adam

6% chance to win after the incompletion on 2nd and 10 with 5:35 to play.

Yeah, and if Gordon comes back and they both play like this, this defense would be much improved instantly.

3 pt swing on Wright's dropped INT. Giants scored 3 pts after Jarrett's phantom penalty. Could easily have been a 10 pt win.

It will be brutal for today's game with all the turnover on downs. EPA doesn't care about drops. I imagine it will be bad for Williams. I like it better for an overall team, and a split between the Pass and Rush Off and Def.

This is the first game this season that the Bears had fewer penalties than their opponent and they were still screwed by the officials lol. Zero sacks allowed, Burns came into the game with the league lead in sacks, and had 0. 4 sacks for the defense. 2 sacks for CJGJ, 2 TFL, 2 QB hits and 9 tackles. This dude joined the team 10 days ago. Sweat with 1.5 sacks, 1 TFL, and 2 QB hits.

There have been a few others, but in this one there was so much against him. Drops, pressure, penalties, weather, bad defense, terrible special teams. They were down 10 with 6:13 left from their own 9 and they scored their 2nd TD at 1:47. So 144 yards gained with 2x TDs in 3:23 of game time. They almost scored that 2nd TD too fast. Things that are still true, defense is bad, special teams is terrible, and officials continue to screw the Bears over.

If the Bears lose this one, they may not win another game.

It was complete bullshit.

It would be 1, 2, sack most plays. And Dart is playing the Bears defense which is literally giving him free 10 yard plays.

Starting to think Dennis Allen is not all that. The Bears got lucky with the turnovers early on but when they are not there it looks really bad

Our DBs are playing 15 yards off with 8 yards to go? Quick out open every time. Baffling.

Nothing adjusted on defense, they still suck.

God this defense sucks balls.

Special Teams still sucks. Just kick it out of bounds.

Everyone looks cold and slow. Have no clue what is going on. How many more passes can hit two hands and be dropped?

Yeah, a little smaller too. I like him better than Nix.

Yeah our guys are dropping balls hitting both hands with sticky gloves.

Can we just take the WR bubble screen off the play card? I don't know what the fascination is with this play but it rarely gains anything and almost always ends up as a near INT, incompletion or loss of yards.

Line has slide to -4.5. The Bears can't lose at home to this Giants team without Skattebo. Hopefully the weather holds up and doesn't become a shit show.

Another way to look at it though, both Johnson and Allen have done this before as coordinators, so most of the in-game stuff is the same. Johnson has a few more responsibilities as a HC, but those are only related to challenges and timeouts, which he can get assistance from the booth on. As for players, most of the vets have playoff experience. For key contributors, most do like Swift, Thuney, Dalman, Jackson, Smythe, Jarrett, Sweat, Billings, Edmunds, CJGJ, Wright and Byard. We are now at the halfway point of the season. From most new offenses, this is when they start to become more consistent. So I think we should expect more efficient and consistent offensive output for the rest of the season. Ultimately, if the Bears can go 2-0 in the next two weeks, and both DET and GB go 1-1, the Bears control their own destiny, which is not something I expected. That would put them at 7-3 heading into the game against PIT, which is very winnable at home. Also, based on odds, that is the most likely outcome over the next two weeks. So it is not like we are reaching.

That is still funny to me, but there is a path in the next two weeks. This week, assuming DET beats WSH, CHI beats NYG and GB loses to PHI. That would slide DET into 1st in the DIV, tied with the Bears but holding the H2H tiebreaker. Regardless of the outcome of any other games, the Bears would also be locked into the 6th Seed either between SF and LAR or LAR and GB, depending on the winner of the LAR @ SF game. Now here is where it gets spicy. Week 11, if the Bears can beat the Vikings and go to 7-3, DET is playing in PHI, which PHI should be favored. Just say DET loses, they fall to 6-4, GB should beat NYG and move to 6-3-1. That would put the Bears in 1st at 7-3, GB in 2nd, and DET in 3rd. The odds of this happening are actually quite high, considering all outcomes.

It is also hard to compare Williams rookie year with this year or anyone else's rookie year. The more you look at what occurred around him, it is amazing what he was able to accomplish under so much duress.

Pix, there are a lot of recent examples of players improving YoY. Josh Allen had a 52.8% Comp his rookie year, 58.8% his 2nd year, and has never been below 63% in his last 6 years, but it took him until his 3rd year to get there. The crazy part about that was he had Brian Daboll the entire time. Another comp is Stafford, who only had one season above 60% comp in his first 5 seasons. Now with a career average of 63.5%. Goff had a 54.6% his rookie year, 62.1% his 2nd year and now has a 66.0% for his career. Williams will improve. The goal was 70%, but probably not realistic for his first year in the system. I think if he can improve in the 2nd half and get near 65%, that would be a good step in the right direction.

That would honestly be cool, but I prefer 10+ point wins where they are putting teams away and controlling the clock for the last 5 mins of the 4th quarter.

and Edwards had surgery on his wrist and is out a few weeks now. If the Bears can't beat the Giants at home, w/o Skattebo, and their top WRs are Robinson and Slayton, they don't deserve to be in the playoffs anyway.