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Everything posted by adam
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Depending on how things are viewed, from the starters and key rotational guys from last year, I think this is where we are at right now, based on filling holes by snap counts (top 20): Daniels > Patrick Peters > Jenkins Ogletree > Morrow Nichols > Jones Gipson > NEED SS Byrd > Pringle Robinson > NEED WR1 DHC > NEED S Ifedi > Borom Dalton > Foles Bush > NEED S/DB Goodwin > St. Brown Goldman > Tonga Mack > Gipson Hicks > Need DT Burns > NEED CB James > NEED TE3 Graham > NEED TE2 Grant > Evans? O'Donnell > Winslow? The Bears also switched from a Base 3-4 to 4-3, so there is probably a need for another LB to fill out the core holes. WR x1 S x3 (1x2) CB x1 TE x2 (1x1) LB x1 (due to base change) Then we would probably want upgrades at OT, OC/G, and NT. So that gets us back to the need for 2x WR, S, CB, TE, and LB, with upgrades potentially at OT, OG (if Patrick is OC), and NT. We need at least 2x FA WRs (WR1/2 and WR2/3), 2x FA Ss (S2 and S3), and at least one CB2/3, TE2, LB2.
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Yep was in two threads at once, you are correct. I meant that Goldman was someone another team can sign and it won't count against the formula. I guess you can add Graham to that list that count towards comp picks.
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So Street/Other Free Agents are players that were cut before their contracts ended. Any players signed from this pool do not count against you towards comp picks. Goldman, Cohen, and Trevathan our the Bears SFAs. If another team signs them, we will not get any comp picks for them. Here are some names to consider: Landry, WR, CLE Williams, RT BUF Flowers, LG WAS Tretter, C CLE Turner, RT GB Saffold, LG TEN Jarwin, TE, DAL Hitchens, LB KC Ioannidis, DL WAS Fox, IDL CAR Mitchell, CB HOU Young, CB BAL Bouye, CB CAR Pierce, DL, MIN Kwiatkoski, LB LVR
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I don't like him either. Feels very one-dimensional. I would rather have someone like Zach Pascal who is a great blocker as well (Flus connection). Then draft one with the first two picks as your WR1.
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Bears Sign Bengals DT Larry Ogunjobi (40M over 3 years)
adam replied to DABEARSDABOMB's topic in Bearstalk
Roster construction is super challenging because there are no guarantees in the draft that a player is going to be there when you pick. I would say if the player you have on the board is there at your pick and there are no other players rated the same, you pick that player. If you have multiple players with the same grade when you pick, that's when you try to move back as you assume you can still get one of those graded players at a later slot. -
Bears Sign Bengals DT Larry Ogunjobi (40M over 3 years)
adam replied to DABEARSDABOMB's topic in Bearstalk
Buckner vs Ogunjobi Snaps 844 v 724 Hurry 8 v 9 KD 11 v 7 Sacks 7 v 7 Pressures 27 v 24 TFL 10 v 12 Tackles 68 v 48 Ogunjobi pretty much matched Buckner's output in 2021 with 120 fewer snaps. On a per snap basis, the only category Buckner has the lead in is total tackles. -
Nah, letting the market cool off. There are still a lot of players left. Poles said he was going after Wave 2 and 3. Teams are releasing a lot of players as well.
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A ton of cuts coming in. Those guys would not count against the comp pick formula. I can see Poles targeting those guys. Some big names.
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Teams have now signed Daniels, Nichols, and Grant, but Ogunjobi negates the Daniels one. Still have ARob, Hicks, Goldman, Dalton to sign elsewhere.
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Another name to watch is Billy Turner, who was cut by the Packers and wouldn't count against comp pick formula.
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Lucas Patrick had more snaps than Glowinski and Karras at cost half the price of Daniels. He played with Getsy, so he can immediately come in and assist the rest of the line on the protections and calls.
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Nichols signs for $5.5 AAV. Terrible deal for him, great for the Raiders. This basically ends up as a one year deal worth $9M.
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Chark gone, waiting on numbers. Lions were also looking at ARob. Chark gets 1 year for $10M. That helps the market a little bit. He does a prove it year deal but with the Lions and Goff? Seems risky.
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Up to $17.5M AAV for Scherff. Ouch. The Jags are killing the market.
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Kirk's deal really screwed a lot of teams. The Bears are probably better off going with a 2nd tier guy with upside: Auden Tate, Russell Gage, Pascal, Raymond, Higgins. Beckham, Landry, Chark, ARob are all getting $15M + now.
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Bears Sign Bengals DT Larry Ogunjobi (40M over 3 years)
adam replied to DABEARSDABOMB's topic in Bearstalk
I see some people on social media talking about overpaying. Ogunjobi now has the 13th highest AAV for an IDL, however, he is only making 250K more than DJ Reader and 500K more than Javon Hargrave. So to me, this is very much inside the market value and not an overpay with a ton of years. This is a 3 year deal, but will probably have an easy out after year 2. -
Yep, I was going off the OTC list, then removing names that have signed. A few slipped thru the cracks.
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LB: Kyzir White, LAC; Jermaine Carter Jr, CAR; Damien Wilson, JAX; Anthony Walker Jr, CLE; Kwon Alexander, NO; Kamu Grugier-Hill, HOU; Leighton Vander Esch, DAL; Anthony Hitchens, KC, Jordan Hicks, ARZ S: Terrell Edmunds, PIT; Bobby McCain, WAS; Marcus Williams, NO; Tyrann Mathieu, KC; Jayron Kearse, DAL; Damontae Kazee, DAL; Jordan Whitehead, TB; Justin Reid, HOU; Jaquiski Tartt, SF CB: Levi Wallace, BUF; Fabian Moreau, ATL; Steve Nelson, PHI; Darious Williams, LAR; Terrance Mitchell, HOU; Charvarius Ward, KC; Rasul Douglas, GB; Xavier Rhodes, IND, AJ Bouye, CAR; Kyle Fuller, DEN; Kevin King, GB; Darious Williams, LAR, Mike Hughes, KC
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WR's available: Zach Pascal, Kalif Raymond, Allen Lazard, Odell Beckham, Adam Humphries, Russell Gage, Demarcus Robinson, Jamison Crowder, Byron Pringle, Jarvis Landry, Rashard Higgins, Will Fuller, DJ Chark, M Valdez-Scantling, Trequan Smith, JJ Schuster-Smith, Auden Tate
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LT's available: Armstead, Brown, Fisher, Reiff, Solder RT's available: Brown, Turner, Moses, Quessenberry, Okorafor, Parker C's available: Bozeman, Price, Britt RG's available: Daniels, Brunskill, Corbett, Hernandez, Turner, Glowinski LG's available: Norwell, Spain, Patrick, Schofield
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Bears Sign Bengals DT Larry Ogunjobi (40M over 3 years)
adam replied to DABEARSDABOMB's topic in Bearstalk
I love this signing. The key to the new defense is up the middle. The savings from Mack and Goldman easily cover this cap hit. Technically, the original cap space + Cohen's savings are still left. -
Up the middle is the priority, now get a Center.
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There is our 3T, had 7 sacks,16 QB Hits, and 12 TFLs for the Bengals last year.
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Trubisky is a Steeler!