1016, 66.1%, 7597 yds, 49 TD, 16 INT, 804 Rush Yards, Years 5-6 (within 114 passing yards, 2 TD) Mahomes 707-1083, 65.3%, 7515 yds, 48 TD, 22 INT, 729 Rush Yards, Years 8-9 (within 32 passing yards, 1 TD) Williams 681-1130, 60.3%, 7483 yds, 47 TD, 13 INT, 877 Rush Yards, Years 1-2 Allen 626-943, 66.4%, 7399 yds, 53 TD, 16 INT, 1110 Rush Yards, Years 7-8 (within 6 TD) The biggest difference is that Williams was a rookie in 2024 with Flus as HC. Considering that, his being already in the mix with this group of QBs is a great sign. Mahomes and Allen are annual MVP Candidates, and Herbert has started to be put in that conversation. I honestly think Williams starts becoming a perennial 4K / 30 TD QB.

Awesome, let me know if you have any other questions. Yeah lol, I was a SoxTalk transplant.

Try this for email: My Team > Edit Team Info > Preferences Tab > Email Preferences > Preferred Email Address (Edit) I see your name and new team name associated with that team, not my info. For logo and name, are you saying you can't access it here: My Team > Edit Team Info > Name and Logo Tab That is where I can change mine; the only access I have to your team is the invite and the roster for keepers.

Invite sent.

Pix, once you get the invite, you will have access to see everything. I think it is considered a "private" league. The Live Draft Time is anywhere from 15s to 2 mins between picks. We typically do a minute, but we can bump it up by 15s intervals to something like 1m 15s or 1m 30s if that was more appealing. There are 17 rounds to fill out the rosters. With a minute per pick, it has typically lasted about an hour. If you are game, just DM me the email address you want to use and I will get you the invite for Scott's team.

I finished in 5th last year. It was pretty competitive with the 6th place team winning the championship, and 9 out of 10 teams with a chance at making the playoffs in the last week of the season.

Pix, this 10-man league started in 2010 and I joined in 2012. The "dues" are $75 with winnings: 1st - $440 2nd - $200 3rd - $75 4th - $35 The team you would assume finished in 2nd last year, so they would be picking 9th in a snake draft (so 9th, 11th, repeat). Here is their final roster: Keeper Eligible for 2026: Jonathan Taylor Ind - RB Round 2, Pick 5 George Kittle SF - TE Round 3, Pick 6 TreVeyon Henderson NE - RB Round 4, Pick 5 Breece Hall NYJ - RB Round 5, Pick 6 Brock Purdy SF - QB Round 7, Pick 6 Deebo Samuel Was - WR Round 9, Pick 6 Jared Goff Det - QB Round 12, Pick 5 Jake Bates Det - K Round 14, Pick 5 Not Keeper Eligible: Matthew Stafford LAR - QB - Not drafted by team Justin Jefferson Min - WR - Last Year's First Rounder Jameson Williams Det - WR - Last Year's Keeper Juwan Johnson NO - TE - Not drafted by team Tee Higgins Cin - WR - Last Year's Keeper Christian Watson GB - WR - Not drafted by team Kimani Vidal LAC - RB - Not drafted by team Parker Washington Jax - WR - Not drafted by team Patriots NE - DEF - Not drafted by team We allow up to 2 keepers per season. They have to be drafted by you and on your final roster. The cost of the keeper is +1 round for the first keeper, and if you want a second one, that will cost +2 rounds. For example, if you wanted to keep Deebo Samuel and Jared Goff, Samuel would cost your 8th rounder, and Goff would cost your 10th rounder. The league is a PPR league with the following roster spots: QB, WR, WR, RB, RB, TE, W/R/T, W/R/T, K, DEF, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, BN, IR, IR, IR. 2 flex, 7 bench, and 2 IR slots. Most of the scoring is traditional with bonuses for 100 yard rushing/receiving or 300 yard passing. Everything else is pretty standard stuff.

No prob, and thanks for doing that. We can ask the board to see if there are any members wanting to participate.